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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Build your bankroll with me. Real Deal
OptionsJunky send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#51
Posted: 1/16/2013 5:41:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by yeahman:

Good Luck Sir

Thanks you Sir and good luck to you too
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#52
Posted: 1/16/2013 5:58:03 PM
BOL!
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#53
Posted: 1/16/2013 8:23:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by OptionsJunky:

Non should be gambling. Otherwise everything in life is a gambling. Even when you order a pizza. Only, the risk factors - or a margin between what you expect to get and what you actually get is - is smaller. That applies to any field and especially to options. If you know what you're doing - the surprise factor (let's say - Charlotte beating Miami in Miami) is almost non existent if you made your homework or got an advise from someone who does that for you. So, generally, I'd say that yes - the risk factor is definitely smaller is Options than is sports. Without a doubt. 
Well said
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#54
Posted: 1/16/2013 8:31:11 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by theanswer3:

BOL!
Grazie e buona fortuna anche a te!
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#55
Posted: 1/16/2013 8:34:27 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SportsMavin:

Well said
Thank you Sir. That coming from you means a world to me!
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#56
Posted: 1/16/2013 8:40:26 PM
It's best not to say "buona fortuna" but rather "in boca al lupo" in Italian (although I don't even know if 'theanswer' speaks it).
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#57
Posted: 1/16/2013 8:42:11 PM
Very interesting phenomenon in a GS Miami game. From my years as a trader for the sports books - I remember well those situations as now. Curry is out (supposedly) and if there were any doubters in Miami winning and covering - they're almost all have been converted to believe strongly in Miami win and covering. If we analyse the situation - we have LBJ needing 18 points to get 20000 points and he will get them, and in addition what I see here as the last game of the day - the final score will middle the spread. Miami will win by 2 points (they wouldn't want to lose a season series, right) but won't cover (that would cause a minor balancing the bets problem for the books and we all will have to pay for that tomorrow). I can see that happening as it has happened many times before. The traders for the books are now trying to get as much money on Miami covering through raising the line "only" by a point.
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#58
Posted: 1/16/2013 8:44:59 PM
Good insight OptionsJunky.. good luck!
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OptionsJunky send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#59
Posted: 1/16/2013 8:47:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by speak2truth:

It's best not to say "buona fortuna" but rather "in boca al lupo" in Italian (although I don't even know if 'theanswer' speaks it).
If so Sir, we all should be saying "break your leg" instead of BOL and GL. Mouth of a wolf might scare some
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#60
Posted: 1/16/2013 8:53:02 PM
Today's picks:
702 Orlando Magic  +1.5                -110     220 USD
703 Chicago Bulls   -3.5                 -110     330 USD
705 Brooklyn Nets  +3                    -110     110 USD  
714 San Antonio Spurs  -5.5          -110      220 USD
Adding:
720 Golden State Warriors +4          -110      110USD
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Overlander
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#61
Posted: 1/16/2013 10:21:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by OptionsJunky:

Very interesting phenomenon in a GS Miami game. From my years as a trader for the sports books - I remember well those situations as now. Curry is out (supposedly) and if there were any doubters in Miami winning and covering - they're almost all have been converted to believe strongly in Miami win and covering. If we analyse the situation - we have LBJ needing 18 points to get 20000 points and he will get them, and in addition what I see here as the last game of the day - the final score will middle the spread. Miami will win by 2 points (they wouldn't want to lose a season series, right) but won't cover (that would cause a minor balancing the bets problem for the books and we all will have to pay for that tomorrow). I can see that happening as it has happened many times before. The traders for the books are now trying to get as much money on Miami covering through raising the line "only" by a point.
So this means, oddsmakers and teams still work together?
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angels1380 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#62
Posted: 1/16/2013 11:33:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sghf:

i mean whats the worst that can happen, this poster cocky, arrogant or not, posts his first days plays, and he or "they" pray their picks do well, 4-0, 3-1 or whatever if they don't they maybe try a second day with the same thread or let it die and create another user name and repeat untill that luckily little streak.. anyways just a heads up to fellow lurkers.. way too obvious for these "investor/ option" with guaranteed monthly profits to be popping up.... 

