NBA Draft Props

Forum: NBA Betting
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: NBA Draft Props
txtechpika PM txtechpika
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Posted: 6/26/2012 5:56:40 PM
Going to post my books draft props and see what y'all think is juicy...

2nd overall pick -- Thomas Robinson -200
Any other player +150

3rd overall pick -- Bradley Beal -200
Any other player +150

4th overall pick -- Harrison Barnes +150
MKG -150
Any other player +150

Draft Position

Jared Sullinger  17.5
Over -150
Under - +110

Terrence Jones 17.5
Over -120
Under -120

Perry Jones 14.5
Over -120
Under -120

Fab Melo 22.5
Over -120
Under -120

Austin Rivers 10.5
Over -120
Under -120

How many seniors will be drafted in first round?
Over 4.5 -150
Under 4.5 +110


Will any team in top 5 trade their pick?
Yes -140
No   Even

Total Kentucky players drafted in 1st round
Over 4.5 +150
Under 4.5 -200

Will Draymond Green be drafted in first round?
Yes -300
No +200

Will Evan Fournier be drafted in first round?
Yes -150
No +110

Will Dwight Howard be traded before the 2nd round of the draft ends?
Yes +110
No -150

 

txtechpika PM txtechpika
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Posted: 6/26/2012 6:02:19 PM
Thomas Robinson is as close to a lock for second pick as it gets, going to put 2 units on that, going to put 2 units on the under 4.5 Kentuck players drafted in first round.  Going one unit on Fab Melo under 22.5, one unit on Draymond Green not going in the first round, one unit on Terrence Jones under 17.5... those are my initial leans and I'm going to be on those.  Interested in the forums thoughts.
txtechpika PM txtechpika
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Posted: 6/26/2012 6:06:25 PM
Though some thought is out there that the Bobcats will draft MKG, I think they either trade down or draft Robinson to give them a defensive presence as they were by far the worst defensive team in the league last season.  I don't think MKG is nearly as NBA ready as Robinson and the Bobcats are looking to draft projects.  Should be a very exciting draft I'm pumped!
BonesJones PM BonesJones
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Posted: 6/26/2012 6:37:10 PM
thinking about going with over 3.5 kentucky wildcats in the 1st.  Davis, MKG and Jones being the locks and Teague the 4th, with an outside chance of Lamb at the end.
HeatEsFuego PM HeatEsFuego
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Posted: 6/26/2012 6:39:20 PM
Draymond Green is going to go in the first round, if he is available at 26 when the Heat pick, he is there guy, trust me, Bobcats are HIGHLY likely to take a trade from either the Cavs (more likely) or the Wiz to move down to 3 or 4 where they can still grab Robinson and pick up an additional pick, as both team are extremely high on Beal, I'd put it at a 15% chance the Bobcats actually make a pick at #2, so betting on Robinson is a bad bet imo
MikeyGB PM MikeyGB
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Posted: 6/26/2012 6:54:39 PM
Robinson at 2 is in no way a lock. People are talking about Beal and Kidd-Gilchrist.
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txtechpika PM txtechpika
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Posted: 6/26/2012 7:32:51 PM
I think the Cavs would take Robinson if they moved down to 2, I like the discussion though, these bets will not be placed until right before betting closes an hour before the draft
ASC PM ASC
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Posted: 6/26/2012 8:13:34 PM
on sportsbook they have over/under 5.5 acc players drafted in first round. well since syracuse is included now i count a good 7 going! anybody like this?

kaponofor3 PM kaponofor3
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Posted: 6/26/2012 8:26:31 PM
I like "any other player" +150 at pick #2, I would not at all be shocked to see the Bobkitties trade that pick and move down, maybe to someone like Houston or Portland or something, and if those guys are looking to move up I don't think they are going to go for Robinson at pick 2.

I do like Beal at -200 to be third overall, would be VERY surprised if he went anywhere but to Washington.

REALLY like the "YES" on will any top 5 team trade their pick, Bobkitties and Kings both are potential winners on that.

Also like the YES on Evan Fournier to go in the first round.

I also strongly like (probably my favorite of all the options available) the "NO" on will D-12 be traded before the end of the 2nd round. Really, really like it. Like it a lot.
txtechpika PM txtechpika
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Posted: 6/26/2012 8:53:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

I like "any other player" +150 at pick #2, I would not at all be shocked to see the Bobkitties trade that pick and move down, maybe to someone like Houston or Portland or something, and if those guys are looking to move up I don't think they are going to go for Robinson at pick 2.

I do like Beal at -200 to be third overall, would be VERY surprised if he went anywhere but to Washington.

REALLY like the "YES" on will any top 5 team trade their pick, Bobkitties and Kings both are potential winners on that.

Also like the YES on Evan Fournier to go in the first round.

I also strongly like (probably my favorite of all the options available) the "NO" on will D-12 be traded before the end of the 2nd round. Really, really like it. Like it a lot.

Thanks for the insight kapono... I had completely overlooked the trade in the top 5 prop and I don't think howard will go before the end of the draft, draft isn't deep enough IMO for him to go for straight picks.
thekidyadig21 PM thekidyadig21
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Posted: 6/26/2012 9:38:27 PM
may i ask which book these props are on?
thekidyadig21 PM thekidyadig21
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Posted: 6/26/2012 9:50:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by txtechpika:

Going to post my books draft props and see what y'all think is juicy...

