HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 2-games-nil:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 2-games-nil irrespective of site order (Pittsburgh) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 NHL and NBA Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 649-81 (.889)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 115-19 (.858)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 310-49 (.864)
series record, NHL only, Finals round: 45-5 (.900)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 349-381 (.478)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 63-71 (.470)
Game 3 record, NHL only, all rounds: 187-172 (.521)
Game 3 record, NHL only, Finals round: 27-23 (.540)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1347 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2017 NHL and NBA Semifinals. Note in
general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a
particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding
winning fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 2-games-nil @ HH:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 2-games-nil with site order HH (Pittsburgh) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 NHL and NBA Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 514-55 (.903)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 89-14 (.864)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 235-30 (.887)
series record, NHL only, Finals round: 34-3 (.919)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 261-308 (.459)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 41-62 (.398)
Game 3 record, NHL only, all rounds: 137-128 (.517)
Game 3 record, NHL only, Finals round: 16-21 (.432)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1347 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2017 NHL and NBA Semifinals. Note in
general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a
particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding
winning fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
SERIES NOTES:
After Game 2: The Pittsburgh Penguins hosted and topped the
Nashville Predators 4-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff
series 1334 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL
playoff series 2-games-nil, the Pittsburgh Penguins have a series record
of 16-2 with an active 10-series winning streak and a Game 3 record of
12-6. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil,
the Nashville Predators have a series record of 0-4 and a Game 3 record
of 4-0. In the history of best-of-7 NHL Finals, teams such as the
Pittsburgh Penguins which win Games 1-2 at home have a 34-3 series
record. The three teams which failed to win the NHL championship despite
such a lead: the 1971 Chicago Blackhawks; the 2009 Detroit Red Wings
(to the Pittsburgh Penguins); the 2011 Vancouver Canucks
Whowins