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[Website Promotions] Topic: Hello. I am new. Follow me and you will make money. No Gimmick. |
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ejnell_04 |
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#451 Posted: 12/27/2012 4:28:38 AM What about the total bro? :) |
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lion_kinggg |
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Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 985
Location: Greece |
#452 Posted: 12/27/2012 10:45:09 AM Friend request sent |
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Odds1_stinker |
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Veteran
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 1559
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#453 Posted: 12/27/2012 11:12:15 AM  |
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ciscoleon |
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Prospect
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 11
Location: New York |
#454 Posted: 12/27/2012 11:58:20 AM Dumb Dwight! Ruined the only line I was following :) I like your Celtics +8 too MITKid - I'm on that on. 1 unit locked and loaded.
BOL brother. |
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Davidnola |
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Prospect
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 5
Location: Louisiana |
#455 Posted: 12/27/2012 12:21:50 PM Bo'sBo's |
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telemaco22 |
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#456 Posted: 12/27/2012 12:33:47 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by MITkid: Line not out yet, I am out, gl tomm guys
as of now just BOS +8.5
dont do it and you will thank me.
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telemaco22 |
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#457 Posted: 12/27/2012 12:44:51 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by telemaco22:
dont do it and you will thank me.
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#504 - Los Angeles Clippers -8 (-115)
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$517.50 |
$450.00 | |
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bet2winagain |
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Prospect
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 375
Location: California |
#458 Posted: 12/27/2012 12:53:02 PM  |
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Kalven |
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Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 39
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#459 Posted: 12/27/2012 1:11:35 PM Anything on the OKC? I'm surprise you like Celtics tonight, I'm really leaning towards Clips (might tease 4 1/2). |
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six5juice |
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Rookie
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 642
Location: Hawaii |
#460 Posted: 12/27/2012 1:20:27 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by MITkid: I don't care how LAC do against other teams, I care about how they play against BOS, BOS coaching, BOS tendencies, etc...
Betting against the LAC bc they have to lose ATS bc they are on a streak is silly. The same logic can be applied after they covered 4 straight, then 5, then 6, then 7, etc...
I won't tell you how I cap, but I will provide picks as long as I can. I assume a mod or book will have be gone after a few hundred plays. This site is owned by a book afterall.
The best advice I can give you is watch how the league changes. There are new tendencies of how teams play and how they change each year. If you can identify them before the books catch them, you are ahead of the game. It is a lot more than just looking at stats.
When you can learn how to quantify the mental aspect too and apply it to game theory, you are on the right track.
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MITkid |
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Prospect
Joined: Dec 2012
Posts: 105
Location: Massachusetts |
#461 Posted: 12/27/2012 1:40:15 PM Adding DAL +10.5
Dirk is back, I do not expect him to play at 100% obviously but he will help slow the pace of OKC and their attack. OKC will most likely still win this, but DAL has a 60-63% chance of covering 10.5 giving us a solid +EV of ~10% after our break even 52.4.
I am passing on the totals. I will provide LEANS but this does not count as my play or in my record.
DAL OKC Under 207.5 BOS LAC Over 190
GL guys |
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MITkid |
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Prospect
Joined: Dec 2012
Posts: 105
Location: Massachusetts |
#462 Posted: 12/27/2012 2:32:06 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by telemaco22:
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#504 - Los Angeles Clippers -8 (-115)
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Just because you made a $50 bet, changed the numbers in a text box, does not make you special. Look here is my bet:
) #505 - Boston Celtics + 8.5 (-110)| Sport: | NBA | | | Type: | | | Period: | Game |
$1,000,000.00 $900,000.00 |
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smithcm24 |
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Prospect
Joined: Dec 2012
Posts: 24
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#463 Posted: 12/27/2012 2:40:34 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by MITkid:
Just because you made a $50 bet, changed the numbers in a text box, does not make you special. Look here is my bet:
) #505 - Boston Celtics + 8.5 (-110)| Sport: | NBA | | | Type: | | | Period: | Game |
$1,000,000.00 $900,000.00
PRICELESS!! 
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smithcm24 |
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Prospect
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#464 Posted: 12/27/2012 2:41:37 PM MIT, does that 1/2 point matter too much? Right now I have Dallas at +10. Thoughts? |
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manutdfctts9899 |
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All-Star
Joined: Oct 2012
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#465 Posted: 12/27/2012 3:01:12 PM well done ytday kid...
BOL to you  |
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MITkid |
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Prospect
Joined: Dec 2012
Posts: 105
Location: Massachusetts |
#466 Posted: 12/27/2012 4:01:17 PM Yes, any points makes a difference smithcm24. My advice to you is to wait until close to game time when the public hits OKC and the line drops back to 10.5.
There is a risk of course it does not, however since you are dealing OKC, the public perception on them is good and OKC money should move it back to 10.5 closer to game time.
Some will argue it's just a half a pt and it's just a push but why take a worse line that you are 80% sure will get better. I personally would wait. |
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MITkid |
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Prospect
Joined: Dec 2012
Posts: 105
Location: Massachusetts |
#467 Posted: 12/27/2012 4:01:54 PM Thanks ManU. GL to you as well. |
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turtle85 |
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Prospect
Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 23
Location: Australia |
#468 Posted: 12/27/2012 4:39:07 PM BOL  |
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denaps |
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Prospect
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 69
Location: Massachusetts |
#469 Posted: 12/27/2012 4:40:08 PM Locked in on the C's as well  |
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smithcm24 |
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Joined: Dec 2012
Posts: 24
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#470 Posted: 12/27/2012 5:51:03 PM Thanks for the tip MIT!
BOL to you tonight, and thanks for your picks yesterday as I tailed and hit 2 of 3 that I could get the same lines as you on!
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MITkid |
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Prospect
Joined: Dec 2012
Posts: 105
Location: Massachusetts |
#471 Posted: 12/27/2012 5:59:46 PM np, GL
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NevadaGamer |
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Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 274
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#472 Posted: 12/27/2012 6:36:00 PM I only read a few pages of this but I am not sure if I have found someone post where they make up as many people in order to post on their own thread. Whenever you need a good laugh you find a thread like this where 99.9% of the people don't view the thread for value but for laughs. How many people have started up a profile and posted on here talking about how great the kid is. Smith24....I like how he posts and then responds to himself. PRICELESS  |
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THEONLYONE |
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Prospect
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 364
Location: Canada |
#473 Posted: 12/27/2012 7:09:58 PM THE PUBLIC IS SCARED OF THAT MANY POINTS AND YOU ARE THE PUBLIC KID |
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smithcm24 |
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#474 Posted: 12/27/2012 7:22:15 PM Nevada....you are a f***ing retard! I am new to this site as a member but have been following some people on here for quite a while. All of you people need to get a life and just take the tips this guy is giving...he went 5-1 last night. Quit with all this nonsense talk and take this good advice, I know I am.
MIT, already sent a friend request to you! Thanks for the picks. F**k all the haters and cry babies
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fcfbl |
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Prospect
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 20
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#475 Posted: 12/27/2012 7:23:11 PM parlayed Boston +9 Dallas +10.5
$8.50 to win $22.10
1% bankroll rule for two team parlays. |
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