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Author: [Website Promotions] Topic: Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how
SportsMavin send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
SportsMavin
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#7376
Posted: 3/1/2013 6:12:18 PM
Lank66 13-11

Under 186 IND Pacers - TOR Raptors

Under 195.5 DAL Mavericks - BRO Nets

Under 194.5 CHAR Bobcats - UTA Jazz

Musicmatt1  6-8-1

HOU Rockets -8.5

ATL Hawks -4

NY Knicks -2.5

Eryximaque 2-5

DAL Mavericks +3

UTA Jazz -8,5

Over 213,5 SAC Kings - SA Spurs

EddyWinsLow

UNDER 194.5 CHA Bobcats - UTA Jazz

Phixer 5-0

Under 218  Den Nuggets - OKC Thunder

AshyLarryMP (13-14)

UNDER 215 SAC Kings - SA Spurs

UNDER 193 WAS Wizards - NY Knicks

UNDER 213 HOU Rockets -  ORL Magic

KingMidasTouch  5-2

Under 192.5  WASH Wizards - NY Knicks

NO Hornets -3.5

ATL Hawks  -4
quote
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#7377
Posted: 3/1/2013 6:13:50 PM
Mavin's NBA contest Friday March 1st 2013

KJacobs203

IND pacers -1.5

MEM grizzlies +8.5

BigUnit  9-3

Over 212 SAC Kings-SA Spurs

greengiants 9-10

Over 193.5 ATL Hawks-PHO Suns

BOS Celtics -4

KrishBreezy 7-5

NY Knicks -2.5

SA Spurs -14.5

ATL Hawks -4

CP74 9-8

MIA Heat -8

Over 186 MIA Heat-MEM Grizzlies

BOS Celtics -4

VyperATS  4-6-1

IND Pacers -1 ½

NY Knicks – 2 ½

Utah Jazz -9

Oreooreo1. 2-6-1

Over 194 ATL Hawks PHO Suns

Jpaco 5-7

HOU Rockets -8.5

Over 213.5 SAC Kings - SAN Spurs

Over 220 OKC Thunders - DEN Nuggets

quote
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#7378
Posted: 3/1/2013 6:17:00 PM
SunsDevils 8-6

Over 99.5 TT ATL Hawks
HOU Rockets -8.5
NY Knicks -2.5

Atlanta scored 100 points in the last 9 out of 10 games. Suns can't be trusted to put up points, so I am just going to take the Hawks here.

HOU will run and gun as always and ORL just doesn't have the weapons to stay with them. We all saw what happened when Sacto got in town and it was on a back to back for them.

NY Knicks need a win. They haven't played well lately and need to get back on track. Wash just lost to DET at home and Nene is questionable. Just taking a better team here.
quote
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#7379
Posted: 3/1/2013 6:17:58 PM
Lank66 13-11

Under 186 IND Pacers - TOR Raptors

Under 195.5 DAL Mavericks - BRO Nets

Under 194.5 CHAR Bobcats - UTA Jazz

Musicmatt1  6-8-1

HOU Rockets -8.5

ATL Hawks -4

NY Knicks -2.5

Eryximaque 2-5

DAL Mavericks +3

UTA Jazz -8,5

Over 213,5 SAC Kings - SA Spurs

EddyWinsLow

UNDER 194.5 CHA Bobcats - UTA Jazz

Phixer 5-0

Under 218  Den Nuggets - OKC Thunder

AshyLarryMP (13-14)

UNDER 215 SAC Kings - SA Spurs

UNDER 193 WAS Wizards - NY Knicks

UNDER 213 HOU Rockets -  ORL Magic

KingMidasTouch  5-2

Under 192.5  WASH Wizards - NY Knicks

NO Hornets -3.5

ATL Hawks  -4

Heads2134 (10-4)

ATL Hawks -4

Over  50  1st Quarter  CLE Cavaliers - LA Clippers

Over 99.5 1st Half  BOS Celtics - GS Warriors
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#7380
Posted: 3/1/2013 6:19:03 PM
SunsDevils 8-6

Over 99.5 TT ATL Hawks 

HOU Rockets -8.5

NY Knicks -2.5 
quote
Turbovtk
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Turbovtk
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#7381
Posted: 3/1/2013 6:19:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Musicmatt1:

I think a lot of people are on or will be on the Pacers tonight.  Rightfully so, given the way they've been playing.

