NBA playoffs Game 2

Question

1. Bulls/Nets under 183: I expect a more traditional game between slower paced teams. Thibs will not allow
Brooklyn to get into transition so easily in Game 2 and shoot 56%. The Bulls will remain offensively challenged.

2. Grizzlies +5.5: The Grizz have too
much interior presence to be shut down 2 games in a row. Also, Prince, Allen
and Conley will make the requisite
adjustments on both ends to keep this
affair tight. Gimme the points.

3.Celtics +6.5: The C's can and will
defend the perimeter better. The Knicks
have been shootIng well. A little too well. A regression is due.

4. Over 207 Warriors/Nuggets: There will be more than 11 total 3 pointers made in this contest, unlike Game 1. No Lee means even less D.

5. Under 188 Hawks/Pacers: I also expect a more traditional game between slower paced teams here. They both shot well above their norms in game 1.

6. Lakers +9: The Lakers have no business winning a game in this series, but with 2 days off and adjustments I'll gladly take the points.

Locking these in now because I expect some line movement. Good luck to all.

Any thoughts are appreciated.

mellow_wolf · Answer

1. Bulls/Nets under 183: I expect a more traditional game between slower paced teams. Thibs will not allow
Brooklyn to get into transition so easily in Game 2 and shoot 56%. The Bulls will remain offensively challenged.

2. Grizzlies +5.5: The Grizz have too
much interior presence to be shut down 2 games in a row. Also, Prince, Allen
and Conley will make the requisite
adjustments on both ends to keep this
affair tight. Gimme the points.

3.Celtics +6.5: The C's can and will
defend the perimeter better. The Knicks
have been shootIng well. A little too well. A regression is due.

4. Over 207 Warriors/Nuggets: There will be more than 11 total 3 pointers made in this contest, unlike Game 1. No Lee means even less D.

5. Under 188 Hawks/Pacers: I also expect a more traditional game between slower paced teams here. They both shot well above their norms in game 1.

6. Lakers +9: The Lakers have no business winning a game in this series, but with 2 days off and adjustments I'll gladly take the points.

Locking these in now because I expect some line movement. Good luck to all.

Any thoughts are appreciated.

Beningo88 · Answer

Like them all except Lakers no play for me right now

dmitean · Answer

The same thoughts exactly, except the Under in Indiana.

Teams H2H clearly shows Over tendencies all season long.

Memphis needs to take care of rebounds and they will be fine.

Don't know what the hell happened to the Bulls in Game 1, but believe they should recover.

Lakers can't be any worse on offense and still almost covered.

If they play the same defense, they will cover without a doubt.

Boston just needs to play the way they played the first half, the entire game.

God luck!

drlover · Answer

net and clippers win tonight covering too like game one net &#x2B; clipper ml

mellow_wolf · Answer

Adding more to the under 183 in the Bulls/Nets game. Bulls didn&#39;t practice yesterday and Noah will most likely log heavy minutes. The Nets averaged 87.5 ppg against Chicago in the regular season. I foresee more of that type of total tonight from them.

milky24 · Answer

MEM &#x2B;6 huge play for me tonight. BOL to you Mellow

Laynchaulk · Answer

I&#39;m also large on bulls/ Bky under 183. Bol

SLEEEE · Answer

with you on the bulls under and clips and nets ML as well as 1st quarters for both teams!

Consilience · Answer

Good read on the under in the Bulls game. Memphis looks strong early, good luck throughout the playoffs.

Consilience · Answer

Nice hit on Memphis, I had them too. Played them at the half -6 &#x2B;375, oh well. I cannot bring myself to bet an over in the NBA, mostly because these players suck and to rely on them to score in abundance can be an abysmal experience...

Consilience · Answer

^^^ reference to your over tomorrow, sorry for the ambiguity.

manutdfctts9899 · Answer

well done for the first two plays MW!! BOL tomorrow!

mellow_wolf · Answer

Without Lee, the Warriors have essentially no post game. They will have to stretch the floor with shooters and I expect a lot of jumpers. Conversely, the Nuggets should be able to get inside and score with ease. Pace should be uptempo. Let&#x27;s see...

bhawksfan · Answer

Everyones all over the Cs &#x2B;6.5....not sure if I trust this team without Rondo, that 4th quarter of game 1 is the worst quarter of basketball I have seen the Celtics play in the postseason in the KG era.

mellow_wolf · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by bhawksfan] &#xD;&#xA;Everyones all over the Cs &#x2B;6.5....not sure if I trust this team without Rondo, that 4th quarter of game 1 is the worst quarter of basketball I have seen the Celtics play in the postseason in the KG era.&#xD;&#xA;[/Quote]&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;Rondo is certainly missed. However, I am not convinced the Knicks can keep up this torrid shooting. They have had 15 of their last 16 games go over 100.0 in offensive effciency. Pretty remarkable. This is also the 4th time the C&#x27;s will be seeing them in the last 3.5 weeks. Familiarity cannot be overstated. The C&#x27;s are top 5 in opponents&#x27; eFG% and 3 pt.% and those defensive stats should manifest themselves better tonight. In Doc Rivers I trust.

natethaas · Answer

long shots = long rebounds tonight! Denver will run out on every 3 GS shoots.

Lets face it, Denver played horrible the other night. They shot terribly, missed bunnies constantly and were awful at the FT line. Faried is back! This will help get the rotation back in place. Miller, Fournier, Brewer and McGhee coming off the bench.

The Nuggets were not happy with what happened the other night. This has blowout written all over it.

1TimeLucky1 · Answer

Mellow if you don&#x27;t mind brotha what does your model have as a total in the Denver game. I&#x27;m actually leaning den tt over and I was curious what you have them scoring

mellow_wolf · Answer

In 33 regular season games against top 10 efficient offenses, the Warriors gave up 101.4 ppg. Of those 33, 17 were road games, where the ppg allowed jumped to 108.2.Denver gave up 104.0 ppg in 28 games against top 10 offenses. Out of those 28 games, 14 were at home, where they scored an average of 110.1 ppg.My(purely stats based) prediction would be Denver winning 110-103.I see about a 6 point value in the (opening) total of 207 tonight.Good luck if you play the team total.

dimndimn · Answer

good insights, mellow.

au4040 · Answer

Normally I like the extra days off for the Lakers but not when you&#x27;re spending them in a hotel in San Antonio. 3 nights stuck in a hotel watching other teams dominate their opponents - and thinking about how little chance you have to win a ring this year is not as relaxing as it sounds.

dimndimn · Answer

I would imagine any playoff team would think they always have a chance and are thinking about the best way to beat their opponent.  They are not planning to walk in and get swept just to go home, get real.  They&#x27;ve been preaching playoffs and championship all season, they will be focused at the very least.

NBA playoffs Game 2

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