LAL +8.5: 50
(Eh, 1 unit to solidify in my mind that the Lakers are truly a top 8 team in the West, and that OKC is a top 3. Will keep noted moving forward.
LAL 1st half OVER 107/DEN 1st H OVER 112.5/DEN 1st H -2.5/BOS 1st half UNDER 93.5: 50 to win 560
Up 5 units on the night, lost 3 on some risky plays. Going to keep it limited today to just straight up side picks. Parlays for the Thursday and Friday games look good.
Leaning Knicks, Miami, Clippers, MEM, Cleveland, and Brooklyn off the bat, havent dont any research yet though.
LAL +8.5: 50
(Eh, 1 unit to solidify in my mind that the Lakers are truly a top 8 team in the West, and that OKC is a top 3. Will keep noted moving forward.
LAL 1st half OVER 107/DEN 1st H OVER 112.5/DEN 1st H -2.5/BOS 1st half UNDER 93.5: 50 to win 560
Up 5 units on the night, lost 3 on some risky plays. Going to keep it limited today to just straight up side picks. Parlays for the Thursday and Friday games look good.
Leaning Knicks, Miami, Clippers, MEM, Cleveland, and Brooklyn off the bat, havent dont any research yet though.
I actually like the Knicks in this spot without Melo. Will force them to spread the ball and go back to what was working when they started. Hitting jumpers. And if Melo plays, they still smash. I cannot see DET winning this one at all. I'll check ref assignments though, I'm shaky on NYK free throws.
Probable Plays
Knicks - 2.5
BKN - 9
Lakers -1.5
LAC -9.5(Pounding this one hard for sure)
TOR -1.5
I usually like to take some underdogs, but today it's looking like the public will be on a lot of other games (BOS/IND and CHI/SA) and people will be trying to fade these teams. I'm gonna probably play them all, with different unit values on each depending on strength.
Thoughts or comments always welcomed, tail or fade at your own risk. Lets bang home some loot!
I actually like the Knicks in this spot without Melo. Will force them to spread the ball and go back to what was working when they started. Hitting jumpers. And if Melo plays, they still smash. I cannot see DET winning this one at all. I'll check ref assignments though, I'm shaky on NYK free throws.
Probable Plays
Knicks - 2.5
BKN - 9
Lakers -1.5
LAC -9.5(Pounding this one hard for sure)
TOR -1.5
I usually like to take some underdogs, but today it's looking like the public will be on a lot of other games (BOS/IND and CHI/SA) and people will be trying to fade these teams. I'm gonna probably play them all, with different unit values on each depending on strength.
Thoughts or comments always welcomed, tail or fade at your own risk. Lets bang home some loot!
Knicks looking to hit a streak again. They had Miami on the ropes and let it slip. Against a banged up Detroit team they can grind out a close one. Especially knowing they have a tough home stand ahead of them, they'll wanna take the easy one.
Brooklyn will clown on the worst team in basketball. Charlotte will cover eventually, but it'll be against the Wizards or Raptors, not a contender.
Lakers are serious about their playoff run. So they lost to a top 5 team on the road. Guarantee they smash on a bad team with about 24 hours to let that azz whipping set in, let alone the 1.5 hour plane trip right after.
Clippers, as long as they dont give the game away in the last 5 minutes of garbage time this should be circus show with the match up edge down low, and outside perimeter defense. MIL has no advantage anywhere, not even bench point options.
I'll take TOR with nothing to play for over PHO with nothing to play for. Talent wise TOR has it and I expect DeMAr DeRozan to lead the charge on this one.
Knicks looking to hit a streak again. They had Miami on the ropes and let it slip. Against a banged up Detroit team they can grind out a close one. Especially knowing they have a tough home stand ahead of them, they'll wanna take the easy one.
Brooklyn will clown on the worst team in basketball. Charlotte will cover eventually, but it'll be against the Wizards or Raptors, not a contender.
Lakers are serious about their playoff run. So they lost to a top 5 team on the road. Guarantee they smash on a bad team with about 24 hours to let that azz whipping set in, let alone the 1.5 hour plane trip right after.
Clippers, as long as they dont give the game away in the last 5 minutes of garbage time this should be circus show with the match up edge down low, and outside perimeter defense. MIL has no advantage anywhere, not even bench point options.
I'll take TOR with nothing to play for over PHO with nothing to play for. Talent wise TOR has it and I expect DeMAr DeRozan to lead the charge on this one.
...the reason for the extra units on TOR is The Morris' are out, Dragic is hurt, and Jermaine O'Neal out taking care of his daughter. I can see PHO overlooking this game as well SAC and HOU in the horizon.
...the reason for the extra units on TOR is The Morris' are out, Dragic is hurt, and Jermaine O'Neal out taking care of his daughter. I can see PHO overlooking this game as well SAC and HOU in the horizon.
In the long run, have you found that placing different amounts per wager depending on how much you like it; does that really work for you?
That has always killed me because the garbage i loved would generally lose and the stuff i was whatever about would often win. i then moved to uniform bets, if i dont like it enough to bet the uniform amount i wouldnt play it.
In the long run, have you found that placing different amounts per wager depending on how much you like it; does that really work for you?
That has always killed me because the garbage i loved would generally lose and the stuff i was whatever about would often win. i then moved to uniform bets, if i dont like it enough to bet the uniform amount i wouldnt play it.
Switching valuations is how I make my money bro. I go by my own predictions/capping.
