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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: NBA 2013 SEASON thread
JSGXKR send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#101
Posted: 11/18/2012 11:52:19 AM
bol
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#102
Posted: 11/23/2012 12:18:45 PM
YTD 51-39-1(+15.83)
Side: 25-16
Total: 24-15-1
Money Line: 2-5
Parlay: 0-3



Been really busy these past few days, that I was unable to place/post bets. But, a big thank you to CMM and CMJ for giving me a 4-0 night last Monday.

CMM
CMJohnson



I will be updating my stats/record once I get to have free time.

Onto tonight's bets:


HOUSTON ROCKETS +4 @1.91 for 3 UNITS
>>>>> This is more of a homer bet yet again. My Rockets are 5-0 SU/ATS vs Knicks @ home, and even though this is a different Rocket team from the past, I believe that the Knicks just has a difficult time beating us in our home court. I was inclined to bet the ML but I am quite unfortunate with my ML bets so I'd rather stick with the sides and appreciate the +4.


SAN ANTONIO SPURS -4 @1.87 for 3 UNITS
>>>>> Even if the Spurs are only 2-6 ATS @ Indiana in the last 8 games, most of those loses were won by San Antonio SU. Indiana is just a different team without D. Granger, and tomorrow I get the feeling the Spurs will manhandle them.


DENVER NUGGETS -6 @1.93 for 3 UNITS

>>>>> Finally, Denver is showing that they are a team to beat this season. This is one of the (if not) deepest team(s) in the league, and even with a rocky start, they are now sitting @ .500. GSW are playing really well at this point, winning tough games on the road (Twolves; Mavs; Clippers). Thing is, Nuggets is a very tough team when @ home, and I will not be surprised if they blow GSW out tomorrow.


TIMBERWOLVES/BLAZERS 196 OVER @1.91 for 3 UNITS

>>>>> Over is 4-0 in last 4 games of these teams @ Portland. Over is 7-1 in last 8 games between these teams. AND, one referee has a record of 7-1 in over/under on his games. To me, that's a lot of trends in favor of the over, so why go against it?


KINGS/JAZZ 194 UNDER @1.91 for 3 UNITS

>>>>> Going with a certain trend here, wherein under has gone 6-1 in these teams' recent battles @ Salt Lake. In addition, in 4 games @ Utah, under has gone 3-1. I'd be riding this trend between these teams, and hope it continues.


LA LAKERS +4.5 @1.91 for 2 UNITS
>>>>> This one is a lot risky, considering the Lakeshow has yet to win a game on the road (0-3 ATS). They even got crushed by Sacramento couple nights ago. BUT, looking at these teams' recent battles, Lakers always seems to play the Griz tough. I'll take my chances with this bet, even if Memphis is on fire.


HORNETS/SUNS 195.5 UNDER @1.
87 for 2 UNITS

>>>>> The only glaring information in this bet is that, one of the referees for this game has a record of 1-7 in over/under. That's a killer record if you ask me. I'd ride this guy, and hope his under hits yet again.


19 units at risk. I am hoping I will end up on the positive side after these games.


BOL to all our bets!!!



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#103
Posted: 11/23/2012 10:34:57 PM
HOUSTON
SAN ANTONIO
LA LAKERS

NOH/PHX UNDER
SAC/UTA UNDER
DENVER
MIN/POR OVER


Under bets look dead. Hopefully Denver can turn things around in the 2nd half. And, Wolves/Blazers keep the high scoring for the entire game.
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#104
Posted: 11/23/2012 11:52:33 PM
HOUSTON
SAN ANTONIO
DENVER

LA LAKERS
UNDERS x2

MIN/POR OVER


I need this over to hit to salvage the day. Under bets aren't even remotely close to the totals. What was I thinking.
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#105
Posted: 11/24/2012 12:09:42 AM
And suddenly both teams cannot score.

Or make freethrows.

GREAT. 
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#106
Posted: 11/24/2012 1:16:58 AM
YTD 55-42-1(+18.69)
Side: 28-17
Total: 25-17-1
Money Line: 2-5
Parlay: 0-3



*****Today's results: 4-3 (+2.86)*****


HOUSTON ROCKETS +4 @1.91 for 3 UNITS (+2.73)
SAN ANTONIO SPURS -4 @1.87 for 3 UNITS (+2.61)

DENVER NUGGETS -6 @1.93 for 3 UNITS
(+2.79)
TIMBERWOLVES/BLAZERS 196 OVER @1.91 for 3 UNITS (+2.73)

KINGS/JAZZ 194 UNDER @1.91 for 3 UNITS
(-3.00)
LA LAKERS +4.5 @1.91 for 2 UNITS (-2.00)
HORNETS/SUNS 195.5 UNDER @1.87 for 2 UNITS (-2.00)


Quite a decent day, hitting 4 of 5 of the 3 unit bets. Too bad both 2 unit bets lost. Saddest thing is, both under bets weren't very close to the final score.

