9:35 EST - Los Angeles Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs

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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: 9:35 EST - Los Angeles Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 5/15/2012 3:44:28 PM
NBA-P: 9-9-1 (50.0%) -0.10u


9:35 EST - Los Angeles Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs Over 191 (-110)

The Clippers just finished a series with an average total of 182.1 (the average Vegas line was 182.4 and the under was 4-3). The Spurs just finished a series with an average total of 188.5 (the average Vegas line was 202.1 and the under was 4-0). Both teams are coming off of games where nobody even broke 90. These results have scared oddsmakers into setting a line lower than they should. My model projects the average total of this series to be right around 200. Basically we have two top 5 offenses playing against two average defenses.
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si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 5/15/2012 3:46:56 PM
https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B8gd-be68XCvbVBUQmRrUDBGSkU/preview
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si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 5/15/2012 3:51:57 PM
Take a look on the breakdown sheet at the shot locations section and see how these teams match up offensively and defensively in the different zones. You'll easily see that scoring shouldn't be a problem for either team. Tonight I think the Clippers can score 92 and the Spurs 108.
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si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 5/15/2012 5:10:58 PM
Just bought last minute tickets to the Heat game. I won't be around much tonight to answer questions but I may post some action from my phone on the early game.
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ToyPro PM ToyPro
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Posted: 5/15/2012 5:12:52 PM
Nilshu PM Nilshu
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Posted: 5/15/2012 5:15:41 PM
BOL man.

SCROG PM SCROG
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Posted: 5/15/2012 5:22:29 PM
Have fun at the game bro  
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Posted: 5/15/2012 5:33:28 PM
SportsFreak69 PM SportsFreak69
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Posted: 5/15/2012 5:38:35 PM
Best of Luck 
BravesFan1984 PM BravesFan1984
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Posted: 5/15/2012 5:45:59 PM
over
2Team_Parlay PM 2Team_Parlay
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Posted: 5/15/2012 5:48:49 PM

well u have to make a wager on the heat game if u going to be there... wear something unusual so we can spot u...

i like spurs might tail on the over

composite PM composite
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Posted: 5/15/2012 5:55:49 PM
What do you think of 1Q over 48.5?  It seems like the pace is always faster for 1Q then the rest of the game.
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 5/15/2012 5:56:02 PM
Haha.. wear something unusual? Heat home games are white-outs in honor of the cocaine trade that built this city. I'm baseline 15th row wearing white like everyone else.
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si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 5/15/2012 5:56:56 PM
@composite

Both teams were top 10 in first quarter scoring. I think they can both get to 50. I considered that play myself.
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si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 5/15/2012 5:58:29 PM
I can't make up my mind on the Heat game, I'm going to end up placing an action wager once I get to my seat. Lean Pacers and Over
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buffalo11 PM buffalo11
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Posted: 5/15/2012 5:59:38 PM
sounds good
P4P PM P4P
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Posted: 5/15/2012 6:06:51 PM
Good luck with the over, looks good. Spurs put up 115 themselves
iLemd7 PM iLemd7
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Posted: 5/15/2012 6:31:25 PM
ah, I'm on the opposite side.

SAS > LAC -11 + under 191
Heat < IND +6.5 over 186

SAS > LAC 98 - 86
MIA > IND 96 - 92

those are just IMO but BOL!
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Posted: 5/15/2012 6:36:33 PM
Gold_Rush PM Gold_Rush
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Posted: 5/15/2012 6:37:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:

Haha.. wear something unusual? Heat home games are white-outs in honor of the cocaine trade that built this city. I'm baseline 15th row wearing white like everyone else.


EPIC POST
onlinechamp PM onlinechamp
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Posted: 5/15/2012 6:40:22 PM
SCROG PM SCROG
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Posted: 5/15/2012 6:41:36 PM
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 5/16/2012 12:13:05 AM
See post #3 where I predicted the final score 108-92
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NOmoose PM NOmoose
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Posted: 5/16/2012 12:13:22 AM
pretty damn spot on silly, 200 even! 
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 5/16/2012 12:17:21 AM
2-1 posted on the night cashing both totals quite easily and missing out on the late prop add in the Heat game.


NBA-P: 11-10-1 (52.4%) +0.90u
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