6-0 posted plays... Reverse line moves

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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: 6-0 posted plays... Reverse line moves
Da_Shouta PM Da_Shouta
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quote#1026
Posted: 1/17/2013 3:28:51 AM

Orlando Magic +1.5 

Cleveland Cavs +7 

Heat/Warriors UNDER 201.5 

CBB Michigan St/ Penn St.. Over 125 

#niceworksir
composite PM composite
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quote#1027
Posted: 1/17/2013 3:39:06 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TriniMike:


True, Orlando might not be some most perception of an RLM play, myself included, I prefer to see a full point. but with 90% of tickets written being on Indy, I see that as 10% of the tickets moving the line a half point. that screams large $$, also, Pacers are the #1 bet team tonight...Heavy volume means it takes more $ to move the line....At least in my thought proccess.. so that's why I made an exception this time.

There are even some that see RLM in lines that don't move at all, but have a huge % in one teams favor...I've been keeping an eye on those types of games lately as well... Haven't pulled the rigger on any yet though.

 

Great call.  I lost on Indy but fortunately hit my other plays (love the Heat when motivated) and it turned into a winning day for me. 

So, your definition of "RLM" can be slow or no line movement despite one-sided betting?  The line moved toward Indy - which makes sense since more $$$ was laid on Indy.  RLM I always thought, is when the line moves towrad ORL even though most $$ is on Indy.

tt808 PM tt808
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quote#1028
Posted: 1/17/2013 4:20:34 AM

Looking at some early rlm.                                          

Troy-----100% bets on Flatln line move +8.5 to 8

S Fla----91% on Rutgers line move +6 to 5.5

GT------87% on Duke line move +17 to 16.5

Denver-----100% on SJST line move -15 to 15.5

Morehead st----100% on SE Mizz line move +3 to 2.5

N Az-----84% on Weber line move +18 to 17.5

Don't see anything NBA

JasonBravo PM JasonBravo
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quote#1029
Posted: 1/17/2013 4:59:58 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by usikbasterd:

dude, 1994!?!??! ur glory days are long gone, step aside gramps. new school takin ova



lol, this made me laugh a lot
Pendo PM Pendo
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quote#1030
Posted: 1/17/2013 5:44:43 AM
RLM for 17 Jan 2013:

Hope someone spots something fitting the method, either point spread and/or juice moves.
TriniMike PM TriniMike
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quote#1031
Posted: 1/17/2013 6:36:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by composite:

 

Great call.  I lost on Indy but fortunately hit my other plays (love the Heat when motivated) and it turned into a winning day for me. 

So, your definition of "RLM" can be slow or no line movement despite one-sided betting?  The line moved toward Indy - which makes sense since more $$$ was laid on Indy.  RLM I always thought, is when the line moves towrad ORL even though most $$ is on Indy.

TriniMike PM TriniMike
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quote#1032
Posted: 1/17/2013 6:38:44 AM
72 percent of bets were on indy, but the line moved indy's favor. the reverse of what it should normally do
TriniMike PM TriniMike
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quote#1033
Posted: 1/17/2013 6:39:40 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Da_Shouta:


Orlando Magic +1.5 

Cleveland Cavs +7 

Heat/Warriors UNDER 201.5 

CBB Michigan St/ Penn St.. Over 125 

#niceworksir
Rayeth PM Rayeth
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quote#1034
Posted: 1/17/2013 7:23:25 AM
Salute mike! New follower here. I studied and applied your system yesterday and kaboom!!! ????????keep on rollin! :) thanks dude!!
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peykpeykman PM peykpeykman
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quote#1035
Posted: 1/17/2013 7:52:11 AM
Have any plays for tomorrow? Im leaning on:

under mia lal 206.5
nyk-5.5
and mia-2.5

Thoughts?
Ulwen PM Ulwen
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quote#1036
Posted: 1/17/2013 8:25:15 AM
you're going for Heat -2,5 or +2,5? I hope its +2,5. I will probably go for lakers -2,5. 73% of the bets and the top wager bet is on Miami.. 27% has despite that moved the line from -2 to -2,5 right now. Lakers are #4 on the wager list but I still think its good. Miami isnt very good away and I understand that the "public masses" will go for Miami (as they always do, no matter what team is on the other side, they have LeBron right so it doesn't matter) LOL.