I think we may want to open up a discussion on this game alone as I see a few things that make me question they will win.

  • Pacers are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Toronto.
  • Pacers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

No matter how well teams seem to be rolling, there are still teams that play them well or places teams tend to struggle.  Toronto seems to be that place for the Pacers.  In fact, the Raptors beat the Pacers (yes in overtime) in Indiana early this February.

I also think that considering the results of last night, the Pacers excitement from that little scuffle subsided during their day off.  I believe it became a distraction during that day off answering questions about it.  I probably will stay away from this game.  I just fear sometimes we blindly bet based on our confidence on a certain team, so I thought a discussion would be very helpful.


Spot on 
quote
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#7382
Posted: 3/1/2013 6:19:59 PM
67 Club   (1-4 last night. KrishyBreeze dropped out)

BigUnit  9-3

Over 212 SAC Kings-SA Spurs

Heads 10-4

ATL Hawks -4

Over  50  1st Quarter  CLE Cavaliers - LA Clippers

Over 99.5 1st Half  BOS Celtics - GS Warriors

Phixer 5-0

Under 218  Den Nuggets - OKC Thunder

KindMidasTouch  5-2

Under 192.5  WASH Wizards - NY Knicks

NO Hornets -3.5

ATL Hawks  -4

Fuzzrod  4-2
quote
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#7383
Posted: 3/1/2013 6:22:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Heads2134:

Heads2134 (10-4)

ATL Hawks -4

Hawks playing better since the trade deadline, the Hawks are a better team in every position, 
Suns 0-5 ATS last 5 at home
Hawks 5-0 ATS last 5 on the road.


Over 1q 50 CLE Cavaliers - LA Clippers

Just because the Clippers relax their defense against vad teams in the first half, but not the offense.


Over 1h 99.5 BOS Celtics - GS Warriors

Warriors play over 6-0 against good home teams.
GS games average 104 points on the road at the half.
Celtics without Rondo are running a little bit more with their guards, and I think GS forwards will outrun Celtics forwards. 

Thank you for playing by the rules! Although I believe Mavin needs the plays grouped together with your handle and up to date record bold and underlined. Its the least we can do for our friend to make more time for his own capping.
quote
Turbovtk
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Turbovtk
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#7384
Posted: 3/1/2013 6:23:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CP74:

My record this week is a perfect example of what happens when there is not enough time spent on capping games and too many distractions.
Went from 8-2 I believe to 9-8 in a hurry. Lol it's ok I have my health and its a new day!!

Gonna make this quick as I'm on my lunch break...

Memphis at Miami - the home teams are 15-5 ATS in last 20 head to head including the Heat going 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Miami. Heat are 8-4 ATS during their 12 game winning streak. Revenge spot as well as Grizzlies won 104-86 in Memphis way back in November. And as I have stated previously Miami is playing their best game right now ever including last year's playoff run.

CP74 9-8

MIA Heat -8
Over 186 MIA Heat-MEM Grizzlies

BOL crew! 

