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[NBA Betting] Topic: couple plays in cbb, nba & nhl

Pendo

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Posted: 1/27/2013 6:25:18 PM

little thread to take two from cbb, nba & nhl - and try to be 100% lossless

Stanford su

SIU + 10

Dal su

Dal under

Sharks

Hawks

quote

Pendo

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Posted: 1/27/2013 6:56:37 PM

Documenting some system plays,

based on what I've derived from posts & answers from the likes of:

TriniMike, RichieRich97, bet2win, Burly, Herbshack, Ramathorn02, Lippsman mainly...

Any theory that consistently wins is Welcome!

quote

RichieRich97

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Posted: 1/27/2013 7:34:35 PM

Congrats Pendo on your first thread! Like most of the plays. Have not looked at the sharks yet.

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Pendo

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Posted: 1/27/2013 7:42:07 PM

TNX RR !!

Like the Hawks, Sharks are lossless 4-0 going into tonight.

There aren't many teams that can consistently beat the Russians.

Finland is one such power squad.

Lifetimer-Shark Mr. Patrick Denis Marleau ripped away Gold Medals from the Fins 3 times !!

On a similar note of 3 times, Marleau is 0-for-4 already in getting a hat trick. Today's about time - he's due.

He did join Mr. Cy Denneny of the 1917-18 Ottawa Senators as the only players in NHL history with four multi-goal games to open a season.

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RichieRich97

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Posted: 1/27/2013 7:43:48 PM

Hey Pendo be careful of the sharks. I'm going to fade them but that's just my 2 cents. Bol

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RichieRich97

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Posted: 1/27/2013 8:01:32 PM

Sorry Pendo I must of posted at the same time you did so are you betting the sharks for sure?

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TriniMike

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Posted: 1/27/2013 8:13:38 PM

Good Luck Pendo! Kill them books playa!

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Pendo

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Posted: 1/27/2013 8:17:33 PM

Yes, and a small side bet on the over.

I'm looking for a couple goals from Can, and a couple from the Sharks,

and I think that Marleau gets a hat trick. He's that talented.

And his attitude on & off the ice makes the average hockey player / fan

pull for him, if not also for the Sharks.

quote

RichieRich97

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Posted: 1/27/2013 8:24:35 PM

Look at you Pendo. Sharks are already up 2-0. Good for your bet and the over. I'll be checking with you before I make hockey picks

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Pendo

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#10

Posted: 1/27/2013 8:25:24 PM

MIKE-KEY,

Why thank you from the bottom of my deep-shrunken pockets

for taking a peek & poke of your 2 ¢.

Murders Row Trey Burke killed a lot of sharp $$ on Illinois.

Look for Burke to take Mich deep deep in the NCAA Tourney;

as point guards who are sensible while commanding an high %age

shooting arsenal (a la Kyrie I.) are winners in do-or-die one-offs, which is what March Madness is.

But first we must return to January...

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Pendo

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#11

Posted: 1/27/2013 8:32:02 PM

Ooops! Need to NOT get misunderstood here

I meant Murderers' Row Burke....think there's Kemba, and Kyrie, and Trey !!!

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Pendo

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#12

Posted: 1/27/2013 8:56:53 PM

These guys whose posts are seen above carry two copies of the

"lucky insight" version of the HMGA2 gene so are up to three and a

half times higher in winning percentage than those who carry two

copies of the "drunk punter" version. Around 25% of white Europeans

carry two copies of the "l.i." version of the gene, while another 25% have two copies of the "d.p." version. The function of the protein is to upregulate other genes that combine to increase winnings.

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Mimi_Baby

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#13

Posted: 1/27/2013 9:12:58 PM

Hi ya Pendo wow this is so cool... great picks...i'm on SIU and i'm not giving up rootin for them either....

all the best friend... BOL

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Pendo

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#14

Posted: 1/27/2013 9:39:20 PM

All bets are off

when the odds to one multiplied by the co-log of the hyperbolic of 2

is less than the number of events offered in the alleged even-up proposition.

For example, the probability of chucking box cars (which can be thought of as a multiple event of a die toss twice) is 1/6 * 1/6

so we get the odds to one, i.e., the reciprocal of the number of favorable chances divided by the number of unfavorable chances for the desired outcome multiplied by 0.6937 its co-log of the hyperbolic log of 2 (as 1 or 0 - Hi or Lo - True / False - Win / Lose)

For a compound (or "double") event, such as werping box cars two times in a row, by the same reciprocal logic, multiplicand is 0.693.

