Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how

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Author: [Website Promotions] Topic: Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how
SunsDevils PM SunsDevils
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quote#9201
Posted: 3/18/2013 6:30:57 PM
SunsDevils 20-22

Phx Suns +3

For those that are on the Lakers, be careful with the Suns here. This game is their season. Suns have Laker's pick this season and it would be huge for the whole franchise to get another lottery pick and knock the Lakers possibly out of the playoffs. Lakers are also playing back to back, with Nash not 100%, Kobe out and the Suns fan base that will be into it. Suns did beat the Lakers at home a few months ago. And while PHX team has been absolutely pathetic lately, that can attributed to Hunter giving tons of minutes to the horrible young players in the organization. I assume, tonight since they need this game, you will see a lot more Scola, Oneil, Dudley and Dragic. With 78% on the Lakers here the line moved from opening -3.5 to -3. RLM here is as well, so I will take the Suns here.
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quote#9202
Posted: 3/18/2013 6:34:39 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Roc55996677:

Turbo I'm new on covers.  I know you picked Denver, but isn't Denver not a good road team ? You think it be close, since the spread is kinda low.

Chi+3.5
Lopelpickscom PM Lopelpickscom
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quote#9203
Posted: 3/18/2013 6:35:35 PM
Lopelpickscom 25-15-1

UNDER 186.5 CLE Cavs - IND Pacers

I liked the under once I saw the line at 189. There is some RLM here but not really. The Pacers are a slow team they will shut down the Cavs up and down game. 

UNDER 188.5 CHA Bobcats - WAS Wizards

The Bobcats are bad offensively the Wizards also struggle offensively on the road as their avg road games go under 183 ppg. This will be one of those sloppy games with poor shooting and poor offensive execution.




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quote#9204
Posted: 3/18/2013 6:37:48 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ashylarrymp:

AshyLarryMP 34-33-2:

CLE Cavaliers +7.5

CHA Bobcats +7

CHI Bulls +4

ok pacers this is too many points on the road.. pacers not playing good ball of late and i will always take home dogs of this many points! hence my picks today, and dallas+6 yesterday.. and sixers+6 vs brooklyn other day etc.. home dogs pay.

bobcats is a pure fade the wizards play as others have said, RLM has this line trending down despite public being on wiz.. with bobcats at home this is more of a toss up game in my opinion.. and would anyone really be shocked if bobcats won this?? i wouldn't.

bulls +4 at home they need to get back on track to a team that is running hot.. bulls i feel are happy to be home and will be focused for this game and nuggets still not a good road team at all.. i think bulls win outright here as nuggets look ahead to the thunder coming up. going with the gut on this one.


I have seen this quoted quite a few times here " looking forward to, ahead to, etc. when it comes to games prior to rival matchups, now I don't know what the trend is on that but would be nice if someone were to tally some of those meaningless games before important game theories, while I don't disagree that there could be something there I am also not sold on the concept yet without numbers.

If that were the case MIA should not have covered yesterday as the game today is the important game? This was said of OKC on 2/13 against JAZZ 94-109 Jazz win (a rival I might add) because they should be looking towards the MIA game 2/14/13 110-100 Heat win- how would one interpret that? I think we are coming down the stretch and every game means alot- the above may be more accurate at the start of the season. The bulls will at home could not handle the Heat not because the Heat were shooting lights out but because they were late getting back on defense. I know is not in Denver but how do they keep up, only if Nuggets slow the pace down. Just my observation.
Turbovtk PM Turbovtk
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quote#9205
Posted: 3/18/2013 6:39:10 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DaMeCabeza:

Tailed Turbo

I hope you also did your own DD- on the games you decided to go with.
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quote#9206
Posted: 3/18/2013 6:40:35 PM
Detroit Injury report.
Pistons will be without Drummond, and Brandon Knight will doubtful until the last minute

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quote#9207
Posted: 3/18/2013 6:43:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Roc55996677:

Turbo I'm new on covers.  I know you picked Denver, but isn't Denver not a good road team ? You think it be close, since the spread is kinda low.

Welcome to our Mavin's thread, I just think that there are certain teams that are hot right now and we will need to see confirmation that they are faltering before I can fade them. Denver is not a good road team, but the way I see it is that they have not been a good road team and if it's true that most things even out in the end the early road loses should pair with the upcoming wins just my opinion.

