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Author:	[NBA Betting] Topic: LOL @ People Laying Road Chalk Tonight With The Miami Heat
PapaShango	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
All-Star Joined: Dec 2010 Posts: 12300 Location:	#1 Posted: 5/17/2012 9:50:37 AM http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6vxiQ9JCKvE Over/Under amount of threads made on how Lebron sucks after the game? I post the total at 43. If you would like to be apart of the nearly 80% of bets on the Heat, be my guest. Vegas will wipe it's behind with the money they take from you tonight. Good day, gentleman. http://espn.go.com/nba/playoffs/2012/story/_/id/7936906/2012-nba-playoffs-miami-heat-lebron-james-says-playing-pf-injured-chris-bosh-taxing @ Lebron @ Lebron Pacers 3-1 ATS as home dogs.
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dduukkee	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 1839 Location: California	#2 Posted: 5/17/2012 9:52:06 AM
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PapaShango	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
All-Star Joined: Dec 2010 Posts: 12300 Location:	#3 Posted: 5/17/2012 9:54:56 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by dduukkee: Wake up and kiss your money goodbye.
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dduukkee	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 1839 Location: California	#4 Posted: 5/17/2012 9:58:29 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by PapaShango: Wake up and kiss your money goodbye. i have seen you say that a few times to many different posters and the game not gone your way... what does 80% of the public have to do with anything? has a team never covered when that many people were on one side?
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PapaShango	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
All-Star Joined: Dec 2010 Posts: 12300 Location:	#5 Posted: 5/17/2012 10:00:00 AM Love these threads for tonight's game... GAME OF THE YEAR and LARGE PLAY and SUPER LARGE PLAY and I BET MY CHILD'S COLLEGE TUITION PLAY and I'VE MORTGAGED MY HOUSE PLAY
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PapaShango	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
All-Star Joined: Dec 2010 Posts: 12300 Location:	#6 Posted: 5/17/2012 10:00:58 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by dduukkee: i have seen you say that a few times to many different posters and the game not gone your way... what does 80% of the public have to do with anything? has a team never covered when that many people were on one side?
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PapaShango	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
All-Star Joined: Dec 2010 Posts: 12300 Location:	#7 Posted: 5/17/2012 10:05:38 AM You guys think it will be that easy? The fact that the Pacers aren't favored today is a friggin joke. The spread should be Pacers -3. However, if the Pacers were favored by 3, this would lead to people questioning why the Heat are dogs. More people are betting them because they are favorites. Don't you guys understand this? Wake up and smell the garbage.
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Osiris2012	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Veteran Joined: Nov 2008 Posts: 2147 Location: Florida	#8 Posted: 5/17/2012 10:06:37 AM Papa
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badlands	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Legend Joined: Jul 2007 Posts: 40157 Location: Rhode Island	#9 Posted: 5/17/2012 10:10:05 AM
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emir2012	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2012 Posts: 495 Location: Kuwait	#10 Posted: 5/17/2012 10:19:38 AM this handicap is somewhat similar to the okc dallas game 4 where dallas was at home. then okc was giving like 1.5 then public pounding okc.
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PapaShango	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
All-Star Joined: Dec 2010 Posts: 12300 Location:	#11 Posted: 5/17/2012 10:23:34 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by emir2012: this handicap is somewhat similar to the okc dallas game 4 where dallas was at home. then okc was giving like 1.5 then public pounding okc. Not even close, whatsoever. Keep trying, buddy.
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raems	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Dec 2009 Posts: 2856 Location: New Jersey	#12 Posted: 5/17/2012 10:33:10 AM Indiana for me as well. -1 +122. A lot of things here make Indiana valuable imo-a fair line here is Indiana -3.5. The Pacers were +6.5 in Game 2 and that line proved to not value Bosh enough, so subtract another point off that 6.5 to make a more justifiable line of 5.5 and go from there. 4.5 off Miami for losing homecourt, +4.5 to Indiana for gaining it, you're left with Indiana -3.5. Thats a fair line here, Vegas won't dog Miami that much because they simply haven't done it all year and they know they're not losing a single Miami backer by favoring them so no reason to just dangle a +ml. This is the least valuable bet of the entire playoffs so far, Miami is a two man team right now and Indiana is completely confident that they can win the series at this point. The Heat's role players played very very poorly in Miami, I don't see a ton of reasons why they'll turn it around from being F- in Miami to being A+ in Indiana which they need to be to get a road win at this point. Indiana played like absolute dogshit in Game 2 and stole homecourt, like I already said they're carrying confidence now and are bound to play better at home from an efficiency standpoint. This whole "well Wade was angry in the postgame and the flagrant fouls and technicals and Miami won't lose two in a row" stuff, that's loser mentality to me, it's completely meaningless. I'm probably still in the minority here, but I see Indiana holding serve at home rest of the way and winning this thing in 6.