So 35 (to one) times .697 yields 24.395

Thus if you've proffered me to throw box cars (or snake eyes if you'd prefer) at least one time within 35 tosses of a pair of two fair & square die, I'd have to take you up on your proposition inasmuch as it's way better for me than any even-up 50-50 prop.

What I'm trying to do here is to git ya 2 spring for another round...

Kinda monolithic, yeah I feel it... but you have to realize that it feels ridiculous to contemplate Superbowl Prop bets without going somewhere with how these things' elements work when stripped down to the bare minimum...

Feel like Pirsig again writing this down, to catch up with what I've forgotten to re-instill in my deeper consciousness of radical thinkers.

Win & the art of gamblingcycles' maintenance

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Pendo

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#15

Posted: 1/27/2013 9:51:29 PM

y hello in here Mimi Baby

If your tailing TrinidadMike or RailroaderRichie, and well you ought,

...well...

I'm gonna have to disappoint you until I celebrate winning ways

Let's wait and see...

(I can't wait to see if I can send chills up my spine this "Right of Spring" when I hit the most humongous parlays

parlays WITH a Morehead State, a VCU, etc

something to knock your socks off

jumping right out of your shoes for Delight.

jeez... I'm really fully addicted to the bleeding feeling I get from winning (but I've generated here w/ this here elegant thread of my own, and hereby can totally, once and for all dismiss thoughts of my being a degenerate....right?

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Pendo

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#16

Posted: 1/27/2013 10:19:26 PM

but then a half hour after the self-studies began

suddenly i ask myself how i can ever confirm my aforesaid hypothesis if i'm scribbling out these walking-stick characters in, of all places, Covers

I cannot resist the hard-wired pull of 'that Feel' when winning

...i'm screwed by my love of Game Theory & linear algebra, by Combinatorics & discrete mathematics

shoulda kept it theoretical and never put it into practice

(i wouldn't have to be here now)

smell y'all later

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RichieRich97

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#17

Posted: 1/27/2013 10:59:36 PM

Pendo congrats

looks like you had a good night no?

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Burly

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#18

Posted: 1/28/2013 12:44:14 AM

congrats on your wins!

quote

Pendo

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#19

Posted: 1/28/2013 9:16:32 AM

@RR - Thanks.

@Burls - Thanks. Big IF I get hot you may see some destructive haters popping into your threads since I did indicate your systematic plays are very high %age winners.

Hope your new avatar is merely in keeping with the times b/c I really liked your crazy group picture a lot. Did you see canadian coach is Chgo's "dah Bears" new head dude? Now no excuses left for Cutlery next season, coupled w/ his contract renewal coming up... early leans for him to cover on all games against the annually weaker clubs, and well over posted totals in games vs. weak D's.

quote

Pendo

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#20

Posted: 1/28/2013 9:45:27 AM

And speaking of NFL...

Pro Bowl is so weak a piece of money-making marketing

that there were 25 guys there who were NOT even voted in who had to be there so they could "play"!

If the Commissioner & Owners would rarify their product to new heights, part of the new & improved Marketing Mix would have to include

eliminating, just flat out dropping the Pro Bowl.

Guys were jogging around playing touch-football or was it flag-football so as to not get hurt in order to hold up for the long term.

In Boubonnais I've seen better scrimages, in the pre-season period even. Lousy.

Must note that Georgians, Atlantians in especial, were sparred by ATL losing to the 9ers. Fun to have +cash flow riding the hot hand of Atl due to Home Depot Pres having his 20 yr old stadium's bonds coming due...heehee

But in bigger picture perspectives, glad to see Kaepernick geterdun

(Polish Family name is correctly pronounced like the great Copernicus = Mikolai Kopenick => thus, pron. "ka-PEAR-neek")

What Colin did was help to spare Georgians & in especial Atlantians a brand new stadium for the Falcons (Home Depot remodeling be damned, build it new to spread out the payable bonds coming due) a hideous fate like that dumped on tax-payers for the Marlins' new house where tax-paying residents must fork over $13 for every single dollar on it's bonds lent. Raw deal for the commoner.

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Pendo

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