Late night showdown in the West! Two elite teams clash tonight in Anaheim as the Sharks attempt to loosen the Duck's slim grasp of second. Expect both teams to bring their "A" game.
Sharks (3 Days Rest) 5-0-0 with 3 overs and 2 pushes
Ducks (1 Days Rest) 26-12-2-2 with 25 overs/16 unders (1 push)
On 3 days of rest the Sharks play significantly better than they do in any other situation, with a +2.20 winning margin over a 5 game span. In fact, when you regress to 2 games, 1 and no rest there is a clear decline in San Jose's performance, particularly from 2 days to 1.
Anaheim on one day of rest are oddly at their worst despite an excellent record as indicated above. This leads me to believe they have been a little fortunate considering their average game on 1 day rest is a 0.53 win (still impressive).
As a road underdog SJ lose by 0.37 and as a road favourite they win by 0.25. The interesting thing to me is that Anaheim have NEVER been a home favourite! This, in fact, is the slightest they have been favoured at home all season!
Lastly, both of these teams play their highest scoring games in this specific scenario. There is also the "due" factor in that both have seen an under trend as of late (more so SJ)
Late night showdown in the West! Two elite teams clash tonight in Anaheim as the Sharks attempt to loosen the Duck's slim grasp of second. Expect both teams to bring their "A" game.
Sharks (3 Days Rest) 5-0-0 with 3 overs and 2 pushes
Ducks (1 Days Rest) 26-12-2-2 with 25 overs/16 unders (1 push)
On 3 days of rest the Sharks play significantly better than they do in any other situation, with a +2.20 winning margin over a 5 game span. In fact, when you regress to 2 games, 1 and no rest there is a clear decline in San Jose's performance, particularly from 2 days to 1.
Anaheim on one day of rest are oddly at their worst despite an excellent record as indicated above. This leads me to believe they have been a little fortunate considering their average game on 1 day rest is a 0.53 win (still impressive).
As a road underdog SJ lose by 0.37 and as a road favourite they win by 0.25. The interesting thing to me is that Anaheim have NEVER been a home favourite! This, in fact, is the slightest they have been favoured at home all season!
Lastly, both of these teams play their highest scoring games in this specific scenario. There is also the "due" factor in that both have seen an under trend as of late (more so SJ)
Until the last three days I had not posted all year, so far 2-0 with the Penguins winning @ Colorado and Minnesota winning @ Winnipeg. What's with me and these road teams!?
Until the last three days I had not posted all year, so far 2-0 with the Penguins winning @ Colorado and Minnesota winning @ Winnipeg. What's with me and these road teams!?
Thanks for the good wishes, best of luck to all unless you're bets contradict mine...
As for Anaheim's divisional dominance and the Sharks struggles on the road; strong points in Anaheim's favor. However, my initial analysis and especially the fact that Anaheim, whom have never been a home dog are nearly one, leads me to the Sharks ML.
Thanks for the good wishes, best of luck to all unless you're bets contradict mine...
As for Anaheim's divisional dominance and the Sharks struggles on the road; strong points in Anaheim's favor. However, my initial analysis and especially the fact that Anaheim, whom have never been a home dog are nearly one, leads me to the Sharks ML.
Just providing some information regarding the opening line on this game as I see it has been discussed here.
On December 31. 2013 of this season the Sharks played at the Ducks and Pinnacle, whom i consider to be a a very sharp book, set the opening line at -114 for the Ducks. For the game tonight Pinnacle has set the exact same line of -114 for the Ducks. So nothing has changed and there is nothing being suggested by the line setting in this game. The one difference there is however is that back on that date the Pinnacle line closed at -115 so basically stayed put but tonight the line has dropped slightly, but nothing alarming at all so far, and with the Ducks being as hot as they were back then coupled with their recent performances lately that is only to be expected.
The lion and the tiger may be more powerful, but the wolf doesn't perform in the circus.
Just providing some information regarding the opening line on this game as I see it has been discussed here.
On December 31. 2013 of this season the Sharks played at the Ducks and Pinnacle, whom i consider to be a a very sharp book, set the opening line at -114 for the Ducks. For the game tonight Pinnacle has set the exact same line of -114 for the Ducks. So nothing has changed and there is nothing being suggested by the line setting in this game. The one difference there is however is that back on that date the Pinnacle line closed at -115 so basically stayed put but tonight the line has dropped slightly, but nothing alarming at all so far, and with the Ducks being as hot as they were back then coupled with their recent performances lately that is only to be expected.
The line movement against Anaheim is what peaked my interest in San Jose as well as the public and definitely the days rest. It is ear that more rest equates with the Sharks performing better and high-scoring games. Glad to see you're still active Polar, one of the classiest guys on the forum.
The line movement against Anaheim is what peaked my interest in San Jose as well as the public and definitely the days rest. It is ear that more rest equates with the Sharks performing better and high-scoring games. Glad to see you're still active Polar, one of the classiest guys on the forum.
probably because https://twitter.com/anaheimducks/status/453945695972499456#NHLDucksJohn Gibsongets the nod tonight against the San Jose Sharks. I am sure the rookie will see a LOT more rubber than he did in his Vancouver debute shutout
probably because https://twitter.com/anaheimducks/status/453945695972499456#NHLDucksJohn Gibsongets the nod tonight against the San Jose Sharks. I am sure the rookie will see a LOT more rubber than he did in his Vancouver debute shutout
The line movement against Anaheim is what peaked my interest in San Jose as well as the public and definitely the days rest. It is ear that more rest equates with the Sharks performing better and high-scoring games. Glad to see you're still active Polar, one of the classiest guys on the forum.
The lion and the tiger may be more powerful, but the wolf doesn't perform in the circus.
The line movement against Anaheim is what peaked my interest in San Jose as well as the public and definitely the days rest. It is ear that more rest equates with the Sharks performing better and high-scoring games. Glad to see you're still active Polar, one of the classiest guys on the forum.
probably because https://twitter.com/anaheimducks/status/453945695972499456#NHLDucksJohn Gibsongets the nod tonight against the San Jose Sharks. I am sure the rookie will see a LOT more rubber than he did in his Vancouver debute shutout
Aha definitely going to see some more rubber than per usual. Thanks for the input
probably because https://twitter.com/anaheimducks/status/453945695972499456#NHLDucksJohn Gibsongets the nod tonight against the San Jose Sharks. I am sure the rookie will see a LOT more rubber than he did in his Vancouver debute shutout
Aha definitely going to see some more rubber than per usual. Thanks for the input
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