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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: 2012-13 NBA Daily Player Props
shaps17 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#376
Posted: 12/21/2012 7:50:48 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by AAvKKmbfn:

Anthony has only had more than 7 rebounds 6 times this year and also hasn't had more than 6 rebounds in a single game the last 11. Any thoughts as to why the line is offering the hook?  Anyway GL tonight but I doubt you will need it  

He is playing PF, Rasheed I believe will not be playing again as well as limited minutes for Kurt Thomas so they are very thin at PF right now so there will be opportunities for Carmelo.  But the stat you mentioned plus the fact that the Bulls are a very good rebounding team wont allow me to pass up so much probability in my favor.  
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#377
Posted: 12/21/2012 8:21:36 PM
New guy following you love your record
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#378
Posted: 12/21/2012 10:35:05 PM
covers boxscore shows 29 total for zach while espn has 30- anybody?
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#379
Posted: 12/21/2012 10:43:28 PM
I stand corrected.  Good job, shaps17...
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#380
Posted: 12/21/2012 11:26:58 PM
seems like every night Conley and Allen shut down their counterparts.

Nice card again tonight bud.

Man that Kemba Walker has been a machine in the first half of the last few games.


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#381
Posted: 12/21/2012 11:32:03 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bullmoose:

covers boxscore shows 29 total for zach while espn has 30- anybody?

i see 30 on yahoo...its a push
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#382
Posted: 12/21/2012 11:37:30 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GuardiaDeMieux:

I stand corrected.  Good job, shaps17...

Thank you Guardia 
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#383
Posted: 12/22/2012 12:26:20 AM
Lee got a shot at triple-double- also one more bucket needed
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#384
Posted: 12/22/2012 12:34:11 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MrBogey:

seems like every night Conley and Allen shut down their counterparts.

Nice card again tonight bud.

Man that Kemba Walker has been a machine in the first half of the last few games.



Also, David Lee does not get talked about enough.  One of the most consistent and efficient pf of the last 4 years
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#385
Posted: 12/22/2012 12:43:10 AM
Another winning night...what is left to say?
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#386
Posted: 12/22/2012 12:45:56 AM
very nice- congrats
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#387
Posted: 12/22/2012 12:55:36 AM
Tailed the David Lee Prop 
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#388
Posted: 12/22/2012 12:58:19 AM
Forgot to update the my record with the Lebron prop last night so Im adding it here.  

Almost got burned again because of blowouts, I should be more careful taking the overs on the lopsided games where a losing team is on the road against a strong team at home.  


Lebron over 15 Reb+Ast (-130) 
Carmelo under 7.5 Reb (-140)  3 units 
Mayo under 20.5 Pts (-115) 
D. Lee over 32.5 Pts + Reb (-115) 
G. Vasquez over 8 Ast (-130) 


YTD 100-51
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#389
Posted: 12/22/2012 2:06:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MrBogey:

I have been trying to find a site rating players defense using the DRtg method. Have you read about this formula? It seems to have the least amount of holes and has been called one of the best ways to rate a players D.

off topic but i have a question, say you found a place  than routinely posts inflated favs by 1-2 points in NCAA and NBA, would you blindly bet these at -110?

9 days in and so far I have had some success just doing the 1.5 and 2's and even hit a middles on 1 of the 2's this week. -4.5 and +6.5. i was heavy on the bad line of +6.5



Any thoughts on this? Not sure if you saw it.
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#390
Posted: 12/22/2012 3:53:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MrBogey:




Any thoughts on this? Not sure if you saw it.

Is this for game spreads or props?
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#391
Posted: 12/22/2012 4:46:02 PM
on games, ncaa and nba. although I have been getting the occasional point or half rebound/assist better than the market
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#392
Posted: 12/22/2012 5:47:19 PM
what on you mind tonight..... 
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#393
Posted: 12/22/2012 6:34:40 PM
I like Harden under 26.5. he was 4-18 earlier this year against Memphis. A few more but I will let shaps do his thing. Keep an eye on Bulls lineup tonight, maybe Deng and Gibson out means more offense for other team.
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#394
Posted: 12/22/2012 6:35:02 PM
S. Curry over 20.5 Pts (-115)  3 units
Lebron over 26.5 Pts (-115)  3 units
Wade over 21.5 (-105) 
Harden under 26.5 Pts (-115) 3 units

also took over 198.5 on the PHX-POR game but wont count this on my record
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#395
Posted: 12/22/2012 6:40:13 PM
just as a side note Im also taking the Wizards +1.  Hate to back such a crap team but Nene and Beal in the starting lineup after a blowout loss and at home sounds like a good recipe.  
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#396
Posted: 12/22/2012 7:22:47 PM
missed the wash bet but i am on the over play, 196 at the time i bet.


will  Ty Lawson and Denver be able to slowdown Kemba Walker tonight?

what do u think of Ty as a defender?
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#397
Posted: 12/22/2012 8:53:11 PM
Hes a decent defender but his height can be taken advantage of.  Not usually a good idea to bet against the hot hand unless its a great defensive matchup
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#398
Posted: 12/22/2012 9:47:12 PM
Grizz giving up a 100 by the 3rd is not like them.  I guess they decided before the game to ease up on defense and just have some fun
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#399
Posted: 12/23/2012 1:44:43 AM
S. Curry over 20.5 Pts (-115)  3 units
Lebron over 26.5 Pts (-115)  3 units
Wade over 21.5 (-105) 
Harden under 26.5 Pts (-115) 3 units


those two losses by .5 hurted

YTD 101-54
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#400
Posted: 12/23/2012 2:59:00 PM
Kirilenko over 21.5 Pts+Reb (-115)

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