March NHL Player Props

Forum: NHL Betting Page 2 of 3  1 2 3  
Author: [NHL Betting] Topic: March NHL Player Props
BetPlayerProps PM BetPlayerProps
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Posted: 3/11/2017 5:39:30 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BetPlayerProps:

More value, taken from Bovada:

Mike Hoffman over 3 shots on goal +100
Evander Kane under 3 shots on goal -130
Anders Lee under 2.5 shots on goal -130
T.J. Oshie under 2.5 shots on goal -130

Correction: the Kane line is 4, not 3.  We want under 4.
BetPlayerProps PM BetPlayerProps
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Posted: 3/12/2017 4:59:19 PM
Today's plays, taken from Bodog:

Michael Grabner under 2 shots on goal +110
Chris Kreider under 3 shots on goal -115
Gustav Nyquist under 2 shots on goal +110
Connor McDavid under 3.5 shots on goal -105
Max Pacioretty under 3.5 shots on goal -110
Jordan Eberle under 2.5 shots on goal -110
T.J. Oshie under 2 shots on goal +110
Nicklas Backstrom under 2 shots on goal +100
Tyler Seguin under 3.5 shots on goal +135
Joe Pavelski under 3 shots on goal +110
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Posted: 3/13/2017 12:47:53 AM
The edges are small in hockey props, but they are there. I've been getting pretty unlucky this month in hockey.  The edges will get much bigger in the playoffs.

NHL to date*: 130 bets, +2.84 units, 2.2% ROI
All sports to date: 330 bets, +28.38 units, 8.6% ROI

*Since I started posting on February 15th.
BetPlayerProps PM BetPlayerProps
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Posted: 3/13/2017 4:14:42 PM
Today's profitable bets, taken from Bodog:

Cam Atkinson under 3 shots on goal +110
Chris Kreider under 3 shots on goal -140
John Tavares under 3 shots on goal +110
Anders Lee under 2.5 shots on goal -125
Patrik Laine under 3 shots on goal -125
Evgeni Malkin under 3 shots on goal +120
Sidney Crosby under 3.5 shots on goal +100
David Pastrnak under 3.5 shots on goal +125
Brad Marchand under 3 shots on goal +120
Bo Horvat under 2 shots on goal +100
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Posted: 3/14/2017 5:22:09 PM
Today's lines, taken from Bodog:

John Tavares under 3 shots on goal +110
Anders Lee under 2.5 shots on goal -135
Artemi Panarin under 2.5 shots on goal +115
Erik Karlsson under 3 shots on goal -105
Jordan Eberle under 2.5 shots on goal -115
Connor McDavid under 3.5 shots on goal -105
Jack Eichel under 4 shots on goal -130
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Posted: 3/15/2017 4:49:57 PM
Today's bets, taken from Bodog:

Evgeni Malkin under 3.5 shots on goal -115
Sidney Crosby under 3.5 shots on goal +100
David Pastrnak under 3.5 shots on goal +120
Patrice Bergeron under 3.5 shots on goal +110
Johnny Gaudreau under 2.5 shots on goal +120
Alex Pietrangelo under 2 shots on goal -105
David Perron under 2 shots on goal +110
Rickard Rakell under 2.5 shots on goal -115
BetPlayerProps PM BetPlayerProps
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Posted: 3/16/2017 3:22:25 AM
Solid 5-3 day.  The plus odds give me +2.38 units, which is a lot better than most 5-3 days.  Still running below expectation in hockey, but the ROI will increase, and the EV will increase in the playoffs.

NBA to date: 248 bets, $3387.72 profit, +33.87 units 13.7% ROI
NHL to date: 155 bets, +$361.80 profit, +3.62 units, 2.3% ROI
All sports to date: 403 bets, $3749.52 profit, +37.50 units, 9.3% ROI



BetPlayerProps PM BetPlayerProps
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Posted: 3/16/2017 5:29:02 PM
Today's plays, taken from Bodog:

Eric Staal under 2.5 shots on goal -110
John Tavares under 3.5 shots on goal -125
Brandon Saad over 2 shots on goal -120
Cam Atkinson over 2.5 shots on goal -125
Jordan Eberle under 2.5 shots on goal -120
Jaden Schwartz under 2.5 shots on goal -110
Evander Kane under 4 shots on goal -125
BetPlayerProps PM BetPlayerProps
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Posted: 3/17/2017 3:42:29 PM
Pretty lame day to bet hockey props.  I only see 1 profitable one.  Good things there's some bball on today.

