Now that i got your attention......i have been looking at your picks and i see a big problem....most are losing their bets. I just hate to see this,
I know that i may sound like a jerk saying this, but believe me, i wish you all to make money.
So, if you are part of the 80% that lose money betting on sports, follow me, i"m making money on a regular basis, some nights, like tonight was very profitable, i went 8-2, made a little over $1200
I don<t have time to list my picks the day of games, so i will post the night before.
Who am i ? i'm just a regular person that has always liked to play with numbers, i am not a compulsive gambler, i like to think that i am a smart gambler. I use to have a strict gambling budget, but don't need to anymore. I only follow 1 sport and that is hockey. my other free time are spent playing poker, also profitable. I cap every game every night and i have been doing this for 4 years, lost money the first 2 years but have been making good bets for 1 1/2 year.
What do i use to cap you ask? well, i don't use goalie info or injuries. i don' favor home teams, i don't pick favorites, i do take in consideration past success but never more than 7 games, i do check on traveling and days off , i don't check what others take as picks, i don't read blogs or check stats like on covers, What i do mostly is use excel and enter every score every game, then with a few calculations i come up with my picks. I spend at the most 5 minutes per game. Enough rambling.. here goes for Wednesday dec 30th
Penguins 2 units ( Leafs traveling on 0 day rest) Senators 2 units ( same as Leafs) Rangers 1 unit ( need to win on the road 8 lost in a row) Sharks 1 unit ( tight game, Flyers on the road with 2 day rest) Buf-Was.... no play( favor Sabres, but don't bet against Caps)
Now that i got your attention......i have been looking at your picks and i see a big problem....most are losing their bets. I just hate to see this,
I know that i may sound like a jerk saying this, but believe me, i wish you all to make money.
So, if you are part of the 80% that lose money betting on sports, follow me, i"m making money on a regular basis, some nights, like tonight was very profitable, i went 8-2, made a little over $1200
I don<t have time to list my picks the day of games, so i will post the night before.
Who am i ? i'm just a regular person that has always liked to play with numbers, i am not a compulsive gambler, i like to think that i am a smart gambler. I use to have a strict gambling budget, but don't need to anymore. I only follow 1 sport and that is hockey. my other free time are spent playing poker, also profitable. I cap every game every night and i have been doing this for 4 years, lost money the first 2 years but have been making good bets for 1 1/2 year.
What do i use to cap you ask? well, i don't use goalie info or injuries. i don' favor home teams, i don't pick favorites, i do take in consideration past success but never more than 7 games, i do check on traveling and days off , i don't check what others take as picks, i don't read blogs or check stats like on covers, What i do mostly is use excel and enter every score every game, then with a few calculations i come up with my picks. I spend at the most 5 minutes per game. Enough rambling.. here goes for Wednesday dec 30th
Penguins 2 units ( Leafs traveling on 0 day rest) Senators 2 units ( same as Leafs) Rangers 1 unit ( need to win on the road 8 lost in a row) Sharks 1 unit ( tight game, Flyers on the road with 2 day rest) Buf-Was.... no play( favor Sabres, but don't bet against Caps)
Pardon me if I seem a little pessimistic, but we get people that come in here every single day claiming exactly what you are doing. I truly hope you are correct and can consistently hit 80% of your Plays, and be kind enough to share them with the Forum- FOR FREE, but that's simply not possible.
99% of those with your claims do 1 of 2 things.
1. They come here, talk real big, run off a couple days of obscenely lucky Plays, then hit the proverbial wall, and disappear into the wild blue yonder, never to be heard from again.
2. They come in here and go on about a 65% win rate (which is phenomenal), and keep that run rate for a couple months (which is near impossible to do for the long haul), then go tout, claiming that every Book in the Universe has banned them, so their only means of income is to sell you the Plays that got him/ her banned
I understand you are very busy, but since you claim to have gone 8-2 last night, could you please spend 5 minutes (the time it takes you to Cap each game- and I hope there's more to it then the analogy you gave above for your picks for today ) showing us which 8 games you won, and the 2 you lost last night?
I am looking forward to watching your picks/ results going forward, and truly wish you success. Best of Luck to you Frostbite
Pardon me if I seem a little pessimistic, but we get people that come in here every single day claiming exactly what you are doing. I truly hope you are correct and can consistently hit 80% of your Plays, and be kind enough to share them with the Forum- FOR FREE, but that's simply not possible.
99% of those with your claims do 1 of 2 things.
1. They come here, talk real big, run off a couple days of obscenely lucky Plays, then hit the proverbial wall, and disappear into the wild blue yonder, never to be heard from again.