If im feeling better about a game I increase my units accordingly. I chase plays or pound a team because I like them. I have another list of absolutely never fade teams, and a list of teams I will always pound.
I wont feel bad losing any of my plays tonight as im confident in the risk/reward and returns on investments. I started in NFL with 100 making 10 bets. Ive cashed out 10, 000 since the superbowl and have just over 4k now.
I play 1 unit parlays like playing the dragon nonus in black jack. Play the min until payout and increase unit plays.
Switching valuations is how I make my money bro. I go by my own predictions/capping.
If im feeling better about a game I increase my units accordingly. I chase plays or pound a team because I like them. I have another list of absolutely never fade teams, and a list of teams I will always pound.
I wont feel bad losing any of my plays tonight as im confident in the risk/reward and returns on investments. I started in NFL with 100 making 10 bets. Ive cashed out 10, 000 since the superbowl and have just over 4k now.
I play 1 unit parlays like playing the dragon nonus in black jack. Play the min until payout and increase unit plays.
Been doing research all day, all signs point to GS...even though I still think GS is kind of soft, SAC just doesn't have what it takes to win a B2B roady against a playoff bound, hard coached team.
Been doing research all day, all signs point to GS...even though I still think GS is kind of soft, SAC just doesn't have what it takes to win a B2B roady against a playoff bound, hard coached team.
Head ref usually favors road teams ATS...accept when they are 10+pt faves. Fix is in for GS if one exists, haha...other than that you have the true worst team in the west on a b2b playing a superior team at home. With the rivalry in mind and GS remembering the lats loss...GS sets it off for a 20 point blowout.
Head ref usually favors road teams ATS...accept when they are 10+pt faves. Fix is in for GS if one exists, haha...other than that you have the true worst team in the west on a b2b playing a superior team at home. With the rivalry in mind and GS remembering the lats loss...GS sets it off for a 20 point blowout.
Hey Forbes. Been tailing you for the last two weeks but haven't really posted
anything. Had a monster NBA Wednesday going 8-1. I sucked terribly on my own and
was down 10 units through mid-Feb. Now I'm up two units, and tailing you
has taught me to make better analysis and be pickier in my picks rather
than betting everything. You've played a large part in converting me
from an action junkie to a money manager. Thanks again and BOL!!
3/6/13: Sac to cover +11 50 BKN to cover -10.5 50 NY 1H to cover -4 50 SAS to cover -8.5 50 SAS ML -400 100 LAL ML -140 100 BKN u191 100 NY ML -250 150 SAS 1H ML -260 -130
Hey Forbes. Been tailing you for the last two weeks but haven't really posted
anything. Had a monster NBA Wednesday going 8-1. I sucked terribly on my own and
was down 10 units through mid-Feb. Now I'm up two units, and tailing you
has taught me to make better analysis and be pickier in my picks rather
than betting everything. You've played a large part in converting me
from an action junkie to a money manager. Thanks again and BOL!!
3/6/13: Sac to cover +11 50 BKN to cover -10.5 50 NY 1H to cover -4 50 SAS to cover -8.5 50 SAS ML -400 100 LAL ML -140 100 BKN u191 100 NY ML -250 150 SAS 1H ML -260 -130
Hey Forbes. Been tailing you for the last two weeks but haven't really posted
anything. Had a monster NBA Wednesday going 8-1. I sucked terribly on my own and
was down 10 units through mid-Feb. Now I'm up two units, and tailing you
has taught me to make better analysis and be pickier in my picks rather
than betting everything. You've played a large part in converting me
from an action junkie to a money manager. Thanks again and BOL!!
3/6/13: Sac to cover +11 50 BKN to cover -10.5 50 NY 1H to cover -4 50 SAS to cover -8.5 50 SAS ML -400 100 LAL ML -140 100 BKN u191 100 NY ML -250 150 SAS 1H ML -260 -130
Hey Forbes. Been tailing you for the last two weeks but haven't really posted
anything. Had a monster NBA Wednesday going 8-1. I sucked terribly on my own and
was down 10 units through mid-Feb. Now I'm up two units, and tailing you
has taught me to make better analysis and be pickier in my picks rather
than betting everything. You've played a large part in converting me
from an action junkie to a money manager. Thanks again and BOL!!
3/6/13: Sac to cover +11 50 BKN to cover -10.5 50 NY 1H to cover -4 50 SAS to cover -8.5 50 SAS ML -400 100 LAL ML -140 100 BKN u191 100 NY ML -250 150 SAS 1H ML -260 -130
20-8 in March, trying to get back over 60% in 2013 NBA. Hopefully I'll be there by April and take a few people with me. Up Early for work and will be researching accordingly. I'm still a little shook over the last two weeks of Feb, going 50% and actually took a losing week was humbling.
TOUGH TOUGH TOUGH Board out there Thursday. I like all 4 teams and would actually look at fading NYK and LAC (my two favorite teams in NBA, Boston is 3rd). But, lets break it down and go in on it! Totals might be my action since I cannot bet against NYK.
20-8 in March, trying to get back over 60% in 2013 NBA. Hopefully I'll be there by April and take a few people with me. Up Early for work and will be researching accordingly. I'm still a little shook over the last two weeks of Feb, going 50% and actually took a losing week was humbling.
TOUGH TOUGH TOUGH Board out there Thursday. I like all 4 teams and would actually look at fading NYK and LAC (my two favorite teams in NBA, Boston is 3rd). But, lets break it down and go in on it! Totals might be my action since I cannot bet against NYK.
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