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Johnson's NBA Thursday 3/14

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Posts: 31
 
Legend
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Posts: 36739
Posted: #1
OVERALL RECORD:  194-188 (+415$)

Record vs. Spread/ML:  99-99 (-55$)
Record vs. O/U:  94-87  (+660$)
Record vs. Parlay:  1-2  (-190$)
==================================================================

2-2 last night and made a few bucks.  Limited schedule as usual on a Thursday night.  Gotta dig deep kids!
 
Legend
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Posted: #2
Mavericks vs. Spurs -

Very interested in this matchup tonight.  I have a personal relationship with the Mavericks in a way.  I have pointed it out many times that the OT win against the Sacramento Kings seemed to be a turnaround type of game.  Many people on here laughed at me because it was an OT win against the Kings.  But since that point in the season they are 17-10 SU and 20-7 ATS.  Also take into effect the Thursday Night trend of the road team doing very well...25-18 ATS this season.  In the Western Conference games it's only 10-8 however.  Spurs are getting Timmy Duncan and Kawhi Leonard back tonight, and the Mavericks might be without Collison...which is the player that could most take advantage of the Parker injury.  Even with all of that the spread seems to be just a BIT too high considering this is a rivalry type of game.  I think the Spurs will win the game due to the fact that they just don't lose two in a row...but I can see the Mavericks hanging around for the entire game.  I'm going to wait to see the status of Collison before doing anything in this one.
 
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Posted: #3
Knicks vs. Blazers -

Big lean towards Portland in this one without Carmelo or Amare.  Just not enough offensive weapons without those guys in the game.  Portland is a tough place to play for a lot of teams...Blazers are a very respectable 20-11 at home this year.  More importantly is they up their scoring 2.5 points per game when they are at home.  Going to have to jump on it quickly however if you like the points...as the spread is heading upwards quickly.  The more I look at these games...there is really only one way to go!
 
Legend
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Posted: #4
San Antonio Spurs ML
Portland Blazers ML  (2 to win 1.5)

The Spurs don't lose two games in a row, and the Spurs really don't lose 3 out of 4 games.  With the return of Duncan and Leonard they become a deeper team, and more defensive oriented.  Blazers should just be able to win the damn game without Melo or Amare.  Going real basic tonight...not going to overthink too much. 
 
Legend
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Posted: #5
Quick tangent as well...

I make plays on the Sports Contests page as well for the NBA...and I pick EVERY game and total.  Well all year I've been in the top 1000 overall and the top 100 for the spread...97th percentile.

Last night, despite having a winning night on my bets...I missed out on just about every play on there...

Went from 97th percentile to 31st

Went from +2700 to -4100

Went from 700th or so to 9180th

I just found all of this hilarious for some reason.  Still ranked 84th on the ATS picks. 
 
Legend
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Posted: #6
Throwing in some college plays as well...

Georgetown ML  (1.9 to win 1)

Ga Tech/BC OVER 126.5  (1.1 to win 1)

Illinois ML  (1 to win 1.3)
 
Legend
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Posted: #7
Loving the start to the college games...Cincy is already out of it mentally. 
 
Captain
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Posted: #8
 
Rookie
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Posted: #9
Damn cincy is right back in it . Lets go gtown 
 
Legend
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Posted: #10
Maybe there's something to this college stuff
 
Legend
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Posted: #11
Florida State -2  (1.1 to win 1)

 
Legend
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Posted: #12
Cuse vs. Pitt OVER 120  (1.1 to win 1)


This is the only time of year I bet on CBB...don't see a reason to until the games really matter!
 
Rookie
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Posted: #13
I'm waiting for the Dance!!
 
Legend
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Posted: #14
 
Legend
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Posted: #15
Looking good for my OVER as well...as long as the 2nd half goes as it should
 
Captain
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Posted: #16
I faded your last two plays. Maybe both of us can win tonight with your plays. You hit the first three, and I hit the last two.
 
Legend
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Posted: #17
Well u lost the OVER kaka!!
 
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Posted: #18
Clemson wins it back.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #19
Thanks for the OVER pick CM! Got it by a hair!

Any thoughts on the OVER in the Mavs/Spurs game tonight?
 
Legend
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Posted: #20
I think it comes damn close to the total actually...I have it at Spurs 107-101
 
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Posted: #21
loving the thursday parlay...had the thunder/nuggets parlayed last thursday worked to perfection. Think these are even more obvious. Im tailing.
 
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Posted: #22
CM, be careful on Portland ML tonight, I'm on Knicks +6.5 and ML +220.  Forget about Carmelo and Stoudamire, they will play better without them.  They have revenge in mind from an earlier loss and they are coming off a 23 point thumping by Denver last night.  The blazers are 1-5 ATS in this series, in games off back to back losses.
 
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Posted: #23
BOL
 
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Posted: #24
anyone watch ny last night would never dream of taking them tonight
 
 
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Posted: #25
That's exactly what the book wants you to believe, the average bettor, will say, no way NY and throw up on Portland.  The money is 26/74, NY/P, the near perfect ratio for a NY Win.
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