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Author: [Website Promotions] Topic: Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how
meraby send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
meraby
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#7226
Posted: 2/28/2013 11:17:04 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SportsMavin:

Signaled two binary options trade positions on Special Interest/Investment forum on my thread

On it. On both actually. Thanks
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#7227
Posted: 2/28/2013 11:40:01 AM
VyperATS 2-5-1

LA Lakers -10

CHI Bulls  -7

IND Pacers -1



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Turbovtk
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#7228
Posted: 2/28/2013 12:47:54 PM
It's Thursday and that means small board and TV games- I will def be doing a write up and parlays as well before the start of the games. I will be doing a parlay and teaser. 
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Eryximaque
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#7229
Posted: 2/28/2013 1:14:33 PM
Eryximaque 2-1

PHI 76ers +7

MIN Timberwolves +10,5

BOL 
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#7230
Posted: 2/28/2013 1:40:22 PM
See a lot of leans early on Bulls.  Weird line movement here gents.  Bulls have been struggling offensively, and I see this as a big number for them to cover at the moment.  I guess the opposing argument is the Sixers loss to the Magic at home there being a prove yourself factor.  I see very few occurrences where teams get slammed 2 games in a row in the NBA.  I should have bet it last night but I think the Under was a good play here as well as both teams trend under.

Sixers
  • 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • 76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
  • 76ers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
  • Bulls are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
  • Bulls are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 home games.
  • Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Under:
  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
  • Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 8-2-1 in 76ers last 11 road games.
  • Over is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 Thursday games.
  • Under is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 Thursday games.
  • Over is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.
  • Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Any thoughts?
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ashylarrymp
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#7231
Posted: 2/28/2013 1:47:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Musicmatt1:

See a lot of leans early on Bulls.  Weird line movement here gents.  Bulls have been struggling offensively, and I see this as a big number for them to cover at the moment.  I guess the opposing argument is the Sixers loss to the Magic at home there being a prove yourself factor.  I see very few occurrences where teams get slammed 2 games in a row in the NBA.  I should have bet it last night but I think the Under was a good play here as well as both teams trend under.

Sixers
  • 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • 76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
  • 76ers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
  • Bulls are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
  • Bulls are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 home games.
  • Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Under:
  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
  • Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 8-2-1 in 76ers last 11 road games.
  • Over is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 Thursday games.
  • Under is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 Thursday games.
  • Over is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.
  • Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Any thoughts?

insightful post sir! i'll take a post like this over random people and their picks with no reasoning behind it..those don't mean much to me..i do agree with you on both, definitely leaning Sixers.. just monitoring late line movement..majority of bettors on CHI. so if line drops or stays at 7 i lean Sixers.. if line goes up to 7.5-8 i'm going to stay away, like you said i'm not sure bulls can beat anyone by dbl digits at this point..
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Turbovtk
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#7232
Posted: 2/28/2013 1:48:50 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Eryximaque:

Eryximaque 2-1

PHI 76ers +7

MIN Timberwolves +10,5

BOL 

why? not questioning it just that you should state why you are picking those lines. 
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ashylarrymp
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#7233
Posted: 2/28/2013 1:54:17 PM
i'll be playing mostly college action with limited NBA action today.. still going to post NBA picks.. but some college picks for ya.. i like Virginia PK.. and BYU+6 as i feel the public is heavy on duke and gonzaga and i'll take the value on the home teams. BYU +6 is cushy with their home field advantage and beat gonzaga in BYU last season.. Virginia will definitely be looking for upset, need a big win and line is moving in opposite direction of the public on both games.. if not both i'm sure one of these games will win.. thanks for listening guys! try not to take too much more NCAA space on NBA forum lol
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ashylarrymp
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#7234
Posted: 2/28/2013 2:11:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by greengiants:

Under 198.5 PHO Suns-SA Spurs

-Under is 9-4 in Suns last 13 games playing on 0 days rest

-Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games following a ATS loss

-Under is 5-1-1 in Suns last 7 Wednesday games

-When total is set in between 195 and 199.5 Suns are 4-14 O/U

-Under is 8-0 in Spurs last 8 games playing on 2 days rest

-Under is 4-1-1 in Spurs last 6 Wednesday games

-Under is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days

-Under is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 home games

-Under is 6-2 in Spurs last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record

-Under is 8-3 in Spurs last 11 games following a ATS win

and to further support the under we have 3 under refs tonight!

