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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: CMM's NBA Monday
CrazyMilkMan
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CrazyMilkMan
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#1
Posted: 11/4/2012 11:46:12 PM

Monday.

 

Memphis Grizzlies -5.0
First home game of the season. happy should be the huge difference between two teams who look really even in every other position. Front court battle should pretty much be a toss up with a slight edge going to the Grizzlies' seasoned bigs (who also have the better size and array of post moves). Jazz looked good even in their last 2 defeats but I see them falling short this time due to scheduling.

 

Dallas Mavericks -5.0
Blazers seem to almost always play the Mavs' close. I think they'll fall short here ending a quick 3 game road swing. Mavs' is off a blow out win against the Bobcats where OJ exploded for 30 and Chris Kaman dropped 16 while going +26 when on the court while the visiting Blazers spoiled James Harden's first home game. Both teams should just about be even with the Mavs boasting of a bench and home court. That should spell the difference here.

 

Honorable Mentions:
Philadelphia -4.5 - You know home-and-home series are. Basing this on that. Then again, I've bet against the Knicks twice and lost both already.

Phoenix/Miami OVER 199.5 - Miami's defensive woe's will continue till say after they've defined each players' roles ones again.

San Antonio -8.0 - Best home team in the league against a team who'll have loads of matchup problems. Tim Duncan just sipped a few drops from the fountain again.

Cavs/LA Clippers OVER 195.5 - AND Clips 1Q maybe. Clippers has dropped more than 100points in their games and should continue against the Cavaliers. The only question here is if the road team can get themselves past 90 with the few offensive players they have.

 

BOL.

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BigRomes916
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#2
Posted: 11/4/2012 11:55:18 PM
BOL Brotha!  I am taking a break from sports betting tomorrow.  Successful weekend on NFL, College and NBA.  Part of it is because of you for NBA!
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#3
Posted: 11/4/2012 11:58:25 PM

Like the Grizzly play a lot

5 point line suggests a close game, which I believe it will be.

untiil the end

Grizz pull away win by 7-9 hahaha

good luck sir

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#4
Posted: 11/5/2012 12:02:35 AM
BOL CMM and guys 
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#5
Posted: 11/5/2012 12:03:25 AM
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#6
Posted: 11/5/2012 12:05:34 AM
BOL!!!
Any thoughts on the BKN game and MIN game?
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CrazyMilkMan
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#7
Posted: 11/5/2012 12:21:18 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TheLeaguesOwn:

BOL!!!
Any thoughts on the BKN game and MIN game?

No line yet but it should go OVER 185-190. I think Brooklyn has to work a lot on their defense. At least that's what I see during the game against the Raptors. Wolves are better on both ends at home and should be able to hit 90 easy at home.

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CrazyMilkMan
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#8
Posted: 11/5/2012 12:22:39 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CrazyMilkMan:

No line yet but it should go OVER 185-190. I think Brooklyn has to work a lot on their defense. At least that's what I see during the game against the Raptors. Wolves should look better on both ends and should be able hit 90 easy.

 

Fixed the last sentence. I kept referring to them to be playing at home.

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#9
Posted: 11/5/2012 12:28:31 AM
CMM - can you post your win/loss totals?  Also - do you flat bet each wager amount?  Equal amounts?  Thanks bud
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CrazyMilkMan
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#10
Posted: 11/5/2012 12:32:26 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by swooshman24:

CMM - can you post your win/loss totals?  Also - do you flat bet each wager amount?  Equal amounts?  Thanks bud

I think I'm 9-8 or something. I'm really not into posting records now for people to avoid tailing blindly. Yes, flat/equal bets on every plays unless otherwise noted like in my MLB threads.

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#11
Posted: 11/5/2012 12:40:41 AM
One more question - I noticed that you try and lock in your plays early the night before the games which is great for us - is that in an effort to reduce juice on the lines?  Do you feel that the lines are best when you lock in plays this early?  I just didn't know if there was any strategy involved - thx!
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#12
Posted: 11/5/2012 12:46:30 AM
Good luck, CMM.
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CMJohnson1
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#13
Posted: 11/5/2012 12:47:02 AM
GL Cmm...you'll bounce back brotha
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#14
Posted: 11/5/2012 2:19:37 AM
Goodluck!
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#15
Posted: 11/5/2012 2:47:47 AM
Good luck ser!


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Sinanju
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#16
Posted: 11/5/2012 2:49:39 AM
BOL CMM!!
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CrazyMilkMan
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#17
Posted: 11/5/2012 7:33:31 AM
Thanks CMJ! Hope to see you continue that profitable stride!
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CrazyMilkMan
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#18
Posted: 11/5/2012 7:36:28 AM
@swoosh

The early lock in is to keep myself from over thinking. Line movements doesnt really indicate anything other than the bookies trying to get some action on the other side. Con for playing games early is that you miss out on last minute changes. What is good is that you're free from the stress of constantly thinking about the games you cap. It opens you more to life than spending a lot of time studying games. I'm not saying putting a lot of time studying games are bad. It's actually good. It's just my style.
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#19
Posted: 11/5/2012 7:36:55 AM
Bol!
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#20
Posted: 11/5/2012 7:44:45 AM
gl
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#21
Posted: 11/5/2012 8:14:17 AM
 GoGo
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#22
Posted: 11/5/2012 8:14:50 AM
Lol autocorrect.. Meant good luck
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depbmoc
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#23
Posted: 11/5/2012 8:19:38 AM
good luck today milk man 


with you all season

9-7
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#24
Posted: 11/5/2012 8:54:28 AM
Bkn over looks good. How about covering??
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#25
Posted: 11/5/2012 9:27:04 AM
Milkman


Followed your plays the last 2 years in baseball and wanted to say thank you for what you do for this forum. I never post, just a follower of a couple select few. Your reply above on why you lock in your plays early is spot on. Sports wagering like any other hobby or job to some can become consuming and grab hold of someone's life. I applaud you and hope others see that you can handicap and
still "open yourself more to life" as you stated. Keep up the good work and know you are appreciated.
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