I feel the same way- my only concern is that the heat are not starting a trend but rather in the middle to the end of one- they will not win every game down the road and their will be a lack of effort at some point- While I don't think this is the game in which this happens to win by double digits is very difficult against an inspired team and the grizz seem to be inspired. I however do like the over in this game for the same reasons above. The Grizz are not the Bulls in my opinion they put up 85-90 and miami 95-100 the line is set pretty well if the heat let up- However they are at home and if they work the paint they can get this done and after an almost embarrassing loss against the kings they will play defense on this one, that is my only concern on the over.
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CP74
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#7385
Posted: 3/1/2013 6:24:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Turbovtk:


Spot on 
I'm going to 'observe this one tonight
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Turbovtk
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#7386
Posted: 3/1/2013 6:34:13 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Turbovtk:

I will post stuff I have noticed on the board that I am not particularly happy with which I think is leading to some of the results. This will be around 6pm as I am short on time now.

Will also post how my day went yesterday and what I got out of all 3 games.


Without any disrespect to anyone on this thread and we all know who we are that contribute on a daily basis so I will skip the name dropping.

I think during the last two days we have been tailing a lot, while it is ok to agree and even have the same bets as a group sometimes I get the feeling that we are placing bets just on other peoples insight and not putting our own two cents into the mix. This does not mean that we should are not doing a good job it just means there is room for improvement. To put it another way please try and first do your homework then compare it to others and collaborate, I think this is a more effective tool as just reading and agreeing leads to bias towards those that are having a hot streak etc. I am a big believer in trends ( I am a technical chartist of markets in general ) so lets keep in mind that while trends are a good guide we must not rely on numbers alone and also think of the human element, this is sports played by humans and that affects things. Like some of you have started using the refs to help calculate the potential of an over under situation etc. That is good proof that humans have input in the outcomes and we must be prepared. It also pays to spend $1 or so in a notebook, while computers are great I have realized that using a note book or a white board- yes i have a big board that is why I call things small or big boards because I actually make my own lines then compare them when they come out- the RLM helps me get conviction but my mind for the most part is made up without vegas lines to start, later adjustments are made accordingly. I don't check other peoples picks until I have put up my leans and done initial work. This helps you be responsible for your picks and make initial sounds decision and spot flaws in your system when compared to others and eventually the outcomes.

Hope no one got offended and that this helps out our community as that is what we have become. 

Outcomes from yesterday parlays and hedges to follow.
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#7387
Posted: 3/1/2013 6:38:30 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Turbovtk:


I feel the same way- my only concern is that the heat are not starting a trend but rather in the middle to the end of one- they will not win every game down the road and their will be a lack of effort at some point- While I don't think this is the game in which this happens to win by double digits is very difficult against an inspired team and the grizz seem to be inspired. I however do like the over in this game for the same reasons above. The Grizz are not the Bulls in my opinion they put up 85-90 and miami 95-100 the line is set pretty well if the heat let up- However they are at home and if they work the paint they can get this done and after an almost embarrassing loss against the kings they will play defense on this one, that is my only concern on the over.

1 very constant rule I try to abide by is don't predict when a team will go on a winning streak and don't predict when a team will lose during a winning streak. Now tonight we have a special case in my opinion as both are on substantial streaks at 8 for Memphis and 12 for Miami. I believe the Heat will take this game as a personal challenge, just like they took on the challenge vs OKC Thursday before the ASB and extend their own streak while ending Memphis' and believe me they remember the loss they had in Memphis
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#7388
Posted: 3/1/2013 6:45:53 PM
Lopelpickscom 8-5-1

DAL Mavericks +3

This one is simple. The Mavs are one of the top teams ATS away and the Nets are one of the worst ATS at home.

UNDER 194 CHA Bobcats/UT Jazz

The Bobcats are terrible on the road. Their avg away games go to 194 however against the Jazz at home I see them struggling.
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Turbovtk
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#7389
Posted: 3/1/2013 6:57:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CP74:


1 very constant rule I try to abide by is don't predict when a team will go on a winning streak and don't predict when a team will lose during a winning streak. Now tonight we have a special case in my opinion as both are on substantial streaks at 8 for Memphis and 12 for Miami. I believe the Heat will take this game as a personal challenge, just like they took on the challenge vs OKC Thursday before the ASB and extend their own streak while ending Memphis' and believe me they remember the loss they had in Memphis