-Marat Kogut 15-19 O/U overall

-Michael Smith 18-25 O/U overall

-Scott Wall 14-26 O/U overall

And after what I saw from the suns last night, will they even break 60 pts tonight.Total of 194  last night, game goes to overtime and we still had like almost 30 pts to spare......wow that's what I call a crap offensive game.


the total was 197 and i just saw Wesley Johnson hit that 3 to send it to OT at the buzzer.. WHAT A BAD BEAT .. sucks man lost on that, just figured you can sympathize with me ha ha. we'll get em next time, you had a good post, just unlucky sir!
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#7235
Posted: 2/28/2013 2:14:56 PM
Can you guys go like my Facebook page "Daily sport parlay picks" I been in reno since 2001 where sports betting is legal .I will post a free pick daily . Thank you I would really appreciate it. Lets get this money!!!!
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Eryximaque
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#7236
Posted: 2/28/2013 2:19:25 PM
QUOTE
Originally Posted by Turbovtk:


why? not questioning it just that you should state why you are picking those lines. 

Well, Bulls are 7-22 ATS in home games, 1-7 as a home favorite of 6,5 to 9 points.



76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. 
76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. 
76ers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss

76ers seems not better, but i think it will be close, we are thursday, and +7 seems fine
And Line didnt move in spite 65%+ on bulls


Wolves are +10,5
I dont see Lakers win, wolves match are pretty close
And they are 21-14 ATS Vs Lakers @LA


(Sorry my english is quite bad, im from Europe)












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#7237
Posted: 2/28/2013 2:28:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ashylarrymp:


the total was 197 and i just saw Wesley Johnson hit that 3 to send it to OT at the buzzer.. WHAT A BAD BEAT .. sucks man lost on that, just figured you can sympathize with me ha ha. we'll get em next time, you had a good post, just unlucky sir!

  yes well needless to say i was quite surprised to see the suns actually compete with the spurs, but hey "them da breaks" I guess, gotta shrug it off and concentrate on today.

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#7238
Posted: 2/28/2013 2:46:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ashylarrymp:

i'll be playing mostly college action with limited NBA action today.. still going to post NBA picks.. but some college picks for ya.. i like Virginia PK.. and BYU+6 as i feel the public is heavy on duke and gonzaga and i'll take the value on the home teams. BYU +6 is cushy with their home field advantage and beat gonzaga in BYU last season.. Virginia will definitely be looking for upset, need a big win and line is moving in opposite direction of the public on both games.. if not both i'm sure one of these games will win.. thanks for listening guys! try not to take too much more NCAA space on NBA forum lol



im taking BYU +6 too bro so hopelly close game lol.. im off on nba so i might keep tailing whos hot for now and just put 1 pick on my own lol
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ashylarrymp
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#7239
Posted: 2/28/2013 2:52:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Eryximaque:


Well, Bulls are 7-22 ATS in home games, 1-7 as a home favorite of 6,5 to 9 points.



76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. 
76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. 
76ers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss

76ers seems not better, but i think it will be close, we are thursday, and +7 seems fine
And Line didnt move in spite 65%+ on bulls


Wolves are +10,5
I dont see Lakers win, wolves match are pretty close
And they are 21-14 ATS Vs Lakers @LA


(Sorry my english is quite bad, im from Europe)













great post  much nicer to read this than just 3 picks with no reasoning. thanks man! everyone's informative  input on this thread is welcome 
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greengiants
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#7240
Posted: 2/28/2013 2:58:04 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Musicmatt1:

See a lot of leans early on Bulls.  Weird line movement here gents.  Bulls have been struggling offensively, and I see this as a big number for them to cover at the moment.  I guess the opposing argument is the Sixers loss to the Magic at home there being a prove yourself factor.  I see very few occurrences where teams get slammed 2 games in a row in the NBA.  I should have bet it last night but I think the Under was a good play here as well as both teams trend under.

Sixers
  • 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • 76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
  • 76ers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
  • Bulls are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
  • Bulls are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 home games.
  • Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Under:
  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
  • Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 8-2-1 in 76ers last 11 road games.
  • Over is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 Thursday games.
  • Under is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 Thursday games.
  • Over is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.
  • Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Any thoughts?

