NBA Player Props and more (by AllCapper)

Question

Hey Guys, I&#x27;m new here, but I&#x27;ll be glad to post my plays if you like me to. I like the odds we get on player props, and trying to get the best info to beat the bookies. I also post some plays on normal lines, but I focus on the players, which I think is my strength. You can follow me on twitter (@AllCapper).Tuesday, 12/11/2012DEN Nuggets @ DET Pistons Denver is a better team based on the Matchups here. Although they are not strong defenders, they seem to have an edge on the paint, with only Monroe responding for the Pistons, who are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 underdog games. Also, the Pistons are having some lineup changes with Stuckey/Singler, with the first gaining ground on the second. Denver almost knocked out the Knicks and Atlanta this week, and Gallo is improving on his slump (which was not very difficult). I think Denver can beat the Pistons and cover the -5 we get here.LA Clippers @ CHI BullsWe have a tough game on the paint here, with Boozer &amp; Noah vs Jordan &amp; Griffin. I think this one can be 50/50 if Noah has a good game, but I&#x27;d focus this game on another spot, the G.We have one of the best all-around PG in the league in Chris Paul, averaging 3 steals per game on defense, and 16.1PPG on offense. He has only one backup today on Bledsoe, with Billups injured, and he will log loads of minutes today. He will face a Bulls who have no Rose and no RIP today, and with Hinrich back from an injury and not going very defensive, I am thinking CP3 dominates this one.PLAYS:DEN Nuggets -5 @5Dimes, 3.09u. to win 3u.LA Clippers -2.5 @MarathonBet, 3.24u. to win 3u.PROP:Chris Paul Over 16.5 Points @5Dimes, 3.45u to win 3u.

AllCapper · Answer

Hey Guys, I&#x27;m new here, but I&#x27;ll be glad to post my plays if you like me to. I like the odds we get on player props, and trying to get the best info to beat the bookies. I also post some plays on normal lines, but I focus on the players, which I think is my strength. You can follow me on twitter (@AllCapper).Tuesday, 12/11/2012DEN Nuggets @ DET Pistons Denver is a better team based on the Matchups here. Although they are not strong defenders, they seem to have an edge on the paint, with only Monroe responding for the Pistons, who are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 underdog games. Also, the Pistons are having some lineup changes with Stuckey/Singler, with the first gaining ground on the second. Denver almost knocked out the Knicks and Atlanta this week, and Gallo is improving on his slump (which was not very difficult). I think Denver can beat the Pistons and cover the -5 we get here.LA Clippers @ CHI BullsWe have a tough game on the paint here, with Boozer &amp; Noah vs Jordan &amp; Griffin. I think this one can be 50/50 if Noah has a good game, but I&#x27;d focus this game on another spot, the G.We have one of the best all-around PG in the league in Chris Paul, averaging 3 steals per game on defense, and 16.1PPG on offense. He has only one backup today on Bledsoe, with Billups injured, and he will log loads of minutes today. He will face a Bulls who have no Rose and no RIP today, and with Hinrich back from an injury and not going very defensive, I am thinking CP3 dominates this one.PLAYS:DEN Nuggets -5 @5Dimes, 3.09u. to win 3u.LA Clippers -2.5 @MarathonBet, 3.24u. to win 3u.PROP:Chris Paul Over 16.5 Points @5Dimes, 3.45u to win 3u.

manutdfctts9899 · Answer

BOL to you

AAY · Answer

Good Luck

AllCapper · Answer

And BOOOOOM 3-0 for &#x2B;9 units!!!Denver had a bad start but came back to win it by 7, Clippers win by 5 and CP3 scores 18 on the win!More tomorrow!

BILLdO4REALdO · Answer

Good stuff bud.

