Sunday Plays..

Good Day to All...

I hope everyone had a sucessful Day & Night with their plays Yesterday...

Two Games today that carry some good Value..

Game 1 Heat/Pacers...

This is being Hyped up as the Game that Lebron & Wade come out and single handily carry this Team back into the series...

But if you really look at this Game closer you will see that The Heat are in a bad spot, they only have 2 true Players who can create their own shot in Lebron and Wade.. The Problem is that Wade is under performing in a way we are not used to seeing, and The Heat's bench is showing exactly how weak they are.. I will say this again, the loss of Bosh is worst thing that could have happened to the Heat..

I believe if Wade had went down the Heat would have had a better chance in this series due to the Fact that Lebron & Wade have similar types of games, where Bosh creates a low post presence that would bring The Pacers big men out from down low that would allow for more space for the Heat to operate & set up for kick outs when the double Team comes to allow for better looking 3 point shots...

Plus once again the Pacers are Home Dogs, and all the Money is rolling in on the Heat.. The Heat are getting pounded at 70% on the spread and 60% on the ML...

I will take a Complete Team at Home Getting the Points Vs. A Two Man Team on the Road as the Favs..

Play 1.. Pacers +2 & Taking the ML on the Side..

Game 2.. Spurs/Clippers..

This series has felt earily similar to the Spurs 1st round Opponent Vs.The Jazz..

In Games 1 & 2 in San Antonio the Spurs were getting DD lines to Cover which they did.. Then in Game 3 they were going off at -5 & -5.5 as road Favs to Cover which they did..

Now they are getting another -7.5 to cover in a close out Game 4, which we all remember what happened in their last closeout Game.. The Spurs were up by 20 plus with 4 minutes remaining and the Jazz fought back while the Spurs went Ice Cold & lost the Cover on a last minute put back shot by Utah...

But I think the Jazz had alot more fight in them & Healthier than the Clippers, Plus the way the Clip's lost yesterday had to be devastating to their Team moral knowing you had a Team down by 24 at one point just to end up losing by 10...

What does worry me is that Vegas lost Big time yesterday with that Game, all the Money was on The Spurs to cover which they did..Vegas was anticipating the Clippers to at least Cover yesterday which fell through in an epic Collapse..

Now the Public has even more money on the Spurs spread at 75% for the Spurs to Cover today, and 60% on the Clippers on the ML..

So logic tells you to take the Clippers at +7.5, because if they Cover Vegas gets back.. The wiser play would be to take the Spurs ML since Vegas has 60% of the Public money on the Clippers..

Vegas wins with a Clippers Cover & a Spurs win SU..

But I can't see getting any Value on a team getting -340 on the ML...

So I am going to do what I should have done in their last closeout Game just to be on the Safe side, I am going to Play the 1st Half of this game just in case there is a blowout and Pop decides to play his 3rd Unit players come the 4th Qtr. and this could possibly allow the Clippers to hang around enough to lose by 6 or 7 on another Moose shot..

Game 2...Play Spurs 1st Half -4..

BOL on everyone's plays Today & Tonight...

Quote Originally Posted by greengrocer:

pacers huge,kings in hockey ml and puck line, good luck port ,it seems most are on heat

I like The Pacers alot..

Especially with everyone on the Heat...

I will always take my chances with a Home Team as the Dog...

Quote Originally Posted by BigJohnStud:

go pacers!! gl man.. 

Yes Sir..

I feel really good about it as well, especially after how I got burnt in their last Close Out Game against Utah..

I just don't trust the Full Game Cover in this spot..

Quote Originally Posted by greengrocer:

leaning clippers+8 full game

It looks like the Play...

Thats why I am only playing the 1st Half...

Still have flashbacks of the Utah Closeout disaster...

Quote Originally Posted by -LB-:

BOL TODAY BUD! ON IND AS WELL. NOT TO SURE WHAT IM GOING TO DO WITH THE SA GAME? I WOULD TAIL YA ON THE 1H BUT MY LOCAL DOESNT OFFER HALFS EXCEPT ON CHAMPIONSHIP GAMES. I LIKE PLAYING HALFS BETTER THAN THE FG ESP. IN COLLEGE BBALL, BUT AT LEAST NOW IT HELPS ME BE A BETTER CAPPER ON THE FG.  

Yeah I have to take the Pacers in this spot...

It is to much Value to pass up a Home Team Playing the way they have been, plus they are getting the Points and everyone is Pounding the Heat on the Spread & ML...

 I have had alot of success on playing Halves, sorry to hear you don't get that option because there is good money to be made there as well...

Quote Originally Posted by -LB-:

Gettem next time bud

Yeah the Pacers went away from what was working in the 1st Half, and allowed the Heat to take control of the Game in the 2nf Half...

Congrats to all HEAT Backers...

Did you know every team which lost after having big leads dating back to last years playoffs has covered the spread in the next game.

Complete myth that teams are devastated by such loses.

And even teams who've had devastating loses that did not include losing big leads all have covered the next game, 8-0 ATS.

The public % are on a tear once again, going 4-0 ATS in games and 4-1 in totals for a very nice 8-1 run combined. That includes 2-0 with games 70% or better.

And a huge line movement on the over tonight with large line movements on totals on a 3-1 run including cashing the largest line movement of the playoffs thus far, a whopping 5 pt move

Public goes down tonight boys....................................................

Ride the Clipps and the under for an almost certain 1-1 and strong possible 2-0 night...................................................best of luck boys....................