My opinion is right now( unless someone changes my mind with some good points) is that the safest play would be that of sixers +7, for the exact reason that you stated, that the sixers would not want to be embarassed two games in a row and especially not in front of a national audience( they really put this game on in primetime instead of the clips/pacers game??), the bulls offence can put some points up sometimes but lately (i guess since D-Rose started practicing) they seem to be coasting, almost counting on D-Rose's return to be the spark that they need to become a dangerous offence instead of ho-hum offence, like if their mind-set is "it's ok to take it easy right now cause D-Rose is coming back and once he's back it's on".My take would be a tight game won by the bulls but  by 3 or 4pts max, maybe even a surprise win by the sixers.I think the sixers just learned that Bynum probably won't be joining them this year, so does this motivate them to put their "big boy pants on"?They are 5.5 games out of a playoff spot, I would think they need this game more than the bulls.

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#7241
Posted: 2/28/2013 3:03:43 PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by jpaco]


im taking BYU +6 too bro so hopelly close game lol.. im off on nba so i might keep tailing whos hot for now and just put 1 pick on my own lol
[/Quote
GOOD!  i REALLY like BYU tonight, they could win outright, the points are a gift IMO.. good luck man i'll be rooting with you, definitely best play on the board tonight. 
and that's my plan too ha ha.. i'm going to play college normal.. play 1 NBA play i like, then tail my esteemed colleagues for the others, lots of people on here have great insight.

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#7242
Posted: 2/28/2013 3:33:28 PM
Gonzaga Bulldogs win by double digits.
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Turbovtk
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#7243
Posted: 2/28/2013 3:44:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by greengiants:

  yes well needless to say i was quite surprised to see the suns actually compete with the spurs, but hey "them da breaks" I guess, gotta shrug it off and concentrate on today.


I think that we should add to the notes that after a poor showing (scoring wise, not win/loss) because of the law of averages the team will show up in the next day or too- that being said it makes the 205 on the laker game very doable since the wolves scored like low most of the game against the suns- avg of like 10 baskets a quarter- 

I have also been following the nuggets very close all year and it made me think of a new thing to watch out for. That is the way team get points, this was prob. discussed earlier but the nuggets get their points in the paint, they had a bunch of stats and charts during the game to show that. That being the case when determining totals we have to see how the other team would/can/or can't defend that and how they score against their rebound abilities.

When using that logic I see the sixers sort of like the wizards running up and down the court with the occasional 3pt (as of late) and I see the bulls as settling for jump shots- case and point their game against OKC. The advantage on the boards here I think goes to the bulls because of size, but can they get back on defense when they don't get the rebound. Against the lakers and the blazzers it was taking the nuggets about 3 seconds to be on the other side of the court ready for a layup- It is very hard to defend that all game long as younger fresh legs will usually prevail.

So how does this apply to today's game.

First game clippers and pacers- I think the clippers are a faster team and a larger team as well. With odom griffin and jordan they should be able to defend the paint. This is where the pacers have an advantage against the Heat- the heat use a small quick lineup most of the time and a few weeks back we saw how the pacers were able to beat them by working the paint all game long. Thursdays is for the most part more of an away pref than a dog (not all visitors are dogs) and for the most part the TV games go over from my recent memory. Indiana has been hot and i could be wrong but I think they are getting into that way too confident zone.

The Bulls game I still need some time on the totals.
But leaning on the 76ers specially as part of my teaser of 5.5 added points. May do a smaller on as well to get the bulls close to a win by a bucket.

As for the lakers game I think the lakers win this one but not sure they cover this big spread- The 2/1/13 game was very interesting where the lakers won by 11 but it took vert good shooting to do that meaning 12 opts and 21/25 from the FT line-  while the wolves shot 40% across the board. Also the game could be an under game if the teams settle for jump shots. This is a game that is probably best played one half at a time.
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#7244
Posted: 2/28/2013 3:49:07 PM
Dao6911 3-3

Over 191 1/2 L.A. Clippers- IND Pacers
Over 178 1/2 PHI 76ers- CHI Bulls
Under 205 1/2 MIN Timberwolves- L.A. Lakers
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ashylarrymp
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#7245
Posted: 2/28/2013 3:49:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dao6911:

Gonzaga Bulldogs win by double digits.

