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Author: [NHL Betting] Topic: Maybe I'm high but this should work
RF1
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#1
Posted: 5/1/2012 3:24:16 PM

LAK are 1/1 odds to win West

PHO are 11/4 odds to win West

both teams are up 2-0 in their series and they've pretty much shown that they are indeed the better teams in both series.

Why not put a garbage load of money on both teams to win the West.

Worst case scenario you end up even with the LAK winning but if the Coyotes win you should make a mean profit.

Maybe im trippin some serious balls but this definitely would work as long as NASH AND STL dont come back youll be sitting pretty for the West Finals.

Thank me later.

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#2
Posted: 5/1/2012 3:25:31 PM
not bad and if it goes to game 7 you can hedge.....
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#3
Posted: 5/1/2012 3:26:50 PM

Also with Phoenix being 11/4 odds... they would get home ice advantage against the Kings and Jobing.com has been tough this playoffs to play in.

Best of luck everyone

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#4
Posted: 5/1/2012 3:34:14 PM

Halak ruled out with LA back on home ice

No rad or kos for Nash.

Think I'll give this strat a try

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#5
Posted: 5/1/2012 3:48:44 PM

The Preds and Blues are NOT coming back in these series in my opinion. They are heading over the falls quickly and I can't see them recovering to swim back up stream and survive by winning 4 of the next 5 games vs the Kings and Yotes who have that something special working for them since the first round started.

Put a little more on the Kings... That way WHEN the Kings win you will have made at least some profit...

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#6
Posted: 5/1/2012 4:27:53 PM

Ya I hear ya, good thinking.

Neither series are back in action until tomorrow so I have at least another 24 hours to think about it before I do so.

But yes I totally agree, Blues and Preds are both dead in the water.

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#7
Posted: 5/1/2012 4:42:59 PM

...

fearless forecast: nashville-phoenix series will go back to glendale  @ 2-2...

on paper the loss of radulov/kostitsyn for Game 3 is not good news, but remember both those nitwits came to the team late in the season to augment what already was a solid nucleus...

i can see nashville's core guys circling the wagons in a must-win situation, and what better message to send to a pair of morons who exhibited really selfish behavior at the worst possible time...

trotz and poile know what they're doing, they know this can become a rallying point, and in addition it's not like they lost weber or suter or legwand...

rinne's a real key here, obviously...he's given up too many goals in the first 2 games so i look for a determined showing from him and the team as a whole...

GL

 

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#8
Posted: 5/1/2012 4:55:20 PM

Phoenix will split

3-1 back to Glendale

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#9
Posted: 5/1/2012 5:28:57 PM
Apr 28, 2012 9:05 AM Single Bet
  • 2011/12 NHL (Western Conference Outright) Phoenix Coyotes +400 Open
540.00
Possible Payout: 2700.00


Apr 12, 2012 3:57 PM Single Bet
  • 2011/12 NHL (Western Conference Outright) Los Angeles Kings +800 Open
300.00
Possible Payout: 2700.00

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#10
Posted: 5/1/2012 5:30:42 PM
I agree
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#11
Posted: 5/1/2012 5:44:56 PM
No no no no no no no no.

By doing this, you are basically laying -350 that one of the teams win. I understand the concept, but to do this you need razor thin margins and +100 on the Kings is terrible. Work a +140 Kings (available on 5dimes) with a +270 Yotes and it'd be worth it.

But not with a +100 Kings bet.
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#12
Posted: 5/1/2012 5:47:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Grizzvir:

Apr 28, 2012 9:05 AM Single Bet
  • 2011/12 NHL (Western Conference Outright) Phoenix Coyotes +400 Open
540.00
Possible Payout: 2700.00


Apr 12, 2012 3:57 PM Single Bet
  • 2011/12 NHL (Western Conference Outright) Los Angeles Kings +800 Open
300.00
Possible Payout: 2700.00



Good bets but that really has no impact on his theory of taking +100 and +275.
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#13
Posted: 5/1/2012 5:59:11 PM
nashville is toast
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#14
Posted: 5/1/2012 11:40:47 PM
yup im going str8 to the bank with this strategy.
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#15
Posted: 5/1/2012 11:55:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RF1:

yup im going str8 to the bank with this strategy.


You do realize that you are laying close to -400 that one of your teams win the West. If one of them lose, you are laying -400 on the finals series price. You'd be better off parlaying the Phoenix/Los Angeles series line if you think they won't lose.

But hey, do what you gotta do.
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#16
Posted: 5/2/2012 1:01:45 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RF1:

Also with Phoenix being 11/4 odds... they would get home ice advantage against the Kings and Jobing.com has been tough this playoffs to play in.