But more than Denver is the recent inconsistency of the Bulls after a nice hot streak they were on. You will be able to tell early how this game is going to go because the Nuggets on two days rest will be hungry is what I think. Will Noah keep having big games? will they shoot well from the perimeter if they don't will they be able to rebound or will they have to race back to play defense and stop the 2-3 sec layup plays of the Nuggets? Denver is a very dangerous team and people think they can only win at home, lets see how it goes.
DaMeCabeza PM DaMeCabeza
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quote#9208
Posted: 3/18/2013 6:44:54 PM
Heat -6, Hawks -4.5 and bobcats over 188.5
ashylarrymp PM ashylarrymp
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quote#9209
Posted: 3/18/2013 6:47:55 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Turbovtk:


I have seen this quoted quite a few times here " looking forward to, ahead to, etc. when it comes to games prior to rival matchups, now I don't know what the trend is on that but would be nice if someone were to tally some of those meaningless games before important game theories, while I don't disagree that there could be something there I am also not sold on the concept yet without numbers.

If that were the case MIA should not have covered yesterday as the game today is the important game? This was said of OKC on 2/13 against JAZZ 94-109 Jazz win (a rival I might add) because they should be looking towards the MIA game 2/14/13 110-100 Heat win- how would one interpret that? I think we are coming down the stretch and every game means alot- the above may be more accurate at the start of the season. The bulls will at home could not handle the Heat not because the Heat were shooting lights out but because they were late getting back on defense. I know is not in Denver but how do they keep up, only if Nuggets slow the pace down. Just my observation.

totally bro i have 0 stats to support that particular theory lol.. BUT only argument i have is those 2 teams you used in your example are in another class compared to the nuggets in my opinion.. i mean are the heat really looking ahead to boston?? i feel they're not worried about boston as much as nuggets would be with OKC u no?.. 
and with the OKC example well i just think OKC is flat better than the nuggets, (yes i know they lost in denver, but nuggets beat EVERYONE at home).. and as you said that was a rival game, so they had no problem sticking it to the jazz lol..
 but ya i just feel the nuggets away from home are a team thats vulnerable to losing if their focus isn't 100%, especially when thibodeau (sp?) lol i know wants to get back on track here after long west coast trip... looking forward to the game though now  but if nuggets go into chicago and win by 8+ i'll be pretty surprised.. if they win by like 5 close to the spread, all good good win for nuggets.. but i'm looking for bulls to win this won outright. good luck my man and ya i have no idea how to track the look ahead stat without hopelessly trying to keep up myself.
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quote#9210
Posted: 3/18/2013 6:51:19 PM
my biggest bet of the day is still cavs+7.5 though, pretty confident in that one.. 
Lopelpickscom PM Lopelpickscom
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quote#9211
Posted: 3/18/2013 6:54:04 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Lopelpickscom:

Lopelpickscom 25-15-1

UNDER 186.5 CLE Cavs - IND Pacers

I liked the under once I saw the line at 189. There is some RLM here but not really. The Pacers are a slow team they will shut down the Cavs up and down game. 

UNDER 188.5 CHA Bobcats - WAS Wizards

The Bobcats are bad offensively the Wizards also struggle offensively on the road as their avg road games go under 183 ppg. This will be one of those sloppy games with poor shooting and poor offensive execution.





ADDING:

UNDER 199.5 PHO Suns - LA Lakers

Suns are just a poor scoring team at home. They are actually the top "HOME UNDER" team in the NBA.
LBNYer PM LBNYer
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quote#9212
Posted: 3/18/2013 6:59:35 PM
Love the 76ers -1 I think the book wants everyone to jump on Portland 
SunsDevils PM SunsDevils
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quote#9213
Posted: 3/18/2013 7:00:11 PM
SunsDevils 20-22

PHX Suns +3
Under 189 CHA Hornets - WAS Wizards
GS Warriors -3.5

I explained my Suns pick earlier. Lots of trendsd in CHA WAS game under:

OU Trends

Washington
  • Under is 5-0 in Wizards last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Under is 9-1-1 in Wizards last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 17-4 in Wizards last 21 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 12-3-1 in Wizards last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 Monday games.
  • Under is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
  • Under is 20-7-1 in Wizards last 28 overall.
  • Under is 38-14 in Wizards last 52 road games.
  • Under is 36-14-2 in Wizards last 52 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 14-6-2 in Wizards last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Under is 37-16-1 in Wizards last 54 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
  • Under is 9-4-1 in Wizards last 14 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 33-16-2 in Wizards last 51 games following a S.U. win.
  • Under is 41-20-3 in Wizards last 64 vs. Eastern Conference.
Charlotte
  • Under is 7-1 in Bobcats last 8 Monday games.
  • Under is 6-1 in Bobcats last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 11-3 in Bobcats last 14 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-2 in Bobcats last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 8-3 in Bobcats last 11 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Under is 13-5 in Bobcats last 18 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 7-3 in Bobcats last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Under is 16-7 in Bobcats last 23 overall.
  • Under is 13-6 in Bobcats last 19 games following a S.U. loss.
GS should be able to put up some points. I don't see NO being able to keep up without Gordon. GS is fighting for the playoffs, where NO has nothing to play for at this point.
greengiants PM greengiants
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quote#9214
Posted: 3/18/2013 7:06:42 PM