I've been losing a lot of the totals bets lately.. I need to do research more then.

I will be back tomorrow for the review of the games...

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#107
Posted: 11/24/2012 6:38:44 PM
Onto today's bets:
(No time for write-ups, but majority of these are based on b2b situations)


LA CLIPPERS -2 @1.85 for 3 UNITS
BOBCATS/WIZARDS UNDER188 @1.95 for 2 UNITS
JAZZ/KINGS OVER194.5 @1.88 for 1 UNIT
(PARLAY) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER ML + MILWAUKEE BUCKS ML @2.60 for 1 UNIT



Small card for tonight. Not liking the games much.

BOL to all our bets!!!


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#108
Posted: 11/24/2012 8:36:59 PM
CLIPPERS
BOBCATS UNDER

Another horrific start for me.
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#109
Posted: 11/24/2012 11:14:30 PM
0 for 3 now.

Waiting if Jazz+Kings can at least give me a win today. Tough day yet again. Actually, tough week.

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#110
Posted: 11/25/2012 11:39:42 AM
YTD 56-45-1(+13.57)
Side: 28-18
Total: 26-18-1
Money Line: 2-5
Parlay: 0-4

*****Results yesterday: 1-3 (-5.12)*****


LA CLIPPERS -2 @1.85 for 3 UNITS
BOBCATS/WIZARDS UNDER188 @1.95 for 2 UNITS
JAZZ/KINGS OVER194.5 @1.88 for 1 UNIT
(PARLAY) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER ML + MILWAUKEE BUCKS ML @2.60 for 1 UNIT


The struggle continues. It's been a very tough week for me. The only winning days were when I tailed CMM&CMJ last Monday, and 2 days ago. The rest had been losing days.

Hope the bleeding stops tomorrow. Onto the bets:


PISTONS/KNICKS OVER 192 @1.98 for 3 UNITS
[On DETROIT games: 3-1 ATS (+2.78); 3-0 totals (+4.37)]
[On NY games: 3-0 ATS (6.95); 2-1 totals (+1.79)]
>>>>> Both these teams had given me a lot of winnings this season. They combined for almost 16 units! It's like, if I never bet the other 28 teams unless they face either the Knicks or Pistons, I would've been 16 units higher. Anyway, I take this bet on a simple trend that battles between these 2 @MSG usually results on an over (last 5 games, 3-2 in favor of over, with one game losing only by 1 point). In addition, Knicks just got trounced by my Rockets a couple nights ago, and I am looking at revenge factor here. I just hope Pistons can contribute some points to push this game over. Lastly, the 3 refs has 17-10 combined in O/U, 7-3 when the total is between 185-194.

CELTICS/MAGIC UNDER 191.5 @1.91 for 3 UNITS
[On BOSTON games: 0-2 ATS (-3.00); 2-0 totals (+3.54)]
[On ORLANDO games: 1-1 ATS (-0.13); 2-2 totals (+0.73)]
>>>>> Again, I am following a trend here, for under has gone 18-7-1 last 26 games between these teams; and 12-4-1 @ Amway. The 3 refs has a combined 9-17 O/U, 3-9 for totals between 185 and 194. The only stat scaring me is that Boston doesn't seem to care much on defense this season, as they have gone 8-4-1 on O/U. Even so, I am quite confident that tomorrow will be a struggle for both teams.

ORLANDO MAGIC ML @2.80 for 1.5 UNITS
[On BOSTON games: 0-2 ATS (-3.00); 2-0 totals (+3.54)]
[On ORLANDO games: 1-1 ATS (-0.13); 2-2 totals (+0.73)]
>>>>> Here I go again, I never learn. A 2-5 record for MLs doesn't seem to bother me, so here I am again, playing with the moneyline bets. I guess, it's just tough to disregard the stat of the 3 ref games. They have a combined 23-5 record SU for home teams, 19-7-2 on ATS. I'll take my chances.

