| Author: |
[NBA Betting] Topic: NorthernCapper's Saturday |
|
NorthernCapper |
 View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 727
Location: Canada |
#1 Posted: 1/19/2013 1:22:25 AM 143-95-6 (60%) (+156.9 Units) 1 unit: 0-0 2 unit: 2-3 3 unit: 39-23-1 4 unit: 55-34-3 5 unit: 46-31-2 >5 units: 1-1
Yesterday: 7-4 (+14.6 units)
Saturday Plays;
5 units: 1st Half Golden State @ New Orleans -2
3 units: Golden State @ New Orleans -4 This is a risky game to lock in so early with the potential status of Lee and Curry potentially up in the air. Lee i'm pretty sure will play against NO, he returned after rolling his ankle and seemed fine, but with flying you never know, sometimes injuries swell up and GS may play it safe. Curry Could also return, but I'm somewhat doubtful. Curry has shown this ankle injury of his is becoming more of a chronic issue.
Lee and Curry have been the two best players for GS so far this year. If neither of them can go that's really going to hurt them against a truly surging New Orleans team. Eric Gordon returning finally gives NO someone who can score the basketball, and they've turned that into success, winning 6 of their last 7 games, with quality wins over Bos, Hou, SA, and Dal included in that stretch of games.
I like them to get off to a great start early in this one and continue that momentum into another win. I feel odd laying points with a fairly unproven team vs a real scrappy warriors squad, but this is the 3rd game in 4 days for GS. You have to imagine playing Mia and SA will tax a team. Hornets is the play for me.
4 units: Sacramento @ Charlotte over 204.5 Two teams that really push the tempo and have zero concept of what to do on the defensive end of the floor. Last 5 games SAC is giving up an incredible 114ppg. Both teams give up over 103ppg on the season. I see both teams wanting to come out with a good performance in this one. Both teams are playing the 2nd night of a B2B which I believe hurts defence not scoring. Over is the play for me.
Leans: SAC -1 POR -4
BOL everyone!
|
|
quote |
|
Unstoppable Force |
RSI  |
Veteran
Joined: Mar 2005
Posts: 4737
Location: New York |
#2 Posted: 1/19/2013 1:28:38 AM |
|
quote |
|
NorthernCapper |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 727
Location: Canada |
#3 Posted: 1/19/2013 1:30:17 AM
Predictions:
Mem @ Chi -1.5 o/u 179.5
Hou -2 @ Min o/u 204.5
Wash @ LAC -15 o/u 201.5 |
|
quote |
|
NorthernCapper |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 727
Location: Canada |
#4 Posted: 1/19/2013 1:35:42 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Unstoppable Force:
Good luck NC. What do you think about Under 199.5 in SA/Portland? Might make a bigger than normal play on that one
I'm assuming you mean SA/ATL. I don't really have any lean on that one. If i was making a play I'd take the under. ATL averages 100.1 ppg at home while SA gives up 100.1ppg on the road. Off a B2B i can see SA giving up 100 to ATL, and we all know SA can score. What I would say is that if SA wins the game it's most likely going over. The only way I see the game going under is if SA comes out a bit flat and ATL wins in a 96 - 90 type game which would be very possible. My recommendation would be if you like the under to lean towards ATL plus the points instead.
|
|
quote |
|
TheDragon69 |
RSI  |
Prospect
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 232
Location: |
#5 Posted: 1/19/2013 1:54:32 AM 
|
|
quote |
|
|
|
lewsparks1977 |
RSI  |
Banned
Joined: Dec 2012
Posts: 815
Location: |
#6 Posted: 1/19/2013 3:20:30 AM
Are you staying away from the Spurs hawks game?
|
|
quote |
|
Slim-Daddy |
RSI |
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 785
Location: Pennsylvania |
#7 Posted: 1/19/2013 4:09:42 AM |
|
Posted using a mobile device.quote |
|
stocktrader240 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2012
Posts: 190
Location: |
#8 Posted: 1/19/2013 4:49:28 AM |
|
quote |
|
BatBatman |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2012
Posts: 65
Location: |
#9 Posted: 1/19/2013 6:19:10 AM |
|
quote |
|
ERBATIZ |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: May 2008
Posts: 1990
Location: Texas |
#10 Posted: 1/19/2013 10:54:01 AM  |
|
quote |
|
DAVIDN |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetLegends.eu | |
Veteran
Joined: May 2008
Posts: 3804
Location: Indiana |
#11 Posted: 1/19/2013 11:00:15 AM |
|
quote |
|
NorthernCapper |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 727
Location: Canada |
#12 Posted: 1/19/2013 11:03:58 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by BatBatman:
hey capper, jw..wuts your initial bankroll? and how much is one unit? thanks. and keep up the good work. Always refreshing to see your leans/plays and writeups!
My initial Bankroll was 10k. 1 unit for me personally is $200 but I use the unit scale instead so ppl can use it as a base to apply whatever $ amount to it they want.
Personally with these unit plays i've grown my bankroll from $10,000 to $31,380 since beginning of December when I started posted. Profit of $21,380. |
|
quote |
|
NorthernCapper |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 727
Location: Canada |
#13 Posted: 1/19/2013 11:07:21 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by lewsparks1977:
g.l. nice night last night.
