Thoughts on so called "value plays"

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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Thoughts on so called "value plays"
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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quote#401
Posted: 2/21/2013 3:38:06 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by FXT:



Wow Tsiken great pick man. I missed out on the Jazz/OKC one because I didnt tail it thinking no way is Thunders going to lose. Wasnt going to make the same mistake twice.

If you dont mind me asking, what does this system look for value wise for picks? If you dont want to share, I totally understand.

we refer to them as value plays. to the average bettor, they think they got value on their picks because of the short line. for example, tonight okc was just laying 3 points, to the average joe, it is definitely a steal if you can get okc laying just one possesion against a team that they already demolished in the past. little do they know that the line was set out by vegas for a reason. so the system basically finds the "too good to be true lines". however it also puts in situationals in the equation. "no way okc loses their third straight game" made me lock in my pick today. BOL
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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quote#402
Posted: 2/21/2013 3:41:01 AM
unfortunately, i dont really like betting thursday games as they are always coin flip for me. but  if anything, i like chicago to cover tomorrow. still waiting for the line changes etc though to lock my pick. its just a lean, not something to go big upon. BOL
VyperATS PM VyperATS
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quote#403
Posted: 2/21/2013 1:24:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Hitek:



Let me get this straight...

A guy creates a thread about a particular subject.  You come in and flood page 14 with completely unrelated and unasked for spam.  Other user's trying to follow the intent of the thread ask you to stop spamming, and you respond by lecturing them while calling them names?  WTF drugs are you on!?!?!?!?!?
No, let me help you get this straight dipshit you're a follower like everybody else its people like you that Vegas make a living off of God over my 20 years I've seen billions of people like you until you really understand the inside of sports betting get the hell out
VyperATS PM VyperATS
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quote#404
Posted: 2/21/2013 2:08:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by composite:

+1 When you get a 28-9 record, then start posting in Tisken's thread.

when hyou get my foot out your behind shut up girl!
VyperATS PM VyperATS
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quote#405
Posted: 2/21/2013 2:09:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by VyperATS:

when hyou get my foot out your behind shut up girl!
composite youy flamer id make you my girl!!
lovelymoney PM lovelymoney
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quote#406
Posted: 2/21/2013 2:50:58 PM
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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quote#407
Posted: 2/22/2013 5:59:24 AM
Everyone is on houston, thunder and spurs. Definitely will not play those teams. Still finding a good spot to fade.

Thunder is a good team after a loss. This is a good spot for them to get back on track. However, everybody is chasing them. We all know chasing equals losses.

Houston made us money last time, migh be a letdown spot for them here. Still a coinflip for me though.

Spurs on the other hand is on fire. Winning their last 5, including that impressive win last night against the clips. The warriors on the other hand seems lost lately with the return of bogut, only won against phoenix the last 7 games. Laying only 2 points, no way the spurs are losing this one. Its hard going against this machines but sometimes you just have to do it.

Warriors +2 
emjhayeii PM emjhayeii
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quote#408
Posted: 2/22/2013 6:17:42 AM
GSW it is Tsik!! BOL
BatangTae PM BatangTae
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quote#409
Posted: 2/22/2013 9:28:59 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TsikenBreast:

Everyone is on houston, thunder and spurs. Definitely will not play those teams. Still finding a good spot to fade.

Thunder is a good team after a loss. This is a good spot for them to get back on track. However, everybody is chasing them. We all know chasing equals losses.

Houston made us money last time, migh be a letdown spot for them here. Still a coinflip for me though.

Spurs on the other hand is on fire. Winning their last 5, including that impressive win last night against the clips. The warriors on the other hand seems lost lately with the return of bogut, only won against phoenix the last 7 games. Laying only 2 points, no way the spurs are losing this one. Its hard going against this machines but sometimes you just have to do it.

