Posted:
#1
The total is at 170 currently.
We all know how good these 2 defenses are. However, this is the lowest posted total in the playoffs so far and I think there some value here.
There are significant differences between home and road for the Sixers. The Sixers gave up an average of 92.8 ppg on the road, while only giving up 82.3 ppg at home(including playoffs). A huge 10 point difference. The Sixers 1st two playoff games in Chicago went over this number and 29 out of their 36 road games also went over this total.
The Sixers are a different defensive team when at home, with 14 out of the Sixers 36 home games going under this number. Two out of the three home games against Chicago went under this number(only game 4 went over at 171 total points).
The Celtics first 2 home games against Atlanta also went over this number(Game 3 went to OT to get over this number).
I think there will some looser play tonight, kind of a "reacquaintance" between these 2 squads and the defensive effort will not be consistently applied on either side.
For what it's worth, Game 1 has a strong tendency to be more "open" than the rest of the series. Since 1992, in the NBA playoffs, 259 out of a possible 308(84%) Game 1's have gone at or over a total of 170 points.
I am taking the over 170. Good luck with whatever you decide.
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