Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how

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Author: [Website Promotions] Topic: Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how
BigUnit PM BigUnit
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quote#11651
Posted: 4/23/2013 8:00:54 AM

Going with Denver, the loss of David Lee is going to hurt pointwise and in rebounds.  Also Like Boston to at least cover.  Celtics 6-2 last 8 in NY.

Big Unit 5-3 (52-45-1)

DEN Nuggets -8

BOS Celtics +6.5

Get Some! 

Turbovtk PM Turbovtk
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quote#11652
Posted: 4/23/2013 10:30:25 AM

 

So lets recap- the Bulls beat the Nets- which can also be seen as the Nets giving it up to the Bulls, both these teams played terrible offense in my opinion, I lost count of all the point blank under the basket missed layup/dunks or turnovers. If you are a Bulls fan or on the Bulls you may say it's great defense, I saw it as poor offense and even worst game management- When you have big D teams like Bulls, Grizz, Pacers you have to get them in foul trouble early and then attack the rim with authority. 1H the Bulls were in control as the Nets decided they were going to become a jump shooting team overnight. Sure Lopez was hitting the 20 ft jumper made 4 in a row but that is not their game- Williams became Kobe (as of late) and tried to pass the ball as often as he had it in his hands- he made about 1 fg in the 1H. The Bulls looked pressured to win and were also making silly turnovers however the Nets were simply just going for rebounds with one hand. Tipping it over to the other team and worst of all they were going to the basket (the few times they did go) with gumby hands, maybe they had their nails done pre-game, they even said this after the game they have to be tougher and stick to the game plan. In the 3q they get the Bulls into foul trouble and get into the bonus with 7+ minutes left! The coach tells them we are in the bonus drive to the basket put the pressure on... but coach we are big boys who you think you are to tell us what to do we are going to take js and look pretty doing it. The coach was not listened to and Brooklyn turned into the BK Sissies. It's the playoff when you smell blood you have to go for it, ask OKC-Heat- That being said I still think that whether it is in chicago or in NY the Bulls as they stand can't and should not keep up with the Nets, I think they are too injured. Everyone on TV says that the Bulls made adjustments and that is what a team does after losing big. The other team has the same opportunity to re adjust and the Nets had the game plan down but were too soft to execute. I am not 100% sold on the home court advantage early in the Playoffs because teams are seeded based on record not really on talent. I think that if the Bulls hit 3s they can win and the nets need to drive to the basket with man pants and get the Bulls in foul trouble. If the refs are not bought I don't buy home court advantage in the Playoffs until the top teams start facing each other. This also kept the game under, the soft Js from the Nets that is. 11 pts in a quarter? I know them as well as the Mavs and Hawks have had sub 7 pt quarters in the season but this is what happens when you try to go against your style of play. If all the bulls are clogging the paint sure you can say we will take jump shots but that is not what you do, props to the Bulls for executing that part of their plan, but just because the paint is clogged does not mean you can drive to it and move the ball around. There was also poor lineup management- I don't think you can have all the bigs in at one time and all the smalls in at one time, that is on the coach. The reason teams like the Heat Spurs OKC Nuggets Clips do well is because they have a balanced lineup where there will be perimeter shooters to keep you honest and bigs to rebound and drive to the basket. I am leaning Nets as I write this because they will probably be a dog or close to even in chicago. I was not 100% sold on the spread but thought the Nets ML was good, turned out to be that the Bulls ML paid off well. Bottom line poor planning, poor execution, too soft and still managed to put up over 80 .

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Turbovtk PM Turbovtk
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quote#11653
Posted: 4/23/2013 10:31:15 AM

On to the Clips game the Grizz came out strong trying to play fast up tempo ball with the Clips, well that usually ends up being a bad decision. This game was really closer than it should have been. The Clips need to make sure they learn from what the Heat learned from when they lost to the Mavs in the finals- when you are up YOU DRIVE TO THE BASKET WITH BALL MOVEMENT AND PUT THE PRESSURE ON!  I never understand why a 12 pt lead  make a team think they can just shoot 3s to put the game away- with a 12pt lead all you have to do is trade quality paint shots with the other team. Easier said than done but taking perimeter shot after shot its a recipe for disaster. I was actually able to middle this game since I had the over by going under 187 live and 193 live and by going over 89 for the 2h on an open parlay bet ( I will post those later as they may not fit in this post). Scoring was not as pronounced in this game as the last game so I thought maybe about 10 pt less based on what the quarters were looking like. I almost got screwed by OT but I don't factor in OT until the very last minute because it is a rare unpredictable occurrence. The lines on the nets and clips games are so low because the bulls and grizz are expected to slow the game down and play good D and that would be true if they were playing the pacers jazz spurs etc but when you play a fast young team that likes to fly to the basket its hard to defend that so I think that it will depend on who plays up or down to who the grizz tried hard with allen and Connelly to play fast but those two guys can't play the whole game specially at the speed they started at the clips have 1st and 2nd team that could all be sprinters there is no defense for that if you do stay back (like game one) then you don't get the offensive boards the clips slowed the pace after being up 12 almost cost them- Crawford post game said that should never happen- OKC was up 28 and even then still pushed it- its the playoffs you have to go for blood send a message.

