Heat +155 Series bet. Write up.

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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Heat +155 Series bet. Write up.
mischkin04 PM mischkin04
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Posted: 6/13/2012 6:49:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LETGOPACK1234:

Still confused why people are doing this???

If you can get the series for +250...and you can get game 2 for +210....why not just take game 2???

Then you dont need them to win 3 more to win your bet....

Fact is, the ONLY chance Miami has, which is none, to win the series is if they win tomorrow...

I would rather have to win just 1 game, instead of 4

   

joshfactor PM joshfactor
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Posted: 6/13/2012 7:17:19 PM
sorry heat backers. its the same old story with the heat. Cant close. Lebron shrunk again in the 4th quarter. Wade is hurt. They have no depth. Where was Boshs rebounding?

Miami lives & dies by their suffocating D in conjunction with transition offense. But the defense has so far shown little ability to stop the thunder, & the transition offense is getting killed by westbrook cutting off the passing lanes.

Without wade & bosh at 100%, & inconsistent production from the remaining squad, its hard to see how the heat get this without Durant or westbrook bowing out to injury.

TurnstoneMoney PM TurnstoneMoney
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Posted: 6/13/2012 9:02:55 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mischkin04:

   


Hey good strategy. 
crocnzeeba PM crocnzeeba
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Posted: 6/13/2012 10:07:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LETGOPACK1234:

Still confused why people are doing this???

If you can get the series for +250...and you can get game 2 for +210....why not just take game 2???

Then you dont need them to win 3 more to win your bet....

Fact is, the ONLY chance Miami has, which is none, to win the series is if they win tomorrow...

I would rather have to win just 1 game, instead of 4

That's not a fact at all.  It is a fact that Miami could lose Game 2 and still win the series.

Stromisle PM Stromisle
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Posted: 6/13/2012 11:09:01 PM

"The only chance miami has, which is none,"   hahaha that is most definitely not a fact.       

TurnstoneMoney PM TurnstoneMoney
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Posted: 6/13/2012 11:17:58 PM
Gotta love some responses after game 1.
LETGOPACK1234 PM LETGOPACK1234
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Posted: 6/13/2012 11:25:51 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by crocnzeeba:

That's not a fact at all.  It is a fact that Miami could lose Game 2 and still win the series.

Obviously, but what are the odds Miami wins 4 of 5 games??  Slim

For pretty much the same odds, I would rather take them to win 1 game, then 4 of 5...

Seems like a much smarter bet

LETGOPACK1234 PM LETGOPACK1234
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Posted: 6/13/2012 11:27:53 PM

Anyone who makes the series bet right now, is "assuming" they win game 2.  If thats not what they are thinking, then there is no reason to even bet it yet, and just wait til the lose and get bigger odds after game2.

It makes COMPLETE sense to bet game 2 ml instead of series price...

It would make no sense to bet the series if you think they are losing game 2...therefore just bet game 2 ml

mischkin04 PM mischkin04
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Posted: 6/14/2012 7:27:18 PM
    I'm only agreeing to bet on Heat ML tonight instead of series. I'm not backing up LETGOPACK on his statement that the fact is they can't come back down 2-0. Not very likely but we've already seen it can be done.            
TurnstoneMoney PM TurnstoneMoney
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Posted: 6/15/2012 8:21:18 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LETGOPACK1234:

Anyone who makes the series bet right now, is "assuming" they win game 2.  If thats not what they are thinking, then there is no reason to even bet it yet, and just wait til the lose and get bigger odds after game2.

It makes COMPLETE sense to bet game 2 ml instead of series price...

It would make no sense to bet the series if you think they are losing game 2...therefore just bet game 2 ml


Great thought process dude. That worked well.

All of us Miami Heat backers have to feel great.  
crocnzeeba PM crocnzeeba
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Posted: 6/15/2012 9:55:13 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TurnstoneMoney:


Great thought process dude. That worked well.

