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Author: [Website Promotions] Topic: Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how
antonis85
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antonis85
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#11801
Posted: 4/26/2013 12:40:07 PM
antonis85 0-0  (0-0-0)

BOS Celtics -2.5

Over 183 BOS Celtics - NY Knicks

Boston will shoot better tonight in their home court. Lots of emotions I am sure due to the Boston bombings. Boston should win this game, I just don't see them dropping to 3-0 against New York. Knicks will play with a little less urgency I am sure with a 2-0 lead. That should translate to a looser defense and a relaxed offense which they have plenty of. Line did drop from 3 to 2.5 but this is expected. Public will be reluctant to side with Boston after their poor performances. The same counts for the over bet. Public will be reluctant to side with the over after the two very low scoring affairs. I believe today will be 180 degrees opposite.

Got a great thing going here guys! I am hoping to contribute positive things here
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LoLITiltU
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#11802
Posted: 4/26/2013 12:44:27 PM
Given Celtics perfoarmance in first half vs second half I'm thinking about BOS Celtics -2 1st half. What do you guys think? 
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LoLITiltU
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#11803
Posted: 4/26/2013 12:45:17 PM
I'm referring to their performance in last two games against NY Knicks of course
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SportsMavin
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#11804
Posted: 4/26/2013 1:14:57 PM
PLAYOFFS 

DAY 1

10-9

+10$

DAY 2

15-5

+950$

DAY 3

11-10

Even

DAY 4

7-7

-70

DAY 5

7-9

-290

DAY 6

8-7

+30
-------------------------------------

jpaco 12-2-1

SportsMavin 10-5

Turbovtk 4-2

MaxiMILLION  2-1

KingMidasTouch  3-2

phixer 7-6

johnys15  1-1

SunDevils  2-2

Musicmatt1  3-3

wiessen  0-1

BigUnit 7-8

MikeTizzy 0-2

HeatIn4   0-2

AshyLarryMP  7-10

----------------------------------------------

58-47    +630$
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ridibets send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
ridibets
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#11805
Posted: 4/26/2013 1:16:13 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Turbovtk:

Turbovtk 4-2  (40-25-2)

NY Knicks +3

SA Spurs -3.5

Under 189.5 LA Lakers - SA Spurs

Reasoning a bit later 

where did you get spurs only -3.5 at this time?
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Turbovtk
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Turbovtk
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#11806
Posted: 4/26/2013 1:18:11 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LoLITiltU:

Given Celtics perfoarmance in first half vs second half I'm thinking about BOS Celtics -2 1st half. What do you guys think? 

I was thinking the same thing when I picked the knicks maybe hedge with 1H boston- but I can also do that live-
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SunsDevils
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#11807
Posted: 4/26/2013 1:19:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ridibets:


where did you get spurs only -3.5 at this time?


I am sure, like many people did, he bet it yesterday.
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Turbovtk
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Turbovtk
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#11808
Posted: 4/26/2013 1:19:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by antonis85:

antonis85 0-0  (0-0-0)

BOS Celtics -2.5

Over 183 BOS Celtics - NY Knicks

Boston will shoot better tonight in their home court. Lots of emotions I am sure due to the Boston bombings. Boston should win this game, I just don't see them dropping to 3-0 against New York. Knicks will play with a little less urgency I am sure with a 2-0 lead. That should translate to a looser defense and a relaxed offense which they have plenty of. Line did drop from 3 to 2.5 but this is expected. Public will be reluctant to side with Boston after their poor performances. The same counts for the over bet. Public will be reluctant to side with the over after the two very low scoring affairs. I believe today will be 180 degrees opposite.

Got a great thing going here guys! I am hoping to contribute positive things here

Welcome and lets all work to make us profits and better ourselves.
quote
Turbovtk
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Turbovtk
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#11809
Posted: 4/26/2013 1:21:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ridibets:


where did you get spurs only -3.5 at this time?

I grabbed this line when it came out- my posting here does not always go with when I made the picks. I did add this to parlays today as ML and -3 B2
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Turbovtk
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Turbovtk
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#11810
Posted: 4/26/2013 1:37:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SunsDevils:



I am sure, like many people did, he bet it yesterday.