greengiants 26-27

DET Pistons +4.5

-Nets are 2-6  ATS facing a team one days rest on  0 days rest

-Nets are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings

-Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings

 

Over 194.5 CHI Bulls - DEN Nuggets

both teams on 2 days rest, fresh legs, points will be made.

-Over is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 road games.

-Over is 10-3 in Nuggets last 13 vs. Eastern Conference

-Over is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 games playing on 2 days rest

-Over is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points

 

DEN Nuggets -3.5

Bulls won't be able to keep up with denver.

-Nuggets are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 vs. NBA Central

-Nuggets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games

-Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record

-Bulls are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Northwest

-Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game

-Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600

 

 

best of luck everyone!  

SportsMavin PM SportsMavin
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quote#9215
Posted: 3/18/2013 7:15:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Turbovtk:


It should be mandatory that you post on every page of this thread and at the top of your post should read...


<========================== FOCUS!
KJacobs2O3 PM KJacobs2O3
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quote#9216
Posted: 3/18/2013 7:31:47 PM
KJacobs2O3 15-10

BRK Nets -4.5

MIA Heat -6

GS Warriors -4

Brooklyn has lost 11 of their last 12 and of all those losses there was only 1 time they were within 5 points 

Been a celtics fan all of my life and i just dont see how the celtics can keep this close. miami is playing a t too high of a level. not very often i will go against my favorite team but when the times right i have to do it

warriors had a big win last night and their defense has stepped up big time. hornets have lost 3 straight and o dont think they can macth up to the warriors at all. hornets 11-3 in last 14 and only twice in that span was it by closer than 4 points 

GL everyone hit big

KJacobs2O3 PM KJacobs2O3
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quote#9217
Posted: 3/18/2013 7:33:55 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KJacobs2O3:

KJacobs2O3 15-10

BRK Nets -4.5

MIA Heat -6

GS Warriors -4

Brooklyn has lost 11 of their last 12 and of all those losses there was only 1 time they were within 5 points 

Been a celtics fan all of my life and i just dont see how the celtics can keep this close. miami is playing a t too high of a level. not very often i will go against my favorite team but when the times right i have to do it

warriors had a big win last night and their defense has stepped up big time. hornets have lost 3 straight and o dont think they can macth up to the warriors at all. hornets 11-3 in last 14 and only twice in that span was it by closer than 4 points 

GL everyone hit big


i meant detroit has lost 11 of past 12
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quote#9218
Posted: 3/18/2013 7:33:58 PM
Turbovtk 25-11-2

MIA Heat -4

DEN Nuggets -3.5

LA Laker -2.5

phixer 16-3-1

KingMidasTouch  17-7-1

Lopelpickscom 25-15-1

UNDER 186.5 CLE Cavs - IND Pacers

UNDER 188.5 CHA Bobcats - WAS Wizards

UNDER 199.5 PHO Suns - LA Lakers

BigUnit   26-19

CLE Cavaliers +6.5

GS Warriors -3

Heads2134   16-10

DEN Nuggets -3.5
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quote#9219
Posted: 3/18/2013 7:34:05 PM

AshyLarryMP 34-33-2:


CLE Cavaliers +7.5

CHA Bobcats +7

CHI Bulls +4

greengiants 26-27

DET Pistons +4.5

Over 194.5 CHI Bulls - DEN Nuggets

DEN Nuggets -3.5

Musicmatt1  30-34-1

 

MIA Heat -4


DEN Nuggets -4


LA Lakers -3


lrempel 9-10


BRK Nets -4.5

BRK Nets over 188

DAL Mavericks +3

SunsDevils 20-22

PHO Suns +3

Under 189 CHA Hornets - WAS Wizards

GS Warriors -3.5

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quote#9220
Posted: 3/18/2013 7:34:11 PM
Eryximaque 26-21