I think Nets ML and Over right calls. Bad outcome on the spreads and ML on poor execution and planning- that affected the total as well.

Clips ML and Over right calls- bad execution at end cause the clips backers the spread.

The plays were parlays and single bets as well.

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Turbovtk PM Turbovtk
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quote#11654
Posted: 4/23/2013 10:55:03 AM

Lets see what today brings. 

Turbovtk PM Turbovtk
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quote#11655
Posted: 4/23/2013 10:58:00 AM

PARLAY (5 TEAMS)

04/21/2013 @ 07:20 PM            NBA           

[714] TOTAL u200-150 (B+2) =======> WIN

(MILWAUKEE vrs MIAMI)

04/22/2013 @ 08:00 PM            NBA           

[718] BROOKLYN GM2 -200 =======> LOSS

04/22/2013 @ 10:30 PM            NBA           

[720] LA CLIPPERS GM2 -230 =======> WIN

04/21/2013 @ 06:16 PM                       

OPEN PLAY

04/21/2013 @ 06:16 PM                       

OPEN PLAY

50.00            603.66

$50 Parlay $50 each play

2-2

PARLAY (6 TEAMS)


04/22/2013 @ 08:00 PM            NBA           

[717] TOTAL o181-150 (B+2) =======> LOSS

(CHICAGO GM2 vrs BROOKLYN GM2)

04/22/2013 @ 10:30 PM            NBA           

[719] TOTAL o178-150 (B+2) =======> WIN

(MEMPHIS GM2 vrs LA CLIPPERS GM2)

04/22/2013 @ 08:00 PM            NBA           

[886] NETS SERIES -260 =======> N/A

04/22/2013 @ 10:30 PM            NBA           

[888] CLIPPERS SERIES -330 =======> N/A

04/22/2013 @ 03:20 PM                       

OPEN PLAY =======> N/A

04/22/2013 @ 03:20 PM                       

OPEN PLAY =======> N/A

50.00            863.28

$50 Parlay and $50 each play


1-1


Hedges and or double downs


Live +9 Nets $20

Under 177 Nets $50

Under 187 Clips $50

Under 193 Clips $50

2H Over 89 Clips $50 and Open spots


-Monday-

Bets 3-3

Hedges 5-0

-----------------------------

Saturday 11-0


Sunday 10-2


Monday 8-3


Total Playoff 29-5


Don't like who the pct is dropping

Tuesday  or  or  hoping for 


Turbovtk PM Turbovtk
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quote#11656
Posted: 4/23/2013 11:27:35 AM
Humh the line for Nets series went from -260 to +105 interesting and very tempting.
Enjoi PM Enjoi
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quote#11657
Posted: 4/23/2013 11:49:58 AM
Good analysis Turbo. Just some advice, use paragraphs next time. I like your breakdown but it was a huge chunk of text and a bit hard to read.
Turbovtk PM Turbovtk
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quote#11658
Posted: 4/23/2013 11:54:52 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Enjoi:

Good analysis Turbo. Just some advice, use paragraphs next time. I like your breakdown but it was a huge chunk of text and a bit hard to read.

Thanks and understood but this was mostly written at 3am lol just started writing away lol did not intend for it to be that long, don't know that many people would read it but if it helps anyone out there it was worth it.