2 times the zags have gone into BYU.. they lost both matchups 73-83, and 67-89. BYU is 15-2 at home..biggest game of the year for them! game is on Espn 2, think they won't be pumped up tonight? 
i can EASILY see gonzaga winning.. but by double digits is a stretch.. Zags don't blow out all that often on the road (lost to butler, won by 2 @USD, @WSU by 2 @Santa Clara by 7, @SanFran by 10) they didn't cover the spread in any of those. BYU meanwhile only lost to SaintMarys by 1 at home and had a slip up against SanFran (everyone has slipups, ask michigan lol, doesn't mean they suck). 
i mean by all means, it's your opinion, but there's my reasoning for BYU to keep it within 6. but one of us will be right! gotta like that. BOL
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#7246
Posted: 2/28/2013 4:21:20 PM
Powercore 15-12

IND Pacers pk
PHI Sixers +7.5
MIN Wolves +10

Got roll with the pacers even without hibbert. The trio of George, hill, and west have been tremendous and will pick up the slack which seems to be the norm in the nba with a star out. The pacers have been just about unbeatable at home, and the clippers have not done well in Indiana.

Bulls are in a funk right now and their defense
Has lacked inintensity of late. The bulls have consistently underperformed at home. This is do or die time for sixers and the trends point towards a good effort by Philly tonight.

The wolves have done well in la covering 5 out the last seven. They have been pesky of late and will put forth a strong effort to avenge an earlier home loss to the Lakers. The Lakers are improving but still can't be trusted to cover ten.
Posted using a mobile device.
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#7247
Posted: 2/28/2013 4:24:00 PM

I'm losing the last part of the right side of the page, I can't see everything that people write, is this happening to you guy's?

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ashylarrymp
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#7248
Posted: 2/28/2013 4:40:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by greengiants:

I'm losing the last part of the right side of the page, I can't see everything that people write, is this happening to you guy's?



it's happened to me on a few pages from time to time.. never found an immediate fix.. it would either just work fine next page, or i'd close browser and come back to it 20 minutes later and it'd be ok.. but it was always just 1 page other pages around it worked good. sorry man
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#7249
Posted: 2/28/2013 4:43:27 PM

Jpaco 3-6

Under 192 LAC clippers - IND pacers

under day thurs jst and ind is all about def. Spread keeps going up inviting me to go under but more $ on over already so il give it a shot on under.

IND Pacers - 1

gonna roll with ind at home without hibbert aint prob for their def

 

Over 205 MIN timberpups - LAL lakers

coming from several road games and losing big on den lal needs to win at home and put points and still im not convince lal have good def so min can keep up with the lal

BOL evryone

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#7250
Posted: 2/28/2013 5:09:18 PM

Musicmatt1  5-6-1

Over 190.5 LA Clippers - IND Pacers 

My prediction was that this Total would post somewhere around 199-200.  Especially given the Total for Tuesdays Warriors/Pacers game was around 196 (or whatever you got it as).  My prediction was higher based on the fact Hibbert will not be there to clog up the middle.  I think Pacers respond to the altercation in a similar matter as the Warriors did last night, coming together and putting up points.  We all know that the Clippers can put up numbers at a tremendous pace so I see this one easily going over the Total tonight. 

PHI 76ers +7 

Presented a good argument earlier in reference to this game.  Received some great feedback reaffirming my thoughts.  The line has not moved in any direction since the earlier post.  It does seem like some money is coming in on the 76ers but I think Vegas may like the money coming in at a 2-1 rate in favor of the Bulls.  Think the game is a low scoring game and with that, I will take the points.  Here are the trends I posted earlier.  May I point at the Bulls are not even covering the bad teams at home in their past 6.

LA Lakers -10 

I like the Lakers here as they are rested, at home, playing better as of late, and they have KOBE BRYANT.  Meaning Kobe's will alone could carry the Lakers in to the play-offs.  I think the Lakers moving forward will win the games they should and at the least plat competitively in games against better teams.  The Suns were rocking the TWolves until they realized they were the Suns.  Add Twolves being hurt to the list of reasons I feel confident on this play.  I could not find any convincing trend statistics for this game (but who says you always need that), but I feel confident the Lakers are 10 points better than the Timberwolves at the moment.

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