HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-nil:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 3-games-nil irrespective of site order (Cleveland) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2015 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 330-5 (.985)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 80-1 (.988)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 118-0 (1.000)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 33-0 (1.000)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 212-123 (.633)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 49-32 (.605)
Game 4 record, NBA only, all rounds: 70-48 (.593)
Game 4 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 21-12 (.636)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1286 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2015 MLB Finals. Note in general that the
greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation,
the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-nil @ HHV:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 3-games-nil with site order HHV (Cleveland) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2015 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 245-4 (.984)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 67-1 (.985)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 96-0 (1.000)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 32-0 (1.000)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 154-95 (.618)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 40-28 (.588)
Game 4 record, NBA only, all rounds: 55-41 (.573)
Game 4 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 20-12 (.625)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1286 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2015 MLB Finals. Note in general that the
greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation,
the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
SERIES NOTES:
After Game 3: The Cleveland Cavaliers visited and bested the
Detroit Pistons 101-pts-91 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff
series 1302 lead of 3-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL
playoff series 3-games-nil, the Cleveland Cavaliers have a series record
of 5-0 and a Game 4 record of 5-0. When trailing a best-of-7
MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Detroit Pistons have a
series record of 0-4 and a Game 4 record of 1-3 (with an active
three-Game 4 losing streak). The visiting Cavaliers trailed the Pistons
in Detroit by three points after the first quarter. In the history of
best-of-7 format NBA playoff games since 1947, inclusive, road teams
down three points after the first quarter had a game record of only
45-95 (.321).
Whowins