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Author: [Website Promotions] Topic: Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how
dastovski365
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dastovski365
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#7476
Posted: 3/2/2013 9:57:40 AM
I see some of u mentioning creating your own lines ( turbovtk, cp74).
I was wondering how u make your own lines?

This should be your first step, because u can spot value when true and fair lines are not the same. 
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dastovski365
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#7477
Posted: 3/2/2013 9:58:41 AM
wow, how is this happening?!? 
I post this once few hours ago
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BigUnit
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#7478
Posted: 3/2/2013 9:59:10 AM

10-3

Gonna take the Nets.  4-0 last 4 meetings in Chicago.  Underdog 7-3 ats last 10 meetings.  Road team 4-0 last 4 meetings.  Bulls a little banged up and have only won 5 out of thier last 13.  Nets 14-12 on the road.  Taking the over in the wolves/blazers game.  2 of the 3 refs are prone to the over and one is a push in this totals range.  Over is 4-0-1 last 5 in Portland.  9-1-1 over in last 11 meetings.  I think it will be more competitive than the spread indicates.  BOL! 

BRK Nets +5

Over 197.5 MIN Timberwolves-POR Trailblazers

 

 

 

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lrempel
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#7479
Posted: 3/2/2013 10:04:29 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by greengiants:

Grats Irempel Good call!I am humbled!



 Thanks Big Green :) Had I only hammered the money line, then I would be real happy this morning :)
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CP74
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#7480
Posted: 3/2/2013 10:21:58 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Turbovtk:


 how could you forget me ?  Sir do you want to take this outside ?

I was so close to goin 5-0 last night! Almost got there in Miami.
(Had under in BRO and the over in SA, thx to BigUnit, in my personal card)
 The heats' first qtr got me! 

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BigUnit
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#7481
Posted: 3/2/2013 10:39:02 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CP74:

I was so close to goin 5-0 last night! Almost got there in Miami.
(Had under in BRO and the over in SA, thx to BigUnit, in my personal card)
 The heats' first qtr got me! 

Glad we are on friendlier terms. 

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CP74
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#7482
Posted: 3/2/2013 11:07:56 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dastovski365:

I see some of u mentioning creating your own lines ( turbovtk, cp74).
I was wondering how u make your own lines?

This should be your first step, because u can spot value when true and fair lines are not the same. 

1st home team gets 3, then I look at peer rankings, then H vs A record, then the situation ( rest vs back to back and play off implications for instance) 
So for example last night in Boston
Boston -3 cuz at home
Boston - 1 1/2 PR
Boston - 1 H vs A record 
Boston - 1 1/2 Situation ( Boston doesn't want to slip to 8th and they are the rested team)
So I had the line at BOS -6 1/2 to -7. 
After this short synopsis I check the posted line and if it is off by 1 1/2 - 2 pts I then will use trends and stats to justify either for or against. 
Totals are more tricky as I don't set a 'personal' line for those.I look at trends and stats like pace rating and such and don't worry about the number so much and just go with what the recent trends and stats tell me. Or I'll tail Phixer. Lol. Forgot I had tailed Phixer on that crazy total line move in OKC.
So I was a made free throw from from 6-0
Good job again crew! 
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greengiants
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greengiants
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#7483
Posted: 3/2/2013 11:09:55 AM

greengiants 10-11

BK Nets +5

pretty much the same reasoning as Big Unit

-Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win

-Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record

-Bulls are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 10 points

-Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win

-Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games

-Nets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Chicago

PHI 76er's -1

following the RLM here, what better way to break a losing streak than to face another team on  a losing streak.

-76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points

-76ers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss

-76ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record

-Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss

-Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss

-Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record

-Warriors are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games

-Warriors are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia

-Warriors are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings

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CP74
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#7484
Posted: 3/2/2013 11:13:29 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BigUnit:

Glad we are on friendlier terms. 


I was never on bad terms. Not sure who pissed in your cornflakes that morning but I am always willing to let bygones be bygones! Life's too short and don't have the energy to hate
Excellent capping my friend!!
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CJkamp13
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#7485
Posted: 3/2/2013 11:18:18 AM

Keep up the nice work all. lots of good info coming in!

But ill stick hockey

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KJacobs2O3
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KJacobs2O3
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#7486
Posted: 3/2/2013 11:21:49 AM

Plays today are

PHI 76ers pk

this line opened at +1 and is now at -1 some places. the public is  69 % ( 745 - 342 ) on the warriors  as far as covers says and the experts are 7-1 on the warriors. that would normally cause a the sixers to become a bigger underdog but were getting some RLM action here which is one of my favorite handicapping styles. vegas wants people to take the warriors because it seems like the obvious play when you take sixers(22-34) against a warriors team (33-25) and give points to the suposed obvious play(warriors). this is also the warriors 5th road game in 7 days while the sixers are returning home today after a 1 game trip to chicago where they lost. i love betting against the public and on RLM game.

second play is MIL bucks -5

the bucks have won the past 4 meetings by 6 or more points every time and 3 of those games were in toronto. bucks are comming off of 2 days rest and torontos last road game they lost to cleavland by 11 and the bucks are a better team than cleavland. i beleive the bucks win by double didgits but as long as they cover im happy

good luck everyone

 

 

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CP74
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#7487
Posted: 3/2/2013 11:22:10 AM
BTW that's Power Rankings not Peer Rankings. Lol 
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greengiants
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greengiants
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#7488
Posted: 3/2/2013 11:22:45 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CJkamp13:

Keep up the nice work all. lots of good info coming in!