In five years i don't think i've seen 3 different threads with this theory, method.. but I've now seen 4 different FIRST time posters attempt this "I have the answer, system, guaranteed make money EVERY month no matter what because i'm a successful options trader... blah blah blah.. like seriously, step back, take a minute and ask yourselves, if this was true would he/they be wasting hours day after day on an anonymous gambling website talking about their 50$/ $100/ $200 wagers that are going to answer all of our prayers... like um really? give your head a shake people, don't bite, never blindly tail people THAT HAVE JUST JOINED, cause more than likely they are nothing more than a great salesperson trying to hook you!! 



On that premise sir why do any of us  even post on this site? 
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#63
Posted: 1/17/2013 12:59:51 AM
2-3 Junky, better luck tomorrow
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#64
Posted: 1/17/2013 2:01:46 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jambo12:

It's nothing against you Junky, there have just been a couple of muppets in the last few days touting 'systems' then hitting 30% and disappearing (ShogunJB and TheGameCPT for those playing at home).

But for each one of them there are decent pickers who keep an accurate YTD record and hit 60%+. Here's hoping you are one of them. BOL.

Jambo exactly!

That's the hope.  
Like you've said, tons of silly "muppets" with espoused systems, others proffering "Play Of The Year"... 
"Last Play Of My Life" most likely representing "double or nothing."
Tired of so much toil and trouble trying to WIN some Easy Money
for that Easy Living.

With an icon of solid gold, from no less than CH, this suggests a rat

 
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#65
Posted: 1/17/2013 2:29:47 AM
702 Orlando Magic  +1.5                -110     220 USD  
703 Chicago Bulls   -3.5                 -110     330 USD 
705 Brooklyn Nets  +3                    -110     110 USD 
714 San Antonio Spurs  -5.5          -110      220 USD
720 Golden State Warriors +4       -110      110USD 

Wednesday plays 2-3  -150USD
YTD  2-3   
1 unit plays 0-2
2 unit plays 2-0
3 unit plays 0-1
quote
BigUnit
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#66
Posted: 1/17/2013 9:21:42 AM
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#67
Posted: 1/17/2013 11:05:28 AM
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#68
Posted: 1/17/2013 4:27:05 PM
allne10  

Overlander  Do you and your boss, or you and your workers work together?

angels1380  

jambo12  I do hope so

Pendo  You don't like my symbol? What does yours mean Sir?

BigUnit 

buffalo11





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#69
Posted: 1/17/2013 4:32:34 PM
Welcome OptionsJunky lets see what you've got! Moving on your plays tonight. BOL
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#70
Posted: 1/17/2013 5:15:59 PM
Missed the first game of the evening - NBA PR in Europe and only now got home. Had a very busy day at the trading. Thursday usually are. So, I won't get you tired with my life story and will get to the picks.
On Thursdays. extra caution is needed approaching the games. Teams are looking ahead for a weekend and the results often are surprising. And if you get my drift - that means increased risk factor.
The game in LA is naturally the most interesting game tonight and being televised even here in Zurich. LeBron has celebrated last night the 20000th point and the team flew back to Miami to celebrate? The last season the teams have exchanged wins each in their home court and I don't see a reason why it won't happen again this season. But betting against the Heat is a very dangerous and risky business when it is a nationally televised game. But not tonight. The line reflects how the Lakers are dominating the teams from east winning 6 in a row against them. Gasol's expected return is something I can live with as long as he will be more aggressive than usually. But that will be hard to expect from the guy who returns from a concussion. Howard is the key player tonight. If he will be good - the Lakers will take the game and cover it. In his last two games since coming back from a disabled list he posted 22 and 31 points. Must be noted that the Lakers are 7-0 in the games when he scores at the very least 22 points. On the other hand, if Rio Chalmers scores 8 or more points - the Heat are 15-2 . The Heat who are 1-6 at the Lakers in last 7 (last win was 96-80 December 2010) will be playing second game of B2B in which they are 4-1 this season. Many numbers on both sides. Can't even say who takes the first half but will have a great bet on a double result (the first team wins the first half and the second team the game). I will take both possibilities.

