Messages

Forum Index : NBA Betting : Messages Page 1 of 5  1 2 3 4 5  
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Weds LA Clippers +6.5
AnthonyStarks send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
AnthonyStarks
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 2857
Location: New Jersey
#1
Posted: 5/9/2012 3:42:19 PM
La Clippers +6.5 (per 4pm) -110 1100/1000

0-2 On the week -2200

I have this capped as a 8-12 pt LA SU win.
quote
UPNTHAPORT
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker |
UPNTHAPORT
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 1620
Location: Louisiana
#2
Posted: 5/9/2012 3:44:53 PM

BOL Sir..

quote
budwiser send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
budwiser
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 6430
Location:
#3
Posted: 5/9/2012 3:47:48 PM
8-12 point Clipper win in Memphis?
quote
curtis07 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
curtis07
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 216
Location:
#4
Posted: 5/9/2012 3:48:34 PM
anthony so clippers won by 1, 1, 4 in OT and now u have them winning in memphis by 8-12....are u serious with that.....memphis should be up 3-1 in this series...does the line 6.5 not tell you that vegas truly believes memphis is the better team.....tonight is a tough one but for u to say clippers by 8-12 is a joke...could it happen yes but to say u have it capped at that...what r u using
quote
AnthonyStarks send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
AnthonyStarks
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 2857
Location: New Jersey
#5
Posted: 5/9/2012 3:49:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by curtis07:

anthony so clippers won by 1, 1, 4 in OT and now u have them winning in memphis by 8-12....are u serious with that.....memphis should be up 3-1 in this series...does the line 6.5 not tell you that vegas truly believes memphis is the better team.....tonight is a tough one but for u to say clippers by 8-12 is a joke...could it happen yes but to say u have it capped at that...what r u using


8-12 point LA win YES, as I said 8-12 point LA win
quote
CCMKD send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
CCMKD
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 57
Location:
#6
Posted: 5/9/2012 3:50:50 PM
quote
FlamingoBarnes send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
FlamingoBarnes
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1286
Location:
#7
Posted: 5/9/2012 3:55:54 PM
Why not play the ML then?  +265 seems like tremendous value in a game that you think will be a blowout.
quote
AnthonyStarks send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
AnthonyStarks
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 2857
Location: New Jersey
#8
Posted: 5/9/2012 3:57:07 PM
To all my friends sorry for the emo meltdown last night. As I said before it's not even about the money, i was just blown away by what happened.

 Also this is not an official play because i will never lay 10 pts or more in a b-ball game, but I def lean w/ Miami -11 to roll in a blowout tonight, take it for what it's worth.
quote
AnthonyStarks send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
AnthonyStarks
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 2857
Location: New Jersey
#9
Posted: 5/9/2012 3:58:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by FlamingoBarnes:

Why not play the ML then?  +265 seems like tremendous value in a game that you think will be a blowout.


you can play it however you like, I use a local there is no ML
quote
P4P send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
P4P
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 8845
Location: British
              Columbia
#10
Posted: 5/9/2012 4:03:33 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by budwiser:

8-12 point Clipper win in Memphis?

Haha I would love to see the numbers going into that calculation. I guess it would be an 18pt win if at home, despite winning the last 2 games by a combined 4 points...

quote
BigJohnStud send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BigJohnStud
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 2070
Location: Hawaii
#11
Posted: 5/9/2012 4:06:00 PM
now i feel more confident in my clipps play..hope u feelin' better after them green bottlez, bob marley, & killin' that fat punani!!  get em tony!! 
quote
AnthonyStarks send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
AnthonyStarks
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 2857
Location: New Jersey
#12
Posted: 5/9/2012 4:06:35 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by P4P:

Haha I would love to see the numbers going into that calculation. I guess it would be an 18pt win if at home, despite winning the last 2 games by a combined 4 points...


 not quite but close
quote
AnthonyStarks send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
AnthonyStarks
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 2857
Location: New Jersey
#13
Posted: 5/9/2012 4:09:52 PM
also btw to those questioning my math and etc, the number of pts the clips won by in the previous games in the series has absolutely nothing to do with the number I got this capped at. When you play roulette in a casino it does not matter if the idiot screen says a certain number or color hit 10 times in a row, it is still the same identical odds for the next spin. Not to sound insulting but this is pretty basic stuff I don't see how someone would not realize that
quote
nbpayton send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
nbpayton
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 736
Location: California
#14
Posted: 5/9/2012 4:13:18 PM
When Anthony picks a game he usually has the team winning by 15 points against the spread or over/uner number.
quote
motorcitymama send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
motorcitymama
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 2701
Location: Colorado
#15
Posted: 5/9/2012 4:18:10 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by BadBeat2k9:

Starks, your gettin back on track tonight man. You got this.



     you're a gem, Mr. Starks!!

