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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: NBA Tuesday - LAC @ DEN
Mikado send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
Mikado
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#1
Posted: 12/31/2012 9:42:01 PM
One play I'm really eyeing:

Nuggets pk

Feel free to discuss.  I'm not playing until I see the refs.  But Karl is 2-1 in revenge situations this year (Only loss being MIA at home).  On top of that Nuggets seem almost always bounce back after a horrible offensive performance.  

Happy New Year Everybody!

Good Luck to those in the Association! 
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#2
Posted: 12/31/2012 9:46:53 PM
nuggs....cash it
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spartak
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#3
Posted: 12/31/2012 9:48:07 PM

Now that the kids are in bed after a long night at the carnival I'm ready to spend the evening discussing this matchup.  I won't be playing this match because I don't bet against teams riding hot streaks and not one to stop it either.  Instead I ride the streak not go against it.  However this is one game I will stay away from tomorrow.

Now let me get my wife a glass of wine and I will be right back to discuss this further with you

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#4
Posted: 12/31/2012 10:02:56 PM
CLIPS WILL EXTEND THERE STREAK JACK
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spartak
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#5
Posted: 12/31/2012 10:04:18 PM
okay mikado tell me regards to advantage for denver I don't see it........I know teams can have bad days but I see two teams that are pretty even however based on numbers clips have a better bench...........numbers speak for themselves............clips have a great road record I'm just going to play the devil on this because I did have Denver circled to beat clips but just don't see any reason to take denver as a high percentage bet ...........I prefer to watch this game but to lay money on it I don't see any advantage to take money from the bankroll to bet on this game.....
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#6
Posted: 12/31/2012 10:04:30 PM
BOL and happy new year!!
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#7
Posted: 12/31/2012 10:07:55 PM
Denver!
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#8
Posted: 12/31/2012 10:27:35 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by spartak:

okay mikado tell me regards to advantage for denver I don't see it........I know teams can have bad days but I see two teams that are pretty even however based on numbers clips have a better bench...........numbers speak for themselves............clips have a great road record I'm just going to play the devil on this because I did have Denver circled to beat clips but just don't see any reason to take denver as a high percentage bet ...........I prefer to watch this game but to lay money on it I don't see any advantage to take money from the bankroll to bet on this game.....


Sound like the same way people thought about the Spurs when they came into Pepsi.  Don't let the previous blowout fool you - LAC scored 40+ pts in the 2nd quarter last time.  True the pick and roll has gotten the best of Denver - but the home court advantage here cannot be underestimated.  Think of how LAC nearly lost to Utah in Utah a few days ago - now they face a more formidable opponent in Denver.

I can totally see people riding the Clippers streak.  However the quality of their wins doesn't have me that impressed.  The Nuggets, Pistons and Spurs probably did something to piss Stern off because their schedules are horrendous.

Take a look at Doug Moe's system (mentioned in NBA Nuggets Media Notes).  Throw out the first 10 games of the season.

You got Nuggets +7 and Los Angeles Clippers +5. 

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#9
Posted: 12/31/2012 10:31:34 PM
like it!
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spartak
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#10
Posted: 12/31/2012 10:47:33 PM

I agree the home court is not to be underestimated and this is a big advantage for denver.  Also agree Denver schedule has been much tougher compared to the clips.  Don't get me wrong I think Denver is the team that can end this streak but everyone thought the same thing when Clips flew to Utah after they beat Boston at home and flew the next day to Utah.  However in this case you have a clips team that is rested. 

Clips % are very strong and you prob right these numbers are scewed in the matchup because clips schedule has been much weaker compared to Denvers. 

I will take a look at doug moe's system ................

I just won't forget what clips did to denver in LA and biggest lead was 21 points at one time............don't see that happening tomorrow

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#11
Posted: 12/31/2012 10:47:41 PM
same song and dance against the jazz, Thugs lost by 12 in L.A., and they will loose again.
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#12
Posted: 12/31/2012 10:50:35 PM
There's just not enuff points given to Noogies for me to bet on.  Clippers are way too deep and way too hot to go against.  BOL to you, though.  

