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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Lakers @ Nuggets Game 4 POY
Donnie_Baseball send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 5/6/2012 8:34:13 PM
Most of my plays are 1-2 units, with the somewhat occasional 3 unit, and rare 5er. After building up over 20 units of profit about midway through the NBA season, I am treading water and now up less than 3. The last couple weeks of the season, and so far the playoffs, have been brutal for me. Just wanted to give a little background for those that may tail. This will likely be my largest wager of the NBA season to date. Let's get some discussion going on this game.

It took the Nuggets a couple of games and some home cooking to hit their stride, but they now have a chance to level this series with another victory on their home floor tonight.

In game 3, Ty Lawson led the way for the Nugs with 25 points and seven assists. Faried chipped in12 points and 15 rebounds and JaVale McGee broke out for 16 points and 15 rebounds. The Nuggets played with more cohesion on the offensive end, but their biggest improvements came on the other side of the floor, holding the Lakers to 37.2 percent shooting, and forcing 15 turnovers to their 6.

In an ugly night for the Lakers Andrew Bynum was held scoreless until the second half, although he dropped 18, and also grabbed 12 rebounds. Kobe also had an off game, shooting 7 for 23 with 22 points. What might have been a larger issue, though, was the Lakers bench, scoring just 9 points to the Nuggets 39. 

In Game 3 the Nuggets came out hot, flying to an early of as many as 24 points before the Lakers slowly but surely worked their way to back within 4. It's easy to make coulda/woulda/shoulda statements, but if it weren’t for such a cold start from Bryant and Bynum AS WELL AS a very subpar performance by the Laker bench, the rest of the series could already be a formality. 

As it stands, the Nuggets are a win away from evening the series, but my feeling is that the surprise factor played a big factor in game three and won’t be there for game four. I expect a bounce back game from Kobe and better play from Bynum and the Laker bench. With OKC completing the sweep of the Mavs, the Lakers also realize how important it will be for them to finish off this series as quickly as possible. They will be fully focused and ready to roll in Denver.

I'm most likely playing Los Angeles Lakers +2.5 -105 for 8 units ($420 to win $400) but am waiting until closer to tip to place it.


What do you all think about how this game will play out? I'd like to get some discussion going. I am pretty pumped up for this game.



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aznboi711s send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#2
Posted: 5/6/2012 8:38:39 PM
Most of my plays are 1-2 units, with the somewhat occasional 3 unit, and rare 5er............ now 8 units
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Donnie_Baseball send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#3
Posted: 5/6/2012 8:39:47 PM
^^ What's your point? I haven't made a play over 5 units all year, and I am likely playing the Lakers tonight for 8....
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#4
Posted: 5/6/2012 8:40:37 PM
^^ What's your point? I haven't made a play over 5 units all year, and I am likely playing the Lakers tonight for 8....

I started this thread for discussion about the game anyways and posted that at the beginning because I do not feel comfortable with anyone blindly tailing anyone. 

Anyone got any thoughts on the game?
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#5
Posted: 5/6/2012 8:41:06 PM
with you on Lakers 
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#6
Posted: 5/6/2012 8:41:52 PM
^^ What's your point? I haven't made a play over 5 units all year, and I am likely playing the Lakers tonight for 8....

I started this thread for discussion about the game anyways and posted that at the beginning because I do not feel comfortable with anyone blindly tailing anyone. 

Anyone got any thoughts on the game?
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#7
Posted: 5/6/2012 8:42:26 PM
Why do you keep saying most likely?

Do you not even know what your POY is?
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#8
Posted: 5/6/2012 8:42:48 PM
I got my unit in the Nuggies.
Posted using a mobile device.
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#9
Posted: 5/6/2012 8:42:52 PM
YOU HAVE BEEN AROUND SINCE APRIL AND HERE IS YOUR PLAY OF THE YEAR WAGER WITH A MONTH LEFT IN THE SEASON. INTERESTING ID SAY BUT YOUR WAGER IS YOUR WAGER 
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#10
Posted: 5/6/2012 8:44:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Mr-Unit:

Why do you keep saying most likely?

Do you not even know what your POY is?