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mlesnet	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Feb 2012 Posts: 552 Location:	#13 Posted: 5/17/2012 10:35:28 AM Im hoping that the line will go up to 2 so I can get a ML from the sportsbooks. Im surprised that a lot of the good cappers are even falling into the trap with Miami
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Raw-like-Sushi	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 393 Location: Texas	#14 Posted: 5/17/2012 10:44:44 AM Well dumbass, It kind of is the "game of the year" thus far, and yes, people will be putting "large plays" & "super large plays"....so how bout you stop bumping gums and go tune into smackdown you silly darn!
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kaponofor3	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Legend Joined: Nov 2007 Posts: 33912 Location: California	#15 Posted: 5/17/2012 10:47:27 AM Right with you, this is the Pacers game to lose, will need a miracle night from LeBron + Wade + one bench/role player to win this
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babycake	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2012 Posts: 4 Location:	#16 Posted: 5/17/2012 11:17:25 AM all you guys said maked sense, but you can't underestimate the heart of the hungry, so im still putting my money on miami but i won't go all out on them just bet a reasonable amount.
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Lefty1981	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2012 Posts: 2060 Location:	#17 Posted: 5/17/2012 11:23:37 AM Haha you sound pretty confident on Indiana... BOL to you, but it sounds like you're only choosing Indiana because everyone else is on Miami. You keep saying 80% of the public is on Miami. I just find it very hard for "the public" to beat Miami. Covering lines is one thing, but if they're planning on fixing the game and screwing the public, then Vegas has a very very small window. I just can't see Miami losing Game 3, unless another injury comes into play. Good luck to you and everyone else on Indiana. I would love to see Indiana go up 2-1 on the Heat. I just can't put my money on that happening....
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Ducati	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jan 2008 Posts: 2965 Location: Vietnam	#18 Posted: 5/17/2012 11:27:44 AM -1.5 for Heat seems too easy and we all know what happens when it too easy...
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mp5070	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jan 2010 Posts: 2170 Location:	#19 Posted: 5/17/2012 11:35:28 AM Tough Game, Papa..... This is the exact same scenario with last Night.....People were all over the 76ers to crush the Cs.... Good Luck...Playing your MLB Plays...
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stevenp	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: BetUS.com \|
Veteran Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 1813 Location: California	#20 Posted: 5/17/2012 11:50:58 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Raw-like-Sushi: Well dumbass, It kind of is the "game of the year" thus far, and yes, people will be putting "large plays" & "super large plays"....so how bout you stop bumping gums and go tune into smackdown you silly darn! Again, I ask, what's your reasoning? Miami has two players and theytr great especially James. Wade did miss a layup in the clutch cause he's older than six years ago, obviously. Indiana is eight deep,
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stevenp	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: BetUS.com \|
Veteran Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 1813 Location: California	#21 Posted: 5/17/2012 11:55:27 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by mp5070: Tough Game, Papa..... This is the exact same scenario with last Night.....People were all over the 76ers to crush the Cs.... Good Luck...Playing your MLB Plays... Your right. Indiana is simply a better team than Philly. However, Indians lack of experience fully supports Miami backers. This Miami team without bosh is not as strong as last years heat.
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babycake	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2012 Posts: 4 Location:	#22 Posted: 5/17/2012 11:56:53 AM all you guys said maked sense, but you can't underestimate the heart of the hungry, so im still putting my money on miami but i won't go all out on them just bet a reasonable amount.
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tjohnsont	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 3189 Location:	#23 Posted: 5/17/2012 11:58:15 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Ducati: -1.5 for Heat seems too easy and we all know what happens when it too easy... If anything Indiana would be too easy considering Indiana just beat Miami at Miami and now getting points. Almost same scenario as the 76ers and Boston game.
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JBrilman	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Logans \|
Veteran Joined: Dec 2008 Posts: 2497 Location: Nevada	#24 Posted: 5/17/2012 12:09:23 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by PapaShango: You guys think it will be that easy? The fact that the Pacers aren't favored today is a friggin joke. The spread should be Pacers -3. However, if the Pacers were favored by 3, this would lead to people questioning why the Heat are dogs. More people are betting them because they are favorites. Don't you guys understand this? Wake up and smell the garbage. Y You clearly don't understand how odds makers work. Home court is worth 6 points. The most the pacers could ever be favored in this game is -1 as they were at the open.
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andreagassi6969	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Hall of Fame Joined: Nov 2006 Posts: 20265 Location: Nevada	#25 Posted: 5/17/2012 12:23:18 PM
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