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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Johnson's NBA Monday 3/4
CMJohnson1
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#1
Posted: 3/4/2013 11:19:23 AM
OVERALL RECORD:  179-174 (+305$)

Record vs. Spread/ML:  87-90 (-355$)
Record vs. O/U:  88-79  (+850$)
Record vs. Parlay:  1-2  (-190$)
======================================================================

1-0 on the Heat yesterday just barely.  Should have also played the UNDER as once again the early Sunday theory comes through.  Still have yet to finish a day in the red numbers...and hopefully I can get back on a hot streak soon.

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CMJohnson1
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#2
Posted: 3/4/2013 11:26:02 AM
Leaning on the OVER in the Knicks/Cavs game...and also a little bit on the Cavs.  Knicks lost an emotional game yesterday, and broke down big time in the 4th quarter.  Now they have to fly into Cleveland and get up for a road game against a below average team?  Knicks are terrible ATS in their last 10 games...and terrible ATS in Cleveland. 

If Cleveland wins this game, you have to believe it's because they were able to run and gun and push the pace.  Knicks don't  have the depth at the point guard position to slow down Irving...he put up 41 in the first meeting and with his rest against the Clippers the other night he should be ready to go for this one.
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CMJohnson1
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#3
Posted: 3/4/2013 11:35:08 AM
Leaning on the Bucks to get the job done at home.  Jazz won the meeting last month in Utah with the Bucks missing their defensive stopper Larry Sanders.  Jazz should be getting Jefferson and Millsap back tonight after a few games off...and I would expect some rust from those two.

First meeting the Bucks were only able to shoot 35%...you would expect that number to increase with their home cooking.  Sanders is back, the trade for Redick has seemingly worked out well as he is good for 13-17 points a night off the bench and some good rest for Jennings/Ellis. 
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CMJohnson1
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#4
Posted: 3/4/2013 11:37:20 AM
No real feelings in the Magic/Hornets game right now...UNDER might be intriguing, but it's too difficult to predict with these two.  There might be defense, there might be horrible shooting, there might be anything in between...just two teams that are notoriously inconsistent.
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CMJohnson1
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#5
Posted: 3/4/2013 11:41:35 AM
Heat/Wolves game is another tough one for me.  As soon as Pekovic went out against the Lakers...I knew that would be beyond difficult for them to overcome.  You contend with the Heat by being able to pound the ball down low, and have some bigs down low to help slow down the drives to the hoop.  Wolves just don't have that right now.

Devil's advocate view is that this would be a big time letdown game for the Heat after a big game against the Knicks yesterday.  Impressive winning streak, but they have shown some struggles at times covering against weaker teams.
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CMJohnson1
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#6
Posted: 3/4/2013 11:47:13 AM
Would also lean towards the OVER for the Nuggets as well, possibly just a TT OVER play.  Hawks are at the end of their long road trip.  Started off on a hot streak but the past couple games may have sucked the life out of them...especially the heart breaking loss last night against the Lakers.  Nuggets at home are damn near impossible to beat...and averaging 109 points in the Pepsi Center is crazy.  I don't see the Hawks being able to slow them down.
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CMJohnson1
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#7
Posted: 3/4/2013 11:57:07 AM
Will the Bobcats finally be able to stay within 10 points in a game?  Who the hell knows...let's just move this pathetic excuse of a franchise to Seattle, get rid of Jordan as the GM and start over.  Pretend that it never happened. 

Bobcats ATS are by far the worst team in the league as well...so not only are they losing games by a record margin, they aren't even coming close to covering spreads.

36, 30, 22, 24, 11, 27

Those are the margins of defeat in their last 6 road losses.  I don't see any way in hell they will win tonight, and based on their history, it should be a double digit loss as well.  Only thing holding me back is the fact that the Blazers have a road trip with games against the Grizzlies and Spurs in the upcoming week...and might look past this game and just do enough to win.
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#8
Posted: 3/4/2013 12:04:34 PM
B careful Homer...Mj will dress for the game 2night he has seen enough....Doltttttttttttttttt....
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CMJohnson1
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#9
Posted: 3/4/2013 12:06:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by shrimp1958:

B careful Homer...Mj will dress for the game 2night he has seen enough....Doltttttttttttttttt....