Said most likely one time. I said most likely because I am debating the exact size of the wager. You guys are hilarious. 
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Bet_The_House
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#11
Posted: 5/6/2012 8:44:38 PM
Lakers bench is second lowest scoring in the league against Devers highest scoring in the league
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#12
Posted: 5/6/2012 8:45:30 PM
listen my friend im on the Lakers with you .......I just was saying this game the Lakers want...and there bench and Kobe will show up....bet on that.....best of luck im throwing a g on em.....thats my limit on any play..........ST9
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#13
Posted: 5/6/2012 8:45:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by nuggetmonster:

YOU HAVE BEEN AROUND SINCE APRIL AND HERE IS YOUR PLAY OF THE YEAR WAGER WITH A MONTH LEFT IN THE SEASON. INTERESTING ID SAY BUT YOUR WAGER IS YOUR WAGER 

if you moved your left pinky 1/8' to the left and clicked once before returning to the home keys it'd be nice. i just created an account on covers in april, this is my POY, as it will be my largest wager of the season to date.

i created this thread for discussion on the game....
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#14
Posted: 5/6/2012 8:46:20 PM

I'm taking the Lakers tonight as well but for $330.  Partybets the line is -110.

I don't expect this game to be a close a some think.  The lakers are going to step up their D and Kobe will not have 2 dud nights in a row; and i'm a Celtics fan (Bird fan nostly).

Worst case senario if the cover dosen't go tonight I will double up for game 5.

GL

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#15
Posted: 5/6/2012 8:51:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Bet_The_House:

Lakers bench is second lowest scoring in the league against Devers highest scoring in the league

Lakers bench will be highly motivated and fully focused tonight. They are always capable of laying consecutive eggs on the road, but I don't see it in this situation. Then again, all I've done is lay eggs betting the playoffs so far. Time to cash a big one tonight.
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#16
Posted: 5/6/2012 8:53:57 PM
With you on the Lakers 
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#17
Posted: 5/6/2012 8:54:47 PM
POY Waiting to closer to tip..?? For what ?? Your POY needs a possible 1/2 - 1 pt....Off the Lakers because of this Bozo ...
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#18
Posted: 5/6/2012 8:58:00 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PLAYAAAA1969:

POY Waiting to closer to tip..?? For what ?? Your POY needs a possible 1/2 - 1 pt....Off the Lakers because of this Bozo ...

oh the irony of such a condescending post. you are off a play because you read a post on covers?!?! and why wouldn't i want to get the best price available for my largest wager of the year? good luck with your gambling career my friend!
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#19
Posted: 5/6/2012 9:01:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PLAYAAAA1969:

POY Waiting to closer to tip..?? For what ?? Your POY needs a possible 1/2 - 1 pt....

i just keep cracking up at this logic
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#20
Posted: 5/6/2012 9:02:38 PM
bol to your play.

we will mosty likely be on the oppposite side if we do play it.
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i_Win_u_Lose
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#21
Posted: 5/6/2012 9:04:06 PM
POY ..... But yet u need others opinion ?? Dude ur POY should be ur most surest play .... No need for others opinions ....u should be positively think that every angle goes to the team ur betting on ... There should be no doubt in ur mind that the lakeshow take this game easily ....if you post POY .... U should have no doubt
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#22
Posted: 5/6/2012 9:06:07 PM
One advice though .... betting ur POY on an away team is not exactly a good idea..... Zebras might just be on the home team side to darn up ur POY.... 
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#23
Posted: 5/6/2012 9:10:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by i_Win_u_Lose:

POY ..... But yet u need others opinion ?? Dude ur POY should be ur most surest play .... No need for others opinions ....u should be positively think that every angle goes to the team ur betting on ... There should be no doubt in ur mind that the lakeshow take this game easily ....if you post POY .... U should have no doubt

Thanks, didn't need anyone else's opinion. I was going to bet the Lakers for at least $420 regardless...I am just very excited for this game and a bit antsy about the large (for me it really is) money I'm gonna have on the line, so I wanted to get some discussion going and started a thread.

 This is the first year I have kept records, studied games, taken sports investing seriously at all. Thanks for the advice and kind words. Best of luck.
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#24
Posted: 5/6/2012 9:11:43 PM
good luck 
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#25
Posted: 5/6/2012 9:12:15 PM
^^ just to add to that, I never asked for anyone's advice or insinuated it would affect my opinion or take on the game. I simply started a thread, gave my opinion, asked what everyone else thought, and said let's get some discussion going!

I'm pumped, got my bet in, good luck everyone.
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