AllCapper · Answer

Wednesday 12/12/12:Second day of action, and I will start with a small recap.OVERALL--&gt; 3-0 for &#x2B;9 unitsPROPS--&gt; 1-0 for &#x2B;3units.Plays for today:BKN Nets @ TOR RaptorsThis line opened at -4 for the Nets, which looked like a jump-in line, and now it is -7.5. From an ideal starting-5 in Toronto including Lowry, Fields, DeRozan, Bargnani and Johnson, we will only have some DeRozan today, and Toronto only has 8 healthy bodies today to try and compete against a underperforming Nets team. Both teams have been losing lately, but they have done that in such different ways, as Nets were at least losing close games, like last night in NY. I still see value at the Nets -7.5. Some trends, BKN is 4-0 as a road favorite in L4, TOR is 0-4 after L4 losses.I will play a prop here on DeMar DeRozan Over 19.5 Points, as he has had two BIG games lately with 20 &amp; 24 scored on them, and today is one of the few healthy bodies for the home team.ATL Hawks @ ORL MagicYes, the Magic have improved in their last 4-5 games stretch, but that was not too much to ask with their awful numbers, and they are still 0-3 in L3 @ Home. They host the Hawks, a presumably better team than they are, who competed until last minutes @ Miami, and who dominates the series with 8-2 ATS in L10 against Orlando.Entering the matchups, I thing Teague is better in both sides than Afflalo can be, and the inside couples of Davis&#x2B;Vucevic should be framed by Smith&#x2B;Horford, much more agressive and better scorers than they are. The only weakness I saw on this play was Redick did not have a competition on 3s, but knowing Korver will check in, although it will be in limited minutes, encourages me enough to get some ATL Hawks -4.5MEM Grizzlies @ PHO SunsThe Phoenix Suns are a complete mess right now. They are on a big dip, horrible losing streak, and they need to make some changes, beginning with Scola back on the lineup today. They allow 103.9PPG, compared to Memphis, best Defense in the league with 91.2PPG allowed, this game can go defensive. Whenever their offenses come, Z-BO and Gasol look stronger than any Suns F, and Dragic (coming back from the flu) will not bail the Suns out himself. I like those Memphis on the road, and they should cover. Leaning happy Over 19,5, but I&#x27;m not firing as we could see some trash time here today.CHI @ PHII will keep up backing the Bull&#x27;s opponent PG, and in this case, Holiday seems a perfect fit for that. He scored 23 few days ago against CHI, and 25 last night, after declaring that he would be trying to shoot more than usual in the next few games. He afterwards shot 20 times (season-high, and i expect him to perform similarly today. If he gets 40% of shots in, Prop cashes on the Over 17,5.GSW @ MIADavid Lee is a double-double machine as we all know, and I think he should keep up with this pace today. He averages 23.6 points in L7 and is in a sweet mood lately. Miami is weaker on the inner side of the D, and he should mark a good pace for their teammates with his scoring. The Over 19,5 should cash, and if you find a PTS&#x2B;REB line at 29-30, it should go too.

AllCapper · Answer

And continuing,SAS @ UTAHTony Parker had his first triple-double last game, and today he has a pretty factible matchup against a Utah team that bases on a great inside D, but with weaker backcourt. In the first clash of the season, Parker was cold but got to the rim at will, and now, with him in a streak, I gotta go on the Over 20.5PLAYSBKN Nets -7.5 -102 5Dimes, 3.06 units to win 3uATL Hawks -4.5 -110 Bwin, 3.30 units to win 3uMEM Grizzlies -6 -110 WilliamHill, 3.30 units to win 3uPLAYER PROPSDeMar DeRozan Over 19.5 Points -115 5Dimes, 3.45 units to win 3uJrue Holiday Over 17.5 Points, -118 Betsson, 3.54 units to win 3uDavid Lee Over 19.5 Points, -125 Bovada, 3.75 units to win 3uTony Parker Over 20.5 Points -118 Betsson, 3.54 units to win 3u

capskip · Answer

Best of Luck tonight...

AllCapper · Answer

No Thornton, no Cousins, PG are a mess, if he plays, Tyreke will score today. I&#x27;m just sayin&#x27;

AllCapper · Answer

4-3 for &#x2B;2.19 units OVERALLPLAYS1-2 -3.36 today3-2 &#x2B;2.64 OVERALLPROPS3-1 &#x2B;5.55 today4-1 &#x2B;8.55 OVERALL

