Messages

I feel the same way- my only concern is that the heat are not starting a trend but rather in the middle to the end of one- they will not win every game down the road and their will be a lack of effort at some point- While I don't think this is the game in which this happens to win by double digits is very difficult against an inspired team and the grizz seem to be inspired. I however do like the over in this game for the same reasons above. The Grizz are not the Bulls in my opinion they put up 85-90 and miami 95-100 the line is set pretty well if the heat let up- However they are at home and if they work the paint they can get this done and after an almost embarrassing loss against the kings they will play defense on this one, that is my only concern on the over.

Without any disrespect to anyone on this thread and we all know who we are that contribute on a daily basis so I will skip the name dropping.

I think during the last two days we have been tailing a lot, while it is ok to agree and even have the same bets as a group sometimes I get the feeling that we are placing bets just on other peoples insight and not putting our own two cents into the mix. This does not mean that we should are not doing a good job it just means there is room for improvement. To put it another way please try and first do your homework then compare it to others and collaborate, I think this is a more effective tool as just reading and agreeing leads to bias towards those that are having a hot streak etc. I am a big believer in trends ( I am a technical chartist of markets in general ) so lets keep in mind that while trends are a good guide we must not rely on numbers alone and also think of the human element, this is sports played by humans and that affects things. Like some of you have started using the refs to help calculate the potential of an over under situation etc. That is good proof that humans have input in the outcomes and we must be prepared. It also pays to spend $1 or so in a notebook, while computers are great I have realized that using a note book or a white board- yes i have a big board that is why I call things small or big boards because I actually make my own lines then compare them when they come out- the RLM helps me get conviction but my mind for the most part is made up without vegas lines to start, later adjustments are made accordingly. I don't check other peoples picks until I have put up my leans and done initial work. This helps you be responsible for your picks and make initial sounds decision and spot flaws in your system when compared to others and eventually the outcomes.

Hope no one got offended and that this helps out our community as that is what we have become. 

Outcomes from yesterday parlays and hedges to follow.

DAL Mavericks +3

UNDER 194 CHA Bobcats/UT Jazz

NY Knicks -2.5

Under 220 OKC Thunder - DEN Nuggets

Over 186 MEM Grizzlies - MIA Heat

Under on DEN Nuggets while Denver has been flying up and down OKC is also fast this will cause for tougher shots in paint and the game may slow down a little. I also notice that trap games meaning -1 or pick games tend to go under- look at pacers clips last night.

Over on MIA game because the heat are at or near 100 on almost every game in the second half of the season I need to see them stink out once before I pick an under on them.