I was waiting for the spurs spread and total to come out- I wrote about this before where the 187-190 area appears to be a ceiling and it barely made it last game on bullshit at the end of the game.

Usually you seem teams lose stars and the bench picks it up- but here the bench is also getting sidelined- whos gonna step up Mickey Mouse?
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Turbovtk
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Turbovtk
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#11811
Posted: 4/26/2013 1:39:38 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ridibets:


where did you get spurs only -3.5 at this time?

This is also why I like Open spot parlays because you can pick lines you like and add the others later.
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ridibets
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#11812
Posted: 4/26/2013 1:51:01 PM
wht do you guys think at -5? i still like it at -5
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Turbovtk
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Turbovtk
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#11813
Posted: 4/26/2013 1:53:18 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ridibets:

wht do you guys think at -5? i still like it at -5

I like -3 better B2 but that is me- I think either the spurs dont show up and it because a travesty or they show up and it should end just as the other games- I think spurs like to rest their big guns and by winning today they assure a short series and rest before round 2
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Turbovtk
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Turbovtk
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#11814
Posted: 4/26/2013 2:43:13 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Turbovtk:

Turbovtk 4-2  (40-25-2)

NY Knicks +3

SA Spurs -3.5

Under 189.5 LA Lakers - SA Spurs

Reasoning a bit later 

Knicks innocent until proven guilty- what can go wrong, pierce and green have a big day and the Knicks try to keep up by shooting 3s and miss more than they make. However that is the if scenario. I think the knicks come out strong and take it to the rim and Melo will try to see how his shot is early. The last two games of the season, in boston and then NY were not even close games, the last two in the post season the Celtics showed energy and poise 1H then forgot that you play 4Q, sort of like how the Heat forget the games start with 1Q not the 3Q- I think the Heat need to adjust their clocks they think the first 2 quarters are warmup time.

As for the Spurs, Lakers too many injuries, if the Spurs play their post game with Duncan and their bigs and run with manu and parker and a few 3pts here and there this could be over fast. The total has been having a hard time going over 190 so until it does have to ride it down.
quote
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phixer
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#11815
Posted: 4/26/2013 3:26:34 PM
mavin. you were so right saying it pays to take this position as if the liquidity provider adds 32 points to future trade meaning is vegas told us what to bet. i took your advice and cashed in an easy 2280
$ 3000OIL12:13 24/04/1392.1774 13:10 26/04/1393.0100$ 5280.00

+2280$
quote
Turbovtk
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Turbovtk
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#11816
Posted: 4/26/2013 3:33:10 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by phixer:

mavin. you were so right saying it pays to take this position as if the liquidity provider adds 32 points to future trade meaning is vegas told us what to bet. i took your advice and cashed in an easy 2280
$ 3000OIL12:13 24/04/1392.1774 13:10 26/04/1393.0100$ 5280.00

+2280$

Bravo!!! 
quote
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#11817
Posted: 4/26/2013 3:39:39 PM
I still took it -5 yesterday, though it is suspiciously low and if it is too fishy, i might buy it back. No Nash, no Blake, no Meeks, and Kobe. That's 4 PG/SG that you can't really just replace with the guys who haven't played this whole season. Plus Artest is not 100%. They will have to rely heavily on Gason and Howard. But can they deliver? I would bet against it.
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Turbovtk
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Turbovtk
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#11818
Posted: 4/26/2013 3:54:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SunsDevils:

I still took it -5 yesterday, though it is suspiciously low and if it is too fishy, i might buy it back. No Nash, no Blake, no Meeks, and Kobe. That's 4 PG/SG that you can't really just replace with the guys who haven't played this whole season. Plus Artest is not 100%. They will have to rely heavily on Gason and Howard. But can they deliver? I would bet against it.

It is low for a reason- as phixer stated how the credit is given to the home team- the line should be -9 or so but it is being discounted because they are away- the heat -7? when at home they were -14? that kind of thing- so the line is not fishy- it is just home court advantage which I dunno that it really exist in rd 1 as much as it will when the teams get better matchups in later rounds.

