goto OT prop - tracking

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Author: [NHL Betting] Topic: goto OT prop - tracking
oilcountry99 PM oilcountry99
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Posted: 12/20/2016 11:45:51 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by oilcountry99:

Current Record: 10-18
Units: +10.55u (based on Risking 1u per selection)

Dec 19. Selection

NAS|PHI +285 WIN

Adding:
ARI|CGY +289 LOSS

+1.85u

Current Record: 11-19
Units: +12.40u (based on Risking 1u per selection)

Dec 20. Selections

BUF|FLA +289
STL|DAL +281
WPG|VAN +273
sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 12/21/2016 5:26:29 AM
oil, this thread makes little if any sense pertaining to handicapping the NHL? WHAT exactly are you doing? please excuse my comprehension level, STL|DAL +281 (12/20/16)  I simply 'don't get it'
sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 12/21/2016 5:36:24 AM

you're betting OT&SO (props)

no wonder I didn't get it, initially

hope it all works out for you, must be working, you're up $1,240

the best to you always

oilcountry99 PM oilcountry99
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Posted: 12/21/2016 8:57:20 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sports_Network:

you're betting OT&SO (props)

no wonder I didn't get it, initially

hope it all works out for you, must be working, you're up $1,240

the best to you always


s_N 
oilcountry99 PM oilcountry99
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Posted: 12/21/2016 9:00:19 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by oilcountry99:


Current Record: 11-19
Units: +12.40u (based on Risking 1u per selection)

Dec 20. Selections

BUF|FLA +289 WIN
STL|DAL +281 WIN
WPG|VAN +273 LOSS

+4.7u

Current Record: 13-20
Units: +17.10u (based on Risking 1u per selection)

Dec 21. Selections

No Plays
BrownGem PM BrownGem
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Posted: 12/21/2016 10:56:43 AM

keep up the great work oil!

sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 12/21/2016 11:57:04 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by oilcountry99:


Current Record: 13-20
Units: +17.10u (based on Risking 1u per selection)

Dec 21. Selections

No Plays
oil, this is getting really good, at first I mis-read what you were initiating... when a capper can overpower a 39% win ratio (13-20) connect it to +17u... you're doing some really great NHL cappin' my friend...
sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 12/21/2016 12:00:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by oilcountry99:


s_N 
oilcountry99 PM oilcountry99
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Posted: 12/21/2016 12:21:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BrownGem:

keep up the great work oil!


oilcountry99 PM oilcountry99
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Posted: 12/21/2016 12:22:48 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sports_Network:

oil, this is getting really good, at first I mis-read what you were initiating... when a capper can overpower a 39% win ratio (13-20) connect it to +17u... you're doing some really great NHL cappin' my friend...

oilcountry99 PM oilcountry99
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Posted: 12/22/2016 12:05:10 PM
Current Record: 13-20
Units: +17.10u (based on Risking 1u per selection)

Dec 22. Selections

STL|TB +285
MIN|MTL +285
WPG|VAN +280
oilcountry99 PM oilcountry99
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Posted: 12/23/2016 10:39:50 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by oilcountry99:

Current Record: 13-20
Units: +17.10u (based on Risking 1u per selection)

Dec 22. Selections

STL|TB +285 LOSS
MIN|MTL +285 LOSS
WPG|VAN +280 LOSS

Current Record: 13-26
Units: +14.10u (based on Risking 1u per selection)

Dec 23. Selections

None for today...back after Christmas
oilcountry99 PM oilcountry99
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Posted: 12/23/2016 10:41:21 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by oilcountry99:


Current Record: 13-23
Units: +14.10u (based on Risking 1u per selection)

Dec 23. Selections

None for today...back after Christmas

Corrected typo in record should read 13-23 not 13-26
UnitsGP4 PM UnitsGP4
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Posted: 12/23/2016 10:48:30 AM
Interesting little system you have going on here, glad to see even with a losing record you are still very profitable.

How are you choosing which games you think will go to OT?

Any sort of analysis or info?

or just going on gut feeling/games you think will be close?

thanks


UnitsGP4 PM UnitsGP4
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Posted: 12/23/2016 10:52:43 AM
Is there a difference between, the

- 3 way ML Draw prop - 60 mins

and 

- Will this game go to OT prop?


Reason i ask is my book has 3way +265, and, go to OT +260
oilcountry99 PM oilcountry99
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Posted: 12/23/2016 12:01:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by UnitsGP4:

Is there a difference between, the

- 3 way ML Draw prop - 60 mins

and 

- Will this game go to OT prop?


Reason i ask is my book has 3way +265, and, go to OT +260

Interesting...I don't think there is a difference, strange about the odds however.  My book (pinnacle) offers it as a goto OT prop.

The plays are handicapped using stats mostly, but I'd be lying if I said there wasn't some 'feel for the matchup' in there as well.

I like to look at games with totals set at 5.  Close odds meaning no heavy favorites.  Every game is it's own case and is evaluated as such.  I don't have a step by step clear cut 'system' for the plays.

Thanks for your interest. 
sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 12/24/2016 5:33:04 AM
 Merry Christmas 
oilcountry99 PM oilcountry99
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Posted: 12/27/2016 4:00:06 PM
Current Record: 13-26
Units: +14.10u (based on Risking 1u per selection)

Dec 27. Selections

DET|BUF +294
SJS|ANA +281
sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 12/28/2016 5:49:27 AM

It's working.....solid call

SJS | ANA +281  WIN

+15.91u (or) $1,591


'Happy New Year'

sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 12/28/2016 6:00:33 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by oilcountry99:


Interesting...I don't think there is a difference, strange about the odds however.  My book (pinnacle) offers it as a goto OT prop.

The plays are handicapped using stats mostly, but I'd be lying if I said there wasn't some 'feel for the matchup' in there as well.

I like to look at games with totals set at 5.  Close odds meaning no heavy favorites.  Every game is it's own case and is evaluated as such.  I don't have a step by step clear cut 'system' for the plays.

sounds interesting, it's fun, and most of all, it WINS

enjoy your continued Holidays



oilcountry99 PM oilcountry99
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Posted: 12/28/2016 11:14:30 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by oilcountry99:

Current Record: 13-26
Units: +14.10u (based on Risking 1u per selection)

Dec 27. Selections

DET|BUF +294 LOSS
SJS|ANA +281 WIN

+1.81u

Current Record: 14-27
Units: +15.91u (based on Risking 1u per selection)

Dec 28. Selection

PHI|STL +285
oilcountry99 PM oilcountry99
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Posted: 12/28/2016 11:27:34 AM
Capping Tool:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elo_rating_system
oilcountry99 PM oilcountry99
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Posted: 12/28/2016 11:28:52 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sports_Network:

sounds interesting, it's fun, and most of all, it WINS

enjoy your continued Holidays




Merry Christmas....enjoy your Holidays as well!
oilcountry99 PM oilcountry99
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Posted: 12/29/2016 4:36:45 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by oilcountry99:


Current Record: 14-27
Units: +15.91u (based on Risking 1u per selection)

Dec 28. Selection

PHI|STL +285 LOSS

Current Record: 14-28
Units: +14.91u (based on Risking 1u per selection)

Dec 29. Selections

CHI|NSH +285
ANA|CGY +272
oilcountry99 PM oilcountry99
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Posted: 12/30/2016 3:25:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by oilcountry99:


Current Record: 14-28
Units: +14.91u (based on Risking 1u per selection)

Dec 29. Selections

CHI|NSH +285 LOSS
ANA|CGY +272 LOSS

Current Record: 14-30
Units: +12.91u (based on Risking 1u per selection)

Dec 30. Selections

no selections
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