Turbovtk PM Turbovtk
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quote#11659
Posted: 4/23/2013 12:10:50 PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by snakebill] 

Nice pic 
Turbovtk PM Turbovtk
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quote#11660
Posted: 4/23/2013 12:15:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SportsMavin:

PLAYOFFS 

DAY 1

10-9

+10$

DAY 2

15-5

+950$

DAY 3

11-10

Even

-------------------------------------

SportsMavin 7-1

jpaco 5-1

Turbovtk 4-2

BigUnit 5-3

AshyLarryMP  5-3

KingMidasTouch  3-2

SunDevils  1-1

Musicmatt1  3-3

wiessen  0-1

MikeTizzy 0-2

phixer 3-5

----------------------------------------------

36-24    +960$

It appears the under in memphis was what did us as a group- everything else pretty balanced.
Enjoi PM Enjoi
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quote#11661
Posted: 4/23/2013 12:26:35 PM
Okay I have a +9 line for Bucks first half....So tempted to pull the trigger. Thoughts guys?
jpaco PM jpaco
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quote#11662
Posted: 4/23/2013 12:47:16 PM
idk y mem was running like crazy  when they aren't a fast break team. I watched the game and the more mem run the more the lac scores lol and in 4th mem finally played the way they usually play and got the game close oh boy lol but anyways on a positive side still a good night and I know the big boys that had an off night last night will bounce back tonight! Let's go get em guys! 
Turbovtk PM Turbovtk
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quote#11663
Posted: 4/23/2013 3:10:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jpaco:

idk y mem was running like crazy  when they aren't a fast break team. I watched the game and the more mem run the more the lac scores lol and in 4th mem finally played the way they usually play and got the game close oh boy lol but anyways on a positive side still a good night and I know the big boys that had an off night last night will bounce back tonight! Let's go get em guys! 

Right on the money in the fourth the Grizz slowed it down and the Clips with the lead laid back and fell on the trap. Clips need to push the tempo- the only way for grizz to kill tempo is to foul and as long as they dont foul jordan and at times griffin they should be fine. I am going with them next game B2- same for Nets- although both games were close I still see a mismatch.

As for today I can't touch a line on anyone that goes above 13-15 range- is just a recipe for disaster either way because it will depend on the mood of the team if they want to go gangsta on those fools  or if they will be sitting at the table asking for someone to pass the grey poupon. 


Turbovtk PM Turbovtk
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quote#11664
Posted: 4/23/2013 3:13:43 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Enjoi:

Okay I have a +9 line for Bucks first half....So tempted to pull the trigger. Thoughts guys?

Generally the Heat have been pulling away in the 2H, and Bucks made lots of shots last game. Most of them Jump shots- don't know that they can keep doing that- I can't see myself playing a spread on this game other than maybe the 2H depending where it is.
ashylarrymp PM ashylarrymp
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quote#11665
Posted: 4/23/2013 4:49:07 PM
AshyLarryMP 5-3 (71-70-2)

DEN Nuggets -8

BOS Celtics +7

MIL Bucks +14

this nuggets line was -8 game 1 before lee was injured.. now its -8 again?? i see value as this will hurt the warriors and hoping fareed plays tonight, he improves the nuggets interior sooo much!

celtics i just feel they still believe they can win this series.. even if they cant. kind of going with the same thoughts as the bulls game in aspect that celtics NEED a game in new york if they have any chance at this and that urgency is enough for me to take the 7 points.

bucks 14 points taking a chance.. i just have a hard time seeing 2 blowouts in the playoffs.. i mean why even play this series right?? heat still win, but hope jennings and ellis have something to say and keep it in single digits.
Turbovtk PM Turbovtk
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quote#11666
Posted: 4/23/2013 6:00:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ashylarrymp:

AshyLarryMP 5-3 (71-70-2)

DEN Nuggets -8

BOS Celtics +7

MIL Bucks +14

this nuggets line was -8 game 1 before lee was injured.. now its -8 again?? i see value as this will hurt the warriors and hoping fareed plays tonight, he improves the nuggets interior sooo much!

celtics i just feel they still believe they can win this series.. even if they cant. kind of going with the same thoughts as the bulls game in aspect that celtics NEED a game in new york if they have any chance at this and that urgency is enough for me to take the 7 points.

bucks 14 points taking a chance.. i just have a hard time seeing 2 blowouts in the playoffs.. i mean why even play this series right?? heat still win, but hope jennings and ellis have something to say and keep it in single digits.

I like these if you are B2-

with the Heat is tough to see them over doing it if there is no need and they can take chances to rest for playoffs etc. These may be part of small teaser am doing along with the under in mia and two dogs thursday
Heat_In_4 PM Heat_In_4
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quote#11667
Posted: 4/23/2013 6:15:50 PM

Heat_In_4 0-0 (10-7-1) 

Den Nuggets -8.5

Bos Celtics +7

Leeless Warriors will get pummeled inside especially with Faried coming back. You can't beat the Nuggets shooting from outsise, long shots = long rebounds = Denver fastbreak points.