(PARLAY) SAN ANTONIO SPURS ML + BROOKLYN NETS ML + PHILADELPHIA 76ERS ML @2.88 for 1 UNIT
[On SAN ANTONIO games: 1-3 ATS (-0.39); 3-2 totals (-2.21)]
[On TORONTO games: 4-1 ATS (+5.12); 1-1 totals (+0.82)]
>>>>>I'm just not that confident that the Spurs will be comfortably winning this battle. Might as well lean on an SU victory instead.

[On PORTLAND games: 3-1 ATS (+4.42); 2-2 totals (+0.46)]
[On BROOKLYN games: 1-1 ATS (+0.82); 0-1 totals (0-1)]
>>>>>Brooklyn is one of few teams that I rarely bet on, but tonight, I believe that they will handle the Blazers well. Again, I am just wary of a possible backdoor cover for Portland, so I stick with the SU.

[On PHOENIX games: 0-2 ATS (-3.00); 2-3 totals (-3.29)]
[On PHILADELPHIA games: 2-1 ATS (+0.62); 0-1 totals (-3.00)]
>>>>>Just a simple trend of b2b. Philadelphia lost their game earlier today, so I expect them to win tonight and cover. But, to be on the safe side, I'll be betting SU victory for Philly.


That's it. Only 4 bets (actually, counts as 6 because I have a 3-teamer). Hopefully, my losing stops tonight.

BOL to all our bets (especially mine)!!!


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#111
Posted: 11/25/2012 11:44:03 AM
Orlando ML?! You've got the guts. Bol and hope you get it!
Posted using a mobile device.
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#112
Posted: 11/25/2012 7:50:53 PM
Well that Boston under is toast. I just hope Orlando has enough "magic" to get this win straight up.

Same goes to the Sixers who are having a tough time putting the Suns away.

Play on!!!


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#113
Posted: 11/25/2012 8:19:34 PM
Both Philly and Orlando were up 7 just about 2 minutes ago.

Now, Philly is up only by 1 and Orlando up by 2 (after being down 3).

Nothing is ever easy in the life of gambling.

Play on!!!!!


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#114
Posted: 11/25/2012 8:27:52 PM
Damn KG hitting all his shots.

Added play:

(I/R) ORLANDO MAGIC ML @2.55 for 1 UNIT

Well..I'm just hoping for some sort of magic/miracle here in the OT session..
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#115
Posted: 11/25/2012 8:34:40 PM
Yeah well so much for miracle. Not today.
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#116
Posted: 11/26/2012 6:45:40 PM
Damn Magic.

I will be updating records later.

Onto tonight's bets:


KNICKS/NETS OVER 193 @1.96 for 4 UNITS
>>>>> New York has made me tons of money this season, as I am currently 6-1 in their games. The one stat I love why I am putting 4 units on the over is during b2b games by NY. They had 3 sets of b2bs already this season, and on the 2nd night of the b2b, the totals for the 3 games were: 198 (@phi); 200 (@mem); 225 (@dal). All games had sailed over, all road games. I am confident that Brooklyn will also score tons of points as they are capable of doing so, but mainly because of the trend the Knicks has made me quite confident of this one.


DENVER NUGGETS +3.5 @1.90 for 2 UNITS
>>>>> Denver has its own trend with b2bs. In the 2nd game of the b2b, Denver is 3-0 ATS (2-1 SU) with all games on the road. This is the main advantage of a very deep/talented team. They rely not only on their starting 5 but the entire roster. This is quite a tough/risky bet because I know how superb Utah is @ home (5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS). But, they will lose 1 @ home, one way or another, and I am seeing this game as that 1st loss. I will just take the additional points should it be a close one.


CAVALIERS/GRIZZLIES OVER 194.5 @2.02 for 2 UNITS
>>>>> That's a lot of points for Cavs to score without their best player. Even so, Cavs is a scrappy team, same with the Grizzlies. They will find ways to score, either with the long ball or transition. We all know Memphis can score, and they will probably man-handle Cleveland tonight, but I am confident that both teams will be putting up enough points to make this game at least 195.


SAN ANTONIO SPURS -5.5 @1.77 for 2 UNITS
>>>>> This scares me a bit because almost 80% of covers is with the Spurs. Last night, I took them ML and included them in a parlay, and as it turned out, it was a good decision for they failed to cover ATS. Again, noting the b2b rule, if the team lost the 1st game ATS, more often than not they cover ATS the 2nd game. I will only play this 2 units because it's a mass play, which again, is scary.