Warriors +2 



tsik can you give us an insight..
are you playing it small, medium or large..
gsw+3

BOL
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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quote#410
Posted: 2/22/2013 10:06:02 AM
i flat bet everything. i play it all equally. BOL
BatangTae PM BatangTae
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quote#411
Posted: 2/22/2013 10:11:59 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TsikenBreast:

i flat bet everything. i play it all equally. BOL


tnx bro
gsw
BatangTae PM BatangTae
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quote#412
Posted: 2/22/2013 10:42:35 AM
tsik the line for gsw is moving up, its now @ +3, and i expect it to move up to +3.5 to +4 by game time..
does this kind of line movement has any negative indication for your value play?
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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quote#413
Posted: 2/22/2013 10:50:57 AM
actually i like it more, were getting points for free(without paying juice).its normal line movement. as much as possible, vegas wants equal action on both sides. BOL
BatangTae PM BatangTae
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quote#414
Posted: 2/22/2013 12:48:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TsikenBreast:

actually i like it more, were getting points for free(without paying juice).its normal line movement. as much as possible, vegas wants equal action on both sides. BOL


tnx bro

i'm just a rookie here, i have a lot to learn from this so called "VALUE PLAYS"..keep doing what you do best bro..i do appreciate that you're helping us out here

certified PINOY
x3shift PM x3shift
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quote#415
Posted: 2/22/2013 3:56:41 PM
pretty hard to swallow.. considering how bad this warriors team is right now. fishy -2 line from a team that is red hot right now... but then again yesterdays heat game started at -2 as well. ill probably lay off this one
RascaLinFaith PM RascaLinFaith
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quote#416
Posted: 2/23/2013 1:25:03 AM

I fuckin love this guy
ohone PM ohone
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quote#417
Posted: 2/23/2013 1:28:45 AM
I just recently joined this site and have been following your picks.
The first one I took was ORLvsATL which didn't go well and I took a little break. This was a gorgeous pick. Not only do your picks cover but the underdogs actually win! Thanks for sharing this with us. BOL
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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quote#418
Posted: 2/23/2013 1:29:51 AM
warriors 

ytd 30-9-1

im planning to start a new thread everyday for everyone to easily see the plays. BOL

@rascalinfaith

glad i could help. BOL 
jackson0780 PM jackson0780
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quote#419
Posted: 2/23/2013 1:32:39 AM

we are all sippin the tschicken Breast kool aid... I hit three 3 gamers and a straight bet with the warriors.. wat to hit the books tschicken... 


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quote#420
Posted: 2/23/2013 2:36:08 AM
Excellent call
BatangTae PM BatangTae
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quote#421
Posted: 2/23/2013 3:58:53 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TsikenBreast:

warriors 

ytd 30-9-1

im planning to start a new thread everyday for everyone to easily see the plays. BOL

@rascalinfaith

glad i could help. BOL 


bro your having a great runand so do we, thanks a lot

1 thing i'm worried thou, covers admin tends to ban people like you, when i say people like you, people with amazing winning percentage with their picks ytd 30-9-1 (75% WINNING PERCENTAGE) this is insane..and people who helped others by selling their picks..however, i've seen in the past that even those who are aren't selling their picks got banned from this forum, why? because what you're doing is bad for their business especially when you become a household name (i think you are right now), skeptics turning to die hard followers, more and more people will follow you eventually, can't help it..i'm saying this because your "VALUE PLAYS" is a VEGAS KILLER

congrats with GS
tnx for the 



BatangTae PM BatangTae
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quote#422
Posted: 2/23/2013 4:08:19 AM
tsik do you see anything for tomorrow?

lac maybe?
i'm seeing uta to be over valued
lac just had a beaten against sas
and uta won 2-1 ATS in their last 3 meetings.
uta had 3 game winning streak against OKC MIN and GS..

i'm not good at this, i'm here to learn..

midnightprowl PM midnightprowl
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quote#423
Posted: 2/23/2013 4:14:11 AM
Utah + 9.....
TsikenBreast PM TsikenBreast
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quote#424
Posted: 2/23/2013 6:25:03 AM
Im Liking the Wizards and pistons at first glance. Gotta dig deeper first to find value. BOL
BatangTae PM BatangTae
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quote#425
Posted: 2/23/2013 7:20:26 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TsikenBreast:

Im Liking the Wizards and pistons at first glance. Gotta dig deeper first to find value. BOL


w/  pistons already
just give us a go signal if you pull the trigger on was

what do you have for uta@lac?

BOL
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