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Author:	[NBA Betting] Topic: 9:35 EST - Los Angeles Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs
si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#1 Posted: 5/15/2012 3:44:28 PM NBA-P: 9-9-1 (50.0%) -0.10u 9:35 EST - Los Angeles Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs Over 191 (-110) The Clippers just finished a series with an average total of 182.1 (the average Vegas line was 182.4 and the under was 4-3). The Spurs just finished a series with an average total of 188.5 (the average Vegas line was 202.1 and the under was 4-0). Both teams are coming off of games where nobody even broke 90. These results have scared oddsmakers into setting a line lower than they should. My model projects the average total of this series to be right around 200. Basically we have two top 5 offenses playing against two average defenses.
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#2 Posted: 5/15/2012 3:46:56 PM https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B8gd-be68XCvbVBUQmRrUDBGSkU/preview
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#3 Posted: 5/15/2012 3:51:57 PM Take a look on the breakdown sheet at the shot locations section and see how these teams match up offensively and defensively in the different zones. You'll easily see that scoring shouldn't be a problem for either team. Tonight I think the Clippers can score 92 and the Spurs 108.
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#4 Posted: 5/15/2012 5:10:58 PM Just bought last minute tickets to the Heat game. I won't be around much tonight to answer questions but I may post some action from my phone on the early game.
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ToyPro	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Aug 2009 Posts: 364 Location: Florida	#5 Posted: 5/15/2012 5:12:52 PM
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Nilshu	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: May 2011 Posts: 4036 Location: Ontario	#6 Posted: 5/15/2012 5:15:41 PM BOL man.
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SCROG	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Veteran Joined: Jul 2009 Posts: 2584 Location: California	#7 Posted: 5/15/2012 5:22:29 PM Have fun at the game bro
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-LB-	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
All-Star Joined: Apr 2009 Posts: 13305 Location: South Carolina	#8 Posted: 5/15/2012 5:33:28 PM
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SportsFreak69	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Legend Joined: Aug 2008 Posts: 34057 Location: United States	#9 Posted: 5/15/2012 5:38:35 PM Best of Luck
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BravesFan1984	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jul 2011 Posts: 2450 Location: Arkansas	#10 Posted: 5/15/2012 5:45:59 PM over
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2Team_Parlay	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Captain Joined: Sep 2010 Posts: 6334 Location: California	#11 Posted: 5/15/2012 5:48:49 PM well u have to make a wager on the heat game if u going to be there... wear something unusual so we can spot u... i like spurs might tail on the over
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composite	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 2699 Location:	#12 Posted: 5/15/2012 5:55:49 PM What do you think of 1Q over 48.5? It seems like the pace is always faster for 1Q then the rest of the game.
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#13 Posted: 5/15/2012 5:56:02 PM Haha.. wear something unusual? Heat home games are white-outs in honor of the cocaine trade that built this city. I'm baseline 15th row wearing white like everyone else.
	Posted using a mobile device.quote
si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#14 Posted: 5/15/2012 5:56:56 PM @composite Both teams were top 10 in first quarter scoring. I think they can both get to 50. I considered that play myself.
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#15 Posted: 5/15/2012 5:58:29 PM I can't make up my mind on the Heat game, I'm going to end up placing an action wager once I get to my seat. Lean Pacers and Over
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buffalo11	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Mirage \|
Captain Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 8486 Location: New York	#16 Posted: 5/15/2012 5:59:38 PM sounds good
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P4P	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Nov 2006 Posts: 8812 Location: British Columbia	#17 Posted: 5/15/2012 6:06:51 PM Good luck with the over, looks good. Spurs put up 115 themselves
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iLemd7	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 111 Location:	#18 Posted: 5/15/2012 6:31:25 PM ah, I'm on the opposite side. SAS > LAC -11 + under 191 Heat < IND +6.5 over 186 SAS > LAC 98 - 86 MIA > IND 96 - 92 those are just IMO but BOL!
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matangster	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Apr 2008 Posts: 1182 Location: California	#19 Posted: 5/15/2012 6:36:33 PM
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Gold_Rush	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: BookMaker \|
Captain Joined: Dec 2008 Posts: 7817 Location: California	#20 Posted: 5/15/2012 6:37:57 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly: Haha.. wear something unusual? Heat home games are white-outs in honor of the cocaine trade that built this city. I'm baseline 15th row wearing white like everyone else. EPIC POST
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onlinechamp	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Bodog \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Feb 2008 Posts: 2394 Location: Florida	#21 Posted: 5/15/2012 6:40:22 PM
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SCROG	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Veteran Joined: Jul 2009 Posts: 2584 Location: California	#22 Posted: 5/15/2012 6:41:36 PM
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#23 Posted: 5/16/2012 12:13:05 AM See post #3 where I predicted the final score 108-92
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NOmoose	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Veteran Joined: Oct 2009 Posts: 4973 Location: California	#24 Posted: 5/16/2012 12:13:22 AM pretty damn spot on silly, 200 even!
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#25 Posted: 5/16/2012 12:17:21 AM 2-1 posted on the night cashing both totals quite easily and missing out on the late prop add in the Heat game. NBA-P: 11-10-1 (52.4%) +0.90u
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