You would think it's closeout time with the home team up 3-2, lets see what history says.
The Preds have a pretty good shot, over all rounds they have 60.2% chance of winning today. But they are laying around -160 so that's pretty much a break even at that percentage. So lay the -1 to knock it down to a pick'em or slight dog play. That will make the Preds a good play for today.
Ducks (up 3-2) at Oilers
Again you would lean to the home team to tie things up, but what does history say and what do the oddsmakers say ?
There is not a ton of data for the road team being up 3-2, but the data we do have says the Ducks are going to be in trouble considering just the Quarterfinal info. Only a 45.2% chance of victory here. If you take all rounds it goes up to 56.1%. Right now the Oilers are at -130, so that takes a win% of 56.52% for break even. Again the line is right on for the Quarterfinal info.
History says take the Preds -1 of course. Well it says take the Preds but no way would I say to lay -160. So knock that juice down.
You would think it's closeout time with the home team up 3-2, lets see what history says.
The Preds have a pretty good shot, over all rounds they have 60.2% chance of winning today. But they are laying around -160 so that's pretty much a break even at that percentage. So lay the -1 to knock it down to a pick'em or slight dog play. That will make the Preds a good play for today.
Ducks (up 3-2) at Oilers
Again you would lean to the home team to tie things up, but what does history say and what do the oddsmakers say ?
There is not a ton of data for the road team being up 3-2, but the data we do have says the Ducks are going to be in trouble considering just the Quarterfinal info. Only a 45.2% chance of victory here. If you take all rounds it goes up to 56.1%. Right now the Oilers are at -130, so that takes a win% of 56.52% for break even. Again the line is right on for the Quarterfinal info.
History says take the Preds -1 of course. Well it says take the Preds but no way would I say to lay -160. So knock that juice down.
WhoWins.com really did NOT have much "guidance" on today's games or even those series. small sample for the Predators and a lot of the Oliers is "history back" to the Gretzky days
agree with Lippsman that the Predators -160 just TOO "pricey" today. that "close out" 4th win is THE toughest to get in ANY series. witness the Penguins up 2-1 going to the 3rd period last night in Washington and LOSE 2-4
WhoWins.com really did NOT have much "guidance" on today's games or even those series. small sample for the Predators and a lot of the Oliers is "history back" to the Gretzky days
agree with Lippsman that the Predators -160 just TOO "pricey" today. that "close out" 4th win is THE toughest to get in ANY series. witness the Penguins up 2-1 going to the 3rd period last night in Washington and LOSE 2-4
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