AllCapper · Answer

Short day on NBA today, let&#x27;s go with only one play on a Player Prop.Remember we are 7-3 &#x2B;11.19 OVERALL and 4-1 &#x2B;8.55 on PROPS.LA Lakers @ NY Knicks.The Lakers have no PG as they are showing lately. If you add that they are not defending any little bit, the PG of the opposite team will easily get great numbers. Just saying? No, here are the proofs:G. Vasquez --&gt; Average 11.6, scores 16 against Lakers.R. Westbrook --&gt; Average 21, scores 33 against LAM. Williams --&gt; Average 13.9, scores 22 against LA.K. Irving --&gt; Comes from injury, scores 28 against LA, 9 on next game.The only doubt here is Felton struggles of late, but I feel confident he can hit the Over 14.5 Points -118PLAYER PROP:R. Felton Over 14.5 Points -118 Betsson, 3.54units to win 3u.Follow me on twitter @AllCapper

Donnie_Baseball · Answer

(by AllCapper) was a nice touch

ThatGuy1607 · Answer

I got a bill on it-115 juice also on Dwight Howard over 13.5 rebounds

AllCapper · Answer

Donnie: i dont understand which was the nice touch, but thanks anyway haha

ThatGuy: BOL, lets cash this one

. I avoided Howard as I'm afraid he gets into foul trouble and we get screwed, but like it, yeah.

AllCapper · Answer

Midway through the 3rd and he already has 16, good one!

vaas187 · Answer

Do you like anything in Portland spurs, Duncan over 10.5 boards?Ginobli over 13.5 points?Kemba walker burned me on over 16.5 points

AllCapper · Answer

vaas:  sorry i couldnt see that before mate, I was not liking anything on that game as I thaught Popovich might rest some players, but I&#x27;ll try to help next time!

AllCapper · Answer

8-3 &#x2B;14.19 OVERALL and 5-1 &#x2B;11.55 on PROPS.DET @ BKNThe Pistons are on a nice run 6-3-1ATS on L10, while Brooklyn is struggling at shooting, and is 3-5-1ATS L10 games. Brooklyn had some issues beating a very poor Raptors on their last game, while the Raptors were only having 9 healthy bodies, and their main stars were out. Stackhouse will not play today, Williams is struggling, and Lopez, who will come back for the Nets, will have to adjust and get some limited minutes. i expect the Nets big men to struggle with Monroe, Maxiell and Drummond, and if Deron continues struggling, the backcourt can be tight. Detroit on the spread looks nice.PHI @ INDBoth teams are not great scoring teams, they base their game on a slow-paced, PG commanded style. Both have great defenses, and Indiana had a rough season start due to Granger being injured. Now that George and West have taken a step forward to help forget Granger, they are starting to play better and win some games, and they should be favs here against 76ers. Adding value to our play, Philadelphias PG Holiday will not play today, and Philly does not have a strong backup PG, so I think Hill will take command and get a nice W homePLAYSDETROIT &#x2B;8 -105 5Dimes, 3.15units to win 3uINDIANA -5.5 -108 Expekt 3.24units to win 3u

AllCapper · Answer

PLAYER PROPSPHI @ INDAs I wrote before, I expect Hill to lead his team in Holidays absence, and he will not have a clear PG defending him. He is averaging just about 16 points lately, hitting 17,15,15,18 against Irving or Westbrook, for example, so I expect him to go over 15.5LAL @ WASCrawford has been acting as the leader and true PG of the team lately, coming up with 17,26,22,14,22 points lately. As the lakers can not defend the opponents PG, I like him to be Over 17.5 SAC @ OKCWestbrook is in a good shape and he has proven, scoring a lot this season and nearing triple-doubles. He should take good care of the indefinition on the backcourt of Sacramento and score over 21 points.PROPSGeorge Hill Over 15.5 -115 3.45units to win 3u.Jordan Crawford Over 17.5 -115 Betsson 3.45 to win 3uRussell Westbrook Over 21 -115 Paf 3.45 to win 3u.

AllCapper · Answer

Completely missed Crawford&#x27;s prop, and missed Hill&#x27;s prop by half a point, but Detroit looking good, Indiana cashed and Westbrook to work!

vaas187 · Answer

You like anything in Memphis Denver game? Gasol over 15.5 looks intriguing. Also Randolph over 17.5

AllCapper · Answer

I had those two plays as a lean, so I like them, BOL man

NBA Player Props and more (by AllCapper)

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