Okay, so WITHOUT CONSPIRACIES - which team is the strongest to win Game 4?
Without conspiracies .... Without what the league "wants" .....
All I've seen recently is that home teams are soooo motivated with their crowd ... Cavs couldn't win in Toronto and had much higher chances in terms of odds .... so where this one goes?
On the one hand it's hard to bet against GSW, one of the best teams in the NBA (at least in the regular season) but who really knows?
If this game was played without conspiracies and without further interference - who's going to win it?
Is Adams going to put big defense again on GSW and shut them down? OR perhaps GSW is going to surprise many bettors?
One more thing - the total line has gone up from 220.5 to 222.5 - trap or a trend? I think it would be easier to guess the total than the winner of this one.
Okay, so WITHOUT CONSPIRACIES - which team is the strongest to win Game 4?
Without conspiracies .... Without what the league "wants" .....
All I've seen recently is that home teams are soooo motivated with their crowd ... Cavs couldn't win in Toronto and had much higher chances in terms of odds .... so where this one goes?
On the one hand it's hard to bet against GSW, one of the best teams in the NBA (at least in the regular season) but who really knows?
If this game was played without conspiracies and without further interference - who's going to win it?
Is Adams going to put big defense again on GSW and shut them down? OR perhaps GSW is going to surprise many bettors?
One more thing - the total line has gone up from 220.5 to 222.5 - trap or a trend? I think it would be easier to guess the total than the winner of this one.
Lol without conspiracies nobody replied. We aint got time to live in fantasy land here. This is reality bud. lol ok you want to know who I think would win WITHOUT conspiracies? Golden state, hands down...easily.
Lol without conspiracies nobody replied. We aint got time to live in fantasy land here. This is reality bud. lol ok you want to know who I think would win WITHOUT conspiracies? Golden state, hands down...easily.
I'll bite, because I agree that this forum has seen a noticeable uptick in the amount of conspiracy theories / 'what the league wants'. I think its just a case of little people = little minds. Owners / League / Vegas think big picture, not how to affect individual games. And big picture for the leagues: in order to keep fans and grow the league there can't be a WHIFF of fixing, whether by league/teams/players/refs/bookies/space aliens, else the league loses credibility, fans and $$$. Every sports league knows this. As for Vegas, sports betting is such a minuscule amount of their revenue they are outsourcing their sports books to 3rd party providers. Why would they ever risk the gravy train they have by illegal tampering in sports matches? They wouldn't.
Anyways, for tonight's game its extremely difficult one to cap. The only play I really like is UNDER 222. GSW are going to play better D than last game where they got embarrassed. But, OKC knows they can lock this series up with a 2nd home win and will play hard, start to finish. To me this means tough D, good boxing out / defensive rebounding, protecting the ball (GSW turnovers were huge game 3) and getting back on defense instead of crashing the offensive boards. I do think it will be a close game and could potentially go to OT, which would likely kill the UNDER, so I'm going to put $110 to win $100 on under 222.
Regarding the spread (-1.5 GSW in my book), I'm torn. After watching last game and reading all the plays/writeups on Covers today, I don't know how anyone can pick GSW in this situation. BUT, it's the friggin' WARRIORS! These guys are not going to roll over and let OKC stomp them twice in a row. I can easily see this turn into a 'Did you forget who we are?" statement game from GSW where they put up 35 in the first quarter and don't look back. Final score end up around 115 - 99. Might do a parlay with my main play (under 222) & GSW -1.5 50 to win $135.
I'll bite, because I agree that this forum has seen a noticeable uptick in the amount of conspiracy theories / 'what the league wants'. I think its just a case of little people = little minds. Owners / League / Vegas think big picture, not how to affect individual games. And big picture for the leagues: in order to keep fans and grow the league there can't be a WHIFF of fixing, whether by league/teams/players/refs/bookies/space aliens, else the league loses credibility, fans and $$$. Every sports league knows this. As for Vegas, sports betting is such a minuscule amount of their revenue they are outsourcing their sports books to 3rd party providers. Why would they ever risk the gravy train they have by illegal tampering in sports matches? They wouldn't.
Anyways, for tonight's game its extremely difficult one to cap. The only play I really like is UNDER 222. GSW are going to play better D than last game where they got embarrassed. But, OKC knows they can lock this series up with a 2nd home win and will play hard, start to finish. To me this means tough D, good boxing out / defensive rebounding, protecting the ball (GSW turnovers were huge game 3) and getting back on defense instead of crashing the offensive boards. I do think it will be a close game and could potentially go to OT, which would likely kill the UNDER, so I'm going to put $110 to win $100 on under 222.
Regarding the spread (-1.5 GSW in my book), I'm torn. After watching last game and reading all the plays/writeups on Covers today, I don't know how anyone can pick GSW in this situation. BUT, it's the friggin' WARRIORS! These guys are not going to roll over and let OKC stomp them twice in a row. I can easily see this turn into a 'Did you forget who we are?" statement game from GSW where they put up 35 in the first quarter and don't look back. Final score end up around 115 - 99. Might do a parlay with my main play (under 222) & GSW -1.5 50 to win $135.
