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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Mike Money's NBA Watering Hole 2012-2013
mikesomoney send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 10/29/2012 11:35:22 PM
YTD: 0-0-0
Starting Bankroll: $3000
1 Unit: $100

BOL to everyone this NBA Season, I hope we can all chime in and cash in on an enjoyable, profitable season.  The season is long so I hope to be selective in my spots, especially in the beginning while we are seeing how some teams mesh together with new lineups and possible injuries.

I am particularly interested in the Nuggets and 76ers to be possible dark horses this year. So this first game featuring them both will be interesting.

1st Play for .5 Unit: Boston Celtics +7 (got it early) over Miami Heat.

This is a simple fade on the opening game for NBA Champs. I do think that Boston Celtics were possibly the best team last season minus their fatigue factor of having old legs. I think they will be super hyped to prove something with Ray Allen going to the dark side. Not really trying to make a killing in the beginning few weeks, but I see value in this opening game.

Strong Leans: Heat/Spurs ML, Warriors ML, Kings +6.5

I hope to learn and share discussions with the rest of you on the boards. Lets make some money!


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#2
Posted: 10/29/2012 11:36:53 PM
Good Luck with ya on the Celtics
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#3
Posted: 10/29/2012 11:47:11 PM
@rocky hope to see you cash as well bro!
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#4
Posted: 10/29/2012 11:59:52 PM
GL.  I suggest that you maintain a season long thread for NBA.  Easier for tracking purposes.  Get money!
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#5
Posted: 10/30/2012 12:02:55 AM
@retire_early agreed! BOL to you as well and let's def MAKE MONEY!
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#6
Posted: 10/30/2012 2:09:46 AM
Should be a close game until Boston fades away in the 4th.
like Bost 1st half though
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#7
Posted: 10/30/2012 2:10:14 PM
Best of Luck 
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#8
Posted: 10/30/2012 2:10:52 PM
Good luck mike
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#9
Posted: 10/31/2012 1:26:46 AM
Thanks Guys!

Didn't Pan out as well. On to the next ones soon.

Lakers lost to Eddy Curry at home. Brown is supposed to be known for Defense but that was terrible almost 100 pts given away with no dirk or kaman. Nash needs the ball in his hands more and high pick and rolls with Dwight and pau waiting at elbow if that option fails.

Did I mention eddy curry?
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#10
Posted: 10/31/2012 3:40:00 PM
YTD: 0-1-0
Net Profit: -($50)
1 Unit: $100

First full unit play:
Dallas Mavs +8.5 for 1 Unit

This team hustles and plays like a veteran team understanding their front court is out with injuries. They stay motivated and play in a hard place to play, but I think 8 points is a nice cushion for a collison and mayo that is out to prove something. BOL to all!

Surprised the Nuggets line moved so much I think they win but not going to bet after such lost value.
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#11
Posted: 10/31/2012 6:02:40 PM
2nd play:

Kings +6.5 for 1 unit

I see a young athletic kings team that although it being preseason, has been playing pretty hard nosed. I expect a great game out of cousins and a fun battle between Nate Robinson and Isaiah Thomas. Possible ML upset but ill side with the points in case of many costly turnovers.
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#12
Posted: 11/1/2012 11:48:23 AM
YTD: 1-2-0
Net profit: -($60)

All my strong leans hit, will pick it up as season progresses. I have some good notes on some teams so I am excited for the future games.

No plays tonight in the NBA for me, but I slight lean SA ML w/ Over
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#13
Posted: 11/1/2012 9:22:18 PM
BOL mike 
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#14
Posted: 11/2/2012 5:10:45 PM
Thanks @Manutdctts

Play Tonight: Nuggets ML/OKC ML/Hawks -5/Miami ML/ and Grizz ML .3 units to win 3 Units.

Reaching here but don't feel like laying spreads right now separately besides the hawks in their home opener. They should be really good this year and will overwhelm a young rockets team still jelling together.

BOL all

Lean: Pistons and Clippers.
May make another play.
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#15
Posted: 11/2/2012 8:41:53 PM
BOL 
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#16
Posted: 11/2/2012 9:36:25 PM
2units Grizzlies -1.

I think GSW is overhyped they play well at home but Grizzlies is a playoffs guaranteed team. They will end up 1-1 after a tough clips team.
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#17
Posted: 11/3/2012 1:14:10 AM
YTD: 2-3-0
<1 Unit: 0-2
1 Unit: 1-1
2 Unit: 1-0
Net Profit: $110

Grizzlies are a great team I enjoy watching them play. Solid coaching job hollins.

GSW is too streaky and turnovers kill them. I don't think curry is a great pg, he should just SG and jack play pg. Hope you all enjoyed the games!

Sat Leans: Kings, Blazers, bucks
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#18
Posted: 11/3/2012 6:30:45 PM
Doing a chase on the nuggets. Two games I expected them to cover and win/ats but they haven't. George Karl is too good of a coach (IMO) to keep letting them fail.

This is purely a situational spot for me on my bankroll, but I feel it will payoff.

2 Units: Nuggets +8

I like utah jazz they are a well coached team and play blue collar hustle basketball. However, the spurs are too much especially after having to play an emotional loss to NO last night.

1 Unit: Spurs -7

BOL to all
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#19
Posted: 11/3/2012 11:15:42 PM
Great night thought Denver should've had the game. Andre Miller is reliable, gallinari is not. I don't know why McGee doesn't play more.

YTD: 4-3-0
>1 Unit: 0-2
1 Unit: 2-1
2 Unit: 2-0
Net Profit: $430

Remember, it's always about profit. Use bankroll management, not strictly obsessed with W-L only.
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#20
Posted: 11/3/2012 11:16:47 PM
Correction < 1 Unit*: 0-2*

I'll generally use this for parlays or padding the bankroll
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#21
Posted: 11/4/2012 6:00:41 PM
1 Unit: Magic PK (local)

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#22
Posted: 11/4/2012 6:04:13 PM
BOL 
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#23
Posted: 11/4/2012 6:04:36 PM
Wanted to submit before game time.
I think Orlando matches up well to the suns team at all positions except for center. I think it comes down to the bench and I am not thrilled at all by the suns bench line up. I'll take the home team and guard play of afflalo to help produce more than the first game.
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#24
Posted: 11/4/2012 8:37:20 PM
YTD: 5-3-0
2 Unit: 2-0
1 Unit: 3-1
< 1 Unit: 0-2
Net Profit: $530

Truly, I am 5-1. All my plays under 1 unit was no real value/trying to pad bankroll (hence the small play). I hope I make you guys money!

Always about Profit! Man this suns team is in trouble this year. BOL to all wont be playing anymore have a huge play on Dallas.
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#25
Posted: 11/5/2012 5:08:27 PM
Laying the chalk. I think Miami understands they need to fix their publicly broadcasted defensive issues. They will come out firing and pressing a suns team that doesn't blend well thus far. I expect a blowout and will take the chalk. Even if reserves come in late I like Miami's bench to keep scoring and playing hard to the very end.

I expect a blowout like 18+

1 unit: Miami -13

Leans: grizzlies ML/over, kings ML, cavs +10
Grizzlies should come out with a bang, kings are inconsistent but definitely have talent, Kyrie will play up due to cp3 on other side.

Won't count it towards anything, but ill parlay grizzlies/eagles ML (nfl) tonight.

BOL everyone!
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