MIN Timberwolves +14.5

GS Warriors -3 

DEN Nuggets -4

Lank66    29-24-1

muneemaker 9-5

ATL Hawks -3

GS Warriors -3

Jpaco 26-22

DET Pistons +3.5

CHI Bulls +3.5

UTA Jazz -10

CP74    27-23-1

KrishBreezy 21-18

GS Warriors -3

ATL Hawks -3

MIN Timberwolves +14.5

RISTRAS 2-0

UNDER 183.5 MEM Grizzlies - MIN Timberwolves

CHA Bobcats +7.5

standupcomedian  3-2-1

Creep609   (5-4)

BKN Nets -3.5

DEN Nuggets -3.5
swanman87 PM swanman87
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quote#9221
Posted: 3/18/2013 7:39:12 PM
Utah is a tough place to place and with them being in the 9th spot in the west right now they cant afford to lose.

Right now - the knicks are without kurt thomas, prigioni hurt his thumb and status is unknown right now, Melo is out, chandler is questionable.  If that's the case they should get killed on the glass and won't have much scoring besides JR.

Lean - Utah 10.5

Diehard bulls fan, but lets be serious.  typically speaking this year the bulls play awful on mondays.  Denver is not that great on the road, but if they push the tempo, our offense is so inconsistent, i dont think we will be able to keep up.  Would need a huge game from boozer and JO as well as jumpers to fall for Deng.  Taj is gametime decision but i lean denver -3.5

I didn't get a very good MIA line (-6) but i am rolling with it.  no KG and a heat team that is just playing unreal basketball needless to say.  LBJ for the W

Lakers lost already in PHX this year and kobe is out for tonights game.  I think they definitely move the ball better without him in the line up, but they need some guys to step up tonight.  Currently sitting in the 8th spot, and these are the game they cant afford to lose on the road.

GSW has been a fave team of mine all year and again i expect them to blow out the hornets.  no eric gordon tonight, i just dont think they can keep tempo with GSW especially with strong guard play from them.

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quote#9222
Posted: 3/18/2013 7:39:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DaMeCabeza:

Heat -6, Hawks -4.5 and bobcats over 188.5

Care to explain why? 
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quote#9223
Posted: 3/18/2013 7:42:38 PM
Thanks everyone for your time and effort researching, formatting and posting your picks.

Thanks Turbo for patiently explaining to newcomers how to post using the right format and reason the picks.

Let me refresh the memory of those who already post not for the first time and also use the opportunity to explain to the newcomers.

The right format is asked for the very reason to get some discipline into your work which will better your own perspective on your work and is a step towards professional work. It might seem to you that we only have a fun over here - you may be right - but not only - we take our work very seriously and take pride in it. So, every journey starts with a small step and for you that step is formatting your picks. And then we ask to reason your picks for very reason of discussion first and analysing your pregame thoughts after the game is over and you know what you were right about and what you were wrong about - noting and getting better for the next time based on conclusions drawn. Some will succeed more and some less - but no doubt - everyone will get better.
So, some sooner and some later will reach the results to be really proud of. And in a humble way. Always.

GL to all

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quote#9224
Posted: 3/18/2013 7:43:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ashylarrymp:


totally bro i have 0 stats to support that particular theory lol.. BUT only argument i have is those 2 teams you used in your example are in another class compared to the nuggets in my opinion.. i mean are the heat really looking ahead to boston?? i feel they're not worried about boston as much as nuggets would be with OKC u no?.. 
and with the OKC example well i just think OKC is flat better than the nuggets, (yes i know they lost in denver, but nuggets beat EVERYONE at home).. and as you said that was a rival game, so they had no problem sticking it to the jazz lol..
 but ya i just feel the nuggets away from home are a team thats vulnerable to losing if their focus isn't 100%, especially when thibodeau (sp?) lol i know wants to get back on track here after long west coast trip... looking forward to the game though now  but if nuggets go into chicago and win by 8+ i'll be pretty surprised.. if they win by like 5 close to the spread, all good good win for nuggets.. but i'm looking for bulls to win this won outright. good luck my man and ya i have no idea how to track the look ahead stat without hopelessly trying to keep up myself.

I am in no way putting down your theory just really am a numbers person. Never too late to start tracking- make this your first track write it down on a note book that you can later check and add more to it- meaning next time you have this theory add it to the book you may be up to something but unless you track it and come up with some sort of system it's hard to get a good read on it.
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quote#9225
Posted: 3/18/2013 7:45:20 PM
I made it! 

In Maryland, rain is like snow and people stink at driving. It took me 2.5 hours to get home. Luckily didn't miss a second of the Heat/Celtics match up.

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