Weds LA Clippers +6.5

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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Weds LA Clippers +6.5
AnthonyStarks PM AnthonyStarks
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Posted: 5/9/2012 3:42:19 PM
La Clippers +6.5 (per 4pm) -110 1100/1000

0-2 On the week -2200

I have this capped as a 8-12 pt LA SU win.
UPNTHAPORT PM UPNTHAPORT
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Posted: 5/9/2012 3:44:53 PM

BOL Sir..

budwiser PM budwiser
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Posted: 5/9/2012 3:47:48 PM
8-12 point Clipper win in Memphis?
curtis07 PM curtis07
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Posted: 5/9/2012 3:48:34 PM
anthony so clippers won by 1, 1, 4 in OT and now u have them winning in memphis by 8-12....are u serious with that.....memphis should be up 3-1 in this series...does the line 6.5 not tell you that vegas truly believes memphis is the better team.....tonight is a tough one but for u to say clippers by 8-12 is a joke...could it happen yes but to say u have it capped at that...what r u using
AnthonyStarks PM AnthonyStarks
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Posted: 5/9/2012 3:49:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by curtis07:

anthony so clippers won by 1, 1, 4 in OT and now u have them winning in memphis by 8-12....are u serious with that.....memphis should be up 3-1 in this series...does the line 6.5 not tell you that vegas truly believes memphis is the better team.....tonight is a tough one but for u to say clippers by 8-12 is a joke...could it happen yes but to say u have it capped at that...what r u using


8-12 point LA win YES, as I said 8-12 point LA win
CCMKD PM CCMKD
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Posted: 5/9/2012 3:50:50 PM
FlamingoBarnes PM FlamingoBarnes
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Posted: 5/9/2012 3:55:54 PM
Why not play the ML then?  +265 seems like tremendous value in a game that you think will be a blowout.
AnthonyStarks PM AnthonyStarks
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Posted: 5/9/2012 3:57:07 PM
To all my friends sorry for the emo meltdown last night. As I said before it's not even about the money, i was just blown away by what happened.

 Also this is not an official play because i will never lay 10 pts or more in a b-ball game, but I def lean w/ Miami -11 to roll in a blowout tonight, take it for what it's worth.
AnthonyStarks PM AnthonyStarks
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Posted: 5/9/2012 3:58:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by FlamingoBarnes:

Why not play the ML then?  +265 seems like tremendous value in a game that you think will be a blowout.


you can play it however you like, I use a local there is no ML
P4P PM P4P
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Posted: 5/9/2012 4:03:33 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by budwiser:

8-12 point Clipper win in Memphis?

Haha I would love to see the numbers going into that calculation. I guess it would be an 18pt win if at home, despite winning the last 2 games by a combined 4 points...

BigJohnStud PM BigJohnStud
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Posted: 5/9/2012 4:06:00 PM
now i feel more confident in my clipps play..hope u feelin' better after them green bottlez, bob marley, & killin' that fat punani!!  get em tony!! 
AnthonyStarks PM AnthonyStarks
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Posted: 5/9/2012 4:06:35 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by P4P:

Haha I would love to see the numbers going into that calculation. I guess it would be an 18pt win if at home, despite winning the last 2 games by a combined 4 points...


 not quite but close
AnthonyStarks PM AnthonyStarks
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Posted: 5/9/2012 4:09:52 PM
also btw to those questioning my math and etc, the number of pts the clips won by in the previous games in the series has absolutely nothing to do with the number I got this capped at. When you play roulette in a casino it does not matter if the idiot screen says a certain number or color hit 10 times in a row, it is still the same identical odds for the next spin. Not to sound insulting but this is pretty basic stuff I don't see how someone would not realize that
nbpayton PM nbpayton
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Posted: 5/9/2012 4:13:18 PM
When Anthony picks a game he usually has the team winning by 15 points against the spread or over/uner number.
motorcitymama PM motorcitymama
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Posted: 5/9/2012 4:18:10 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by BadBeat2k9:

Starks, your gettin back on track tonight man. You got this.



     you're a gem, Mr. Starks!!

