Thanks for all your work man, really enjoy your threads!
No problem. Just hoping people get a lil benefit coming by here.
My main objective is to show people that avoiding PLAY OF THE DAYS, PLAY OF THE MONTHS, ECT can be very beneficial. You can ride out the downswings, and make consistent profit in the long run
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Quote Originally Posted by hoont83:
Thanks for all your work man, really enjoy your threads!
No problem. Just hoping people get a lil benefit coming by here.
My main objective is to show people that avoiding PLAY OF THE DAYS, PLAY OF THE MONTHS, ECT can be very beneficial. You can ride out the downswings, and make consistent profit in the long run
Got me worried that Bator isn't liking this play....like I said, I read Bator's and Vanzack's posts religiously
The Thunder are certainly capable of anything, but this just isn't a good spot for them. A team needs to be at least somewhat enthused in order to cover a double-digit line, and Thunder backers might not get that enthusiasm out of the team tonight. The Thunder recently completed a 6-game road trip through the West, and then returned to Oklahoma City to play a single home game. Three more home games will follow after tonight, but stuck like a thorn in between Thursday night's romp over the Grizzlies and upcoming home games against the Mavericks, Warriors, and Suns is this unwanted trip to freakin' Cleveland to play the lowly Cavaliers. Not only is traveling out of conference in the middle of a homestand a nuisance, but the opponent isn't even interesting for them. The opponent has almost the opposite record that they do, and the opponent already visited them in Oklahoma City back in November and provided no challenge for them that night (the Thunder beat them 106-91). Finally, this is the only Eastern conference team the Thunder are facing in an 18-game stretch. Do you remember what happened the last time the Thunder played an Eastern conference team? They were double-digit favorites on the road and LOST. They took the Wizards lightly back on January 7th and simply let the then 4-28 Wiz have the game. It was disgraceful, and if it happened there, it can happen here.
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Quote Originally Posted by Shabazlyq:
Got me worried that Bator isn't liking this play....like I said, I read Bator's and Vanzack's posts religiously
The Thunder are certainly capable of anything, but this just isn't a good spot for them. A team needs to be at least somewhat enthused in order to cover a double-digit line, and Thunder backers might not get that enthusiasm out of the team tonight. The Thunder recently completed a 6-game road trip through the West, and then returned to Oklahoma City to play a single home game. Three more home games will follow after tonight, but stuck like a thorn in between Thursday night's romp over the Grizzlies and upcoming home games against the Mavericks, Warriors, and Suns is this unwanted trip to freakin' Cleveland to play the lowly Cavaliers. Not only is traveling out of conference in the middle of a homestand a nuisance, but the opponent isn't even interesting for them. The opponent has almost the opposite record that they do, and the opponent already visited them in Oklahoma City back in November and provided no challenge for them that night (the Thunder beat them 106-91). Finally, this is the only Eastern conference team the Thunder are facing in an 18-game stretch. Do you remember what happened the last time the Thunder played an Eastern conference team? They were double-digit favorites on the road and LOST. They took the Wizards lightly back on January 7th and simply let the then 4-28 Wiz have the game. It was disgraceful, and if it happened there, it can happen here.
The Thunder are certainly capable of anything, but this just isn't a good spot for them. A team needs to be at least somewhat enthused in order to cover a double-digit line, and Thunder backers might not get that enthusiasm out of the team tonight. The Thunder recently completed a 6-game road trip through the West, and then returned to Oklahoma City to play a single home game. Three more home games will follow after tonight, but stuck like a thorn in between Thursday night's romp over the Grizzlies and upcoming home games against the Mavericks, Warriors, and Suns is this unwanted trip to freakin' Cleveland to play the lowly Cavaliers. Not only is traveling out of conference in the middle of a homestand a nuisance, but the opponent isn't even interesting for them. The opponent has almost the opposite record that they do, and the opponent already visited them in Oklahoma City back in November and provided no challenge for them that night (the Thunder beat them 106-91). Finally, this is the only Eastern conference team the Thunder are facing in an 18-game stretch. Do you remember what happened the last time the Thunder played an Eastern conference team? They were double-digit favorites on the road and LOST. They took the Wizards lightly back on January 7th and simply let the then 4-28 Wiz have the game. It was disgraceful, and if it happened there, it can happen here.
Yeah, like I mentioned in my very first thread, the flaw (AND IT'S A LARGE ONE) with this spreadsheet I've created, is that it doesn't take into account situational plays.
That's why I always follow your posts, and I mean every. single. post. to see what may prove or disprove an opportunity.