All of us Miami Heat backers have to feel great.  

TurnstoneMoney PM TurnstoneMoney
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Posted: 6/15/2012 11:05:52 PM
Yes, I fully expect Miami to take 2 out of 3 at home, and a long shot to win all 3.

Oklahoma City is a great team, no doubt. But I refuse to bet against a guy who wants it more then any person (lebron) and a guy who has been there before (wade)

These OKC young guns need to lose before they can win 1.
TurnstoneMoney PM TurnstoneMoney
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Posted: 6/18/2012 11:55:25 AM

MIAMI IS ALL IN OKC

LEBRON WANTS HIS RING

TurnstoneMoney PM TurnstoneMoney
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Posted: 6/18/2012 11:59:11 AM

I do think Miami wins the next 2 games @ home. And finishes this.

With these refs it will be tough for OKC on the road. Very very tough.

Westbrook and Durant are meshing well right now either.

GAME 4 : 55 to win 50 MIAMI -3.5

JGold13 PM JGold13
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Posted: 6/18/2012 1:16:03 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mjsquire:



you can't seriously be this dumb. GL with Heat large haha.

Yep, I am still very happy with my bet. Westbrook's shoots too much, the Heat's D will dominate the next two games. I would be surprised if this goes six. But, no matter what, those odds were way off. There was no way the Heat should have been a dog like that on the ML. I will be enjoying these winnings soon enough.
TurnstoneMoney PM TurnstoneMoney
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Posted: 6/19/2012 11:19:54 AM

OKC IS GOING DOWN, I CAN SENSE IT

LeBron TIME!!!!!

JGold13 PM JGold13
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Posted: 6/19/2012 11:49:06 PM
Congrats to everyone who played the Heat large in this series. +140 was such incredible value. I have never seen a line that off before. A huge overlay (to use some horseplayer verbiage). One of the best bets I have ever made. And congrats to LeBron what a beast. This is over in 5.
crocnzeeba PM crocnzeeba
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Posted: 6/19/2012 11:53:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Stromisle:

"The only chance miami has, which is none,"   hahaha that is most definitely not a fact.       

Yup.  His is likely to be remembered as the dumbest post on Covers this year.

bhawksfan PM bhawksfan
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Posted: 6/19/2012 11:57:24 PM
I was very wrong in what I thought about OKC, their offense looked very good against those piss poor defensive teams of the west, Miami has been the better team ever since the 1st game, GL rest of the way.
TurnstoneMoney PM TurnstoneMoney
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Posted: 6/20/2012 9:47:02 PM
Wow Miami -3 for game 5?

110 to win 100 on ML
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TurnstoneMoney PM TurnstoneMoney
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Posted: 6/20/2012 9:47:38 PM
Not the ML.

Miami -3
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kmoney85 PM kmoney85
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Posted: 6/20/2012 10:07:13 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LETGOPACK1234:

Miami will be lucky to win 2 games in the series...

Ok city didn't even shoot well missing atkeast 8 wide open 3 balls...

Miami is stacking the lane cause they can't stop the penetration, and are playing with fire...

The only reason Miami had a lead is they started 5-6 from 3...

Ok City is too fast and too long for them...

Don't be shocked if the series doesn't even come back to Ok City

The only reason MIA is here is because they played offensively challenged East teams

JGold13 PM JGold13
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Posted: 6/21/2012 12:31:10 AM
Classic blow out game. Last night's game was soul crushing for OKC. Free money if you lay the 3.
Lefty1981 PM Lefty1981
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Posted: 6/21/2012 4:32:51 AM
congrats on miami winning. seems like all the miami series threads are getting bumped back up.

okc wins game 5, but miami wins in 6.
crocnzeeba PM crocnzeeba
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Posted: 6/22/2012 10:09:44 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LETGOPACK1234:

Fact is, the ONLY chance Miami has, which is none, to win the series is if they win tomorrow...

Can we nominate this for the stupidest post of all time?

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