2nd overall pick -- Thomas Robinson -200
Any other player +150

3rd overall pick -- Bradley Beal -200
Any other player +150

4th overall pick -- Harrison Barnes +150
MKG -150
Any other player +150

Draft Position

Jared Sullinger  17.5
Over -150
Under - +110

Terrence Jones 17.5
Over -120
Under -120

Perry Jones 14.5
Over -120
Under -120

Fab Melo 22.5
Over -120
Under -120

Austin Rivers 10.5
Over -120
Under -120

How many seniors will be drafted in first round?
Over 4.5 -150
Under 4.5 +110


Will any team in top 5 trade their pick?
Yes -140
No   Even

Total Kentucky players drafted in 1st round
Over 4.5 +150
Under 4.5 -200

Will Draymond Green be drafted in first round?
Yes -300
No +200

Will Evan Fournier be drafted in first round?
Yes -150
No +110

Will Dwight Howard be traded before the 2nd round of the draft ends?
Yes +110
No -150

 

as for the props themselves, here is what i like. last year i didn't lose a prop. nba draft props are very easy if you follow the draft process closely.

#2 pick- any other player - I don't like this prop very much but if I had to decide, I would say they will either deal it or not get Robinson. Dunlap already said he wouldn't mind moving down.

Over 14.5 Perry Jones - Arguably the highest risk in the draft. He's been slipping and it would be very hard to imagine him being a lottery pick.

Total Kentucky players drafted in first round under 4.5 - On my book i took the over of 3.5 which is a big difference compared to 4.5 here. Davis, MKG, and Jones are locks for the first round while either Teague or Lamb will surely be a 1st round pick. More than likely it will be Teague.

Dwight Howard trade before 2nd round - I am shocked at this line to be honest. I really don't think hes going to be traded. The Rockets appear to be the only team wanting to take a shot at him right now but Howard has already stated that he won't stay long term. With that being said, "No" is definitely a great bet.

Sullinger over 17.5 - This prop reminds me of the Brandon Weeden prop for the NFL Draft (Weeden is older than Aaron Rodgers). While it is common sense to not draft a player this early with a problem that Sullinger or Weeden had, some team might actually be dumb enough to do so. Sullinger was medically red flagged by NBA doctors which means eventually his injury will get in the way of his career which is an obvious stay away for at least the majority of the 1st round. Not to mention his lack of motivation at times (weight problems) and being slightly undersized. It's hard to believe a team is dumb enough to draft him sooner than 17, but with NBA GM's, you just never know.

GL to you sir. I will post more props if I see others that I like.
rangerz2478 PM rangerz2478
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Posted: 6/27/2012 1:23:38 AM
What book and what are the limits?
txtechpika PM txtechpika
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Posted: 6/27/2012 1:57:38 AM
Bovada is the book limits are $500 I believe
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txtechpika PM txtechpika
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Posted: 6/27/2012 1:58:45 AM
I know people dislike bodog/bovada but I have never has problem with payouts just takes a month and a half but the checks do clear. I think I'm sold on the under 4.5 Kentucky players drafted nice feedback guys
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rangerz2478 PM rangerz2478
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Posted: 6/27/2012 10:17:32 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by txtechpika:

Bovada is the book limits are $500 I believe


$500 on bovada for draft props?!? lol I wish man.

Try $50.
dytide PM dytide
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Posted: 6/27/2012 2:58:56 PM
I wouldn't be shocked if Charlotte took Beal at  # 2.

The " no " on the Dwight Howard prop seems too easy that I would be afraid to bet it.


Absolutxedge22 PM Absolutxedge22
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Posted: 6/28/2012 3:07:50 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by rangerz2478:



$500 on bovada for draft props?!? lol I wish man.

Try $50.

Right. I was with bovada in the vip department but left...when my girlfriend had to wait a month and a half for her payout.

Gilberto PM Gilberto
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Posted: 6/28/2012 5:22:26 PM
Heritage has Robinson #2 +155   anyone else -200
 
Something must have changed sine your post
Gilberto PM Gilberto
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Posted: 6/28/2012 5:23:14 PM
Heritage has Beal #3+100    anyone else -130
HutchEmAll PM HutchEmAll
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Posted: 6/28/2012 5:30:12 PM
I think Charlotte takes Robinson if they keep the pick, but it's too chalky for me.  If they trade that pick, I would bet my left nut that Robinson is NOT the pick.  Beal is getting a lot of love.

I probably would lay the wood on D. Green being drafted in the first round.  
HutchEmAll PM HutchEmAll
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Posted: 6/28/2012 5:32:20 PM
Sullinger one is interesting. It only takes one team to grab him, but when I look at mock drafts, it's hard to know which players teams would pass on in order to take him at 17 or higher.  
Absolutxedge22 PM Absolutxedge22
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Posted: 6/28/2012 5:37:04 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by HutchEmAll:

Sullinger one is interesting. It only takes one team to grab him, but when I look at mock drafts, it's hard to know which players teams would pass on in order to take him at 17 or higher.  

Sullinger drops to the 20s in my opinion. Hawks might take him.
kaponofor3 PM kaponofor3
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Posted: 6/29/2012 10:34:22 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

I like "any other player" +150 at pick #2, I would not at all be shocked to see the Bobkitties trade that pick and move down, maybe to someone like Houston or Portland or something, and if those guys are looking to move up I don't think they are going to go for Robinson at pick 2.

I do like Beal at -200 to be third overall, would be VERY surprised if he went anywhere but to Washington.

REALLY like the "YES" on will any top 5 team trade their pick, Bobkitties and Kings both are potential winners on that.

Also like the YES on Evan Fournier to go in the first round.

I also strongly like (probably my favorite of all the options available) the "NO" on will D-12 be traded before the end of the 2nd round. Really, really like it. Like it a lot.




Hey, 4-1 ain't too shabby.
Paidonjok PM Paidonjok
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Posted: 6/29/2012 11:31:49 AM
Wow, I didn't know that there were good money to make in the NBA draft?  Honestly, I was all night long just to see if those would hit.  It's pretty much free money!!!
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