That might help them only lose by 10...which would be a cover!!


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CMJohnson1
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#10
Posted: 3/4/2013 12:07:32 PM
OVERALL RECORD:  176-171 (+305$)

Record vs. Spread/ML:  87-90 (-355$)
Record vs. O/U:  88-79  (+850$)
Record vs. Parlay:  1-2  (-190$)


Just realized that my record math was a little bit off...all better now
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#11
Posted: 3/4/2013 12:08:32 PM
Like the Bucks and Nuggets like you.  Expect Heat to win but not sure on the 10 cover.  GL
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CMJohnson1
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#12
Posted: 3/4/2013 2:45:13 PM
Knicks vs. Cavs UNDER 51.5 1st Quarter  (1.1 to win 1)

Starting off the night with a small play on this one.  Looking at the past couple of weeks worth of games for the Cavaliers one thing is fairly consistent...a slow start.  Knicks played yesterday against the Heat, and had a tough loss, I can't imagine that they are going to come out with guns blazing tonight. 

Prediction:  Cavs 23  Knicks 22

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#13
Posted: 3/4/2013 3:21:38 PM
bobcats ML
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CMJohnson1
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#14
Posted: 3/4/2013 3:38:42 PM
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#15
Posted: 3/4/2013 3:39:29 PM
I will never be a believer in the Bobcats covering (or winning) on the road against anything but an equally tragic team.  I don't think Portland will be looking ahead so far as to not wrap this one up.  Its the Bobcats, it won't require too much effort to trounce them.  I think they can cover tonight.



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#16
Posted: 3/4/2013 3:48:01 PM
The biggest reason to take Portland tonight.

Charlotte's playing their fourth game in five days.
Charlotte's on the second night of back-to-back road games.
Portland is playing their second game in five days.

Charlotte has lost nearly every game on this road trip by roughly 30.
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#17
Posted: 3/4/2013 4:52:49 PM
10 consecutive SU losses in Cleveland .  I think the Knicks will get it done tonight.  -2.5 Knicks....
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#18
Posted: 3/4/2013 5:16:04 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

Will the Bobcats finally be able to stay within 10 points in a game?  Who the hell knows...let's just move this pathetic excuse of a franchise to Seattle, get rid of Jordan as the GM and start over.  Pretend that it never happened. 

Bobcats ATS are by far the worst team in the league as well...so not only are they losing games by a record margin, they aren't even coming close to covering spreads.

36, 30, 22, 24, 11, 27

Those are the margins of defeat in their last 6 road losses.  I don't see any way in hell they will win tonight, and based on their history, it should be a double digit loss as well.  Only thing holding me back is the fact that the Blazers have a road trip with games against the Grizzlies and Spurs in the upcoming week...and might look past this game and just do enough to win.
  M.J has been terrible, and looking back into history, regardless of the sport, a majority of halloffamers struggle in coaching/gm's. Role players during their career's seem to have a better feel. They jus understand people more.
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#19
Posted: 3/4/2013 5:32:12 PM
Best of Luck   
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#20
Posted: 3/4/2013 5:37:59 PM
Great write ups homer
Posted using a mobile device.
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CMJohnson1
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#21
Posted: 3/4/2013 5:54:05 PM
Charlotte Bobcats TT UNDER 93  (1.1 to win 1)

They haven't hit the 90 point mark yet on this road trip, and I don't see it happening tonight either.  Out of everything in this game, I believe this would be the best option.

Prediction:  Blazers 99  Bobcats 86

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#22
Posted: 3/4/2013 6:00:03 PM
Good Luck
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#23
Posted: 3/4/2013 7:26:33 PM
1q under isnt lookin too hot
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#24
Posted: 3/4/2013 7:31:08 PM
Speight 6/6 fg...bullshit
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#25
Posted: 3/4/2013 7:33:15 PM
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