I'll bite, because I agree that this forum has seen a noticeable uptick in the amount of conspiracy theories / 'what the league wants'. I think its just a case of little people = little minds. Owners / League / Vegas think big picture, not how to affect individual games. And big picture for the leagues: in order to keep fans and grow the league there can't be a WHIFF of fixing, whether by league/teams/players/refs/bookies/space aliens, else the league loses credibility, fans and $$$. Every sports league knows this. As for Vegas, sports betting is such a minuscule amount of their revenue they are outsourcing their sports books to 3rd party providers. Why would they ever risk the gravy train they have by illegal tampering in sports matches? They wouldn't.
Anyways, for tonight's game its extremely difficult one to cap. The only play I really like is UNDER 222. GSW are going to play better D than last game where they got embarrassed. But, OKC knows they can lock this series up with a 2nd home win and will play hard, start to finish. To me this means tough D, good boxing out / defensive rebounding, protecting the ball (GSW turnovers were huge game 3) and getting back on defense instead of crashing the offensive boards. I do think it will be a close game and could potentially go to OT, which would likely kill the UNDER, so I'm going to put $110 to win $100 on under 222.
Regarding the spread (-1.5 GSW in my book), I'm torn. After watching last game and reading all the plays/writeups on Covers today, I don't know how anyone can pick GSW in this situation. BUT, it's the friggin' WARRIORS! These guys are not going to roll over and let OKC stomp them twice in a row. I can easily see this turn into a 'Did you forget who we are?" statement game from GSW where they put up 35 in the first quarter and don't look back. Final score end up around 115 - 99. Might do a parlay with my main play (under 222) & GSW -1.5 50 to win $135.
I don't think anyone does any obvious fixing, just think the players don't give 110% on some games which almost looks like a fix. I think they know the more games, the better for 1000's of people, $$$$ to the NBA and teams they play for. More money to eventually pay their salaries with. I am still not buying the Cavs beating the Craptors by 50 combined points over two games and then just laying down like they did in games 3 and 4. Makes no sense and never will. To the rest of your post, agree with all of it. I'm torn because all the guys I lean on are on the Thunder, League Capper and NBA-Capper to name a few. Even this new Dr. John guy who seems to be hitting. I was already in on GS but am considering going the other way and resting flat. Then finding a good place for a live bet once I see how the game flow looks. Hard game to cap. Just wish I knew how Curry's knee really felt because I think that's the difference in the series right now, his knee being tweaked.
I'll bite, because I agree that this forum has seen a noticeable uptick in the amount of conspiracy theories / 'what the league wants'. I think its just a case of little people = little minds. Owners / League / Vegas think big picture, not how to affect individual games. And big picture for the leagues: in order to keep fans and grow the league there can't be a WHIFF of fixing, whether by league/teams/players/refs/bookies/space aliens, else the league loses credibility, fans and $$$. Every sports league knows this. As for Vegas, sports betting is such a minuscule amount of their revenue they are outsourcing their sports books to 3rd party providers. Why would they ever risk the gravy train they have by illegal tampering in sports matches? They wouldn't.
Anyways, for tonight's game its extremely difficult one to cap. The only play I really like is UNDER 222. GSW are going to play better D than last game where they got embarrassed. But, OKC knows they can lock this series up with a 2nd home win and will play hard, start to finish. To me this means tough D, good boxing out / defensive rebounding, protecting the ball (GSW turnovers were huge game 3) and getting back on defense instead of crashing the offensive boards. I do think it will be a close game and could potentially go to OT, which would likely kill the UNDER, so I'm going to put $110 to win $100 on under 222.
Regarding the spread (-1.5 GSW in my book), I'm torn. After watching last game and reading all the plays/writeups on Covers today, I don't know how anyone can pick GSW in this situation. BUT, it's the friggin' WARRIORS! These guys are not going to roll over and let OKC stomp them twice in a row. I can easily see this turn into a 'Did you forget who we are?" statement game from GSW where they put up 35 in the first quarter and don't look back. Final score end up around 115 - 99. Might do a parlay with my main play (under 222) & GSW -1.5 50 to win $135.
I don't think anyone does any obvious fixing, just think the players don't give 110% on some games which almost looks like a fix. I think they know the more games, the better for 1000's of people, $$$$ to the NBA and teams they play for. More money to eventually pay their salaries with. I am still not buying the Cavs beating the Craptors by 50 combined points over two games and then just laying down like they did in games 3 and 4. Makes no sense and never will. To the rest of your post, agree with all of it. I'm torn because all the guys I lean on are on the Thunder, League Capper and NBA-Capper to name a few. Even this new Dr. John guy who seems to be hitting. I was already in on GS but am considering going the other way and resting flat. Then finding a good place for a live bet once I see how the game flow looks. Hard game to cap. Just wish I knew how Curry's knee really felt because I think that's the difference in the series right now, his knee being tweaked.
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