So i'm back to posting picks. Health issues are in the rear view and i've been having a great year in the NBA so figured i'd hop back on here and post some picks.
I post picks a short writeup on why, and will track the record throughout the year. I play 1-3 unit plays. Obviously tail/fade at your own risk!
So i'm back to posting picks. Health issues are in the rear view and i've been having a great year in the NBA so figured i'd hop back on here and post some picks.
I post picks a short writeup on why, and will track the record throughout the year. I play 1-3 unit plays. Obviously tail/fade at your own risk!
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics OVER 212 - 2 units
Probably the highest total of the year but i'm still gonna jump on it. Boston has been 8-0 to the over at home so far this year, and especially when you look at recent form Cleveland seems to be really figuring it out offensively (yet still not much defensively), while Boston has been horrendous defensively, particularly the 109 they gave up to a short handed OKC team that struggled to break 90 vs most teams. I think Cleveland breaks 110 for sure, and boston has been quite good offensively as they like to push the tempo at home. They will need to to try to keep up with Cleveland. An old gambler once said take the under on the lowest total and the over on the highest. That's what tonight is. Boston can't guard anyone in their current shape yet they should be able to score enough against this cleveland team that's still figuring things out defensively to take this one over the high total.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics OVER 212 - 2 units
Probably the highest total of the year but i'm still gonna jump on it. Boston has been 8-0 to the over at home so far this year, and especially when you look at recent form Cleveland seems to be really figuring it out offensively (yet still not much defensively), while Boston has been horrendous defensively, particularly the 109 they gave up to a short handed OKC team that struggled to break 90 vs most teams. I think Cleveland breaks 110 for sure, and boston has been quite good offensively as they like to push the tempo at home. They will need to to try to keep up with Cleveland. An old gambler once said take the under on the lowest total and the over on the highest. That's what tonight is. Boston can't guard anyone in their current shape yet they should be able to score enough against this cleveland team that's still figuring things out defensively to take this one over the high total.
San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Lakers OVER 206 - 3 units (POD)
Kobe's "worst defence he's ever played on" takes its game to staples centre tonight vs the reigning NBA Champs. Spurs have looked really good so far on this road trip, already knocking off LAC and GS. The lakers on the other hand have played competitively, keeping games relatively at close over their last 4 games despite the fact their defence has been a joke.
Aside from their one win vs Charlotte, in their 8 other games (losses) this season, no team has scored less then 107 points, and those teams include the likes of Mem, and NO, teams that aren't necessarily offensive dynamos. I don't see how that trend doesn't continue tonight vs a spurs team that despite their early struggles offensively seem to have started to figure things out vs GS and still have all the capabilities in the world.
The Lakers offence on the other hand has consistently scored points this year, scoring 99+ points in each of their last 7 games.
I think the total is too low for this game. I think Lakers break a hundred and Spurs flirt with 115.
San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Lakers OVER 206 - 3 units (POD)
Kobe's "worst defence he's ever played on" takes its game to staples centre tonight vs the reigning NBA Champs. Spurs have looked really good so far on this road trip, already knocking off LAC and GS. The lakers on the other hand have played competitively, keeping games relatively at close over their last 4 games despite the fact their defence has been a joke.
Aside from their one win vs Charlotte, in their 8 other games (losses) this season, no team has scored less then 107 points, and those teams include the likes of Mem, and NO, teams that aren't necessarily offensive dynamos. I don't see how that trend doesn't continue tonight vs a spurs team that despite their early struggles offensively seem to have started to figure things out vs GS and still have all the capabilities in the world.
The Lakers offence on the other hand has consistently scored points this year, scoring 99+ points in each of their last 7 games.
I think the total is too low for this game. I think Lakers break a hundred and Spurs flirt with 115.
melbear - was ready to lock in atl over but when I looked deeper into it history in the matchup strongly tends to the under. Atlanta at home this year has seen a ton of understanding hit. And a big game tomorrow night for Atlanta @ Cleveland scared me away. Didn't know how to edit the title. Sorry. Lean Atlanta to cover though.
melbear - was ready to lock in atl over but when I looked deeper into it history in the matchup strongly tends to the under. Atlanta at home this year has seen a ton of understanding hit. And a big game tomorrow night for Atlanta @ Cleveland scared me away. Didn't know how to edit the title. Sorry. Lean Atlanta to cover though.
Knicks have been a train wreck early on this year but i'm going to back them in this spot. Jazz are 0-9 ATS last 9 meetings in New York and just 6-20 ATS last 26 in the series. New York is due for a good home game. This should be their spot.
The knicks schedule also gets substantially easier next 5 games with Utah Den and Phi at home and mini and mil on the road. Take the 3.5 points here and look for the knicks to get the W.
Knicks have been a train wreck early on this year but i'm going to back them in this spot. Jazz are 0-9 ATS last 9 meetings in New York and just 6-20 ATS last 26 in the series. New York is due for a good home game. This should be their spot.
The knicks schedule also gets substantially easier next 5 games with Utah Den and Phi at home and mini and mil on the road. Take the 3.5 points here and look for the knicks to get the W.
2nd Half Cleveland Cavaliers -3 @ Boston Celtics - 1 Unit
2nd Half Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics Over 101 - 1 Unit
Feel really good about this doubling down on the total and in the end i don't think boston has the go to scorer to hit the shots. Close second half, cleveland hits fts late to cover. As long as Cleveland scores 52 in the second half can't lose both. BOL
2nd Half Cleveland Cavaliers -3 @ Boston Celtics - 1 Unit
2nd Half Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics Over 101 - 1 Unit
Feel really good about this doubling down on the total and in the end i don't think boston has the go to scorer to hit the shots. Close second half, cleveland hits fts late to cover. As long as Cleveland scores 52 in the second half can't lose both. BOL
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics OVER 209.5 - 2 units
- always nice to have a game go over with 8 mins left
Utah Jazz @ New York Knicks -3.5 - 2 units
- thought i had a shot on the melo 3 but JR plays the loser second night in a row. serious shot by burke. Melo balled out tonight. Losing Shumpert early was big in this one. Knicks didn't have anyone to guard hayward. Melo didn't have it in him. Oh well.
2nd Half Cleveland Cavaliers -3 @ Boston Celtics - 1 Unit
2nd Half Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics Over 101 - 1 Unit
2-2 so far. down the rake with POD on SA/LAL over pending
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics OVER 209.5 - 2 units
- always nice to have a game go over with 8 mins left
Utah Jazz @ New York Knicks -3.5 - 2 units
- thought i had a shot on the melo 3 but JR plays the loser second night in a row. serious shot by burke. Melo balled out tonight. Losing Shumpert early was big in this one. Knicks didn't have anyone to guard hayward. Melo didn't have it in him. Oh well.
2nd Half Cleveland Cavaliers -3 @ Boston Celtics - 1 Unit
2nd Half Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics Over 101 - 1 Unit
2-2 so far. down the rake with POD on SA/LAL over pending
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