Thoughts on so called "value plays"

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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Thoughts on so called "value plays"
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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quote#101
Posted: 1/22/2013 8:00:44 AM
cant pull any trigger for tomorrow just yet. but one game im eyeing on is the boston-cleveland match up. boston playing like shieet the past games. so boston is likely due to win on the road. plus with varejao out for the season, no reason to take cleveland here.

however,  people might forget cleveland matches up well with boston. the public stats show the love for boston tomorrow. leaning cleveland +4.5 BOL 
sector225 PM sector225
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quote#102
Posted: 1/22/2013 2:35:08 PM

i like boston, Cleveland its crap.

Are you going to play that game? Please confirm

Gamblor24 PM Gamblor24
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quote#103
Posted: 1/22/2013 3:56:58 PM

Tsiken......I kind of am leaning Cavs as well.  If I were to say a advantage Cleveland can exploit is Bostons lack of rebounding. 

On paper IMO the matchup easily goes to Boston, but with the public riding them hard with a line open of -4.5 now to -4.  I'll site with Vegas knowing something I dont know.  That could be the young Cleveland team are going throw too much effort and energy for the cold streaked Celts.  Makes it easier that you get 4pts for a home dog as well against public action.

BOL

Gamblor24 PM Gamblor24
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quote#104
Posted: 1/22/2013 7:02:33 PM
I'm going CAVS +5 and Orl +5...BOL ALL
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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quote#105
Posted: 1/22/2013 10:58:06 PM
Congrats to those who played cleveland 

Played the under in the clips game. Too much over love by the public and the line went down. 

Clips thunder under 201 
7RINGS PM 7RINGS
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quote#106
Posted: 1/22/2013 11:39:44 PM
you on fire bro
Arthras PM Arthras
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quote#107
Posted: 1/23/2013 7:41:37 AM
any plays for tomorrow?

TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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quote#108
Posted: 1/23/2013 8:11:29 AM
Everything points to a houston win tomorrow. Back at home and hungry for a win. Except for the line. Liking denver in this spot.

 Denver+2 

After the stellar performance last night against the clips. It might be the easiest play taking OKC on such short line. We fading easy plays here

Golden state +2

BOL
Arthras PM Arthras
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quote#109
Posted: 1/23/2013 8:33:00 AM
BOL
 
Miami20062012 PM Miami20062012
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quote#110
Posted: 1/23/2013 6:05:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TsikenBreast:

Congrats to those who played cleveland 

Played the under in the clips game. Too much over love by the public and the line went down. 

Clips thunder under 201 


Great pick rolled with cavs.  lost on clippers though I took them at +1.  That was a great pick on the under buddy
Gamblor24 PM Gamblor24
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quote#111
Posted: 1/23/2013 6:16:39 PM
Tsiken my man   

Cheers on the CAVS!  Went 1-1 with ORL......

I'm liking the Denver pick a lot.....wish I didnt have to play them on the road.  HOU has been playing awful lately and are out matched talent wise and depth.  The only way HOU pulls it out is if they go off in front of the crowd tonight for the previous lackluster performances.  Leaning over as well...

I also am leaning chi, no and wash...............I liked MEM against the LAKEshow originally but dont like the fact Memphis will not have a bench and regardless of what people think they havent been playing their best offensive ball as of late.  Liked Charlotte at home against ATL as well but with Harris and Stevenson back, that could be good enough for them to get the W in Char.
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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quote#112
Posted: 1/24/2013 1:02:52 AM
Denver 
Golden state 

Winner winner chickenbreast dinner...

17-6

Miami20062012 PM Miami20062012
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quote#113
Posted: 1/24/2013 2:02:13 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TsikenBreast:

Denver 
Golden state 

Winner winner chickenbreast dinner...

17-6


very impressive chickenbreastdinner.  Denver and golden st was perfect. Do you ever pick favorites? And do you do any college basketball? Duke got massacred today I would of done anything to be on that miami moneyline.  
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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quote#114
Posted: 1/24/2013 2:34:28 AM
@miami

I do play favorites,however most of the time i see the value in the dogs, thats why i play them. 

Im not yet into cbb though. I still have to know those college teams and see where the value is. BOL 
ejnell_04 PM ejnell_04
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quote#115
Posted: 1/24/2013 3:00:56 AM
Any leans for tomorrow? :)
Posted using a mobile device.
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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quote#116
Posted: 1/24/2013 5:00:18 AM
i think i will be taking a day off tomorrow since thursdays havent been produtive for me so far. however my degenerate nature will get the best out of me and lock in some plays.

for tomorrow, why is even boston favored in this game. considering the fact how bad they are playing right now. thinking some home cooking might happen here. but im basing my lean purely on the lines released. BOL 
Arthras PM Arthras
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quote#117
Posted: 1/24/2013 6:59:55 AM
Is bos your play?
prodigy808 PM prodigy808
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quote#118
Posted: 1/24/2013 6:25:42 PM
ttt GL if any plays tonight
Gamblor24 PM Gamblor24
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quote#119
Posted: 1/24/2013 7:54:12 PM

Tsiken...........went tor, bos and probably suns under .........

 

GL 

TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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quote#120
Posted: 1/24/2013 8:03:26 PM
Will be taking a day off unless a good spot comes up in live betting.

Boston opened as 4.5 pt favorites the other day against cleveland on the road. Milwaukee, who has been clearly playing better than boston opened as 3.5 favorites against the same cleveland team. You know what happens next. Im expecting the line to go down in favor of milwaukee even if the public is pounding them.

Cleveland +3.5 
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quote#121
Posted: 1/24/2013 8:13:31 PM
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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quote#122
Posted: 1/25/2013 5:06:06 AM
Got the line early(currently at 4.5, its 3.5 everywhere else)at my book. BOL 
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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quote#123
Posted: 1/25/2013 10:16:04 PM
Cleveland 

Ytd 18-6 
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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quote#124
Posted: 1/25/2013 10:31:13 PM
After a big win in boston, and philly being the usual scrubs that they are, it is a no brainer to pick new york only laying 2.5 points. Thats why im taking philly here. Again, im expecting the line to go down.

Philadelphia +2.5 
Arthras PM Arthras
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quote#125
Posted: 1/26/2013 12:02:53 AM
Lac por game is not a value play? Line seems fishy for me
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