Thoughts on so called "value plays"

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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Thoughts on so called "value plays"
emir2012 PM emir2012
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Posted: 1/10/2013 9:31:45 AM
i just don't trust sac right now..remember that game between brooklyn-washington game where brooklyn won that game in double overtime then the next day blew sacramento..
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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Posted: 1/12/2013 12:37:35 PM
Here we go

A bad stretch of games for philly, houston seems to be the logical pick for the night. However the line says otherwise. Philadelphia +1. 

Another game that got my attention is in dallas, i just think that dallas is up for this one and memphis may come out flat after that win against the spurs yesterday. Dallas +3. 

BOL everyone. 
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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Posted: 1/12/2013 9:54:48 PM
philadelphia +1 . houston might have been the squarest play of the night.


TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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Posted: 1/12/2013 11:25:01 PM
dallas +3 . letdown spot for memphis as expected. 
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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Posted: 1/13/2013 6:24:53 PM
gotta pass today as im not liking aything. all of the games are coin flip for me. however i see something for tomorrow.

miami opened as 2.5 favorites against utah, just last week they were 3 pt favorites against indiana, relatively a better team than utah. i know indiana is just above .500 at home so it might make sense. however the game after that portland were 3,5 pt underdogs against miami. portland is a better team than utah, even at home. 

i just love riding home team dogs on such low line. im expecting the line to go down further.

utah +2.5 
manutdfctts9899 PM manutdfctts9899
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Posted: 1/13/2013 6:48:26 PM
BOL
Arthras PM Arthras
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Posted: 1/14/2013 7:50:57 AM
BOL 
Smushmachine PM Smushmachine
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Posted: 1/14/2013 12:50:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TsikenBreast:

miami opened as 2.5 favorites against utah, just last week they were 3 pt favorites against indiana, relatively a better team than utah. i know indiana is just above .500 at home so it might make sense. however the game after that portland were 3,5 pt underdogs against miami. portland is a better team than utah, even at home.


And Miami lost both those games.  Wouldn't it make sense for them to be favored by less on the road following that?  Where would you set the line?
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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Posted: 1/14/2013 11:33:00 PM
Utah +2.5 

Now at 7-2. 
gomburzago PM gomburzago
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Posted: 1/14/2013 11:36:03 PM
great job
Arthras PM Arthras
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Posted: 1/15/2013 7:34:12 AM
Value Plays tomorrow? I am thinking of NOH+3.5 against PHI
Enjoi PM Enjoi
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Posted: 1/15/2013 7:51:25 AM
yep on hornets as well
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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Posted: 1/15/2013 8:07:01 AM
im not liking anything for tomorrow. all of the games are again a coin-flip. literally it is better to flip a coin than to cap these type of games. 

early money is coming in with hornets so they might be the play, but im waiting til near gametime as it might be smart people manipulating the line. 

BOL 
Arthras PM Arthras
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Posted: 1/15/2013 8:14:45 AM
glad we are on the same side. although its no play for you
hawgpix PM hawgpix
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Posted: 1/15/2013 8:31:35 AM
It will continue to work...the hard part is staying disciplined.  Works in NFL too(reg season)
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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Posted: 1/15/2013 6:42:48 PM
late release of the line...

houston been playing like shieet past couple of games. clippers played the shieet out of memphis last night. houston is definitely shieetier than the clippers. how come they are laying not 1 but 3 points at home

houston -3 
Arthras PM Arthras
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Posted: 1/16/2013 7:37:56 AM
For tomorrow, i am thinking ORL +1.5 is one of your so called value play. The line is too low. What you think Tsik?
emir2012 PM emir2012
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Posted: 1/16/2013 7:46:56 AM
i think the line was that low coz indiana was playing it's 4th game in 5 nights on to their second set of a back to back.
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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Posted: 1/16/2013 6:43:29 PM
7-3

Easiest play onboard. Indiana? Wrong.

Orlando ML 

Cant explain the love for chitown.
Toronto +5 
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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Posted: 1/16/2013 10:24:40 PM
Ding dong!

Orlando 
Toronto (was shocked to see them cover. Stopped watching when they were down like 20. But a win is a win )

Now at 9-3. BOL 
garretdoherty PM garretdoherty
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Posted: 1/16/2013 11:11:02 PM

brillant man,i was on orlando tonight and cleveland and atlanta and spurs.

i love your thinking.am sure too that it will continue as you are open minded and have clarity-perhaps even a leftie!?.. as you seem to be using your right brain.

 

well done

 

you have a gift,like i have for nfl

garretdoherty PM garretdoherty
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Posted: 1/16/2013 11:15:58 PM

i like all the posters thoughs in this tread.

 

tomorrow its obviously min +17

Arthras PM Arthras
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Posted: 1/17/2013 6:59:46 AM
Im feeling LAC -17. 17 is just to much.. thats why i believe that this is a value play an i will gladly take LAC -17 BOL! 
Arthras PM Arthras
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Posted: 1/18/2013 12:01:23 AM
any value plays for tomorrow Tsik?
Arthras PM Arthras
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Posted: 1/18/2013 4:59:19 AM
Im thinking TOR +3.5 against the PHI. pub is on phil, but the line moved to their favor. any thought? 
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