So as of now, I'll keep riding these percentages, but I hope to get some help from the Covers community to see what scheduling spots may be accounting for more losses than others
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Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:
The Thunder are certainly capable of anything, but this just isn't a good spot for them. A team needs to be at least somewhat enthused in order to cover a double-digit line, and Thunder backers might not get that enthusiasm out of the team tonight. The Thunder recently completed a 6-game road trip through the West, and then returned to Oklahoma City to play a single home game. Three more home games will follow after tonight, but stuck like a thorn in between Thursday night's romp over the Grizzlies and upcoming home games against the Mavericks, Warriors, and Suns is this unwanted trip to freakin' Cleveland to play the lowly Cavaliers. Not only is traveling out of conference in the middle of a homestand a nuisance, but the opponent isn't even interesting for them. The opponent has almost the opposite record that they do, and the opponent already visited them in Oklahoma City back in November and provided no challenge for them that night (the Thunder beat them 106-91). Finally, this is the only Eastern conference team the Thunder are facing in an 18-game stretch. Do you remember what happened the last time the Thunder played an Eastern conference team? They were double-digit favorites on the road and LOST. They took the Wizards lightly back on January 7th and simply let the then 4-28 Wiz have the game. It was disgraceful, and if it happened there, it can happen here.
Yeah, like I mentioned in my very first thread, the flaw (AND IT'S A LARGE ONE) with this spreadsheet I've created, is that it doesn't take into account situational plays.
That's why I always follow your posts, and I mean every. single. post. to see what may prove or disprove an opportunity.
So as of now, I'll keep riding these percentages, but I hope to get some help from the Covers community to see what scheduling spots may be accounting for more losses than others
It really doesn't feel like a good spot at all, but hey, it fits in with all the other plays last 2 years that have hit about 60%. I know every game is different, but for some reason, the fact that a home team is getting an extra 3+ points (when compared with my calculated numbers), shows that I guess Vegas has confidence in the larger spread for OkC
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Quote Originally Posted by zamqi27:
sorry but bye bye moneys.
It really doesn't feel like a good spot at all, but hey, it fits in with all the other plays last 2 years that have hit about 60%. I know every game is different, but for some reason, the fact that a home team is getting an extra 3+ points (when compared with my calculated numbers), shows that I guess Vegas has confidence in the larger spread for OkC
The Thunder are certainly capable of anything, but this just isn't a good spot for them. A team needs to be at least somewhat enthused in order to cover a double-digit line, and Thunder backers might not get that enthusiasm out of the team tonight. The Thunder recently completed a 6-game road trip through the West, and then returned to Oklahoma City to play a single home game. Three more home games will follow after tonight, but stuck like a thorn in between Thursday night's romp over the Grizzlies and upcoming home games against the Mavericks, Warriors, and Suns is this unwanted trip to freakin' Cleveland to play the lowly Cavaliers. Not only is traveling out of conference in the middle of a homestand a nuisance, but the opponent isn't even interesting for them. The opponent has almost the opposite record that they do, and the opponent already visited them in Oklahoma City back in November and provided no challenge for them that night (the Thunder beat them 106-91). Finally, this is the only Eastern conference team the Thunder are facing in an 18-game stretch. Do you remember what happened the last time the Thunder played an Eastern conference team? They were double-digit favorites on the road and LOST. They took the Wizards lightly back on January 7th and simply let the then 4-28 Wiz have the game. It was disgraceful, and if it happened there, it can happen here.
0
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:
The Thunder are certainly capable of anything, but this just isn't a good spot for them. A team needs to be at least somewhat enthused in order to cover a double-digit line, and Thunder backers might not get that enthusiasm out of the team tonight. The Thunder recently completed a 6-game road trip through the West, and then returned to Oklahoma City to play a single home game. Three more home games will follow after tonight, but stuck like a thorn in between Thursday night's romp over the Grizzlies and upcoming home games against the Mavericks, Warriors, and Suns is this unwanted trip to freakin' Cleveland to play the lowly Cavaliers. Not only is traveling out of conference in the middle of a homestand a nuisance, but the opponent isn't even interesting for them. The opponent has almost the opposite record that they do, and the opponent already visited them in Oklahoma City back in November and provided no challenge for them that night (the Thunder beat them 106-91). Finally, this is the only Eastern conference team the Thunder are facing in an 18-game stretch. Do you remember what happened the last time the Thunder played an Eastern conference team? They were double-digit favorites on the road and LOST. They took the Wizards lightly back on January 7th and simply let the then 4-28 Wiz have the game. It was disgraceful, and if it happened there, it can happen here.
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