While I think that predicting the start or end of a streak it is very important to spot the reversal.
quote
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#7390
Posted: 3/1/2013 6:58:20 PM
lrempel 0-0

Phx +4     As for reasons stated earlier posted :)


quote
ashylarrymp
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#7391
Posted: 3/1/2013 7:00:43 PM
love your picks lopel.. and your pic 
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Turbovtk
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#7392
Posted: 3/1/2013 7:03:18 PM
Turbovtk 9-8-1

NY Knicks -2.5

Under 220 OKC Thunder - DEN Nuggets

Over 186 MEM Grizzlies - MIA Heat
quote
powercore
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#7393
Posted: 3/1/2013 7:03:30 PM
Powercore 15-15

ATL Hawks -4
BOS Celtics -4
BRO Nets -3

Hawks are rolling right now and the suns will be feeling content with the win over t he spurs.

The old green men are back home and ready continue on their road to t he playoffs well rested. The warriors will need a big day from 3 point land to stay in this one.

The nets have been feisty on defense of late and mavs have regressed into a bad basketball team again.
Posted using a mobile device.
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#7394
Posted: 3/1/2013 7:05:39 PM
Re Turbo post #7386 (my 'quote button is not working!!)

Well said! That is partially why I will post plays other than ones posted as I want to hear discussion. I too use a pen and paper as my weapon of choice but maybe not all because of choice as my typing skills are lacking but I feel I can retain that info and recall it more clear for future profits. Also allows me time to think or even rethink what I am thinking. I also believe predicting your own line is the best place to start when successfully capping
Now Lets get this!!

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#7395
Posted: 3/1/2013 7:09:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Turbovtk:


While I think that predicting the start or end of a streak it is very important to spot the reversal.

Absolutely important!
quote
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#7396
Posted: 3/1/2013 7:10:51 PM
czaqtorres 3-2


CLE Cavaliers+7

This is TexanGambler pick on Streak Survivor.  He is currently no. 1.

Dal Mavericks+3.5

8-2 ATS after a SU loss

NO Hornets-3.5

looking for a strong game from a Hornets team that is coming off an embarrassing 20 point loss to Oklahoma City on Wednesday and who have been good at home. New Orleans is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games and even without first round pick Anthony Davis will have enough to get by a Pistons squad that has lost three of their last four.
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#7397
Posted: 3/1/2013 7:11:41 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by lrempel:

lrempel 0-0

Phx +4     As for reasons stated earlier posted :)


Format
quote
Turbovtk
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#7398
Posted: 3/1/2013 7:11:52 PM
NY Knicks because I see the Wizards trending lower and the Knicks trending higher two teams headed in opposite direction- The knicks showed poise and heart in their last win. Its also very tough to sweep a good team twice- home or away.

Under on DEN Nuggets while Denver has been flying up and down OKC is also fast this will cause for tougher shots in paint and the game may slow down a little. I also notice that trap games meaning -1 or pick games tend to go under- look at pacers clips last night.

Over on MIA game because the heat are at or near 100 on almost every game in the second half of the season I need to see them stink out once before I pick an under on them.
quote
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#7399
Posted: 3/1/2013 7:15:37 PM
SunsDevils 8-6

Over 99.5 TT ATL Hawks 

HOU Rockets -8.5

NY Knicks -2.5 

czaqtorres 3-2

CLE Cavaliers+7

Dal Mavericks+3.5

NO Hornets-3.5

Powercore 15-15

ATL Hawks -4

BOS Celtics -4

BRO Nets -3

Turbovtk 9-8-1

NY Knicks -2.5

Under 220 OKC Thunder - DEN Nuggets

Over 186 MEM Grizzlies - MIA Heat
quote
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#7400
Posted: 3/1/2013 7:17:03 PM
Fuzzrod 4-2

GS Warriors +4

DAL Mavericks +3
quote
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