But ill stick hockey

How's the hockey going CJ? I'll post some more with you guy's soon!

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CP74
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#7489
Posted: 3/2/2013 11:30:29 AM
Tough card tonight. Leaning GS but may just sit out tonight and take on the NHL 
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CP74
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#7490
Posted: 3/2/2013 11:34:00 AM
Tough card tonight. Leaning GS but may just sit out tonight and take on the NHL 
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#7491
Posted: 3/2/2013 11:53:02 AM
Lank66 16-11

Under 200 TOR Raptors - MIL Bucks

Under 177.5 BRO Nets - CHI Bulls

Reasoning

Milwaukee games at home against defensive oriented teams have struggled to get over 190.  I believe the line makers are thinking that there will be a lot of fouling at the end of the game as it is such a big game for both teams.  Toronto has been struggling to put 90 points on the board against all opponents lately and they should know that if they get into a track meet with Milwaukee they will most certainly lose.  In an effort to keep things under control Toronto should try to keep a controlled pace.  I have this game between 185-190 total points.      

Chicago plays great defense at home and Brooklyn is known to play decent defense as well.  They both are struggling offensively.  I have the game at 170 points and would not be surprised to see it even lower than that.

Good luck all!
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BigUnit
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#7492
Posted: 3/2/2013 11:53:33 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CP74:


I was never on bad terms. Not sure who pissed in your cornflakes that morning but I am always willing to let bygones be bygones! Life's too short and don't have the energy to hate
Excellent capping my friend!!

That morning I discovered I was out of weed. 

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greengiants
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greengiants
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#7493
Posted: 3/2/2013 12:06:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BigUnit:

That morning I discovered I was out of weed. 

    

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CP74
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#7494
Posted: 3/2/2013 12:10:55 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BigUnit:

That morning I discovered I was out of weed. 

Gotcha! It all makes sense now. 

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CP74
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#7495
Posted: 3/2/2013 12:15:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by greengiants:

    

What is so funny gg?? 
THC deficiency is a serious condition!!
     
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CP74
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#7496
Posted: 3/2/2013 12:26:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Lank66:

Lank66 16-11

Under 200 TOR Raptors - MIL Bucks

Under 177.5 BRO Nets - CHI Bulls

Reasoning

Milwaukee games at home against defensive oriented teams have struggled to get over 190.  I believe the line makers are thinking that there will be a lot of fouling at the end of the game as it is such a big game for both teams.  Toronto has been struggling to put 90 points on the board against all opponents lately and they should know that if they get into a track meet with Milwaukee they will most certainly lose.  In an effort to keep things under control Toronto should try to keep a controlled pace.  I have this game between 185-190 total points.      

Chicago plays great defense at home and Brooklyn is known to play decent defense as well.  They both are struggling offensively.  I have the game at 170 points and would not be surprised to see it even lower than that.

Good luck all!

Lank66 has convinced me. Chicago is horrid at home this year. And Brooklyn  has come back down to earth since the coaching change. 

CP74 11-9

Under 177 1/2 BRK Nets-CHI Bulls 

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#7497
Posted: 3/2/2013 12:54:35 PM
oreooreo1 2-7-1

Over 198 POR Trailblazers MIN Timber

The Trailblazers are 4-0 to the over in their last 4 Saturday home games. 6-1 in last 7 games. They do their best to put on a show for the Saturday night home crowd.

Posted using a mobile device.
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CJkamp13
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#7498
Posted: 3/2/2013 1:40:44 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by greengiants:

How's the hockey going CJ? I'll post some more with you guy's soon!

This week so far not to bad, + 23.3 units right now. Just started keeping track of my units on my posted plays on  last sunday. so this is the first week ive tracked units. and so far so good!

BOL Today all.   

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#7499
Posted: 3/2/2013 2:08:46 PM
Ok. We started this post NBA All Star Game contest on a second half of the season  on last Tuesday and got better with each day improving our handicapping and admitting new talented contestants. So, here is the short recap of the first 5 days. Congrats to all the participants and thanks.

Tuesday  February 19 2013  (1ML +125 won as well and one ML +175 lost so not -110 lost on that one. Meaning +0.35 on top of percentage)   16-13  
1600-1430+35=205    +205 $

Wednesday  February 20 2013    23-16 
2300-1760=540         +540 $

Thursday  February 21  2013 (1 loss was ML on a + side)   11-11 
1100-1200=-100        -100 $

Friday  February 22  2013      13-13  
1300-1430=-130     -130$

Saturday  February 23  2013    19-4 
1900-440=1460     +1460$

Sunday February 24 2013      29-18 

2900-1980=920        +920$

Monday  February 25 2013  19-17

1900-1870=30       +30$

Tuesday  February 26 2013  30-22-1

3000-2420=580    +580$

Wednesday  February 27 2013  21-32-5

2170-3520=-1450      -1450$

Thursday  February 28 2013  10-26

1000-2860=-1860     -1860$


Friday  March 1st  2013   37-23

3700-2520=1180    +1180$


TOTAL  228-195-6   +1,375 $
quote
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#7500
Posted: 3/2/2013 2:11:27 PM
Careful today. After a great showing always comes a Vegas day and be careful not to send the money back today. If you're not sure about some plays a or don't like them - do not force them
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