Kyle Okposo under 2.5 shots on goal -120 (Bodog)
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Posted: 3/18/2017 5:41:37 PM
Mats Zuccarello under 2.5 shots on goal -120
T.J. Oshie under 2.5 shots on goal -145
Nikita Kucherov under 3.5 shots on goal -120
Filip Forsberg under 3 shots on goal -125
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Posted: 3/18/2017 9:09:19 PM
Corey Perry under 3 shots on goal -125
Ryan Kesler under 2.5 shots on goal -120
Joe Pavelski under 3 shots on goal -110
Logan Couture under 2.5 shots on goal -110
BetPlayerProps PM BetPlayerProps
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Posted: 3/19/2017 2:26:03 AM
The disappointing break even stretch in hockey continues.  The ROI will get higher over time.  The edges are not as big in hockey (especially since only one book puts up shots on goal bets), but they can be profitable to the tune of 5%+.

NBA to date: 277 bets, $4334.96 profit, +43.35 units, 15.6% ROI
NHL to date: 170 bets, $253.61 profit, +2.54 units, 1.5% ROI
All sports to date (excluding March Madness, I made some units there but haven't done the accounting yet): 447 bets, $4588.57 profit, +45.89 units, 10.3% ROI
BetPlayerProps PM BetPlayerProps
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Posted: 3/19/2017 12:30:57 PM
Time to get it started with some hockey EV:

Vincent Trocheck over 2 shots on goal -135
Kyle Palmeiri under 2.5 shots on goal +120
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Posted: 3/19/2017 4:25:45 PM
The other good plays:

Erik Karlsson under 3 shots on goal +120
Jeff Skinner under 3.5 shots on goal -110
Jeff Carter under 3 shots on goal +110
Johnny Gaudreau under 2.5 shots on goal +120
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Posted: 3/20/2017 1:36:25 AM
+2.31 units today in hockey. 

NBA to date: 284 bets, +44.15 units, 15.5% ROI
NHL to date: 176 bets, +4.85 units, 2.8% ROI
March Madness to date: 116 bets, +6.67 units, 5.8% ROI
All sports to date: 576 bets, +55.67 units, 9.7% ROI
BetPlayerProps PM BetPlayerProps
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Posted: 3/20/2017 2:16:03 PM
David Pastrnak under 4 shots on goal -105
James Van Riemsdyk under 3 shots on goal -130
Joe Pavelski under 3 shots on goal +110
BetPlayerProps PM BetPlayerProps
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Posted: 3/20/2017 4:24:57 PM
Jordan Eberle under 2.5 shots on goal +110
Jeff Carter under 3 shots on goal +110
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Posted: 3/20/2017 4:30:15 PM
Connor McDavid to score a goal? NO -165
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Posted: 3/21/2017 2:15:08 PM
Great day in hockey also, 4-0-2.

NBA to date: 291 bets, +48.84 units, 16.8% ROI
NHL to date: 182 bets, +8.60 units, 4.7% ROI
March Madness to date: 116 bets, +6.67 units, 5.8% ROI
All sports to date: 589 bets, +64.12 units, 10.9% ROI
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Posted: 3/21/2017 4:42:23 PM
The asterisk indicates my top play of the day.  I select my play of the day based on the highest expect ROI. 

Artemi Panarin under 3 shots on goal -115*
Erik Karlsson under 3 shots on goal +120
Bobby Ryan under 2 shots on goal -120
Rick Nash under 3 shots on goal +110
Tomas Tatar under 2 shots on goal +110
Gustav Nyquist under 2.5 shots on goal -125
Radim Vrbata over 2.5 shots on goal -130
Patrik Laine under 2.5 shots on goal +120

BetPlayerProps PM BetPlayerProps
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Posted: 3/22/2017 1:16:20 AM
4-2-2 ain't bad.

NBA to date: 306 bets, +55.27 units, 18.1% ROI
NHL to date: 190 bets, +10.65 units, 5.6% ROI
March Madness to date: 116 bets, +6.67 units, 5.8% ROI
All sports to date: 612 bets, +72.60 units, 11.9% ROI
BetPlayerProps PM BetPlayerProps
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Posted: 3/23/2017 5:40:28 PM
Jaromir Jagr under 3 shots on goal -125*
Nikita Kucherov under 3.5 shots on goal -110
T.J. Oshie under 2.5 shots on goal -140
Sebastian Aho over 2.5 shots on goal +120
Vincent Trocheck over 2.5 shots on goal +130

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Posted: 3/25/2017 6:23:15 PM
John Tavares under 3 shots on goal +110
Andrew Ladd under 2 shots on goal -105
Artemi Panarin under 3 shots on goal -115
Erik Karlsson under 3 shots on goal +120
Nazem Kadri over 2.5 shots on goal -150
Jeff Carter under 3 shots on goal +110
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Posted: 3/26/2017 1:16:07 AM
NHL to date: 201 bets, +7.34 units, 3.7% ROI
BetPlayerProps PM BetPlayerProps
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Posted: 3/26/2017 12:12:54 PM
Nino Niederreiter under 2.5 shots on goal -130
Tomas Tatar under 2 shots on goal +110
Gustav Nyquist under 2.5 shots on goal -130
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