2. They come in here and go on about a 65% win rate (which is phenomenal), and keep that run rate for a couple months (which is near impossible to do for the long haul), then go tout, claiming that every Book in the Universe has banned them, so their only means of income is to sell you the Plays that got him/ her banned
I understand you are very busy, but since you claim to have gone 8-2 last night, could you please spend 5 minutes (the time it takes you to Cap each game- and I hope there's more to it then the analogy you gave above for your picks for today ) showing us which 8 games you won, and the 2 you lost last night?
I am looking forward to watching your picks/ results going forward, and truly wish you success. Best of Luck to you Frostbite
Yes, I went 10-0 last night, but just didn't post the picks. Very busy ya know.
Well since the picks are posted the night before we can track. BTW, you have a -160 and -155 in there. Everyone already knows what I am going to say to just will keep that to myself. I hope this does better than your girlfriend angle you used a week ago.
Yes, I went 10-0 last night, but just didn't post the picks. Very busy ya know.
Well since the picks are posted the night before we can track. BTW, you have a -160 and -155 in there. Everyone already knows what I am going to say to just will keep that to myself. I hope this does better than your girlfriend angle you used a week ago.
i kinda knew i would get this kind of response and i'm cool with it.
the two i did not get yesterday were the Mtl-Flo and La Edm games.
As for the girlfriend angle, that was used because of christmas break, a time you should not bet.
I may not get 80% of my picks but i am in the low 60% overall, for me is pretty good compared to my 45% two years ago.
Also, i am not here to eventually sell my picks, i would never suggest people to buy picks. Nobody knows for sure who will win a game, i don't..... All i do is use a different approach that is working just fine.
So, just humour me for a bit and you will see that i am not joking,
i kinda knew i would get this kind of response and i'm cool with it.
the two i did not get yesterday were the Mtl-Flo and La Edm games.
As for the girlfriend angle, that was used because of christmas break, a time you should not bet.
I may not get 80% of my picks but i am in the low 60% overall, for me is pretty good compared to my 45% two years ago.
Also, i am not here to eventually sell my picks, i would never suggest people to buy picks. Nobody knows for sure who will win a game, i don't..... All i do is use a different approach that is working just fine.
So, just humour me for a bit and you will see that i am not joking,
60% of winning is irrelevant if you are paying juice on all of your picks. If you pay on average say -150 on all your wagers and you pick 60% correct.....Well let's see...
10 picks at -150
6 wins = +600
4 losses = -600
$0
Your prices tonight
-165 2 units Loss -3.3 units
-130 2 units Win +2 units
+115 1 unit Win +1.15 units
-165 1 unit Win +1 unit 75% win rate = +0.85 units
Now you may go 4-0 tonight but in the long run these prices will burn you down. If the Penguins lose tonight, I think they win too but if they do lose then you need all three of the other wins to come in just to scrape out 0.85 units profit. That is a 75% pick rate which is higher than the 60% you admit is attainable. That is asking an awful lot of yourself on a regular basis and in the end is not realistic.
Your picks the other week were super square and really sucked, there is no nice way to put it, but you are alluding to the fact you were just "playing around" I guess?
GL with all your endeavours. Let's see how you do over the course of the next 4 months consistently.
The lion and the tiger may be more powerful, but the wolf doesn't perform in the circus.
60% of winning is irrelevant if you are paying juice on all of your picks. If you pay on average say -150 on all your wagers and you pick 60% correct.....Well let's see...
10 picks at -150
6 wins = +600
4 losses = -600
$0
Your prices tonight
-165 2 units Loss -3.3 units
-130 2 units Win +2 units
+115 1 unit Win +1.15 units
-165 1 unit Win +1 unit 75% win rate = +0.85 units
Now you may go 4-0 tonight but in the long run these prices will burn you down. If the Penguins lose tonight, I think they win too but if they do lose then you need all three of the other wins to come in just to scrape out 0.85 units profit. That is a 75% pick rate which is higher than the 60% you admit is attainable. That is asking an awful lot of yourself on a regular basis and in the end is not realistic.
Your picks the other week were super square and really sucked, there is no nice way to put it, but you are alluding to the fact you were just "playing around" I guess?
GL with all your endeavours. Let's see how you do over the course of the next 4 months consistently.
We have one famous Rotterdam saying and it goes like this: ''Geen woorden maar daden.'' Which (literally) means; no words but deeds. So let the picks speak for themselves.
We have one famous Rotterdam saying and it goes like this: ''Geen woorden maar daden.'' Which (literally) means; no words but deeds. So let the picks speak for themselves.
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