HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLWW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WLWW irrespective of site order (St. Louis) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2015 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 137-21 (.867)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 32-10 (.762)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 63-11 (.851)
series record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 23-9 (.719)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 78-80 (.494)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 13-29 (.310)
Game 5 record, NHL only, all rounds: 37-37 (.500)
Game 5 record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 11-21 (.344)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1286 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2015 MLB Finals. Note in general that the
greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation,
the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLWW @ HHVV:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading WLWW with site order HHVV (St. Louis) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2015 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 62-5 (.925)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 13-2 (.867)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 35-3 (.921)
series record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 12-2 (.857)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 45-22 (.672)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 8-7 (.533)
Game 5 record, NHL only, all rounds: 24-14 (.632)
Game 5 record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 7-7 (.500)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1286 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2015 MLB Finals. Note in general that the
greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation,
the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
SERIES NOTES:
After Game 4: The St. Louis Blues visited and defeated the
Chicago Blackhawks 4-goals-3 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff
series 1292 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL
playoff series 3-games-1, the St. Louis Blues have a series record of
7-1 and a Game 5 record of 5-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL
playoff series 3-games-1, the Chicago Blackhawks have a series record of
1-12 and a Game 5 record of 5-8 (with an active four-Game 5 winning
streak). St. Louis trailed in Chicago by one goal as late as 17:30 into
the second period: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series from
1939 through 2015, inclusive, road teams down a goal as late as 17:30
into the second period had a game record of 153-597 (.204).
Whowins