Best of luck everyone

this is not basketball nba though these shitbag teams in hockey alot of time come back down 2-0 , just look at pitt down 3-0 and they come back and lose in 6 4-2 to philly. if it was nba the team down 3-0 would of just died hardly ever they win 2 in a row after  down 3 -0 to start.

i dont think it ridiculous to think nashville can win 3 in a row but maybe now it is with the suspensions they have, i should of just bet la 6 to 1 or whatever it was to win teh west before the season started, but after seeing how the regular season went these guy baraely made the playoffs now it looks like they the best team again? man i hate hockey i need la to win this series against st louis

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#17
Posted: 5/2/2012 1:03:57 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by RF1:

yup im going str8 to the bank with this strategy.

you know it not that smart? i mean if la wins you breaking even at best, and phoenix wins you make a little profit, but what if nashville or st louis comeback, you oculd get totaly fucked if st louis or nashville made the stanley cup

i mean what about the east new jersey is 1-1 with philly, washington is 1-1 with ny rangers. cant you make more profit if you take new jersey and washington both to win the east, and 1 of them wins the east????? cause they still both dogs against philly and ny rangers

it not crazy to think new jersey vs washington will be the east finals? after watching the first 2 games id say new jersey and washington are the better teams in those series. philly can barely win 1 game of 2 at home, and ny rangers suck they person around with washington and they play like garbage with ottawa let ottawa steal 2 games easy could of been a sweep, ny rangers are dumb as garbage they have a good goalie but i think beside that they the worse team in the east

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#18
Posted: 5/2/2012 1:26:47 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bk_widows:

...

fearless forecast: nashville-phoenix series will go back to glendale  @ 2-2...

on paper the loss of radulov/kostitsyn for Game 3 is not good news, but remember both those nitwits came to the team late in the season to augment what already was a solid nucleus...

i can see nashville's core guys circling the wagons in a must-win situation, and what better message to send to a pair of morons who exhibited really selfish behavior at the worst possible time...

trotz and poile know what they're doing, they know this can become a rallying point, and in addition it's not like they lost weber or suter or legwand...

rinne's a real key here, obviously...he's given up too many goals in the first 2 games so i look for a determined showing from him and the team as a whole...

GL

 


And this is exactly why they're gonna have you in a bad spot. Nashville is a wounded animal right now. They come out and rally with the guys that got them here in the first place. This series is far from over. Don't be fooled by Nashville losing 2 guys. It's the best thing that could have happened to them. 

You'll be wishing your ticket said Nashville instead of pho after they're going back to pho tied 2-2
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#19
Posted: 5/2/2012 4:21:48 PM
Phoenix have proof they're the best team on the ice right now, Phoenix for the west at +250 look like the best shot to take.

Poeple was talking about a sweep before the series. an easy 4-1 victory after game 1. shiit man wake up. Nashville is not that good like pople say. and phoenix is not that bad.

already have them at +400 since game 1.

PHO by at least 2 goal tonight

BOL
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#20
Posted: 5/2/2012 4:50:32 PM
more dangerous than you think, this is the nhl. down 2-0 DOES NOT cap off a series.
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#21
Posted: 5/2/2012 5:12:41 PM
87.2 % of the team who led a series 2-0 have won these series. so phoenix and los angeles have 75% to both goin the west final
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#22
Posted: 5/2/2012 5:36:42 PM

I follow hockey more than I do anything else. I live in edmonton and watch every oilers game and every other game I possibly can.

I know im not an expert but believe me when I say this

Phoenix and LA will both win their series. That is all I was trying to say.

Try this out if you want, I'm just saying it has a very good chance to work and a chance im sure a lot of people will take. Quick cant be scored on and they're back on home ice. 3-1 series lead for LA at least if not a sweep

and Nash has rad and kos out and Renne can't stop a beach ball all of a sudden. 3-1 OR 2-2 phoenix doesn't lose on home ice

and say NASH some how flukes out, they get murdered by LA next round.

Easy money

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#23
Posted: 5/2/2012 6:10:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RF1:

I follow hockey more than I do anything else. I live in edmonton and watch every oilers game and every other game I possibly can.

I know im not an expert but believe me when I say this

Phoenix and LA will both win their series. That is all I was trying to say.

Try this out if you want, I'm just saying it has a very good chance to work and a chance im sure a lot of people will take. Quick cant be scored on and they're back on home ice. 3-1 series lead for LA at least if not a sweep

and Nash has rad and kos out and Renne can't stop a beach ball all of a sudden. 3-1 OR 2-2 phoenix doesn't lose on home ice

and say NASH some how flukes out, they get murdered by LA next round.

Easy money



Okay and even if that scenario happens, you break even. Look, I'm not saying your theory of thinking both Phoenix and Los Angeles move on is wrong, but from a betting perspective you are going about it the wrong way.

Based on what you seem to believe, the best option is parlaying both the Phoenix and Los Angeles series price.
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#24
Posted: 5/2/2012 6:19:30 PM
I know what you mean but if you put 1000 on LA and 800 on Phoenix you'll make a profit regardless. Because the PHO IS 11/4 and LA is 1/1 but yes I know what you mean
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#25
Posted: 5/4/2012 2:29:30 AM

Well LA up 3-0 = series over

and Phoenix up 2-1 I'll take my chances with a game lead and home ice advantage.

Jump on this train while you still can

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