TriniMike PM TriniMike
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quote#1037
Posted: 1/17/2013 8:51:20 AM
i don't see anything in the heat game at the moment, i'm sure they'll be an rlm play there later today, but i'm done with the lakers. i've been tempted too much, just to lose on their games... no matter which side i take
TriniMike PM TriniMike
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quote#1038
Posted: 1/17/2013 8:54:46 AM
updated record is 19-8-2... three of those losses have been on laker games
emir2012 PM emir2012
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quote#1039
Posted: 1/17/2013 9:05:32 AM
how about that phoenix-milwaukee game?
TriniMike PM TriniMike
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quote#1040
Posted: 1/17/2013 9:42:00 AM
the spread in the phoenix game is moving as it should, not in reverse
FadeAndLay4 PM FadeAndLay4
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quote#1041
Posted: 1/17/2013 10:10:54 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TriniMike:

"also, Pacers are the #1 bet team tonight"... Learned that angle from "FadeAndLay4"

Thanks for the props as well, I will continue to let you know on my end if I see any top bets with the 85%+.... Yesterday I had Pacers as the #5 highest played bet, behind the NFL Playoff Games. 
2-0 Top 10 bet w/80%+
1-1 Top 20 bet w/80%+

TriniMike PM TriniMike
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quote#1042
Posted: 1/17/2013 10:36:20 AM
i give props when props are due, fadandlay... looking forward to your picks!  
kennyuss PM kennyuss
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quote#1043
Posted: 1/17/2013 10:37:31 AM
Wow trinimike the tops play did you post
Any day ?
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TriniMike PM TriniMike
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quote#1044
Posted: 1/17/2013 11:02:45 AM
not sure what the question is, kenny
rynogeis PM rynogeis
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quote#1045
Posted: 1/17/2013 11:11:44 AM
I tailed last night TriniMike. Awesome 4-0. Like an idiot I also took another guy's picks after you started 2-0. Of course he went 2-2. 4-2 days I will take to the bank every time though! Keep up the great work. 

BobbyRicigliano PM BobbyRicigliano
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quote#1046
Posted: 1/17/2013 11:20:03 AM
Trini! Cashed in on the SWEEP! Great stuff
TriniMike PM TriniMike
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quote#1047
Posted: 1/17/2013 11:23:43 AM
Thanks Bobby and Rynogeis... rynogeis..Please don't tell me you trailed bigdougie!...That guy posted a good 9 pages of trash on this thread, he's half the reason this thread is so long...I wanted to start a new thread soon, but after going 4-0 I can't bring myself to do it... I will eventually
dannyestrada PM dannyestrada
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quote#1048
Posted: 1/17/2013 11:28:19 AM

congrats

keep it up thx for all your hard work..

dannyestrada PM dannyestrada
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quote#1049
Posted: 1/17/2013 11:29:56 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by TriniMike:

Thanks Bobby and Rynogeis... rynogeis..Please don't tell me you trailed bigdougie!...That guy posted a good 9 pages of trash on this thread, he's half the reason this thread is so long...I wanted to start a new thread soon, but after going 4-0 I can't bring myself to do it... I will eventually

it will be nice if u do start a new thread cuz it will help us know dat you posted for today games . But do wats best for u. again thx.

rynogeis PM rynogeis
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quote#1050
Posted: 1/17/2013 11:37:20 AM
Dude, howd you guess!? Hahaha yes, I did. I have followed you the last few days and saw his garbage. but last night was the first time i tailed. Bigdoug had a bad past 2 days and I figured he would stumble upon winners. I figured fool always get lucky...I was wrong, I learned, and its official - Bigdoug is a square tool. If he gets winners, no big deal. How he acts is not worth tailing. 

That said, I still have to say BOL to Bigdoug, and to all of us. 

Keep up the good work Trini!
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