Los Angeles Lakers - Miami Heat    +550   100USD
Miami Heat - Los Angeles Lakers    +450   100USD

I will also play the high risk game on the Lakers. Because it is Thursday and I'm going with an opposite side increasing the risk factor and hoping to use the inertion factor in my favor.

508 Los Angeles Lakers  -115   345USD


quote
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#71
Posted: 1/17/2013 5:18:06 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by illflipyaforeal:

Welcome OptionsJunky lets see what you've got! Moving on your plays tonight. BOL
Good luck Sir!
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#72
Posted: 1/17/2013 5:42:26 PM
503 Los Angeles Clippers -4.5  -115   345USD
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OptionsJunky send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#73
Posted: 1/17/2013 10:35:43 PM
503 Los Angeles Clippers -4.5  -115   345USD
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OptionsJunky send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#74
Posted: 1/17/2013 11:55:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by OptionsJunky:

Missed the first game of the evening - NBA PR in Europe and only now got home. Had a very busy day at the trading. Thursday usually are. So, I won't get you tired with my life story and will get to the picks.
On Thursdays. extra caution is needed approaching the games. Teams are looking ahead for a weekend and the results often are surprising. And if you get my drift - that means increased risk factor.
The game in LA is naturally the most interesting game tonight and being televised even here in Zurich. LeBron has celebrated last night the 20000th point and the team flew back to Miami to celebrate? The last season the teams have exchanged wins each in their home court and I don't see a reason why it won't happen again this season. But betting against the Heat is a very dangerous and risky business when it is a nationally televised game. But not tonight. The line reflects how the Lakers are dominating the teams from east winning 6 in a row against them. Gasol's expected return is something I can live with as long as he will be more aggressive than usually. But that will be hard to expect from the guy who returns from a concussion. Howard is the key player tonight. If he will be good - the Lakers will take the game and cover it. In his last two games since coming back from a disabled list he posted 22 and 31 points. Must be noted that the Lakers are 7-0 in the games when he scores at the very least 22 points. On the other hand, if Rio Chalmers scores 8 or more points - the Heat are 15-2 . The Heat who are 1-6 at the Lakers in last 7 (last win was 96-80 December 2010) will be playing second game of B2B in which they are 4-1 this season. Many numbers on both sides. Can't even say who takes the first half but will have a great bet on a double result (the first team wins the first half and the second team the game). I will take both possibilities.

Los Angeles Lakers - Miami Heat    +550   100USD
Miami Heat - Los Angeles Lakers    +450   100USD

I will also play the high risk game on the Lakers. Because it is Thursday and I'm going with an opposite side increasing the risk factor and hoping to use the inertion factor in my favor.

508 Los Angeles Lakers  -115   345USD


Yes. This was exactly where I was aiming at. As in options - same here - low or no risk at all. At the halftime the Lakers are leading. So if they win - and most probably cover - I have a bet on 3 units on that. And if not - my double result bet cashes 5.5 units.
I'm adding one more unit on the Lakers as I have a 90% probability wins on both sides.
Second Half Bet
508 Los Angeles Lakers -1.5  -110  110USD
quote
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#75
Posted: 1/18/2013 2:18:47 AM
Los Angeles Lakers - Miami Heat    +550   100USD   (+550USD)
Miami Heat - Los Angeles Lakers    +450   100USD   (-100USD)
508 Los Angeles Lakers                   -115   345USD   (-345USD)
503 Los Angeles Clippers -4.5          -115   345USD   (+300USD)
Second Half Bet
508 Los Angeles Lakers -1.5             -110  110USD     (-110USD)

Thursday plays: 2-3    +295USD
YTD  3-5   +145USD
1 unit plays 1-4
2 unit plays 2-0
3 unit plays 1-2

quote
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