BOL to all our bets. Especially mine. I really need to have a winning day again.


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#117
Posted: 11/26/2012 8:26:42 PM
Not good starts for both overs.. Especially the Knicks game, which is my big bet this day (and biggest so far this season)


Spurs are coasting, at least that's a relief..

Play on, boys!!!!


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#118
Posted: 11/26/2012 8:50:48 PM
Yep.. Knicks over is toast.

I guess since this is a rivalry game, they decided to focus more on defense than offense. Unlucky me (again).
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Posted: 11/26/2012 9:18:37 PM
We need double OT!!!!
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Posted: 11/26/2012 10:05:44 PM
OT gave the over backers a chance, but Knicks just cannot score at all.

Down the drain it goes. Same with Cavs/Grizz over. Poof!
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#121
Posted: 11/26/2012 10:33:55 PM
I hate to make chase plays, but here goes:


LA CLIPPERS -12.5 @1.84 for 4 UNITS
--> New Orleans is on the last game of a 4-game road trip. They should've been 2-1 this trip, but ended 0-3 because of collapse in the late game. Clippers had just finished their own 4-game road swing, where they win the 1st game and lost last 3. They will get back on track tonight, and they will send the Hornets packing who, I presume, is looking forward to going home.
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Posted: 11/27/2012 12:32:27 AM
I think I need to take days off or weeks off. I have lost quite a sum of money the past 10 days or so. I need a breather.
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#123
Posted: 11/28/2012 7:27:53 PM
I will be updating records soon...

For today, keeping things light and simple, with all bets being 2 units each:

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER -10.0 @1.93
CHICAGO BULLS -6.5 @1.98
TORONTO RAPTORS +10.0 @2.04
LA CLIPPERS -9.0 @1.98
DETROIT PISTONS -3.5 @1.98

All the bets are based on back-to-back situations. Houston, Dallas, Minnesota, and Phoenix covered ATS last night, so I will go against them tonight. Toronto lost ATS last night so I will back them ATS tonight. Just that simple.

BOL to all our bets!!!


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#124
Posted: 11/29/2012 12:26:09 PM
Only 1 play for tomorrow's TNT Thursday:


NUGGETS / WARRIORS UNDER 200 @1.93 for 2 UNITS


Not much reason, really. Just going against covers mass. That simple.

BOL to all our bets!!!


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#125
Posted: 11/30/2012 12:59:23 PM
Another loss during TNT Thursday. Pffff.

Onto today's bets:

MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES -11.0 @1.91 for 3 UNITS
>>>>> There's just teams that some teams own, and the Bears own the Pistons. 5 straight matchups the Grizzlies took from Pistons, 2 of which were @home. Another glaring info is, Memphis is 6-1 ATS after 1 day rest. That's a solid record right there. After winning by 40, the Pistons will experience their own behind kicking tomorrow.


NEW YORK KNICKS -12.5 @1.91 for 3 UNITS

>>>>> Knicks own Wizards too. 9 straight wins by the Knicks over the lowly Wizards, 5 straight ATS wins @home too. In addition, Washington is 1-4 ATS on 1-day rest; while NY is 6-1. Same with Memphis, that's another very good record to base bets at.


OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER -9.0 @1.87 for 2 UNITS

>>>>> Utah is very weak or close to being poor, on the road. "Loud City" is one tough building to get victories at. Jazz did beat the Hornets on the road to start their 3-game road trip with a W, but that will only be their win on this 3-game stretch. OKC will finish their 3-game homestand with another crushing victory, I hope.


BOSTON CELTICS -5.0 @1.96 for 2 UNITS

>>>>> Yet another team who is very weak on the road, Portland Blazers will try to get a rare win away from their turf. Not gonna happen with the Celtics though, even without Rondo or Garnett. This is still a decent team who has players capable of stepping up. To top it off, the Celtics are 5-1 ATS on 1-day rest.


PHOENIX SUNS +2.0 @1.94 for 2 UNITS

>>>>> Yeah, I will be backing a team who just lost 40 points to some poor team. It's all because of this certain info: Phoenix had won 5 straight @Toronto. Maybe a big part of that success were because of Steve Nash, but this Suns team is still capable of getting these big wins. The Raptors are 0-6 ATS on 1-day rest. There you go...


BOL to all our bets!!!!!


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