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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: 2012-13 NBA Daily Player Props
shaps17
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#401
Posted: 12/23/2012 8:52:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MrBogey:

missed the wash bet but i am on the over play, 196 at the time i bet.


will  Ty Lawson and Denver be able to slowdown Kemba Walker tonight?

what do u think of Ty as a defender?

Thought I replied but I guess something happened before I clicked submit.  Ty is a good defender who shines against short slower guards but bigger pg's can take advantage of his small size.  
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shaps17
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#402
Posted: 12/23/2012 8:57:31 PM
Kirilenko over 21.5 Pts+Reb (-115)

liked the Jason Thompson over 11.5 Pts and 9.5 Reb props but I dont want to dig myself any deeper.  Gonna regroup and look for better upcoming spots.  

YTD 101-55
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#403
Posted: 12/26/2012 7:03:20 PM
Harden over 26.5 Pts (-125)
Al Jefferson over 15.5 Pts (-115)
D. Lee over 20.5 Pts (-115)
S. Curry over 21.5 Pts (-115)
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#404
Posted: 12/26/2012 7:27:09 PM
All of your plays are up to -140 to -150 now haha. Someone is watching.
Posted using a mobile device.
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shaps17
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#405
Posted: 12/26/2012 10:18:37 PM
Harden with 13 at half, barely plays the 3rd and goes ham in the 4th to clear 30 pts  
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shaps17
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#406
Posted: 12/26/2012 11:07:03 PM
Harden over 26.5 Pts (-125)
Al Jefferson over 15.5 Pts (-115)
D. Lee over 20.5 Pts (-115)
S. Curry over 21.5 Pts (-115)


YTD 104-56
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#407
Posted: 12/27/2012 12:23:26 AM
You are amazing shaps.ty for posting.
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shaps17
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#408
Posted: 12/27/2012 2:32:44 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DarkDonnie:

All of your plays are up to -140 to -150 now haha. Someone is watching.

That's what always happens after I place my bets
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shaps17
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#409
Posted: 12/27/2012 2:34:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Vituperate:

You are amazing shaps.ty for posting.

no problem 
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shaps17
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#410
Posted: 12/27/2012 4:13:51 PM
Rondo under 14.5 Pts (-115)
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#411
Posted: 12/27/2012 4:37:13 PM
ty shaps...what a record...don't know if I have ever seen something like this before. Congratulations and ty for sharing
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#412
Posted: 12/27/2012 7:50:21 PM
picked up Rondo early in the day, over 9.5 assists at -135.

will follow under 14.5 points as well.

what makes you like the Rondo under? is it because it is slightly inflated along with CP and Clips defense?
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#413
Posted: 12/27/2012 8:01:41 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MrBogey:

picked up Rondo early in the day, over 9.5 assists at -135.

will follow under 14.5 points as well.

what makes you like the Rondo under? is it because it is slightly inflated along with CP and Clips defense?

Not just CP3's defense but Bledsoe as well.  I feel like it will be a physical defensive style game on national tv and there should be limited opportunities for him to penetrate the paint for easy buckets.  Im also not confident in his jumper.  Pierce in his hometown usually does alot of the shooting also.  

I could be wrong of course but I believe there are enough factors in favor of the under to pull the trigger.  Lets hope Im right
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#414
Posted: 12/27/2012 9:50:44 PM
any thoughts on Celts +9? looks a tad high even tho Clips have been blowing thru the competition. may go small on it just for "apparent" value sake.
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#415
Posted: 12/28/2012 1:11:33 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MrBogey:

any thoughts on Celts +9? looks a tad high even tho Clips have been blowing thru the competition. may go small on it just for "apparent" value sake.

Im not looking to bet nba spreads this year unless I see something very enticing, and Im especially not betting against the clippers this year.  They have atleast 5 bench players that are legitimate starters on other teams.  So they could easily blow any team on a given night since there is very little drop off when they make substitutions.  No spread is safe when they are flowing and sacrificing for each other
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#416
Posted: 12/28/2012 1:33:59 AM
Rondo under 14.5 Pts (-115)

YTD 102-55
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#417
Posted: 12/28/2012 2:04:37 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by shaps17:


Im not looking to bet nba spreads this year unless I see something very enticing, and Im especially not betting against the clippers this year.  They have atleast 5 bench players that are legitimate starters on other teams.  So they could easily blow any team on a given night since there is very little drop off when they make substitutions.  No spread is safe when they are flowing and sacrificing for each other



too bad you waited until AFTER the game ENDED to let me know this, LOL.

Rondo hit that 3 to end the 3rd made it interesting for a quick sec. Finally we benefit from a blowout.

which are your main sites for studying? what
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shaps17
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#418
Posted: 12/28/2012 2:46:39 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MrBogey:


too bad you waited until AFTER the game ENDED to let me know this, LOL.


I was with my family
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#419
Posted: 12/28/2012 9:13:48 AM
shaps:

"Tomorrow's headlines today"

ty
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shaps17
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#420
Posted: 12/28/2012 6:14:17 PM
Calderon under 14 Pts (-125)
Lin under 23.5 Pts+Ast (-115)
Lillard over 26.5 Pts+Ast (-115)

Couldnt help myself on this one.......Lakers-Blazers over 205.5


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shaps17
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#421
Posted: 12/28/2012 6:28:24 PM
Dwight over 17.5 Pts (-125)
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#422
Posted: 12/28/2012 6:42:49 PM
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#423
Posted: 12/28/2012 7:05:54 PM
Love all of your plays but of course Vegas watches u and jacks up the prices after you post haha.  Just wondering for us followers how much juice should we absorb before passing on a play?  Is (-140) too much?  (-160) too much?  Thanks and GL as always man!
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shaps17
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#424
Posted: 12/29/2012 12:36:19 AM
Calderon under 14 Pts (-125)
Lin under 23.5 Pts+Ast (-115)
Lillard over 26.5 Pts+Ast (-115)
Dwight over 17.5 Pts (-125)

YTD 104-57


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shaps17
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#425
Posted: 12/29/2012 12:54:52 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Cmcmahan:

Love all of your plays but of course Vegas watches u and jacks up the prices after you post haha.  Just wondering for us followers how much juice should we absorb before passing on a play?  Is (-140) too much?  (-160) too much?  Thanks and GL as always man!

I wish I had that much clout but I most certainly do not.  If the juice is above -140, I usually look to parlay with something easy like the Denver Broncos or 49ers ML to try to cover that extra juice
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