Happy New Year to you too!  
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vasilli07
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#13
Posted: 1/1/2013 12:36:21 AM
Clips won the last 2 encounters in Denver.
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#14
Posted: 1/1/2013 1:01:28 AM
clippers beat utah twice on their 7 game road win streak
its true utah are good at home but anyway it was pretty tight games,
other games were phoenix det mil charlotte chicago, all winnable games, good they won. 10 other wins during the streak was at home
they won all the winnable games, its true you still have to win these games, no gimmicks in nba.
but tmmr vs denver, its a real test, denver pretty solid only at home
we will see!  clippers +1 right now, the line is correct
i respect the clippers but the streak might end tmmr, anyway winning streak or not, denver will be really motivated to win and get the revenge of christmas day match.

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#15
Posted: 1/1/2013 1:28:30 AM
Hey guys, dont you think over 206.0 would be a better play here? If the spread suggests a tight game, we would expect a foul fest at crunch time right? Whichever team leads? Think about it guys. I never saw any other thread for tomorrow thats is not about this matchup. There are other options you know. This one for me is a risky pick if you would ask me. :)
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#16
Posted: 1/1/2013 3:02:06 AM
BOL to you all and happy new year!
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#17
Posted: 1/1/2013 3:05:41 AM
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mrusso
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#18
Posted: 1/1/2013 6:53:09 AM

The Nuggets are a must play in my book. On a day that will surely be filled with some college football insanity, this, in spite of the Clippers outstanding run, is the best bet of the day, in all sports. I like to ride hot teams too, but you know all good things come to a halt sooner or later, and it's ripe in Denver tonight. Merry x-mas Clips, Happy new year Nuggets-  GL Mikado

And Happy New Years to all of you and yours!

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mrusso
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#19
Posted: 1/1/2013 6:54:01 AM

The Nuggets are a must play in my book. On a day that will surely be filled with some college football insanity, this, in spite of the Clippers outstanding run, is the best bet of the day, in all sports. I like to ride hot teams too, but you know all good things come to a halt sooner or later, and it's ripe in Denver tonight. Merry x-mas Clips, Happy new year Nuggets-  GL Mikado

And Happy New Years to all of you and yours!

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mrusso
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#20
Posted: 1/1/2013 6:57:00 AM
Pete and Repete, Hate when that happens
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#21
Posted: 1/1/2013 7:13:39 AM
I just would like to mention that on wednesday LAC will be playing against GSW!!!  and Lakers on friday.  
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victorerk
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#22
Posted: 1/1/2013 9:18:13 AM
Teaser Clip +3,+4 my choice with another solid plan makes even
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#23
Posted: 1/1/2013 9:22:00 AM
Clipps roll tonight... hopefully ha! BOL 
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victorerk
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#24
Posted: 1/1/2013 9:22:45 AM
They have also chance to break longest winning streak of NBA history, Why Not? They don't have a game with Miami(away) and San Antonia.
Their toughest games Memphis away, and 2 times Golden away games. And This game with Denver.
Rest of the games are more easier I guess

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#25
Posted: 1/1/2013 9:51:40 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by victorerk:

They have also chance to break longest winning streak of NBA history, Why Not? They don't have a game with Miami(away) and San Antonia.
Their toughest games Memphis away, and 2 times Golden away games. And This game with Denver.
Rest of the games are more easier I guess


The Clips streak has a very strong chance of ending this week with 2 sets of difficult B2B's. Even Del Negro has spoken of their onerous upcoming schedule. 
Playing @ Golden State tomorrow, who will have had 3 days rest, is no easy task, especially if the game tonight is fierce. 
Then they face the Lakers on Friday, who will have had 2 days off to prepare for a game that could be pivotal for their psyche. 
Finally, the Clipshow play the Warriors again on Saturday. The Warriors, FYI, only play 2 games this week---both against the Clips. 

The schedule is set up for the Clips to lose l not once, but perhaps 2 or 3 times this week. My question is which games do I take the opponent on the ML? I'm not sure tonight is the best night. But there is certainly ample upcoming opportunity.
 
If they run this gauntlet and go 4-0, I will be supremely impressed.


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