Getting annoying typing the same stats and reasoning over and over for a week now. So I'm just gonna edit last games writeup with a few retractions and a few new additions for anyone whos interested.
So far the 8 game (to start) fade-the OIL experiment is now 3-1. I won big on DET,lost big on CHI but had another big night hitting FLA ML,reg -0.5,-1 and -1.5. Then in the most recent outing I won heavy again on STL reg -0.5 and -1.5. I left of the -1 since it was -225 and then I pushed out on the -2 with the late last second OILERS goal.
However the late goal only pused the -2 and hit the lone correct score play I made on a hunch taking STL to win exactly 4-2 at +1100 albeit only for a 0.25 unit risk.....still it paid better than hitting the -2 and losing the correct score so I'll gladly take it..
Now we have the OIL traveling to the south east coast almost as far across the league geographically as humanly possible. And when they get there they get to play the BOLTS who are only winning 80 f-in % of their home games ( 16-4) and currently sit in 1st place in the eastern conference and top 5 in the NHL's power rankings. (actually now 1 point back of the ISLES)
Conversely the OIL are dead last in the power ranking and thats for good reason. They have been on a bit of a hot streak,relatively speaking having won 3 times in their last 8 games. However they lost the 9 games before that so they're still only 3-14 last 17.
And when you look strictly at their road numbers it's truly dreadful. They are just 2-11 (some o.t losses) on the road after getting thumped by STL. And their last road win was in NYR back on NOV 9th so over 2 months ago losing 13 straight since then. They also won in BUF the previous game,geez those were the glory days I guess.
Now they go into TB to face won of the league best teams that win at an 80% clip at home and despite playing 6 of their last 10 games on the road the BOLTZ still went 7-3 in those game.
And as I have been saying since this started back with DET a week or so ago. It's not just about this one game,it's about the next game and the next game and so on. So even if TB comes out flat and gets handed the very unlikely loss tonight. The OIL still have to play their next game in FLA versus a team that they do not match up very well against.
Oh and then they finish their trip in WASH against a CAPS teams thats surging right now and playing Barry Trotz hockey which again is not a advantageous matchup stylistically for a spOILERS team that basically has one dangerous line...if that most nights.
And even after all that they come home to a divisional foe in MINNY that despite not being very strong on the road will likely play them hard......and then they have a potential let down spot next game against BUF before they head right back out on the road to play in CAL and then SJ. Before coming back home to face PIT only to pack up again and head outta town for another 6 game trip playing in TOR,NJ,NYI,MON,OTT and then WIN all in 10 days......long story not so short is the next month or so for the OIL may be just as dreadful as the first 4 months of the year.
Time to go lock in some plays BOL with whatever you decided boys & girls...cheers