Also since I posted the total just keeps dropping. it may get to point where it may be an over in live bet if they start off really bad at this rate you may see a live 169-174 line if they start shooting poorly.
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SportsMavin
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#11819
Posted: 4/26/2013 4:48:00 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by phixer:

mavin. you were so right saying it pays to take this position as if the liquidity provider adds 32 points to future trade meaning is vegas told us what to bet. i took your advice and cashed in an easy 2280
$ 3000OIL12:13 24/04/1392.1774 13:10 26/04/1393.0100$ 5280.00

+2280$
quote
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jpaco
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#11820
Posted: 4/26/2013 5:01:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Turbovtk:


Nice job, how about a post game. I would to it for you but it would seem like prop and drop 

tnx bro.. been really busy to work and I would put my post game fosho just not enough time cuz when I have free time that's when i study my picks and put it here. But do the post game as I love reading about your post here like everyone else. Im just happy that pretty much my reasoning pays out and prolly my post game will be all similar to my reasoning since what I expect is what shows on most of the games yesterday.

MIA Def again shows up and with mil on fire 1st qtr but that's about it.

BK pushing hard to score right at the beginning and when CHI realizing it they step up their def and bk barely can't score until the 4th collapse or I would say relaxed from the chi.

 

MEM finally did what they suppose to do since game 1 and to slow down the phase it was close as garbage baskets was big on a low spread of 178 but right from the start of the game mem was able to control the phase of the game.

Hope magic still continues tonight

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jpaco
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#11821
Posted: 4/26/2013 5:02:48 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by joshua1014:

nice job jpaco.. clippers messed up my 6 team parlay  push on the heat o/u

 

tnx bro and you'll get your parlays tonight

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joshua1014
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#11822
Posted: 4/26/2013 5:38:19 PM
who u like 2 night jpaco I was thinking ny sa gs
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ashylarrymp
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#11823
Posted: 4/26/2013 5:49:45 PM
AshyLarryMP 7-10 (71-70-2)

Over 185 LA Lakers - SA Spurs

Under 211 GS Warriors - DEN Nuggets

GS Warriors +1.5

lakers line started around 187.5 and public has dropped it to 185, i'll take the value as i feel spurs won't go for the throat early and allow lakers to score some points.. liked lakers 1st half but i'll take chances fading the public at probably its lowest value.

the nuggets still are not a good road team, so i love the warriors here at + value to take the 2-1 series lead.. with or without lee they hold home court well and as long as currys ankle holds up think they'll win.. like the under here cause i feel that warriors won't shoot 60% for the game and put up 30+ every quarter this time around.. also fading the public on this one..

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Turbovtk
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#11824
Posted: 4/26/2013 5:53:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jpaco:

tnx bro.. been really busy to work and I would put my post game fosho just not enough time cuz when I have free time that's when i study my picks and put it here. But do the post game as I love reading about your post here like everyone else. Im just happy that pretty much my reasoning pays out and prolly my post game will be all similar to my reasoning since what I expect is what shows on most of the games yesterday.

MIA Def again shows up and with mil on fire 1st qtr but that's about it.

BK pushing hard to score right at the beginning and when CHI realizing it they step up their def and bk barely can't score until the 4th collapse or I would say relaxed from the chi.

 

MEM finally did what they suppose to do since game 1 and to slow down the phase it was close as garbage baskets was big on a low spread of 178 but right from the start of the game mem was able to control the phase of the game.

Hope magic still continues tonight


Post game write up is a big part of bettering yourself- I will post later during the first game-

Glad to see you like the lost game otherwise if no is reading is pointless to spend the time on them-
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dexterjau3
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#11825
Posted: 4/26/2013 7:21:46 PM
Long time no see, folks. I see the most people have accepeted Marvin's thread as a sort of permanent feature of the forum, and that's good because it is a pretty helpful thread.

Here's my bet for tonight:

April 26
New York KNICKS +0.5 4Q -$235 to win $200

Good luck everyone!


YTD: 32-27-2 +$425

Jan/13: 28-22-2 +$721
Feb/13: 04-05-00 -296
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