|All bets are off
Posted: 1/27/2013 9:39:20 PM
when the odds to one multiplied by the co-log of the hyperbolic of 2
is less than the number of events offered in the alleged even-up proposition.
For example, the probability of chucking box cars (which can be thought of as a multiple event of a die toss twice) is 1/6 * 1/6
so we get the odds to one, i.e., the reciprocal of the number of favorable chances divided by the number of unfavorable chances for the desired outcome multiplied by 0.6937 its co-log of the hyperbolic log of 2 (as 1 or 0 - Hi or Lo - True / False - Win / Lose)
For a compound (or "double") event, such as werping box cars two times in a row, by the same reciprocal logic, multiplicand is 0.693.
So 35 (to one) times .697 yields 24.395
Thus if you've proffered me to throw box cars (or snake eyes if you'd prefer) at least one time within 35 tosses of a pair of two fair & square die, I'd have to take you up on your proposition inasmuch as it's way better for me than any even-up 50-50 prop.
What I'm trying to do here is to git ya 2 spring for another round...
Kinda monolithic, yeah I feel it... but you have to realize that it feels ridiculous to contemplate Superbowl Prop bets without going somewhere with how these things' elements work when stripped down to the bare minimum...
Feel like Pirsig again writing this down, to catch up with what I've forgotten to re-instill in my deeper consciousness of radical thinkers.
Win & the art of gamblingcycles' maintenance