Gut Picks - Sunday ~ Feb. 10th

Greetings and salutations fellow gambling brethren.
He we go again.  Let us discuss, debate, trade brown recipes . . . let's have some fun today folks. 

Please remember to be respectful to your fellow capper(s).  Thank you. 

Well now, I do believe I've allowed myself to get too caught up in stats 'n' diplomacy lately.  So today I'm going to do my best to keep it simple, and allow my chi to flow  *OMmmm**:

PHI v PIT - This intrastate rivalry begins anew once again today.  Both these teams played yesterday.  Both should be able to bring an equal amount of energy to this game.  Sabu tended goal for the Pens yesterday, so Conklin will get the nod today, while Nittymaki is expected to fend the visitor's goal.

I suspect the Pens up-tempo will force Philly into it's usual chorus of penalties.  This one should be easy for the home side.  PIT (ML) - (PL) if you're feeling rowdy.

NYR v WSH - Hey the Rangers won a game yesterday, that's nice.  Lundqvist is likely going to tend goal for this "original six" club from New York.  However, Henrik has not played well of late.  Perhaps he turns the tide tonight, but after Ovechkin was held off the score-keeper's card (by CAR) in the CAPS most recent, you can just about count on that sort of thing not happening two games on the row . . . especially on a weekend day game.

The Capitals need every win they can muster, and I see little reason why they too, won't be able to skate circles around an older New York team, that would likely just as soon go home and rest than play a game against this WSH team.  CAPS (ML)  (PL) is also looking tempting to me here.


ANA v DET - Rather than me telling you the "how" and the "why" behind my reasons for picking the Red Wings in this nationally broadcast game; . . . how 'bout somebody tells me (along w/ our fellow thread readers) how in the "H. E. double pop-sickle sticks" the Ducks win this game.

I'm not saying such an outcome is impossible, mind you.  I mean, Joe Louis could get hit by a meteorite, or maybe the Wings sticks all break each an' every time they try to shoot the puck . . . anyway you get my drift.  DET (ML)  << which should have plenty of value on it's own after DET's past two games. 

MIN v STL - The Blue *NOTS*  SUUUCK.   MIN (ML)


LAK v CBJ - I've sometimes wondered what make the Blue Jackets so likable to me.  Now I understand.  For some time now, the Blue Jackets have own the Kinks.
So L.A.'s arrival to Nationwide will be just what the doctor ordered for Columbus today . . . tonight.  Pascal Leclaire is "questionable" for today's game.

I wish it were more certain than that.  However, Labarbera has been pulling double duty for the Kings as well so, if Norrena *does* suit up, I look at it as an even match (now don't go throwing stats at me, it's my opinion - nothing more, nothing less).  The Blue Jacks are starting to creep towards "record territory" in terms of home losses, I do not believe they will allow this to happen.  Not tonight, and NOT against the fucking "kings".  CBJ (ML)

FLA v BUF - Despite what Covers has listed, I've read that Tim Connolly is expected to be back soon, if indeed he doesn't strap it on for tonight's game against the Pussies.  I don't trust either side.  I guess Anderson will be in for FLA, and that might scream "take BUF" to some, but I do not see it as being so black 'n' white as all that.

I've thought this one thru.  BUF has gone Under (5.5) for two games now.  Every since coming home they've gone Under (5.5) and both those games went to an SO.
SO and it still clocked in at under 5.5 (the total *was* 5 for both).  Still that is some impressive stuff.  One would be tempted to think that there's no way they go under the total again today, right?  Well that is exactly how I'll be playing this game.  UNDER (5.5)    Is the third time the charm?  Will they keep the scoring in check?  We shall see.  Regardless of those stats this is a %100 absolute and complete gut pick for me.  So consider yourself warned/informed.


NSH v PHX - I suppose NSH was expecting to lose to the Sharks last night.  Honestly though, if not for Cheechoo's hat-trick, the Sharks would have likely lost.  So today they meet the Coyotes.  The Desert Dogs have got to be hungry for this win than the Country Cats.  Both these teams can score, yet both goales here are top notch as well.  I'll stick w/ the home side.

Nashville will not have enough left in the tank to contend w/ Gretzky's team.  PHX (ML)


CHI v VAN - Well the Avs came in and exposed the Canucks lack of a defense.  The Van's wheels done fell off.  And just in time for Jonathan Toews to come back and make 'em hurt.  CHI (ML)  <<HUGE


I guess, if I were worried about being wrong I wouldn't post a play for every game.  I really am interested in hearing other's input however.  Also, maybe it's just arrogance, but I'm not of the mindset that I couldn't pick every game on a board like todays.  And if not *every* game, then at least *close* to every game.

Anywho, those thoughts were running thru my head . . . and I felt like sharing them.  GL today people, and enjoy the show.  Cheers. 

Chicago, Chicago . . . and more Chicago

VAN looks dead in the water, and the Avs ran them ragged last night.

Other than that I'd suggest looking around the forums and maybe checking back in here to see what discourse is taking place.

I hate admitting it, but I am nearing that same breaking point myself (too many parlays).  Here's to both of us having better luck today. 

I also really like the Pens today . . . a lot. 

Actually, I really like all of my pick 'a lot'.  But that's why I post 'em, to see if somebody can produce some good "counter-point" to make me rethink a pick.

Like yesterday Tom said, he liked the Rangers.  I didn't end up betting on them, but I was able to go back and do some research to take a look at the angle he had seen.  Which I will consider in the future.

What do you like today?  Cause if you're not "feelin' it" I suggest to just lay off for a day or two.  Patience is so important in money management friend.

Or maybe just bet a fraction of your normal amount, just to have some sort of action on the fly.  Either way.  BOL 

Los Angeles Kings
Dan Cloutier, Likely probable
Appears Cloutier will start(InsideSoCal)
Last Game:    Feb 9 vs Pit, L 4-2
Goalie:    Labarbera (L, 32/36 sv, 59:18 min)

UNTG, I'm actually liking the Ducks today. They are coming off 3 wins against quality teams and seem to have finally found their scoring touch.  They're 1-1-1 against the Red Wings this year, one loss being 2-1, the other being a SO loss.  Detroit has blown 2 3rd period leads their last two games against LA and TOR, both teams are fighting for last place.  I don't know if the Wings are mentally giving up against the teams or what.  Since Detroit did play last night and lost Cleary for 6-8 weeks, I think the Ducks will pull it out in the end.  I'm thinking a very low scoring game with alot of hits in this one. 
Ducks ML
Under 5

gbear, as I mentioned in an earlier post.  The Sabres have played to the SO in their previous two games.  Going a third straight seems unlikely.  PICKS LOOK GOOD. 

I guess man.  I mean, you're the expert.  I've never played the SO.

You must get some sweet odds on a prop like that though.  What's the payout, like 10 to 1? 

Looks solid Gbear.  BOL w/ that wager. 

good morning gents