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[NBA Betting] Topic: Nuggets +500 Series Price. |
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barronio |
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#51 Posted: 5/10/2012 9:55:03 PM |
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rangerz2478 |
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#52 Posted: 5/10/2012 9:58:16 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by kvs23: DEN ML today is -120ish so IMPLIED Game 7 is +228. So if you think you will get better than +228 for Game 7 then bet Game 6, and roll profits to Game 7. Yes, if you think ML for Game 7 is +200 - that would suggest +450 so there would be value at +500. (Value in sense you are getting better than alternative - not that it is positive EV necessarily).
GL GL.
I was about to be pretty pissed, going through 3 pages of this thread without a single person bringing this up.
Thank you. 
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Mikado |
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#53 Posted: 5/11/2012 1:01:23 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by barronio: Hey MIKADO...I live in Boulder ..Where r u ?
I'm in Golden buddy.
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Mikado |
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#54 Posted: 5/11/2012 1:02:22 AM
Lakers -3.5 Total 195 |
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rangerz2478 |
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#55 Posted: 5/11/2012 1:02:55 AM
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Mikado |
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#56 Posted: 5/11/2012 1:21:16 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by rangerz2478: With the expected game 7 line to drop, you got a steal.
That is the value I was talking about. Still playing them game by game, but there is no way I see Denver being above +200 Saturday after a win like that. They have the momentum in this series now and proved how they can win the battle in the paint. McGee couldn't have had much of a quieter game - but Pau Gasol could only match that himself with an even worse performance. Sure people will say Ty got hot, but if anybody has read my scouting reports on Ty - you would know he is like a Tony Parker in development (and when he has confidence, he could very well be one of the best guards in the league) |
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Mikado |
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#57 Posted: 5/11/2012 1:22:15 AM |
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Mikado |
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#58 Posted: 5/11/2012 1:23:08 AM |
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Aniki |
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#59 Posted: 5/11/2012 1:24:32 AM |
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kaponofor3 |
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#60 Posted: 5/11/2012 1:47:10 AM
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Mikado |
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#61 Posted: 5/11/2012 1:54:27 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Aniki:
wished i put 5-6 units on this yesterday. I was pretty confident in nuggets winning today . That wouldve been a nice hedge to get some major coin
I would never place that looking to hedge it in the future. Don't chop into your winnings even if you think you are taking guaranteed money. Keep it simple. Take a certain amount place it on futures, take the rest and play it game by game. Don't mess with your future bets. Let them ride. I have actually gone through and looked at the records of some of the times I have hedged and more often than not I am on the winning side originally (why else would I place the bet to begin with). Keep profits at a max. Books give you the option to hedge on purpose. |
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Mikado |
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#62 Posted: 5/11/2012 1:57:13 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by kaponofor3: Kobe really should have been ejected for that flagrant -- glad to see you got the right side of value Mikado
Like I said, anybody else but Kobe.
There is a lot of animosity and hatred towards this LA team and that is part of the reason LA is playing like such pusses. They cannot exact those same kinds of emotions, for one Bynum and Gasol are very strangely emotional. As for Kobe, its all about the superstar treatment. The guy will work the refs regardless, but this is possibly the reason LA missed Phil Jackson the most. Nobody ever had more pull with refs than Jackson did in LA and Chicago. |
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Mikado |
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#63 Posted: 5/11/2012 1:59:20 AM |
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Mikado |
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#64 Posted: 5/11/2012 2:02:22 AM
I had Javale McGee +2.5 pts + rebounds over Pau Gasol
Javale McGee - 7 total
Pau Gasol - 6 total
Totally not the way I envisioned that happening... but I'll take it either way lol |
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slikstiks99 |
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#65 Posted: 5/11/2012 2:02:26 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by kaponofor3:
Kobe really should have been ejected for that flagrant -- glad to see you got the right side of value Mikado
Should have been ejected? Get real. Do you even know the rules? How do you judge what happened on 9/11 when you can't even see a simple NBA call according to the rules of the game. Obvious incidental contact to the head. Not even controversial. |
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Mikado |
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#66 Posted: 5/11/2012 2:03:58 AM
I feel like that could have been one of the easiest wins all season long. He had 15 at the end of the 1st, and 19 at half. |
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kaponofor3 |
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#67 Posted: 5/11/2012 2:04:57 AM
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kaponofor3 |
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#68 Posted: 5/11/2012 2:05:14 AM
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Mikado |
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#69 Posted: 5/11/2012 2:06:19 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by slikstiks99:
Should have been ejected? Get real. Do you even know the rules? How do you judge what happened on 9/11 when you can't even see a simple NBA call according to the rules of the game. Obvious incidental contact to the head. Not even controversial.
Yeah, we know the rules, superstars are pretty much incapable of getting tossed short of calling an official a happy slur... even then only a technical.
Anybody else... tossed. Barnes, Bynum, Gasol, Session if any of them did that - flagrant #2 and tossed. Go back and watch, absolutely no excuse whatsoever for Kobe doing that. It makes me really hate him as a player, as if the rapings weren't enough. |
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kaponofor3 |
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#70 Posted: 5/11/2012 2:07:09 AM
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Mikado |
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#71 Posted: 5/11/2012 2:07:19 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by kaponofor3:
Shaq absolutely killed Bynum on the postgame show too
I usually watch the Altitude postgame. I like Charles, but can't stand Shaq on there anymore. |
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kaponofor3 |
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#72 Posted: 5/11/2012 2:08:05 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Mikado: Wanna hear something funny Kap?
I had Javale McGee +2.5 pts + rebounds over Pau Gasol
Javale McGee - 7 total
Pau Gasol - 6 total
Totally not the way I envisioned that happening... but I'll take it either way lol
That's one of those ones where you dont know how you won, but you dont question and move forward and be happy to be on the right side of variance
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Mikado |
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#73 Posted: 5/11/2012 2:09:12 AM
Any thoughts on the Memphis series. I really think Memphis has stepped it up the past few quarters. CP3 and Blake flopping will only go so far. |
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kaponofor3 |
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#74 Posted: 5/11/2012 2:09:23 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by slikstiks99:
Should have been ejected? Get real. Do you even know the rules? How do you judge what happened on 9/11 when you can't even see a simple NBA call according to the rules of the game. Obvious incidental contact to the head. Not even controversial.
Are you freaking kidding? Kobe wound up and took a swing hard at the guys head, in the air, unprotected. That's an ejection.
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Mikado |
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#75 Posted: 5/11/2012 2:11:41 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by kaponofor3:
That's one of those ones where you dont know how you won, but you dont question and move forward and be happy to be on the right side of variance
McGee got foul trouble quick and couldn't produce much. He was able to grab a few boards, but when he was in the perimeter shooters were going off. Still had a ok game, just quiet on offense because of the fouls. But Gasol, I think that just proves that Denver CAN win this series. There is only small chance, even with Kobe scoring 50 that LA can win if Gasol and Bynum keep conceeding under the basket to the faster and more athletic Denver bigs. |
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