Are you staying away from the Spurs hawks game?
I am ya. Tough game IMO. Hawks are good at home, spurs on a B2B. My leans would be towards Atlanta or the under.
SA is 2-7 ATS last 9 road games Under is 7-1 last 8 SA games overall Under is 7-3 last 10 ATL home games
|
|
quote |
|
NorthernCapper |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 727
Location: Canada |
#14 Posted: 1/19/2013 11:23:00 AM
5 units: Houston -3 @ Minnesota
4 units: 1st Half Houston -2 @ Minnesota
Minnesota recently is excelling in only one category, injuries. Kevin Love is already out for an extended period of time, now Pekovic, their only solid starter goes down is listed as out indefinitely, and Alexey Shved looks like he'll miss tonights game with an ankle injury.
The injuries have just gotten past the point of fighting through them for Minnesota. Their D has been the biggest casualty of that, dropping from 5th in defensive efficiency in mid December, to 28th in January. Pekovic being out means they lose their best post defender and rebounder meaning the defensive side of things can only get worse.
With Pekovic out Minnesota is going to rely on a frontcourt of Dante Cunningham, Derrick Williams, Lou Amundson, and Greg Stiemsa. That's just not going to win you many games in the NBA as 3 of those 4 guys wouldn't make roster on a number of NBA teams.
With Ahved out, Minnesota is stuck rostering only Andrei Kirilenko and Malcolm Lee at SF and SG, no backups, meaning the PG trio of Ridnour, Rubio, and Barea, all undersized pgs at best will have to take some time at SG.
Not a good sign with a high scoring Houston team coming to down. Houston has dropped 6 straight as they've played 5 of their last 6 games on the road, with their only home game coming in a tough spot on the front night of a B2B vs the LAC. 6 straight losses is tough but all losses came against solid teams. @IND, @DAL, @PHI, @BOS, @NO and the previously mentioned home game to the Clippers. Houston is going to be hungry to finally get back in the win column.
Houston's MO has been fairly consistent this year, push the tempo, score the ball, but really don't pay much attention to the defensive end. This has hurt them against teams that either a) defend well (IND, BOS, NO) b) score well and play some semblance of defence. (LAC) Minnesota is neither of these teams. They're a team right now that can't defend and can't score. I don't see how they matchup with the depth or talent of Houston, and don't see how they score anywhere near 100 points to keep pace.
|
|
quote |
|
SuperSlapem |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 2751
Location: |
#15 Posted: 1/19/2013 11:24:58 AM |
|
Posted using a mobile device.quote |
|
TheForbes777 |
RSI  |
Rookie
Joined: Dec 2012
Posts: 995
Location: Missouri |
#16 Posted: 1/19/2013 11:40:56 AM
|
|
quote |
|
runstopper52 |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Feb 2010
Posts: 182
Location: New York |
#17 Posted: 1/19/2013 11:54:49 AM
12-6 on the Streak Monthly Board Play of the Day: HOU -4 to get to 13-6 4 back of the leader but hoping I can string together 7 or so wins in a row.
Tough result with OKC -4, they couldn't close the door up 14 late third, 89-81 in the fourth tbey dried up at a bad time.
Roll Tide BOL |
|
quote |
|
NorthernCapper |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 727
Location: Canada |
#18 Posted: 1/19/2013 12:04:33 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by SuperSlapem:
Horford may be out. Should I be concerned of a small Atlanta lineup trying to push the pace against SA especially since they're traveling from the West. Spurs have also beaten this team Shorthanded in the past.
That would be my concern about the pushing the pace. Why i'm staying away. Not unrealistic for ATL to score 100 vs SA. Horford is listed as probably from what i've seen though. My guess is he plays. |
|
quote |
|
NorthernCapper |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 727
Location: Canada |
#19 Posted: 1/19/2013 12:05:14 PM  BOL tonight guys. Hope Hou comes through |
|
quote |
|
ManassaMauler |
RSI  |
Legend
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 56972
Location: New York |
#20 Posted: 1/19/2013 12:07:26 PM |
|
quote |
|
Risktaker22 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 536
Location: |
#21 Posted: 1/19/2013 12:10:31 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by NorthernCapper:
My initial Bankroll was 10k. 1 unit for me personally is $200 but I use the unit scale instead so ppl can use it as a base to apply whatever $ amount to it they want.
Personally with these unit plays i've grown my bankroll from $10,000 to $31,380 since beginning of December when I started posted. Profit of $21,380.
WOW!
That's awesome Cap! |
|
quote |
|
brandvann |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Mar 2006
Posts: 560
Location: |
#22 Posted: 1/19/2013 12:19:56 PM |
|
Posted using a mobile device.quote |
|
telemaco22 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 802
Location: |
#23 Posted: 1/19/2013 12:23:32 PM like your style NorthernCapper thank for posting. do you play NHL also?
|
|
quote |
|
NorthernCapper |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 727
Location: Canada |
#24 Posted: 1/19/2013 1:29:38 PM |
|
quote |
|
x3shift |
RSI  |
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2012
Posts: 474
Location: California |
#25 Posted: 1/19/2013 1:42:42 PM
|
|
quote |