curtis07 PM curtis07
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Posted: 5/9/2012 4:20:59 PM
anthony starks u r a joke plain and simple any idiot who has a game off by 13.5-17.5 should not be capping......so ur right vegas is wrong making memphis that favorite this is an 8pt win for clippers......
and if it were to happen u will say u were right and ur a genius....not ur wrong wether memphis loses by 8 or 12 u r wrong in capping the game
reitre
Sportsmind PM Sportsmind
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Posted: 5/9/2012 4:21:23 PM

be careful with the Clips

P4P PM P4P
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Posted: 5/9/2012 4:23:35 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by BadBeat2k9:

Starks, about your math statement your absolutely correct. You can flip a coin and land heads 5 times in a row, that does not mean the 6 th flip is more likely to be tails. It is still 50/50.

Yes, and in the case of picking a game against the spread it's probably going to be fairly close to 50/50 as well. So suggesting the line is 14-18pts off is fairly preposterous...

It doesn't mean the Clippers can't win by 8-12, just like it's not impossible for a coin to land on heads 9 times in a row. But it certainly shouldn't be your expectation.

curtis07 PM curtis07
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Posted: 5/9/2012 4:28:03 PM
and the heads-tails stuff isnt so simple as 9 times in a row heads 10th time is 50-50....for that one isolated flip it is over the next x amount of flips its not
Daywalker331 PM Daywalker331
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Posted: 5/9/2012 4:28:32 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by AnthonyStarks:

also btw to those questioning my math and etc, the number of pts the clips won by in the previous games in the series has absolutely nothing to do with the number I got this capped at. When you play roulette in a casino it does not matter if the idiot screen says a certain number or color hit 10 times in a row, it is still the same identical odds for the next spin. Not to sound insulting but this is pretty basic stuff I don't see how someone would not realize that

OK this is not a challenge, however the law of averages say's that if you flip a coin 100 times it will be 50 heads and 50 tail's that being said every time you flip a head in seccession means your closer to a tail. Called A SHORT TERM TREND.My point, when I play Roulete and I see Blk came out let's say 5 times, based on law of averages it's in my favor Red will be next.of course there's tons of other intangibles however that general rule of thumb has been extremely sucessful for me...Remeber not a Challenge and it's how I play. Jus want to point out my opinion.  

curtis07 PM curtis07
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Posted: 5/9/2012 4:38:12 PM
Daywalker is correct 9 tails in a row by no means gives you a 50-50 chance for heads....your odds for heads have increased based on this short term trend

sabermaths PM sabermaths
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Posted: 5/9/2012 4:45:39 PM
profcap says mem -3 1h. what u think? mem cover 1h but not game?
Posted using a mobile device.
MGM_grnd PM MGM_grnd
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Posted: 5/9/2012 4:46:12 PM
8 to 12 pts....... 


Give me those odds. 
MoneMikeChiTowN PM MoneMikeChiTowN
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Posted: 5/9/2012 4:51:37 PM

YAAAAAA CURTISSSSSSSSS.. LOL

 

JK

MIA UP BY 20 THEN THEY GIVE UP AND KNICKS HIT SOME OPEN 3S IN FAST BREAK TO LOSE BY 8 OR 9..

CLIPPERS WIN BY 6-7 RUDY happy GUNA CHOKE CP3 GUNA BE DIRTY AT PASSING AND MO WILLIAMS GUNA THUG IT OUT!

NA BUT FOR REAL MIA AND CLIPPERS SHOULD WIN THIS GAME SU.. GRIZZELS JUST GUNA FOLD MOST LIKELY TRYING TO DO TOO MUCH AS INDIVIDUALS

Daywalker331 PM Daywalker331
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Posted: 5/9/2012 4:58:17 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by BadBeat2k9:

And as far as the coin goes, I'm pretty sure the coin doesn't have a memory dumbass,it doesn't remember that it flipped tails 9 times I a row. It makes no sense at all to say that heads is more likely on the next flip.each flip is INDIVIDUAL.the coin does not realize it's been flipped jackass. Read a fuckin math book before u come in here with it stupid behind garbage

Bad beat I don't think you were refferring to me. But the answer i presented is from a book. I'm not trying to start any garbage in here I'm cool with everybody and i hate negative Karma but if you do any research into the law of averages the coin flip experiment will be there, it's called a Short term trend and it's PHYSIC'S

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