quote
curtis07 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
curtis07
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 216
Location:
#16
Posted: 5/9/2012 4:20:59 PM
anthony starks u r a joke plain and simple any idiot who has a game off by 13.5-17.5 should not be capping......so ur right vegas is wrong making memphis that favorite this is an 8pt win for clippers......
and if it were to happen u will say u were right and ur a genius....not ur wrong wether memphis loses by 8 or 12 u r wrong in capping the game
reitre
quote
Sportsmind
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker |
Sportsmind
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Mar 2002
Posts: 1280
Location: Nebraska
#17
Posted: 5/9/2012 4:21:23 PM

be careful with the Clips

quote
P4P send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
P4P
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 8845
Location: British
              Columbia
#18
Posted: 5/9/2012 4:23:35 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by BadBeat2k9:

Starks, about your math statement your absolutely correct. You can flip a coin and land heads 5 times in a row, that does not mean the 6 th flip is more likely to be tails. It is still 50/50.

Yes, and in the case of picking a game against the spread it's probably going to be fairly close to 50/50 as well. So suggesting the line is 14-18pts off is fairly preposterous...

It doesn't mean the Clippers can't win by 8-12, just like it's not impossible for a coin to land on heads 9 times in a row. But it certainly shouldn't be your expectation.

quote
curtis07 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
curtis07
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 216
Location:
#19
Posted: 5/9/2012 4:28:03 PM
and the heads-tails stuff isnt so simple as 9 times in a row heads 10th time is 50-50....for that one isolated flip it is over the next x amount of flips its not
quote
Daywalker331 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: JustBet.cx |
Daywalker331
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 1269
Location: Connecticut
#20
Posted: 5/9/2012 4:28:32 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by AnthonyStarks:

also btw to those questioning my math and etc, the number of pts the clips won by in the previous games in the series has absolutely nothing to do with the number I got this capped at. When you play roulette in a casino it does not matter if the idiot screen says a certain number or color hit 10 times in a row, it is still the same identical odds for the next spin. Not to sound insulting but this is pretty basic stuff I don't see how someone would not realize that

OK this is not a challenge, however the law of averages say's that if you flip a coin 100 times it will be 50 heads and 50 tail's that being said every time you flip a head in seccession means your closer to a tail. Called A SHORT TERM TREND.My point, when I play Roulete and I see Blk came out let's say 5 times, based on law of averages it's in my favor Red will be next.of course there's tons of other intangibles however that general rule of thumb has been extremely sucessful for me...Remeber not a Challenge and it's how I play. Jus want to point out my opinion.  

quote
curtis07 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
curtis07
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 216
Location:
#21
Posted: 5/9/2012 4:38:12 PM
Daywalker is correct 9 tails in a row by no means gives you a 50-50 chance for heads....your odds for heads have increased based on this short term trend

quote
sabermaths send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: WilliamHill.com |
sabermaths
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 2634
Location: United States
#22
Posted: 5/9/2012 4:45:39 PM
profcap says mem -3 1h. what u think? mem cover 1h but not game?
Posted using a mobile device.
quote
MGM_grnd send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: MGM Grand |
MGM_grnd
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1659
Location: Nevada
#23
Posted: 5/9/2012 4:46:12 PM
8 to 12 pts....... 


Give me those odds. 
quote
MoneMikeChiTowN send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
MoneMikeChiTowN
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 51
Location: Illinois
#24
Posted: 5/9/2012 4:51:37 PM

YAAAAAA CURTISSSSSSSSS.. LOL

 

JK

MIA UP BY 20 THEN THEY GIVE UP AND KNICKS HIT SOME OPEN 3S IN FAST BREAK TO LOSE BY 8 OR 9..

CLIPPERS WIN BY 6-7 RUDY happy GUNA CHOKE CP3 GUNA BE DIRTY AT PASSING AND MO WILLIAMS GUNA THUG IT OUT!

NA BUT FOR REAL MIA AND CLIPPERS SHOULD WIN THIS GAME SU.. GRIZZELS JUST GUNA FOLD MOST LIKELY TRYING TO DO TOO MUCH AS INDIVIDUALS

quote
Daywalker331 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: JustBet.cx |
Daywalker331
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 1269
Location: Connecticut
#25
Posted: 5/9/2012 4:58:17 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by BadBeat2k9:

And as far as the coin goes, I'm pretty sure the coin doesn't have a memory dumbass,it doesn't remember that it flipped tails 9 times I a row. It makes no sense at all to say that heads is more likely on the next flip.each flip is INDIVIDUAL.the coin does not realize it's been flipped jackass. Read a fuckin math book before u come in here with it stupid behind garbage

Bad beat I don't think you were refferring to me. But the answer i presented is from a book. I'm not trying to start any garbage in here I'm cool with everybody and i hate negative Karma but if you do any research into the law of averages the coin flip experiment will be there, it's called a Short term trend and it's PHYSIC'S

quote
Forum Index : NBA Betting : Messages Page 1 of 5  1 2 3 4 5  
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.