2-3 last night. Give me my money back TONIGHT Denver...

3/18/13 (YTD 101-72-4)

IND -7.5: 100

BKN -3.5: 100

DEN: -3.5: 150

LAL: -3: 50

UTAH -10.5: 100

Started off hot and then it was pretty dissappointing afterwards. I should have known the Knicks would cover. UTah and GS are on my list of teams to be wary of along with ATL and HOU.

Lakers...sigh...

Tonight I'm going back in. My goal was to take a little vacation two weeks ago, but I started going 50/50 and I refuse to end on a cold streak.

Busting out and trending up tonight. Plays later today. Liking DEN on that B2B against OKC. You think they're tired? They play in the mile high, when they come back to sea level they can run for days. Only around a 3 hour flight to OKC, they're riding high off a big win and looking for more. I'm going to break down the action tonight, maybe a parlay, and lets ride!

3/19/13 Strong Leans

DEN +9.5

IND -11

MIL -5 (Could switch that, numbers show MIL, gut says POR, brains says WTF)

LAC -9.5 (Clips own SAC, won 6 straight and are 6-3-1 in the last 10. More relavently clippers are 4-1 in the last 5, only faiilng to cover 13.5 by 1 basket).

I'm not neccessarily in a "cold streak", as I've yet to produce a losing month, only lost 3 weeks in 2013. But come the eff on...last 5 days have been like riding the butt end of the black jack deck.

Am I down, no. The system works....here's why I'm leaning.

DEN is white hot, and IMO the dark horse to WIN IT ALL! They remind me of the mid 2000's Pistons (Hamilton, Billups, Prince, Wallace, Wallace) not in style of play, but the roster is full of roll players that play HARD. I'm not worried about the B2B as they play in the MILE HIGH, and when they come down to sea level they can run forever. If they're gonna get caught in a spot...it'll be when they get back to Denver. The matchups even out, but the deciding factor in why I think DEN can win outright is that they have a significant edge down low on the boards. After a big win OKC is 9-10-2 (albeit they are 6-3 at home)...guess what, last time they lost after a blow out win of 13+ it was DEN that did it. OKC DID own the first matchup of the year, but that was pre-all star break/pre-DEN setting it off. Do I think DEN can win SU, yes, they are in the home stretch of the season and know they have to keep pusing to get a top 3 spot. OKC does have MEM on the horizon. In neutral territory this is a pick'em at best. With the homefield advantage this should be -3-5 OKC at best. DEN +9.5 is safer than Ft. Knox. Hard fought battle with a playoff atmosphere. DEN Knows they have to prove themselves on the road. Here is the spot. Keep in mind DEN is 5-2-1 ATS in recent meetings.

With INDY, if trends show that the UNDER hits 13-5 the last times these teams meet in IND and the line is set at 193, that means odds makers are probably tilting it to go over. Do you honestly think that ORL offense will score 94+ on IND? Not a chance, this shows me that a blowout is a coming in Indy's favor. Back to back? Big whoop, they're at home and had a cake walk last night. On 0 days rest, INDY is 11-7.

Scary thought though...ORL is 5-0 away from home ATS (MONSTER spreads against OKC and MIL) where as IND is 1-4. What gives me satisfaction is after a 10+ win at home, IND is 8-5 and ORL is 1-7 away from home after a situational loss. Numbers and trends even the game out in my head and on paper. What it boils down to is the match up. And IND dominates the boards and they are looking to post back to back wins for the first time in 2 weeks (and like myself get back on track).

Unless someone has a glaring reason not too, IND is the play.