Posted: 1/8/2013 4:37:12 PM
1/Avoid : too good to be true bet , " easy money " ...( MIA -2.5 = 87%)
2/Fade : Public of over 75% (MIA -2.5 =87%, ATL +1 = 79%)
3/2H betting :Slam : Game : bet OVER . 1H : UNDER . Slam 2H : OVER( double it) . and vice verse ( ex: MEM/PHO - yesterday). 1H : way over . 2H : slam UNDER ( ex: LAL/DEN -yesterday).
3a/ Lets It Ride : Game : look like a WINNER @1H --> 2H : Lets It Ride.
3b/ Hedge It Out : Game : look like a WINNER @1H. --> 2H: line is TRICKY -> 2H: Hedge IT Out (1/2 price).
4/Sucker bet : Dog win by dd @1H, and Favor giving lesser pt on 2H : e.x: SAS-5.5 @2H ( Yesterday).
5/ No chasing : MIL -6.5 =67% (4 str games lost n 3 ATS lost)
5a/ No Tilting : Lost the game . Kool! Play It tmr . Fight another day.
5b/ Happy Tilt: WIN a lots. Reach Ur Goal for the week. No betting on every games ( esp bad games). Tighten UR Azz ( select few games) . Remind me of Poker ( When you win a big pot, or up a lots , you call down every raises even when you have a bad cards)
6/ No Teaser : rather lose small money on parlay of 3 or 4 to win BIG , then teased 3 game of 8pts and till lost by 1.
7/ Small on Parlay : havent hit any parlay of 5 or 6 for months and till bet on them ( I know Im sucker for parlay ). If you hit one , you're done for the week. $10 - $25 only. ( won 2 parlay of 6 (last week) in 3months).
8/ Fade or Ride : Fade: Sell-out Team: LAL and MIA. Popovich Team : SAS. Cold team : TOR . Ride: Hot team : LAC, BOS.
9/ Totals : the lowest ( below 181) = UNDER ( CHI/MIA =187= PHI/BK). The highest ( over 201) = OVER ( HOU/LAL = 221.5).
10/ Side n Totals : DOG + OVER ( PHO) . FAVOR + UNDER ( PHI). GotRice told me :" % of possible out come: close to or = 50% ".
11/ Un-biased : you have to be un-biased in picking the win side. No favorite team , no favorite athlete. More important : pick the win side like you dont have any money on that side. yup, Money in your head clouded your judgement .
12/ Set Goal: How much you wanna win for the week? If reach the GOAL, small action or parlays. IF play , Tighten UR Azz ( select few GOOD games).
... what else??? more thoughts are welcome .