Boston outplayed NY for 3 quarters, but couldn't finish. I expect Garnett to show up tonight and possibly steal this game

SportsMavin PM SportsMavin
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quote#11668
Posted: 4/23/2013 6:25:24 PM
Great work Turbo. That's a kind of effort everyone should applaud to more than a right pick or two or three... 

Agree on both counts.
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quote#11669
Posted: 4/23/2013 6:29:55 PM
4

Big Unit 5-3 (52-45-1)

DEN Nuggets -8

BOS Celtics +6.5

AshyLarryMP 5-3 (71-70-2)

DEN Nuggets -8

BOS Celtics +7

MIL Bucks +14

Heat_In_4 0-0 (10-7-1) 

Den Nuggets -8.5

Bos Celtics +7

Turbovtk PM Turbovtk
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quote#11670
Posted: 4/23/2013 6:34:44 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SportsMavin:

Great work Turbo. That's a kind of effort everyone should applaud to more than a right pick or two or three... 

Agree on both counts.

Thanks, sucks not getting the parlays to hit but the idea is to make money but first is to not lose money.

You are having a nice playoff stretch keep up the good work. 
SunsDevils PM SunsDevils
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quote#11671
Posted: 4/23/2013 7:23:11 PM
SunsDevils 1-1 (43-40)

DEN Nuggets -8
MIL Bucks +8 1H

I am not doing that great in the playoffs. Finding it much harder to find games that I want and lines are a lot sharper that in a regular season. Seems like a totally different beast. It is a learning process as I have lost 3 totals by 3 points or less recently.  So, back to the games.

I locked in DEN -8 as soon as the news about David Lee came out. Denver is a tough place to play to start with, add playoff atmosphere, and undersized GS team without that much depth. Seems like GS should have issues inside, especially with Faried back.  I expect DEN to win by double digits tonight.

I really like MIL to cover tonight. These teams played 5 times this season and MIA hasn't covered 14.5 only in 1, the last game. Yes, the focus is there now for the Heat, but they seem to play a lot better in the second half, putting away the teams then. And I am not playing the whole game as MIA's scrubs are a lot better and if the game is out of control the lead can balloon to what it did i the last game. So I take +8 -105 1H.

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quote#11672
Posted: 4/23/2013 7:28:12 PM
I feel the game 2 in Miami is going to be slower.

Under 197 

I saw the Knicks not covering not because they could not but...

NY Knicks -6.5


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quote#11673
Posted: 4/23/2013 7:29:48 PM
Jpaco 5-1 (52-59-2)


Under 197 MIA Heat - MIL Bucks

i find game one tease on over and seems another tease on over again on the spread..Looking forward for mia def to play even better knowing mil will keep firing since there is no way they can defend the King 

NY Knicks -6.5

this is gut feeling and last min call as i was leaning to bos but i was expecting the spread to adjust to 4-5 atleast as bos will try to adjust big time.. but on the other hand i sense the ny to prove they are the better team and go on bos with 2-0 and make a statement tonight


Over 208 DEN Nuggets - GS Warriors

no lee means no post up for gs more guards playing the offense and den having manimal back means more speed



BOL EVERYONE 
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quote#11674
Posted: 4/23/2013 7:30:16 PM
4

SportsMavin 7-1 (25-29)

Under 197 MIA Heat - MIL Bucks

NY Knicks -6.5

Big Unit 5-3 (52-45-1)

DEN Nuggets -8

BOS Celtics +6.5

AshyLarryMP 5-3 (71-70-2)

DEN Nuggets -8

BOS Celtics +7

MIL Bucks +14

SunsDevils 1-1 (43-40)

DEN Nuggets -8

MIL Bucks +8 1H

Heat_In_4 0-0 (10-7-1) 

Den Nuggets -8.5

Bos Celtics +7

SportsMavin PM SportsMavin
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quote#11675
Posted: 4/23/2013 7:31:55 PM
4

SportsMavin 7-1 (25-29)

Under 197 MIA Heat - MIL Bucks

NY Knicks -6.5

Jpaco 5-1 (52-59-2)

Under 197 MIA Heat - MIL Bucks

NY Knicks -6.5

Over 208 DEN Nuggets - GS Warriors

Big Unit 5-3 (52-45-1)

DEN Nuggets -8

BOS Celtics +6.5

AshyLarryMP 5-3 (71-70-2)

DEN Nuggets -8

BOS Celtics +7

MIL Bucks +14

SunsDevils 1-1 (43-40)

DEN Nuggets -8

MIL Bucks +8 1H

Heat_In_4 0-0 (10-7-1) 

Den Nuggets -8.5

Bos Celtics +7

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